iShares S&P 500 EUR Hedged (IBCF.DE): Historical Returns

Data Source: from January 1950 to May 2024 (~74 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 May 2024
Category: Stocks
iShares S&P 500 EUR Hedged (IBCF.DE) ETF
Currency: EUR

In the last 30 Years, the iShares S&P 500 EUR Hedged (IBCF.DE) ETF obtained a 9.31% compound annual return, with a 14.86% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -49.90% that required 52 months to be recovered.

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The ETF is related to the following investment themes:

  • Asset Class: Equity
  • Size: Large Cap
  • Style: Blend
  • Region: North America
  • Country: U.S.

Investment Returns as of May 31, 2024

The iShares S&P 500 EUR Hedged (IBCF.DE) ETF guaranteed the following returns.

Returns are calculated in EUR, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • the actual Euro Inflation rates.
ISHARES S&P 500 EUR HEDGED (IBCF.DE) ETF
Consolidated returns as of 31 May 2024
Swipe left to see all data
  Chg (%) Return (%) Return (%) as of May 31, 2024
  1 Day Time ET(*) Jun 2024 1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~74Y)
iShares S&P 500 EUR Hedged (IBCF.DE) ETF n.a. n.a. 2.41 14.17 23.46 12.26 9.77 9.31 10.76
Euro Inflation Adjusted return 2.41 12.18 20.62 8.28 7.29 7.11 7.90
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Jan 1950
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
Euro Inflation is updated to Apr 2024. Pending updates, the monthly inflation is set at 0% for the subsequent periods. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 2.35% , 5Y: 3.67% , 10Y: 2.31% , 30Y: 2.06%

Capital Growth as of May 31, 2024

An investment of 1€, since June 1994, now would be worth 14.45€, with a total return of 1345.32% (9.31% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 7.85€, with a net total return of 684.53% (7.11% annualized).
An investment of 1€, since January 1950, now would be worth 2011.01€, with a total return of 201001.15% (10.76% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 286.28€, with a net total return of 28528.37% (7.90% annualized).

Investment Metrics as of May 31, 2024

Metrics of iShares S&P 500 EUR Hedged (IBCF.DE) ETF, updated as of 31 May 2024, provide a comprehensive overview of the portfolio's performance and risk characteristics.

These metrics include detailed data on returns, volatility, drawdowns and other key performance indicators. By examining them, you can gain insights into how the portfolio has performed over various time periods and understand its risk profile.

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • the actual Euro Inflation rates.
ISHARES S&P 500 EUR HEDGED (IBCF.DE) ETF
Advanced Metrics
Data Source: 1 January 1950 - 31 May 2024 (~74 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Metrics as of May 31, 2024
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
(~74Y)
Investment Return (%) 2.41 2.41 14.17 23.46 6.20 12.26 9.77 8.65 9.31 10.76
Infl. Adjusted Return (%)
2.41 1.05 12.18 20.62 0.68 8.28 7.29 6.42 7.11 7.90
Euro Inflation (%) 0.00 1.34 1.78 2.35 5.48 3.67 2.31 2.09 2.06 2.65
Pending updates, the monthly inflation of May 2024 and beyond is set at 0%. Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
DRAWDOWN
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -9.33 -24.47 -24.47 -24.47 -49.90 -49.90 -49.90
Start to Recovery (# months)
5 26 26 26 52 52 52
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2007 11 2007 11 2007 11
Start to Bottom (# months) 3 9 9 9 16 16 16
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Bottom to End (# months) 2 17 17 17 36 36 36
End (yyyy mm) 2023 12 2024 02 2024 02 2024 02 2012 02 2012 02 2012 02
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same

same

same

same

same
-44.45 -44.45
Start to Recovery (# months)
75 75
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2007 11 2000 09 2000 09
Start to Bottom (# months) 3 9 9 9 16 25 25
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2002 09 2002 09
Bottom to End (# months) 2 17 17 17 36 50 50
End (yyyy mm) 2023 12 2024 02 2024 02 2024 02 2012 02 2006 11 2006 11
Longest negative period (# months)
5 29 30 30 72 147 147
Period Start (yyyy mm) 2023 06 2021 06 2021 05 2021 05 2004 07 1999 07 1999 07
Period End (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2010 06 2011 09 2011 09
Annualized Return (%) -1.42 -1.49 -1.32 -1.32 -0.15 -0.05 -0.05
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -10.19 -30.10 -30.10 -30.10 -50.93 -53.70 -53.70
Start to Recovery (# months)
5 29* 29* 29* 63 156 156
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2007 11 2000 04 2000 04
Start to Bottom (# months) 3 9 9 9 16 107 107
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Bottom to End (# months) 2 20 20 20 47 49 49
End (yyyy mm) 2023 12 - - - 2013 01 2013 03 2013 03
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same

