iShares S&P US Financials Index ETF (XUSF.TO): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1999 - October 2025 (~27 years)
Initial Amount: 1$
Currency: CAD
Inflation: Canada
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The minimum date range must be at least 24 months. 'Date To' cannot be beyond October 2025.
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When holding the iShares S&P US Financials Index ETF (XUSF.TO) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~27 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 192 months (from October 2000 to September 2016).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 193 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES S&P US FINANCIALS INDEX ETF (XUSF.TO) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 November 2005 - 31 October 2025 (20 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1999 - 31 October 2025 (~27 years)
All Data
(1999/01 - 2025/10)
Canada Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES S&P US FINANCIALS INDEX ETF (XUSF.TO) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1999 - 31 October 2025 (~27 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Canada Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-60.40%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+6.70% +63.36%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010
36.01%
112 out of 311
-60.96%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+4.65% +60.81%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010
41.48%
129 out of 311
-50.41%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
+8.12% +35.61%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2014
29.10%
87 out of 299
-51.20%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
+5.75% +33.70%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2014
35.79%
107 out of 299
-34.15%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009
+7.04% +33.19%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2015
28.57%
82 out of 287
-35.29%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009
+4.39% +31.13%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2015
33.45%
96 out of 287
-26.23%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009
+8.15% +28.16%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2015
32.00%
88 out of 275
-27.57%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009
+5.72% +26.57%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2015
35.27%
97 out of 275
-22.61%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009
+7.32% +25.98%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2016
30.04%
79 out of 263
-24.07%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009
+4.39% +24.33%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2016
38.78%
102 out of 263
-15.58%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2009
+8.06% +24.51%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2017
31.87%
80 out of 251
-17.00%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2009
+5.03% +22.81%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2017
41.83%
105 out of 251
-16.57%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
+9.18% +21.91%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2018
36.40%
87 out of 239
-18.31%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
+6.33% +20.13%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2018
40.59%
97 out of 239
-14.81%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
+5.01% +21.57%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017
39.65%
90 out of 227
-16.51%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
+3.48% +19.60%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017
43.61%
99 out of 227
-9.93%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2009
+4.15% +20.86%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018
46.05%
99 out of 215
-11.76%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2009
+2.55% +18.83%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018
49.30%
106 out of 215
-10.52%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
+1.68% +19.04%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2021
38.42%
78 out of 203
-12.44%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
+0.11% +17.04%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2021
49.26%
100 out of 203
-8.86%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2011
+2.60% +17.07%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2022
33.51%
64 out of 191
-10.73%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2011
+0.95% +14.78%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2020
43.46%
83 out of 191
-6.37%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2012
+3.18% +17.74%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2024
27.93%
50 out of 179
-8.22%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2012
+1.47% +14.99%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021
39.66%
71 out of 179
-5.46%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2011
+3.22% +18.08%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2024
25.15%
42 out of 167
-7.44%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2011
+1.50% +15.46%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2024
34.73%
58 out of 167
-3.56%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2012
+3.33% +17.54%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2025
21.94%
34 out of 155
-5.49%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2012
+1.56% +14.94%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2025
29.68%
46 out of 155
-1.19%
May 1999 - Apr 2014
+3.63% +15.96%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024
13.99%
20 out of 143
-3.16%
May 1999 - Apr 2014
+1.86% +13.41%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024
27.97%
40 out of 143
-0.04%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2016
+3.75% +17.28%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025
0.76%
1 out of 131
-1.86%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2016
+1.80% +14.67%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025
25.95%
34 out of 131
+0.32%
May 1999 - Apr 2016
+4.00% +11.70%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2025
0.00%
0 out of 119
-1.60%
May 1999 - Apr 2016
+1.90% +9.33%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2025
11.76%
14 out of 119
+1.06%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2020
+4.12% +8.03%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2025
0.00%
0 out of 107
-0.74%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2020
+2.01% +5.71%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2025
2.80%
3 out of 107
+1.27%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2020
+4.20% +7.13%
Feb 2006 - Jan 2025
0.00%
0 out of 95
-0.53%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2020
+2.07% +4.90%
Feb 2006 - Jan 2025
5.26%
5 out of 95
+1.49%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2020
+4.06% +7.16%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2025
0.00%
0 out of 83
-0.30%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2020
+2.06% +4.94%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2025
2.41%
2 out of 83
+4.26%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2023
+5.18% +6.73%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2025
0.00%
0 out of 23
+1.99%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2023
+2.89% +4.41%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2025
0.00%
0 out of 23
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