When holding the iShares Self-Driving EV and Tech ETF (IDRV) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~7 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 66 months (from January 2021 to June 2026). This negative serie is not closed yet.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES SELF-DRIVING EV AND TECH ETF (IDRV) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 July 2021 - 30 June 2026 (5 Years)
Time Period: 1 May 2019 - 30 June 2026 (~7 years)
All Data
(2019/05 - 2026/06)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES SELF-DRIVING EV AND TECH ETF (IDRV) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 May 2019 - 30 June 2026 (~7 years)
Over Time
Histogram
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-36.57%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022
+7.84% +122.65%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2021
42.67%
32 out of 75
-40.40%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022
+4.37% +116.97%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2021
48.00%
36 out of 75
-21.50%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
-2.52% +51.01%
Jun 2019 - May 2021
53.97%
34 out of 63
-25.58%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
-6.78% +47.26%
Jun 2019 - May 2021
58.73%
37 out of 63
-17.08%
Dec 2021 - Nov 2024
+1.08% +26.50%
Jun 2019 - May 2022
49.02%
25 out of 51
-20.50%
Dec 2021 - Nov 2024
-1.74% +21.05%
Jun 2019 - May 2022
54.90%
28 out of 51
-9.61%
Jul 2021 - Jun 2025
+0.31% +19.45%
Aug 2019 - Jul 2023
48.72%
19 out of 39
-13.63%
May 2021 - Apr 2025
-4.37% +14.34%
Aug 2019 - Jul 2023
61.54%
24 out of 39
-3.31%
Jul 2021 - Jun 2026
+3.76% +9.10%
Jun 2019 - May 2024
18.52%
5 out of 27
-7.30%
Jul 2021 - Jun 2026
-0.49% +4.73%
Jun 2019 - May 2024
55.56%
15 out of 27
+4.15%
May 2019 - Apr 2025
+8.38% +12.65%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2026
0.00%
0 out of 15
+0.28%
May 2019 - Apr 2025
+4.28% +8.11%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2026
0.00%
0 out of 15
+8.86%
Jul 2019 - Jun 2026
+10.05% +12.95%
Jun 2019 - May 2026
0.00%
0 out of 3
+4.75%
Jul 2019 - Jun 2026
+5.97% +8.69%
Jun 2019 - May 2026
0.00%
0 out of 3
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