When holding the iShares MSCI UAE ETF (UAE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~10 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 110 months (from May 2015 to June 2024).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 111 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares MSCI UAE ETF (UAE) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-34.14%
Apr 2019 - Mar 2020 |
-0.18% |
+51.99%
Jun 2020 - May 2021 |
50.89%
57 out of 112 |
-35.13%
Apr 2019 - Mar 2020 |
-2.84% |
+47.26%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2021 |
58.04%
65 out of 112 |
-22.02%
Apr 2018 - Mar 2020 |
+0.15% |
+50.15%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2022 |
49.00%
49 out of 100 |
-23.33%
Apr 2018 - Mar 2020 |
-2.00% |
+42.27%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2022 |
61.00%
61 out of 100 |
-14.42%
Apr 2017 - Mar 2020 |
+1.65% |
+19.86%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2023 |
38.64%
34 out of 88 |
-16.03%
Apr 2017 - Mar 2020 |
-0.81% |
+13.79%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2023 |
57.95%
51 out of 88 |
-9.79%
Apr 2016 - Mar 2020 |
+3.82% |
+16.77%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2024 |
38.16%
29 out of 76 |
-11.60%
Apr 2016 - Mar 2020 |
-0.16% |
+11.35%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2024 |
51.32%
39 out of 76 |
-9.94%
May 2015 - Apr 2020 |
+2.63% |
+17.29%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2025 |
23.44%
15 out of 64 |
-11.39%
May 2015 - Apr 2020 |
-0.87% |
+12.38%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2025 |
64.06%
41 out of 64 |
-3.93%
Jan 2015 - Dec 2020 |
+2.09% |
+7.28%
Jan 2019 - Dec 2024 |
17.31%
9 out of 52 |
-5.58%
Jan 2015 - Dec 2020 |
-1.33% |
+4.22%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2022 |
65.38%
34 out of 52 |
+0.65%
Jul 2015 - Jun 2022 |
+2.44% |
+5.12%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 40 |
-2.41%
Jul 2015 - Jun 2022 |
-0.90% |
+2.20%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2022 |
75.00%
30 out of 40 |
-0.04%
May 2015 - Apr 2023 |
+2.19% |
+4.52%
Mar 2017 - Feb 2025 |
7.14%
2 out of 28 |
-3.11%
May 2015 - Apr 2023 |
-1.17% |
+1.10%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2024 |
75.00%
21 out of 28 |
-0.51%
May 2015 - Apr 2024 |
+1.70% |
+6.14%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2025 |
18.75%
3 out of 16 |
-3.58%
May 2015 - Apr 2024 |
-1.38% |
+2.72%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2025 |
68.75%
11 out of 16 |
+2.43%
Jan 2015 - Dec 2024 |
+2.93% |
+3.40%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 4 |
-0.55%
Jan 2015 - Dec 2024 |
-0.18% |
+0.31%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2025 |
50.00%
2 out of 4 |
iShares MSCI UAE ETF (UAE) ETF: Historical Returns