same

same

same

same

same

same
Start to Recovery (# months)
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2007 11 2000 04 2000 04
Start to Bottom (# months) 3 9 9 9 16 107 107
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Bottom to End (# months) 2 20 20 20 47 49 49
End (yyyy mm) 2023 12 - - - 2013 01 2013 03 2013 03
Longest negative period (# months)
5 35 38 38 88 164 227
Period Start (yyyy mm) 2023 06 2021 06 2020 09 2020 09 2004 06 1999 05 1963 09
Period End (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2024 04 2023 10 2023 10 2011 09 2012 12 1982 07
Annualized Return (%) -4.04 -0.12 -0.91 -0.91 -0.15 -0.02 -0.09
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Standard Deviation (%) 14.05 15.97 16.62 14.43 14.51 14.86 14.53
Sharpe Ratio 1.29 0.21 0.62 0.59 0.50 0.47 0.47
Sortino Ratio 1.73 0.28 0.81 0.77 0.65 0.62 0.63
Ulcer Index 3.30 12.10 10.02 7.60 12.02 14.52 11.81
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.67 0.39 0.74 0.68 0.60 0.63 0.74
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 2.51 0.25 0.50 0.40 0.17 0.19 0.22
Positive Months (%)
66.66 58.33 63.33 65.00 65.41 64.16 62.03
Positive Months 8 21 38 78 157 231 554
Negative Months 4 15 22 42 83 129 339
LONG TERM RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 9.77 15.67 15.67 22.43
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 6.19 -3.95 -3.95
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 7.29 14.24 14.24 20.19
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 4.67 -5.93 -5.93
TIMEFRAMES
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
··· Over the latest 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 54.12 31.21 26.95 15.67 9.46 9.31
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -42.42 -16.26 -7.25 -3.95 4.08
Positive Periods (%) 78.7 81.5 80.7 89.6 100.0 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 52.82 29.00 24.83 14.24 7.46 7.11
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -43.09 -18.19 -9.19 -5.93 2.39
Positive Periods (%) 76.2 78.1 72.7 87.5 100.0 100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
6.22 9.71 12.26 21.63 36.41 13.23 14.62 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 8.00 12.79 16.62 30.24 44.44 20.00 27.84 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
9.14 14.77 19.42 37.19 51.16 26.87 41.68 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 11.00 17.99 23.98 39.82 55.60 36.20 47.30 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 72.57 23.13 14.22 7.28 4.50 8.83
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- --- 1.69 7.71
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
··· All available data (Jan 1950 - May 2024)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 56.20 35.69 30.76 22.43 16.43 12.60
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -42.42 -16.26 -7.25 -3.95 4.08 7.75
Positive Periods (%) 78.1 88.9 90.6 96.6 100.0 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 54.10 33.20 29.03 20.19 13.48 8.94
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -45.63 -18.19 -10.09 -5.93 0.63 4.17
Positive Periods (%) 73.8 81.5 79.2 84.3 100.0 100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
5.95 9.12 11.23 16.61 19.80 8.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 7.70 12.13 15.50 24.88 33.33 14.63 6.73 0.00 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
8.81 14.07 18.23 31.26 43.70 17.28 21.12 0.00 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 10.63 17.22 22.69 37.58 49.28 26.90 33.52 0.00 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 72.57 23.13 14.22 7.28 4.36 3.77
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- --- 0.68 3.03
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Terms and Definitions
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio.
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Value at Risk (VaR): it's an evaluation of a cumulative worst-case loss (in absolute value), associated with a probability (95%-99%) and a time horizon. For short term, it's calculated based on the expected return and standard deviation, assuming a normal distribution of monthly returns. For long term is retrieved by the historical rolling return data.
  • Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR): it represents the average expected loss if that worst-case threshold (95%-99%) is ever crossed.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money in any case (money amount withdrawal).
    For instance: Your initial invested capital is 100.000$; withdrawal rate (annualized) is 4%. This means that, in the first month, you will withdraw 100.000 * 4% * 1/12 = 333.33$. The second month, you’ll withdraw 333.33$ plus the inflation monthly rate. You’ll continue adjusting your withdraw monthly for inflation.
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, preserving the original invested capital, adjusted for inflation too.

