When holding the iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF (EWL) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~40 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 132 months (from March 1998 to February 2009).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 133 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF (EWL) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Oct 31, 2024, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 6.57%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-43.67%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
+10.63% |
+115.30%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1986 |
28.91%
135 out of 467 |
-43.67%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
+7.77% |
+110.38%
May 1985 - Apr 1986 |
34.26%
160 out of 467 |
-23.66%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
+9.18% |
+68.18%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1987 |
23.08%
105 out of 455 |
-25.20%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
+6.66% |
+64.00%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1987 |
34.29%
156 out of 455 |
-12.32%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
+8.13% |
+39.03%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1988 |
16.48%
73 out of 443 |
-14.42%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
+5.58% |
+34.97%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1988 |
27.99%
124 out of 443 |
-9.99%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2003 |
+8.52% |
+27.08%
Apr 1992 - Mar 1996 |
11.14%
48 out of 431 |
-12.40%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2003 |
+5.63% |
+23.58%
Apr 1992 - Mar 1996 |
22.74%
98 out of 431 |
-8.27%
Apr 1998 - Mar 2003 |
+8.11% |
+26.96%
Mar 1993 - Feb 1998 |
7.64%
32 out of 419 |
-10.57%
Apr 1998 - Mar 2003 |
+5.21% |
+23.85%
Mar 1993 - Feb 1998 |
18.14%
76 out of 419 |
-2.32%
Aug 1998 - Jul 2004 |
+8.07% |
+24.40%
Apr 1992 - Mar 1998 |
1.97%
8 out of 407 |
-4.69%
Aug 1998 - Jul 2004 |
+5.43% |
+21.28%
Apr 1992 - Mar 1998 |
11.79%
48 out of 407 |
-1.14%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2003 |
+7.82% |
+21.61%
Aug 1991 - Jul 1998 |
0.25%
1 out of 395 |
-3.48%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2003 |
+5.26% |
+18.51%
Aug 1991 - Jul 1998 |
4.81%
19 out of 395 |
-0.53%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009 |
+8.20% |
+18.17%
Apr 1990 - Mar 1998 |
0.26%
1 out of 383 |
-2.86%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009 |
+5.47% |
+14.81%
Apr 1990 - Mar 1998 |
1.31%
5 out of 383 |
+0.64%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009 |
+8.46% |
+19.66%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1994 |
0.00%
0 out of 371 |
-1.83%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009 |
+6.02% |
+15.45%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1994 |
1.89%
7 out of 371 |
-0.36%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009 |
+8.42% |
+17.82%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1995 |
0.28%
1 out of 359 |
-2.87%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009 |
+5.99% |
+13.76%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1995 |
2.23%
8 out of 359 |
-0.02%
Mar 1998 - Feb 2009 |
+8.71% |
+19.11%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1996 |
0.29%
1 out of 347 |
-2.46%
Mar 1998 - Feb 2009 |
+6.13% |
+15.09%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1996 |
2.02%
7 out of 347 |
+2.04%
Jun 1998 - May 2010 |
+8.80% |
+17.39%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1997 |
0.00%
0 out of 335 |
-0.40%
Jun 1998 - May 2010 |
+6.18% |
+13.47%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1997 |
0.30%
1 out of 335 |
+2.98%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2009 |
+8.54% |
+19.45%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 323 |
+0.53%
Mar 1996 - Feb 2009 |
+6.02% |
+15.64%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 323 |
+2.95%
Jun 1998 - May 2012 |
+8.02% |
+18.24%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 311 |
+0.47%
Jun 1998 - May 2012 |
+5.45% |
+14.59%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 311 |
+4.49%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2022 |
+7.77% |
+16.34%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 299 |
+2.07%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2022 |
+5.29% |
+12.75%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 299 |
+4.93%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023 |
+7.94% |
+15.83%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 287 |
+2.26%
Apr 1987 - Mar 2003 |
+5.47% |
+12.24%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 287 |
+4.88%
Feb 1999 - Jan 2016 |
+7.97% |
+13.24%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 275 |
+2.64%
May 2007 - Apr 2024 |
+5.50% |
+9.86%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 275 |
+4.61%
Aug 1998 - Jul 2016 |
+7.94% |
+12.06%
Jun 1989 - May 2007 |
0.00%
0 out of 263 |
+2.39%
Aug 1998 - Jul 2016 |
+5.41% |
+8.90%
Jun 1989 - May 2007 |
0.00%
0 out of 263 |
+5.12%
Apr 1998 - Mar 2017 |
+8.42% |
+13.07%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2004 |
0.00%
0 out of 251 |
+2.88%
Apr 1998 - Mar 2017 |
+5.63% |
+9.77%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2004 |
0.00%
0 out of 251 |
+4.86%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2018 |
+8.74% |
+13.26%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2005 |
0.00%
0 out of 239 |
+2.63%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2018 |
+6.03% |
+9.95%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2005 |
0.00%
0 out of 239 |
+5.68%
Jun 1998 - May 2023 |
+8.41% |
+11.72%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2010 |
0.00%
0 out of 179 |
+3.08%
Jun 1998 - May 2023 |
+5.84% |
+8.57%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2010 |
0.00%
0 out of 179 |
+7.49%
Dec 1986 - Nov 2016 |
+8.62% |
+11.62%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 119 |
+4.71%
Dec 1986 - Nov 2016 |
+6.03% |
+8.70%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 119 |
iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF (EWL) ETF: Historical Returns