When holding the iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~29 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 147 months (from January 1997 to March 2009).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 148 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-59.95%
Sep 1997 - Aug 1998 |
+7.31% |
+119.19%
Sep 1998 - Aug 1999 |
40.84%
136 out of 333 |
-60.59%
Sep 1997 - Aug 1998 |
+4.96% |
+114.34%
Sep 1998 - Aug 1999 |
43.24%
144 out of 333 |
-22.70%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2002 |
+5.03% |
+60.23%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000 |
33.64%
108 out of 321 |
-24.39%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2002 |
+2.83% |
+55.85%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000 |
38.94%
125 out of 321 |
-18.95%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
+5.19% |
+32.09%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2007 |
28.16%
87 out of 309 |
-20.89%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
+3.10% |
+28.10%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2007 |
37.22%
115 out of 309 |
-12.67%
Oct 1997 - Sep 2001 |
+5.87% |
+27.31%
Nov 2003 - Oct 2007 |
30.98%
92 out of 297 |
-14.82%
Oct 1997 - Sep 2001 |
+3.98% |
+23.47%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2007 |
34.34%
102 out of 297 |
-12.05%
Oct 1997 - Sep 2002 |
+5.45% |
+28.73%
Nov 2002 - Oct 2007 |
20.70%
59 out of 285 |
-14.04%
Oct 1997 - Sep 2002 |
+3.65% |
+25.09%
Nov 2002 - Oct 2007 |
30.88%
88 out of 285 |
-9.60%
Jul 1997 - Jun 2003 |
+6.42% |
+22.46%
Nov 2001 - Oct 2007 |
13.55%
37 out of 273 |
-11.59%
Jul 1997 - Jun 2003 |
+4.40% |
+19.17%
Nov 2001 - Oct 2007 |
20.88%
57 out of 273 |
-4.61%
Aug 1997 - Jul 2004 |
+6.95% |
+16.37%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2010 |
11.88%
31 out of 261 |
-7.00%
Feb 2018 - Jan 2025 |
+4.75% |
+13.63%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2010 |
17.24%
45 out of 261 |
-0.86%
Jul 1997 - Jun 2005 |
+7.18% |
+16.86%
May 2003 - Apr 2011 |
3.61%
9 out of 249 |
-4.02%
Aug 2016 - Jul 2024 |
+5.12% |
+13.96%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2011 |
21.29%
53 out of 249 |
-1.30%
May 2015 - Apr 2024 |
+7.04% |
+16.87%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2007 |
5.06%
12 out of 237 |
-4.34%
May 2015 - Apr 2024 |
+4.85% |
+13.80%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2007 |
18.57%
44 out of 237 |
-0.59%
Aug 2014 - Jul 2024 |
+6.76% |
+14.52%
May 2003 - Apr 2013 |
0.89%
2 out of 225 |
-3.32%
Aug 2014 - Jul 2024 |
+4.86% |
+11.86%
May 2003 - Apr 2013 |
12.00%
27 out of 225 |
+0.78%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2024 |
+7.06% |
+13.36%
May 2003 - Apr 2014 |
0.00%
0 out of 213 |
-1.84%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2024 |
+4.82% |
+10.76%
May 2003 - Apr 2014 |
14.08%
30 out of 213 |
-0.64%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2009 |
+6.95% |
+14.01%
May 2003 - Apr 2015 |
1.49%
3 out of 201 |
-2.99%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2009 |
+4.77% |
+11.62%
May 2003 - Apr 2015 |
10.45%
21 out of 201 |
+1.52%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2024 |
+7.02% |
+12.17%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2011 |
0.00%
0 out of 189 |
-1.08%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2024 |
+4.60% |
+9.41%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2016 |
7.41%
14 out of 189 |
+2.08%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2025 |
+6.85% |
+12.03%
May 2003 - Apr 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 177 |
-0.56%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2025 |
+4.57% |
+9.75%
May 2003 - Apr 2017 |
2.82%
5 out of 177 |
+0.45%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022 |
+6.93% |
+12.38%
May 2003 - Apr 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 165 |
-1.88%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022 |
+4.60% |
+10.11%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2018 |
1.82%
3 out of 165 |
+0.87%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023 |
+6.97% |
+11.99%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 153 |
-1.53%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023 |
+4.61% |
+9.75%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2019 |
5.88%
9 out of 153 |
+1.47%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2024 |
+6.98% |
+10.53%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 141 |
-0.95%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2024 |
+4.61% |
+8.12%
Jan 2003 - Dec 2019 |
4.26%
6 out of 141 |
+3.20%
Feb 2007 - Jan 2025 |
+6.81% |
+11.09%
May 2003 - Apr 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 129 |
+0.65%
Feb 2007 - Jan 2025 |
+4.60% |
+8.79%
May 2003 - Apr 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 129 |
+3.85%
Feb 1997 - Jan 2016 |
+6.61% |
+11.15%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 117 |
+1.36%
Aug 2005 - Jul 2024 |
+4.28% |
+8.80%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 117 |
+4.21%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2016 |
+6.87% |
+10.68%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 105 |
+2.03%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2016 |
+4.40% |
+8.32%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 105 |
+3.58%
Oct 1997 - Sep 2022 |
+4.83% |
+7.81%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 45 |
+0.99%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2024 |
+2.34% |
+5.14%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 45 |
iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH) ETF: Historical Returns