When holding the iShares MSCI Singapore ETF (EWS) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~30 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 179 months (from November 2007 to September 2022).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 180 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES MSCI SINGAPORE ETF (EWS) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 July 2006 - 30 June 2026 (20 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1997 - 30 June 2026 (~30 years)
All Data
(1997/01 - 2026/06)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES MSCI SINGAPORE ETF (EWS) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1997 - 30 June 2026 (~30 years)
Over Time
Histogram
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-62.92%
Sep 1997 - Aug 1998
+6.48% +155.37%
Sep 1998 - Aug 1999
39.07%
134 out of 343
-63.51%
Sep 1997 - Aug 1998
+3.73% +149.71%
Sep 1998 - Aug 1999
43.15%
148 out of 343
-29.38%
Feb 1997 - Jan 1999
+4.77% +59.17%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000
35.05%
116 out of 331
-30.53%
Feb 1997 - Jan 1999
+2.22% +54.83%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000
42.90%
142 out of 331
-20.67%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2002
+4.43% +36.20%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2007
32.60%
104 out of 319
-22.61%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2002
+1.86% +32.33%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012
43.89%
140 out of 319
-16.09%
Oct 1997 - Sep 2001
+4.19% +37.04%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2007
29.97%
92 out of 307
-18.15%
Oct 1997 - Sep 2001
+1.55% +33.32%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2007
40.39%
124 out of 307
-14.05%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2001
+4.01% +31.21%
Nov 2002 - Oct 2007
23.73%
70 out of 295
-15.91%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2001
+1.90% +27.50%
Nov 2002 - Oct 2007
34.58%
102 out of 295
-15.04%
Feb 1997 - Jan 2003
+4.61% +27.44%
Nov 2001 - Oct 2007
12.72%
36 out of 283
-16.94%
Feb 1997 - Jan 2003
+2.49% +24.01%
Nov 2001 - Oct 2007
31.80%
90 out of 283
-7.42%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2003
+4.60% +20.66%
May 2003 - Apr 2010
7.38%
20 out of 271
-9.42%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2003
+2.51% +17.75%
May 2003 - Apr 2010
26.20%
71 out of 271
-4.17%
Feb 1997 - Jan 2005
+5.47% +21.12%
May 2003 - Apr 2011
10.42%
27 out of 259
-6.35%
Feb 1997 - Jan 2005
+2.88% +18.10%
May 2003 - Apr 2011
27.03%
70 out of 259
-2.09%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2005
+5.82% +20.27%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2007
8.50%
21 out of 247
-4.44%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2005
+3.30% +17.11%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2007
25.51%
63 out of 247
-0.55%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023
+5.65% +17.54%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2013
2.13%
5 out of 235
-3.24%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023
+3.49% +14.82%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2013
20.85%
49 out of 235
-0.02%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2022
+5.64% +15.57%
May 2003 - Apr 2014
0.45%
1 out of 223
-2.54%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2024
+3.38% +12.94%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2014
18.83%
42 out of 223
-3.03%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2009
+6.72% +15.24%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2010
2.37%
5 out of 211
-5.32%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2009
+4.56% +12.51%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2010
19.43%
41 out of 211
-0.31%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2020
+7.01% +14.92%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2011
0.50%
1 out of 199
-1.98%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
+4.74% +12.09%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2011
14.57%
29 out of 199
+1.36%
Jun 2008 - May 2022
+6.90% +14.19%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2012
0.00%
0 out of 187
-0.81%
Jun 2008 - May 2022
+4.60% +11.44%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2012
6.42%
12 out of 187
+0.03%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022
+6.25% +13.08%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2013
0.00%
0 out of 175
-2.30%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022
+4.10% +10.43%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2013
8.57%
15 out of 175
+0.42%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+6.41% +13.29%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2014
0.00%
0 out of 163
-1.97%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+4.26% +10.68%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2014
8.59%
14 out of 163
+1.86%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2024
+6.70% +10.86%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2015
0.00%
0 out of 151
-0.57%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2024
+4.33% +8.44%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2015
5.96%
9 out of 151
+3.33%
Feb 1997 - Jan 2015
+6.06% +10.42%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2016
0.00%
0 out of 139
+1.13%
Feb 1997 - Jan 2015
+3.78% +8.07%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2016
0.00%
0 out of 139
+1.70%
Feb 1997 - Jan 2016
+6.31% +11.00%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2017
0.00%
0 out of 127
-0.42%
Feb 1997 - Jan 2016
+3.83% +8.66%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2017
0.79%
1 out of 127
+2.29%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2016
+6.65% +10.45%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2018
0.00%
0 out of 115
+0.15%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2016
+4.10% +8.09%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2018
0.00%
0 out of 115
+2.61%
Jul 1997 - Jun 2022
+5.42% +8.14%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2023
0.00%
0 out of 55
+0.13%
Jul 1997 - Jun 2022
+2.81% +5.45%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2023
0.00%
0 out of 55
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