iShares S&P US Financials Index ETF (XUSF.TO): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1999 - August 2025 (~27 years)
Initial Amount: 1$
Currency: CAD
Inflation: Canada
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When holding the iShares S&P US Financials Index ETF (XUSF.TO) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~27 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 192 months (from October 2000 to September 2016).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 193 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES S&P US FINANCIALS INDEX ETF (XUSF.TO) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 September 2005 - 31 August 2025 (20 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1999 - 31 August 2025 (~27 years)
All Data
(1999/01 - 2025/08)
Canada Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES S&P US FINANCIALS INDEX ETF (XUSF.TO) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1999 - 31 August 2025 (~27 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Canada Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-60.40%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+6.43% +63.36%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010
36.25%
112 out of 309
-60.96%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+4.60% +60.81%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010
41.75%
129 out of 309
-50.41%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
+7.94% +35.61%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2014
29.29%
87 out of 297
-51.20%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
+5.33% +33.70%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2014
36.03%
107 out of 297
-34.15%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009
+6.79% +33.19%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2015
28.77%
82 out of 285
-35.29%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009
+4.35% +31.13%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2015
33.68%
96 out of 285
-26.23%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009
+8.15% +28.16%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2015
32.23%
88 out of 273
-27.57%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009
+5.69% +26.57%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2015
35.53%
97 out of 273
-22.61%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009
+7.26% +25.98%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2016
30.27%
79 out of 261
-24.07%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009
+4.31% +24.33%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2016
39.08%
102 out of 261
-15.58%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2009
+7.91% +24.51%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2017
32.13%
80 out of 249
-17.00%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2009
+4.69% +22.81%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2017
42.17%
105 out of 249
-16.57%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
+8.17% +21.91%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2018
36.71%
87 out of 237
-18.31%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
+6.20% +20.13%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2018
40.93%
97 out of 237
-14.81%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
+4.37% +21.57%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017
40.00%
90 out of 225
-16.51%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
+2.17% +19.60%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017
44.00%
99 out of 225
-9.93%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2009
+2.31% +20.86%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018
46.48%
99 out of 213
-11.76%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2009
+0.67% +18.83%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018
49.77%
106 out of 213
-10.52%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
+1.61% +19.04%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2021
38.81%
78 out of 201
-12.44%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
+0.03% +17.04%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2021
49.75%
100 out of 201
-8.86%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2011
+2.60% +17.07%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2022
33.86%
64 out of 189
-10.73%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2011
+0.91% +14.78%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2020
43.92%
83 out of 189
-6.37%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2012
+3.08% +17.74%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2024
28.25%
50 out of 177
-8.22%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2012
+1.36% +14.99%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021
40.11%
71 out of 177
-5.46%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2011
+3.21% +18.08%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2024
25.45%
42 out of 165
-7.44%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2011
+1.49% +15.46%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2024
35.15%
58 out of 165
-3.56%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2012
+3.30% +17.01%
Sep 2011 - Aug 2025
22.22%
34 out of 153
-5.49%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2012
+1.53% +14.40%
Sep 2011 - Aug 2025
30.07%
46 out of 153
-1.19%
May 1999 - Apr 2014
+3.62% +15.96%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024
14.18%
20 out of 141
-3.16%
May 1999 - Apr 2014
+1.85% +13.41%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024
28.37%
40 out of 141
-0.04%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2016
+3.71% +17.28%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025
0.78%
1 out of 129
-1.86%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2016
+1.80% +14.67%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025
26.36%
34 out of 129
+0.32%
May 1999 - Apr 2016
+3.88% +10.94%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2025
0.00%
0 out of 117
-1.60%
May 1999 - Apr 2016
+1.88% +8.65%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2025
11.97%
14 out of 117
+1.06%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2020
+4.09% +7.44%
Sep 2007 - Aug 2025
0.00%
0 out of 105
-0.74%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2020
+2.00% +5.14%
Sep 2007 - Aug 2025
2.86%
3 out of 105
+1.27%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2020
+4.18% +7.13%
Feb 2006 - Jan 2025
0.00%
0 out of 93
-0.53%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2020
+2.05% +4.90%
Feb 2006 - Jan 2025
5.38%
5 out of 93
+1.49%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2020
+4.05% +7.01%
Sep 2005 - Aug 2025
0.00%
0 out of 81
-0.30%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2020
+2.04% +4.75%
Sep 2005 - Aug 2025
2.47%
2 out of 81
+4.26%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2023
+5.21% +6.73%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2025
0.00%
0 out of 21
+1.99%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2023
+2.95% +4.41%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2025
0.00%
0 out of 21
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