When holding the iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF (KSA) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~11 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 56 months (from November 2021 to June 2026). This negative serie is not closed yet.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES MSCI SAUDI ARABIA ETF (KSA) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 July 2016 - 30 June 2026 (10 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 2016 - 30 June 2026 (~11 years)
All Data
(2016/01 - 2026/06)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES MSCI SAUDI ARABIA ETF (KSA) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 2016 - 30 June 2026 (~11 years)
Over Time
Histogram
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-26.61%
Apr 2019 - Mar 2020
+6.49% +54.59%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2021
32.17%
37 out of 115
-27.71%
Apr 2019 - Mar 2020
+3.78% +49.24%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2021
41.74%
48 out of 115
-7.54%
Apr 2018 - Mar 2020
+6.47% +43.38%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2022
19.42%
20 out of 103
-9.62%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
+3.87% +35.85%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2022
37.86%
39 out of 103
-4.84%
May 2022 - Apr 2025
+9.47% +19.54%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2023
7.69%
7 out of 91
-8.09%
May 2022 - Apr 2025
+6.09% +15.71%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2019
27.47%
25 out of 91
-3.76%
May 2022 - Apr 2026
+9.32% +18.87%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2024
7.59%
6 out of 79
-7.09%
May 2022 - Apr 2026
+5.67% +13.71%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2021
18.99%
15 out of 79
+1.47%
Jul 2021 - Jun 2026
+9.39% +17.69%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2021
0.00%
0 out of 67
-2.71%
Jul 2021 - Jun 2026
+5.07% +14.73%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2021
4.48%
3 out of 67
+4.67%
May 2019 - Apr 2025
+9.13% +16.72%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2022
0.00%
0 out of 55
+0.77%
May 2019 - Apr 2025
+5.23% +13.24%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2022
0.00%
0 out of 55
+3.92%
May 2019 - Apr 2026
+9.01% +11.86%
Sep 2016 - Aug 2023
0.00%
0 out of 43
+0.07%
May 2019 - Apr 2026
+5.41% +8.12%
Aug 2016 - Jul 2023
0.00%
0 out of 43
+4.69%
Jul 2018 - Jun 2026
+8.65% +12.24%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2024
0.00%
0 out of 31
+1.01%
Jul 2018 - Jun 2026
+5.03% +8.51%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2024
0.00%
0 out of 31
+6.12%
Jul 2017 - Jun 2026
+8.32% +10.67%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2025
0.00%
0 out of 19
+2.49%
Jul 2017 - Jun 2026
+4.87% +7.10%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2025
0.00%
0 out of 19
+6.72%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2025
+7.80% +9.23%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2026
0.00%
0 out of 7
+3.40%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2025
+4.27% +5.81%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2026
0.00%
0 out of 7
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