When holding the iShares US IG Corporate Bond CAD-Hedged (XIG.TO) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~66 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 105 months (from February 2015 to October 2023).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 106 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares US IG Corporate Bond CAD-Hedged (XIG.TO) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Jan 31, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 2.13%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-22.54%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022 |
+6.11% |
+46.14%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1982 |
16.37%
128 out of 782 |
|
-27.52%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022 |
+3.60% |
+37.05%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1983 |
32.23%
252 out of 782 |
|
-11.56%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023 |
+6.09% |
+34.00%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1986 |
10.13%
78 out of 770 |
|
-16.08%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022 |
+3.82% |
+28.99%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1986 |
25.58%
197 out of 770 |
|
-7.35%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023 |
+6.20% |
+26.25%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1985 |
7.78%
59 out of 758 |
|
-12.94%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1981 |
+3.92% |
+20.74%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1985 |
22.16%
168 out of 758 |
|
-3.96%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023 |
+6.13% |
+27.40%
Apr 1982 - Mar 1986 |
5.63%
42 out of 746 |
|
-11.03%
Oct 1977 - Sep 1981 |
+3.37% |
+21.86%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1986 |
21.45%
160 out of 746 |
|
-2.16%
Aug 2020 - Jul 2025 |
+6.37% |
+26.69%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1986 |
3.81%
28 out of 734 |
|
-7.87%
Oct 1976 - Sep 1981 |
+3.10% |
+19.99%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1986 |
23.16%
170 out of 734 |
|
-1.05%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023 |
+6.60% |
+21.58%
Mar 1981 - Feb 1987 |
0.97%
7 out of 722 |
|
-4.21%
Jul 1976 - Jun 1982 |
+3.30% |
+15.52%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1988 |
23.96%
173 out of 722 |
|
-0.53%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023 |
+6.67% |
+21.05%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1988 |
0.28%
2 out of 710 |
|
-4.52%
Mar 1973 - Feb 1980 |
+3.59% |
+15.18%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1988 |
21.83%
155 out of 710 |
|
+0.37%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023 |
+6.40% |
+20.17%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1989 |
0.00%
0 out of 698 |
|
-5.04%
Oct 1973 - Sep 1981 |
+3.63% |
+14.31%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1989 |
18.48%
129 out of 698 |
|
+0.50%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023 |
+6.41% |
+18.87%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1990 |
0.00%
0 out of 686 |
|
-5.10%
Oct 1972 - Sep 1981 |
+3.86% |
+13.40%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1993 |
17.06%
117 out of 686 |
|
+0.85%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022 |
+6.59% |
+19.43%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1991 |
0.00%
0 out of 674 |
|
-4.78%
Oct 1971 - Sep 1981 |
+4.00% |
+13.68%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1991 |
18.84%
127 out of 674 |
|
+0.86%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023 |
+6.74% |
+19.18%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1992 |
0.00%
0 out of 662 |
|
-3.69%
Apr 1971 - Mar 1982 |
+3.96% |
+13.81%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1992 |
20.09%
133 out of 662 |
|
+1.75%
May 2013 - Apr 2025 |
+6.60% |
+18.90%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 650 |
|
-2.67%
Sep 1969 - Aug 1981 |
+3.99% |
+13.82%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1993 |
18.31%
119 out of 650 |
|
+2.06%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2025 |
+6.57% |
+17.13%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1994 |
0.00%
0 out of 638 |
|
-3.19%
Oct 1968 - Sep 1981 |
+4.08% |
+12.45%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1995 |
14.26%
91 out of 638 |
|
+2.57%
Feb 2012 - Jan 2026 |
+6.61% |
+17.01%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1995 |
0.00%
0 out of 626 |
|
-2.72%
Oct 1967 - Sep 1981 |
+4.05% |
+12.51%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1995 |
10.38%
65 out of 626 |
|
+2.96%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2025 |
+6.76% |
+16.08%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1996 |
0.00%
0 out of 614 |
|
-2.49%
Oct 1966 - Sep 1981 |
+4.03% |
+11.80%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1996 |
8.14%
50 out of 614 |
|
+3.23%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023 |
+7.12% |
+15.51%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1997 |
0.00%
0 out of 602 |
|
-2.57%
Oct 1965 - Sep 1981 |
+4.16% |
+11.39%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1997 |
7.64%
46 out of 602 |
|
+3.22%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023 |
+7.50% |
+15.19%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 590 |
|
-2.31%
Oct 1964 - Sep 1981 |
+4.24% |
+11.28%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1998 |
7.12%
42 out of 590 |
|
+3.16%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2022 |
+7.62% |
+14.13%
May 1975 - Apr 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 578 |
|
-2.00%
Oct 1963 - Sep 1981 |
+4.18% |
+10.30%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1999 |
7.61%
44 out of 578 |
|
+3.04%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023 |
+7.93% |
+14.13%
Sep 1974 - Aug 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 566 |
|
-1.72%
Oct 1962 - Sep 1981 |
+4.30% |
+9.91%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2000 |
6.54%
37 out of 566 |
|
+3.35%
Nov 2003 - Oct 2023 |
+8.17% |
+13.67%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 554 |
|
-1.37%
Oct 1961 - Sep 1981 |
+4.32% |
+9.96%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2001 |
5.23%
29 out of 554 |
|
+4.11%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2023 |
+9.20% |
+12.16%
Mar 1980 - Feb 2005 |
0.00%
0 out of 494 |
|
+1.66%
Apr 1960 - Mar 1985 |
+4.96% |
+8.68%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2006 |
0.00%
0 out of 494 |
|
+4.46%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023 |
+9.78% |
+11.41%
Sep 1974 - Aug 2004 |
0.00%
0 out of 434 |
|
+2.30%
Feb 1996 - Jan 2026 |
+4.99% |
+7.95%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2011 |
0.00%
0 out of 434 |
iShares US IG Corporate Bond CAD-Hedged (XIG.TO) ETF: Historical Returns

