When holding the iShares S&P US Financials Index ETF (XUSF.TO) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~27 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 192 months (from October 2000 to September 2016).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 193 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares S&P US Financials Index ETF (XUSF.TO) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
Loading data
Please wait
Loading data
Please wait
Loading data
Please wait
Loading data
Please wait
Loading data
Please wait
Loading data
Please wait
Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
Loading data
Please wait
Loading data
Please wait
| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-60.40%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
+6.70% |
+63.36%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010 |
36.01%
112 out of 311 |
|
-60.96%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
+4.65% |
+60.81%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010 |
41.48%
129 out of 311 |
|
-50.41%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
+8.12% |
+35.61%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2014 |
29.10%
87 out of 299 |
|
-51.20%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
+5.75% |
+33.70%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2014 |
35.79%
107 out of 299 |
|
-34.15%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
+7.04% |
+33.19%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2015 |
28.57%
82 out of 287 |
|
-35.29%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
+4.39% |
+31.13%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2015 |
33.45%
96 out of 287 |
|
-26.23%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009 |
+8.15% |
+28.16%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2015 |
32.00%
88 out of 275 |
|
-27.57%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009 |
+5.72% |
+26.57%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2015 |
35.27%
97 out of 275 |
|
-22.61%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
+7.32% |
+25.98%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2016 |
30.04%
79 out of 263 |
|
-24.07%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
+4.39% |
+24.33%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2016 |
38.78%
102 out of 263 |
|
-15.58%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2009 |
+8.06% |
+24.51%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2017 |
31.87%
80 out of 251 |
|
-17.00%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2009 |
+5.03% |
+22.81%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2017 |
41.83%
105 out of 251 |
|
-16.57%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009 |
+9.18% |
+21.91%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2018 |
36.40%
87 out of 239 |
|
-18.31%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009 |
+6.33% |
+20.13%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2018 |
40.59%
97 out of 239 |
|
-14.81%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009 |
+5.01% |
+21.57%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017 |
39.65%
90 out of 227 |
|
-16.51%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009 |
+3.48% |
+19.60%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017 |
43.61%
99 out of 227 |
|
-9.93%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2009 |
+4.15% |
+20.86%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018 |
46.05%
99 out of 215 |
|
-11.76%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2009 |
+2.55% |
+18.83%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018 |
49.30%
106 out of 215 |
|
-10.52%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009 |
+1.68% |
+19.04%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2021 |
38.42%
78 out of 203 |
|
-12.44%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009 |
+0.11% |
+17.04%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2021 |
49.26%
100 out of 203 |
|
-8.86%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2011 |
+2.60% |
+17.07%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2022 |
33.51%
64 out of 191 |
|
-10.73%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2011 |
+0.95% |
+14.78%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2020 |
43.46%
83 out of 191 |
|
-6.37%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2012 |
+3.18% |
+17.74%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2024 |
27.93%
50 out of 179 |
|
-8.22%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2012 |
+1.47% |
+14.99%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021 |
39.66%
71 out of 179 |
|
-5.46%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2011 |
+3.22% |
+18.08%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2024 |
25.15%
42 out of 167 |
|
-7.44%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2011 |
+1.50% |
+15.46%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2024 |
34.73%
58 out of 167 |
|
-3.56%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2012 |
+3.33% |
+17.54%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2025 |
21.94%
34 out of 155 |
|
-5.49%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2012 |
+1.56% |
+14.94%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2025 |
29.68%
46 out of 155 |
|
-1.19%
May 1999 - Apr 2014 |
+3.63% |
+15.96%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024 |
13.99%
20 out of 143 |
|
-3.16%
May 1999 - Apr 2014 |
+1.86% |
+13.41%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024 |
27.97%
40 out of 143 |
|
-0.04%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2016 |
+3.75% |
+17.28%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025 |
0.76%
1 out of 131 |
|
-1.86%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2016 |
+1.80% |
+14.67%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025 |
25.95%
34 out of 131 |
|
+0.32%
May 1999 - Apr 2016 |
+4.00% |
+11.70%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 119 |
|
-1.60%
May 1999 - Apr 2016 |
+1.90% |
+9.33%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2025 |
11.76%
14 out of 119 |
|
+1.06%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2020 |
+4.12% |
+8.03%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 107 |
|
-0.74%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2020 |
+2.01% |
+5.71%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2025 |
2.80%
3 out of 107 |
|
+1.27%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2020 |
+4.20% |
+7.13%
Feb 2006 - Jan 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 95 |
|
-0.53%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2020 |
+2.07% |
+4.90%
Feb 2006 - Jan 2025 |
5.26%
5 out of 95 |
|
+1.49%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2020 |
+4.06% |
+7.16%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 83 |
|
-0.30%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2020 |
+2.06% |
+4.94%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2025 |
2.41%
2 out of 83 |
|
+4.26%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2023 |
+5.18% |
+6.73%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 23 |
|
+1.99%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2023 |
+2.89% |
+4.41%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 23 |
iShares S&P US Financials Index ETF (XUSF.TO) ETF: Historical Returns

