When holding the iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~28 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 147 months (from January 1997 to March 2009).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 148 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-59.95%
Sep 1997 - Aug 1998 |
+7.29% |
+119.19%
Sep 1998 - Aug 1999 |
41.21%
136 out of 330 |
-60.59%
Sep 1997 - Aug 1998 |
+4.68% |
+114.34%
Sep 1998 - Aug 1999 |
43.64%
144 out of 330 |
-22.70%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2002 |
+4.93% |
+60.23%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000 |
33.96%
108 out of 318 |
-24.39%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2002 |
+2.54% |
+55.85%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000 |
39.31%
125 out of 318 |
-18.95%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
+5.25% |
+32.09%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2007 |
28.43%
87 out of 306 |
-20.89%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
+3.13% |
+28.10%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2007 |
37.25%
114 out of 306 |
-12.67%
Oct 1997 - Sep 2001 |
+6.03% |
+27.31%
Nov 2003 - Oct 2007 |
30.27%
89 out of 294 |
-14.82%
Oct 1997 - Sep 2001 |
+4.00% |
+23.47%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2007 |
33.67%
99 out of 294 |
-12.05%
Oct 1997 - Sep 2002 |
+5.61% |
+28.73%
Nov 2002 - Oct 2007 |
20.92%
59 out of 282 |
-14.04%
Oct 1997 - Sep 2002 |
+3.66% |
+25.09%
Nov 2002 - Oct 2007 |
30.14%
85 out of 282 |
-9.60%
Jul 1997 - Jun 2003 |
+6.44% |
+22.46%
Nov 2001 - Oct 2007 |
13.33%
36 out of 270 |
-11.59%
Jul 1997 - Jun 2003 |
+4.40% |
+19.17%
Nov 2001 - Oct 2007 |
20.00%
54 out of 270 |
-4.61%
Aug 1997 - Jul 2004 |
+6.96% |
+16.37%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2010 |
12.02%
31 out of 258 |
-7.00%
Feb 2018 - Jan 2025 |
+4.79% |
+13.63%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2010 |
16.28%
42 out of 258 |
-0.86%
Jul 1997 - Jun 2005 |
+7.27% |
+16.86%
May 2003 - Apr 2011 |
3.66%
9 out of 246 |
-4.02%
Aug 2016 - Jul 2024 |
+5.12% |
+13.96%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2011 |
20.33%
50 out of 246 |
-1.30%
May 2015 - Apr 2024 |
+7.05% |
+16.87%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2007 |
5.13%
12 out of 234 |
-4.34%
May 2015 - Apr 2024 |
+4.86% |
+13.80%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2007 |
18.38%
43 out of 234 |
-0.59%
Aug 2014 - Jul 2024 |
+6.85% |
+14.52%
May 2003 - Apr 2013 |
0.90%
2 out of 222 |
-3.32%
Aug 2014 - Jul 2024 |
+4.87% |
+11.86%
May 2003 - Apr 2013 |
11.26%
25 out of 222 |
+0.78%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2024 |
+7.06% |
+13.36%
May 2003 - Apr 2014 |
0.00%
0 out of 210 |
-1.84%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2024 |
+4.85% |
+10.76%
May 2003 - Apr 2014 |
13.33%
28 out of 210 |
-0.64%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2009 |
+6.95% |
+14.01%
May 2003 - Apr 2015 |
1.52%
3 out of 198 |
-2.99%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2009 |
+4.78% |
+11.62%
May 2003 - Apr 2015 |
10.61%
21 out of 198 |
+1.52%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2024 |
+7.03% |
+12.17%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2011 |
0.00%
0 out of 186 |
-1.08%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2024 |
+4.66% |
+9.41%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2016 |
7.53%
14 out of 186 |
+2.08%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2025 |
+6.92% |
+12.03%
May 2003 - Apr 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 174 |
-0.56%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2025 |
+4.74% |
+9.75%
May 2003 - Apr 2017 |
2.87%
5 out of 174 |
+0.45%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022 |
+6.93% |
+12.38%
May 2003 - Apr 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 162 |
-1.88%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022 |
+4.69% |
+10.11%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2018 |
1.85%
3 out of 162 |
+0.87%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023 |
+6.97% |
+11.99%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 150 |
-1.53%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023 |
+4.62% |
+9.75%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2019 |
6.00%
9 out of 150 |
+1.47%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2024 |
+7.08% |
+10.53%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 138 |
-0.95%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2024 |
+4.64% |
+8.12%
Jan 2003 - Dec 2019 |
4.35%
6 out of 138 |
+3.20%
Feb 2007 - Jan 2025 |
+6.86% |
+11.09%
May 2003 - Apr 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 126 |
+0.65%
Feb 2007 - Jan 2025 |
+4.61% |
+8.79%
May 2003 - Apr 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 126 |
+3.85%
Feb 1997 - Jan 2016 |
+6.62% |
+11.15%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 114 |
+1.36%
Aug 2005 - Jul 2024 |
+4.29% |
+8.80%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 114 |
+4.21%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2016 |
+6.87% |
+10.68%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 102 |
+2.03%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2016 |
+4.54% |
+8.32%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 102 |
+3.58%
Oct 1997 - Sep 2022 |
+4.76% |
+7.81%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 42 |
+0.99%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2024 |
+2.34% |
+5.14%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 42 |
iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH) ETF: Historical Returns