iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1997 - September 2025 (~29 years)
Initial Amount: 1$
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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When holding the iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~29 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 185 months (from May 2007 to September 2022).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 186 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES MSCI GERMANY ETF (EWG) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 October 2005 - 30 September 2025 (20 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1997 - 30 September 2025 (~29 years)
All Data
(1997/01 - 2025/09)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES MSCI GERMANY ETF (EWG) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1997 - 30 September 2025 (~29 years)
Over Time
Histogram
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-54.62%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+10.58% +81.35%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2004
36.23%
121 out of 334
-54.62%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+7.11% +78.25%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2004
38.62%
129 out of 334
-30.72%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2002
+5.75% +45.92%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2005
35.09%
113 out of 322
-32.11%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2002
+2.98% +42.40%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2005
42.24%
136 out of 322
-28.22%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
+4.05% +39.76%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2006
33.55%
104 out of 310
-29.94%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
+1.75% +35.98%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2006
43.87%
136 out of 310
-15.51%
Feb 1999 - Jan 2003
+4.14% +36.58%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2007
25.50%
76 out of 298
-17.66%
Feb 1999 - Jan 2003
+1.64% +32.87%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2007
40.60%
121 out of 298
-12.78%
Apr 1998 - Mar 2003
+4.50% +32.00%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2007
29.02%
83 out of 286
-14.96%
Apr 1998 - Mar 2003
+1.84% +28.29%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2007
39.86%
114 out of 286
-6.30%
Apr 1997 - Mar 2003
+3.94% +19.76%
Oct 2001 - Sep 2007
16.42%
45 out of 274
-8.47%
Apr 1997 - Mar 2003
+1.95% +16.66%
Oct 2001 - Sep 2007
37.96%
104 out of 274
-1.44%
Jul 1998 - Jun 2005
+4.57% +16.31%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2010
4.96%
13 out of 262
-3.86%
Jul 1998 - Jun 2005
+2.04% +13.57%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2010
20.99%
55 out of 262
-2.42%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
+5.45% +16.81%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2011
7.20%
18 out of 250
-4.71%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
+2.59% +14.02%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2011
18.80%
47 out of 250
-5.23%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009
+5.86% +13.75%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2012
7.14%
17 out of 238
-7.56%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009
+3.46% +11.03%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2012
21.43%
51 out of 238
-1.56%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
+4.88% +13.20%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2013
2.21%
5 out of 226
-4.05%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
+2.86% +10.58%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2013
14.60%
33 out of 226
-0.67%
Mar 1998 - Feb 2009
+4.69% +14.66%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2014
2.34%
5 out of 214
-3.10%
Mar 1998 - Feb 2009
+2.42% +12.09%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2014
15.89%
34 out of 214
-0.74%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2020
+5.10% +13.08%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2015
1.49%
3 out of 202
-2.57%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2011
+2.58% +10.76%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2015
16.83%
34 out of 202
-0.03%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2020
+4.90% +10.89%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2016
0.53%
1 out of 190
-1.70%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2020
+2.50% +8.71%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2016
10.00%
19 out of 190
+0.63%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2022
+4.94% +11.15%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2017
0.00%
0 out of 178
-1.53%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2022
+2.42% +8.93%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2017
8.43%
15 out of 178
-1.15%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2022
+5.05% +11.33%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2018
1.81%
3 out of 166
-3.44%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2022
+2.77% +9.08%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2018
9.04%
15 out of 166
+0.31%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+5.45% +9.96%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2018
0.00%
0 out of 154
-2.08%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+3.08% +7.69%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2018
12.99%
20 out of 154
+1.88%
Jan 2008 - Dec 2024
+4.99% +8.91%
Jan 2003 - Dec 2019
0.00%
0 out of 142
-0.53%
Jan 2008 - Dec 2024
+2.59% +6.67%
Jan 2003 - Dec 2019
4.23%
6 out of 142
+2.60%
Jul 1998 - Jun 2016
+4.62% +10.07%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2021
0.00%
0 out of 130
+0.41%
Jul 1998 - Jun 2016
+2.27% +7.86%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2021
0.00%
0 out of 130
+2.22%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018
+5.03% +9.28%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2021
0.00%
0 out of 118
+0.07%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018
+2.66% +6.92%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2021
0.00%
0 out of 118
+1.34%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
+5.59% +8.44%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2023
0.00%
0 out of 106
-0.73%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
+3.13% +5.79%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2023
0.94%
1 out of 106
+2.94%
Oct 1997 - Sep 2022
+4.02% +5.81%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2021
0.00%
0 out of 46
+0.46%
Oct 1997 - Sep 2022
+1.42% +3.44%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2021
0.00%
0 out of 46
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