iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1997 - November 2025 (~29 years)
Initial Amount: 1$
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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When holding the iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~29 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 271 months (from March 2000 to September 2022).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 272 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES MSCI ITALY ETF (EWI) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 December 2005 - 30 November 2025 (20 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1997 - 30 November 2025 (~29 years)
All Data
(1997/01 - 2025/11)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES MSCI ITALY ETF (EWI) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1997 - 30 November 2025 (~29 years)
Over Time
Histogram
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-57.86%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+8.08% +86.90%
Jun 1997 - May 1998
39.29%
132 out of 336
-57.87%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+5.25% +83.80%
Jun 1997 - May 1998
41.67%
140 out of 336
-36.92%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
+6.78% +42.25%
Jan 1997 - Dec 1998
35.80%
116 out of 324
-38.19%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
+3.22% +39.94%
Jan 1997 - Dec 1998
42.90%
139 out of 324
-22.98%
Jun 2007 - May 2010
+3.44% +39.11%
Oct 2022 - Sep 2025
41.03%
128 out of 312
-24.24%
Jun 2007 - May 2010
+0.86% +34.97%
Oct 2022 - Sep 2025
46.47%
145 out of 312
-21.90%
Jun 2008 - May 2012
+2.54% +28.38%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2007
34.67%
104 out of 300
-23.08%
Jun 2008 - May 2012
+0.53% +24.89%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2007
46.33%
139 out of 300
-19.26%
Jun 2007 - May 2012
+2.78% +24.95%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2007
34.72%
100 out of 288
-20.88%
Jun 2007 - May 2012
+0.78% +21.44%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2007
46.53%
134 out of 288
-13.08%
Jul 2007 - Jun 2013
+4.35% +17.69%
Nov 2001 - Oct 2007
31.16%
86 out of 276
-14.91%
Jun 2006 - May 2012
+1.57% +14.59%
Oct 2001 - Sep 2007
37.32%
103 out of 276
-8.99%
Jan 2008 - Dec 2014
+3.09% +14.89%
Dec 2018 - Nov 2025
26.89%
71 out of 264
-10.92%
Jun 2005 - May 2012
+1.18% +10.85%
Dec 2018 - Nov 2025
39.77%
105 out of 264
-8.68%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2016
+3.13% +14.17%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2005
34.52%
87 out of 252
-9.93%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2016
+0.96% +11.54%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2005
44.44%
112 out of 252
-9.13%
Dec 2007 - Nov 2016
+1.94% +14.21%
May 1997 - Apr 2006
33.75%
81 out of 240
-10.51%
Dec 2007 - Nov 2016
-0.28% +11.36%
May 1997 - Apr 2006
52.50%
126 out of 240
-7.54%
Dec 2006 - Nov 2016
+1.54% +15.25%
May 1997 - Apr 2007
28.95%
66 out of 228
-9.19%
Dec 2006 - Nov 2016
-0.72% +12.37%
May 1997 - Apr 2007
59.21%
135 out of 228
-6.01%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2018
+1.31% +13.40%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2007
34.72%
75 out of 216
-7.62%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2018
-1.03% +10.50%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2007
61.57%
133 out of 216
-5.64%
May 2008 - Apr 2020
+1.39% +9.47%
Jul 2013 - Jun 2025
39.71%
81 out of 204
-7.05%
May 2008 - Apr 2020
-1.13% +6.54%
Jul 2013 - Jun 2025
60.78%
124 out of 204
-5.92%
May 2007 - Apr 2020
+0.72% +10.21%
Jun 2012 - May 2025
40.10%
77 out of 192
-7.48%
May 2007 - Apr 2020
-1.59% +7.38%
Jun 2012 - May 2025
64.06%
123 out of 192
-3.99%
May 2006 - Apr 2020
+1.13% +9.09%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2025
33.33%
60 out of 180
-5.64%
May 2006 - Apr 2020
-0.99% +6.33%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2025
72.78%
131 out of 180
-4.36%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2022
+0.90% +7.07%
Dec 2010 - Nov 2025
32.74%
55 out of 168
-6.57%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2022
-1.28% +4.32%
Dec 2010 - Nov 2025
70.83%
119 out of 168
-3.16%
Oct 2006 - Sep 2022
+1.19% +6.70%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025
33.33%
52 out of 156
-5.43%
Oct 2006 - Sep 2022
-0.98% +4.02%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025
66.03%
103 out of 156
-2.02%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2022
+1.21% +6.47%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2025
28.47%
41 out of 144
-4.30%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2022
-0.88% +3.87%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2025
77.78%
112 out of 144
-0.65%
Oct 2004 - Sep 2022
+1.14% +4.79%
Jun 1997 - May 2015
9.85%
13 out of 132
-3.08%
Oct 2004 - Sep 2022
-1.01% +2.52%
Jun 1997 - May 2015
73.48%
97 out of 132
-0.32%
May 2001 - Apr 2020
+1.62% +4.23%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2021
1.67%
2 out of 120
-2.26%
May 2001 - Apr 2020
-0.70% +1.98%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2021
75.83%
91 out of 120
-0.48%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
+2.42% +4.02%
Jun 1997 - May 2017
2.78%
3 out of 108
-2.51%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
-0.07% +1.85%
Jun 1997 - May 2017
52.78%
57 out of 108
+1.70%
Jun 1998 - May 2023
+2.88% +4.58%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2021
0.00%
0 out of 48
-0.81%
Jun 1998 - May 2023
+0.35% +2.23%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2021
22.92%
11 out of 48
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