Correlations as of May 31, 2024

Correlation measures to what degree the returns of two assets move in relation to each other. It is a statistical measure that describes the extent to which the returns of one asset are related to the returns of another asset.

Correlation values range between -1 and +1
  • A correlation of +1 indicates that the returns of the two assets move in perfect synchrony; when one asset's returns go up, the other asset's returns also go up by the same percentage, and vice versa. This perfect positive correlation implies that the assets perform similarly in different market conditions.
  • A correlation of -1 indicates a perfect inverse relationship between the returns of the two assets. When one asset's returns go up, the other asset's returns go down by the same percentage. This perfect negative correlation suggests that the assets move in opposite directions, providing a diversification benefit by reducing overall portfolio risk.
  • A correlation of 0 means that there is no linear relationship between the returns of the two assets. The returns of one asset do not predict the returns of the other.

The following table shows the monthly correlations of iShares S&P 500 EUR Hedged (IBCF.DE) ETF vs the main Asset Classes, over different timeframes. Columns are sortable (click on table header to sort).

ISHARES S&P 500 EUR HEDGED (IBCF.DE) ETF
Monthly correlations as of 31 May 2024
Swipe left to see all data
Correlation vs IBCF.DE
Asset Class 1 Year 5 Years 10 Years 30 Years Since
Jan 1992
VTI
US Total Stock Market
0.98
0.97
0.97
0.98
0.98
SPY
US Large Cap
0.98
0.97
0.97
0.99
0.99
IJR
US Small Cap
0.88
0.85
0.83
0.81
0.81
VNQ
US REITs
0.91
0.85
0.72
0.60
0.60
QQQ
US Technology
0.95
0.91
0.91
0.83
0.82
PFF
Preferred Stocks
0.87
0.78
0.69
0.46
0.45
EFA
EAFE Stocks
0.94
0.85
0.83
0.82
0.78
VT
World All Countries
0.97
0.94
0.93
0.94
0.93
EEM
Emerging Markets
0.79
0.65
0.63
0.72
0.69
VGK
Europe
0.91
0.84
0.80
0.82
0.81
VPL
Pacific
0.94
0.82
0.80
0.70
0.65
FLLA
Latin America
0.83
0.67
0.52
0.63
0.62
BND
US Total Bond Market
0.79
0.52
0.33
0.14
0.15
TLT
Long Term Treasuries
0.84
0.24
0.06
-0.11
-0.10
BIL
US Cash
0.22
-0.03
-0.02
-0.01
-0.01
TIP
TIPS
0.75
0.63
0.45
0.19
0.20
LQD
Invest. Grade Bonds
0.83
0.64
0.50
0.30
0.31
HYG
High Yield Bonds
0.91
0.79
0.75
0.66
0.65
CWB
US Convertible Bonds
0.92
0.85
0.85
0.83
0.83
BNDX
International Bonds
0.73
0.54
0.37
0.14
0.15
EMB
Emerg. Market Bonds
0.91
0.73
0.60
0.55
0.55
GLD
Gold
0.07
0.22
0.06
0.04
0.03
DBC
Commodities
-0.05
0.42
0.38
0.31
0.31

If you want to learn more about historical correlations, you can find out here how the main asset class are correlated to each other.

Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

ISHARES S&P 500 EUR HEDGED (IBCF.DE) ETF
Drawdown periods
Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 June 1994 - 31 May 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1950 - 31 May 2024 (~74 years)
Inflation Adjusted:
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Rolling Returns

( more details)

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES S&P 500 EUR HEDGED (IBCF.DE) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 June 1994 - 31 May 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1950 - 31 May 2024 (~74 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the iShares S&P 500 EUR Hedged (IBCF.DE) ETF: Rolling Returns page.

Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in iShares S&P 500 EUR Hedged (IBCF.DE) ETF?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
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Monthly Returns

This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the iShares S&P 500 EUR Hedged (IBCF.DE) ETF over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.

ISHARES S&P 500 EUR HEDGED (IBCF.DE) ETF
Monthly Returns Distribution
Data Source: 1 June 1994 - 31 May 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1950 - 31 May 2024 (~74 years)
231 Positive Months (64%) - 129 Negative Months (36%)
554 Positive Months (62%) - 339 Negative Months (38%)
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(Scroll down to see all data)
Investment Returns, up to April 2014, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets.
You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.

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