iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM): Rolling Returns

Data Source: from January 1976 to April 2024 (~48 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2024

Holding the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all the available data source (~48 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 195 months (from November 2007 to January 2024).

This means that every rolling period of 196 months or above has always granted a positive return.

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM) ETF: Historical Returns page.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Considering all 10-year rolling periods, is there a relationship between past and future returns, at a given date?

In the following chart, we show how past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis) are related.

Neighboring data is aggregated and occurrences are indicated. It is possible to zoom by clicking or drawing the desired area

ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS (EEM) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Updated to April 2024

The annualized return of the last 10 years has been 2.14% (updated at Apr 30, 2024).

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS (EEM) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 May 1994 - 30 April 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1976 - 30 April 2024 (~48 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +10.30% +111.70%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1991
-54.34%
Dec 2007 - Nov 2008
34.97%
199 out of 569
US Inflation Adjusted +5.12% +105.57%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1991
-54.96%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2008
40.95%
233 out of 569
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.75% +64.67%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1989
-29.06%
Aug 1980 - Jul 1982
37.34%
208 out of 557
US Inflation Adjusted +2.84% +57.54%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1989
-34.70%
Aug 1980 - Jul 1982
43.81%
244 out of 557
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.14% +60.25%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1991
-18.57%
Oct 1979 - Sep 1982
31.93%
174 out of 545
US Inflation Adjusted +1.79% +53.18%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1991
-25.91%
Aug 1979 - Jul 1982
41.10%
224 out of 545
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +4.73% +54.04%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1991
-15.90%
Sep 1994 - Aug 1998
25.33%
135 out of 533
US Inflation Adjusted +1.35% +47.31%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1991
-19.91%
Aug 1978 - Jul 1982
40.90%
218 out of 533
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.31% +49.02%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1993
-10.37%
Feb 1994 - Jan 1999
25.91%
135 out of 521
US Inflation Adjusted +2.64% +43.40%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1993
-14.70%
Aug 1977 - Jul 1982
39.73%
207 out of 521
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +4.79% +46.91%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1993
-7.23%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2003
26.13%
133 out of 509
US Inflation Adjusted +2.58% +41.26%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1993
-13.01%
Aug 1976 - Jul 1982
38.70%
197 out of 509
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +4.96% +36.13%
Nov 1987 - Oct 1994
-8.52%
Dec 1980 - Nov 1987
15.90%
79 out of 497
US Inflation Adjusted +2.71% +31.13%
Nov 1987 - Oct 1994
-12.34%
Dec 1980 - Nov 1987
34.81%
173 out of 497
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.89% +29.83%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1995
-6.39%
Jan 1980 - Dec 1987
14.23%
69 out of 485
US Inflation Adjusted +3.66% +25.27%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1995
-11.04%
Jan 1980 - Dec 1987
31.13%
151 out of 485
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.25% +28.19%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1996
-5.04%
Feb 1994 - Jan 2003
10.57%
50 out of 473
US Inflation Adjusted +3.61% +23.72%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1996
-9.35%
Jan 1979 - Dec 1987
30.02%
142 out of 473
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.81% +25.17%
Feb 1984 - Jan 1994
-2.16%
Jan 1978 - Dec 1987
3.04%
14 out of 461
US Inflation Adjusted +5.12% +20.75%
Feb 1984 - Jan 1994
-8.02%
Jan 1978 - Dec 1987
25.81%
119 out of 461
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.55% +23.86%
Feb 1983 - Jan 1994
-1.38%
Jan 1977 - Dec 1987
1.34%
6 out of 449
US Inflation Adjusted +5.94% +19.42%
Feb 1983 - Jan 1994
-7.31%
Jan 1977 - Dec 1987
20.04%
90 out of 449
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.64% +21.44%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1994
-0.72%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1987
1.83%
8 out of 437
US Inflation Adjusted +5.59% +17.67%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1999
-6.60%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1987
15.33%
67 out of 437
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +9.19% +18.98%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1995
+0.31%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 425
US Inflation Adjusted +6.30% +14.95%
Aug 1984 - Jul 1997
-4.13%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1988
9.88%
42 out of 425
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +9.79% +17.89%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1996
+0.84%
Jun 2008 - May 2022
0.00%
0 out of 413
US Inflation Adjusted +6.67% +13.95%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1996
-1.70%
Oct 1976 - Sep 1990
6.54%
27 out of 413
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +9.82% +18.23%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1997
-1.21%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022
0.50%
2 out of 401
US Inflation Adjusted +6.50% +14.37%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1997
-3.51%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022
4.74%
19 out of 401
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 16 Years (192 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +9.95% +15.87%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2003
-0.55%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
0.26%
1 out of 389
US Inflation Adjusted +6.20% +12.50%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2003
-2.92%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
4.37%
17 out of 389
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 17 Years (204 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +9.26% +16.89%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2007
+2.11%
Feb 2007 - Jan 2024
0.00%
0 out of 377
US Inflation Adjusted +5.99% +13.81%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2007
-0.38%
Feb 2007 - Jan 2024
1.59%
6 out of 377
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 18 Years (216 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +9.45% +17.25%
May 1988 - Apr 2006
+2.79%
Feb 2006 - Jan 2024
0.00%
0 out of 365
US Inflation Adjusted +6.01% +13.80%
May 1988 - Apr 2006
+0.30%
Feb 2006 - Jan 2024
0.00%
0 out of 365
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 19 Years (228 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +9.55% +18.56%
Nov 1988 - Oct 2007
+4.09%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2016
0.00%
0 out of 353
US Inflation Adjusted +5.98% +15.14%
Nov 1988 - Oct 2007
+1.43%
Sep 1979 - Aug 1998
0.00%
0 out of 353
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 20 Years (240 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.85% +18.64%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2007
+4.57%
Feb 1994 - Jan 2014
0.00%
0 out of 341
US Inflation Adjusted +5.55% +15.11%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2007
+1.51%
Sep 1978 - Aug 1998
0.00%
0 out of 341
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM) ETF: Historical Returns page.