When holding the iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~29 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 147 months (from January 1997 to March 2009).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 148 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-59.95%
Sep 1997 - Aug 1998 |
+7.29% |
+119.19%
Sep 1998 - Aug 1999 |
41.09%
136 out of 331 |
-60.59%
Sep 1997 - Aug 1998 |
+4.76% |
+114.34%
Sep 1998 - Aug 1999 |
43.50%
144 out of 331 |
-22.70%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2002 |
+4.97% |
+60.23%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000 |
33.86%
108 out of 319 |
-24.39%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2002 |
+2.57% |
+55.85%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000 |
39.18%
125 out of 319 |
-18.95%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
+5.25% |
+32.09%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2007 |
28.34%
87 out of 307 |
-20.89%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
+3.13% |
+28.10%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2007 |
37.46%
115 out of 307 |
-12.67%
Oct 1997 - Sep 2001 |
+6.03% |
+27.31%
Nov 2003 - Oct 2007 |
30.51%
90 out of 295 |
-14.82%
Oct 1997 - Sep 2001 |
+4.00% |
+23.47%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2007 |
33.90%
100 out of 295 |
-12.05%
Oct 1997 - Sep 2002 |
+5.61% |
+28.73%
Nov 2002 - Oct 2007 |
20.85%
59 out of 283 |
-14.04%
Oct 1997 - Sep 2002 |
+3.66% |
+25.09%
Nov 2002 - Oct 2007 |
30.39%
86 out of 283 |
-9.60%
Jul 1997 - Jun 2003 |
+6.44% |
+22.46%
Nov 2001 - Oct 2007 |
13.65%
37 out of 271 |
-11.59%
Jul 1997 - Jun 2003 |
+4.40% |
+19.17%
Nov 2001 - Oct 2007 |
20.30%
55 out of 271 |
-4.61%
Aug 1997 - Jul 2004 |
+6.96% |
+16.37%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2010 |
11.97%
31 out of 259 |
-7.00%
Feb 2018 - Jan 2025 |
+4.79% |
+13.63%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2010 |
16.60%
43 out of 259 |
-0.86%
Jul 1997 - Jun 2005 |
+7.27% |
+16.86%
May 2003 - Apr 2011 |
3.64%
9 out of 247 |
-4.02%
Aug 2016 - Jul 2024 |
+5.12% |
+13.96%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2011 |
20.65%
51 out of 247 |
-1.30%
May 2015 - Apr 2024 |
+7.05% |
+16.87%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2007 |
5.11%
12 out of 235 |
-4.34%
May 2015 - Apr 2024 |
+4.86% |
+13.80%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2007 |
18.30%
43 out of 235 |
-0.59%
Aug 2014 - Jul 2024 |
+6.85% |
+14.52%
May 2003 - Apr 2013 |
0.90%
2 out of 223 |
-3.32%
Aug 2014 - Jul 2024 |
+4.87% |
+11.86%
May 2003 - Apr 2013 |
11.66%
26 out of 223 |
+0.78%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2024 |
+7.06% |
+13.36%
May 2003 - Apr 2014 |
0.00%
0 out of 211 |
-1.84%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2024 |
+4.85% |
+10.76%
May 2003 - Apr 2014 |
13.74%
29 out of 211 |
-0.64%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2009 |
+6.95% |
+14.01%
May 2003 - Apr 2015 |
1.51%
3 out of 199 |
-2.99%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2009 |
+4.78% |
+11.62%
May 2003 - Apr 2015 |
10.55%
21 out of 199 |
+1.52%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2024 |
+7.03% |
+12.17%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2011 |
0.00%
0 out of 187 |
-1.08%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2024 |
+4.66% |
+9.41%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2016 |
7.49%
14 out of 187 |
+2.08%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2025 |
+6.92% |
+12.03%
May 2003 - Apr 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 175 |
-0.56%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2025 |
+4.74% |
+9.75%
May 2003 - Apr 2017 |
2.86%
5 out of 175 |
+0.45%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022 |
+6.93% |
+12.38%
May 2003 - Apr 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 163 |
-1.88%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022 |
+4.69% |
+10.11%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2018 |
1.84%
3 out of 163 |
+0.87%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023 |
+6.97% |
+11.99%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 151 |
-1.53%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023 |
+4.62% |
+9.75%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2019 |
5.96%
9 out of 151 |
+1.47%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2024 |
+7.08% |
+10.53%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 139 |
-0.95%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2024 |
+4.64% |
+8.12%
Jan 2003 - Dec 2019 |
4.32%
6 out of 139 |
+3.20%
Feb 2007 - Jan 2025 |
+6.86% |
+11.09%
May 2003 - Apr 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 127 |
+0.65%
Feb 2007 - Jan 2025 |
+4.61% |
+8.79%
May 2003 - Apr 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 127 |
+3.85%
Feb 1997 - Jan 2016 |
+6.62% |
+11.15%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 115 |
+1.36%
Aug 2005 - Jul 2024 |
+4.29% |
+8.80%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 115 |
+4.21%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2016 |
+6.87% |
+10.68%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 103 |
+2.03%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2016 |
+4.54% |
+8.32%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 103 |
+3.58%
Oct 1997 - Sep 2022 |
+4.83% |
+7.81%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 43 |
+0.99%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2024 |
+2.36% |
+5.14%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 43 |
iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH) ETF: Historical Returns