When holding the iShares MSCI Chile ETF (ECH) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~19 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 211 months (from January 2008 to July 2025).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 212 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES MSCI CHILE ETF (ECH) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 July 2016 - 30 June 2026 (10 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 2008 - 30 June 2026 (~19 years)
All Data
(2008/01 - 2026/06)
US Inflation Adjusted:

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait

Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES MSCI CHILE ETF (ECH) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 2008 - 30 June 2026 (~19 years)
Over Time
Histogram
US Inflation Adjusted:

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait
Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-48.72%
Apr 2019 - Mar 2020
-0.75% +86.08%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2009
51.18%
108 out of 211
-49.49%
Apr 2019 - Mar 2020
-3.68% +80.98%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2009
54.50%
115 out of 211
-34.71%
Apr 2018 - Mar 2020
+1.73% +65.17%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2010
44.72%
89 out of 199
-35.80%
Apr 2018 - Mar 2020
-2.05% +61.74%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2010
55.78%
111 out of 199
-20.78%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2020
+1.69% +29.17%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2011
47.59%
89 out of 187
-22.18%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2020
-1.55% +27.29%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2011
54.01%
101 out of 187
-16.12%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2021
-1.03% +22.26%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2012
52.00%
91 out of 175
-18.71%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2021
-4.79% +19.55%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2012
61.71%
108 out of 175
-15.42%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2015
-2.74% +13.25%
Feb 2021 - Jan 2026
69.33%
113 out of 163
-16.69%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2015
-5.35% +10.39%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2013
76.69%
125 out of 163
-10.41%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2016
-3.37% +15.02%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2026
82.78%
125 out of 151
-12.27%
Feb 2018 - Jan 2024
-5.55% +10.39%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2026
88.74%
134 out of 151
-12.97%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2020
-2.77% +4.99%
Jun 2019 - May 2026
84.17%
117 out of 139
-14.27%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2020
-4.93% +2.13%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2015
95.68%
133 out of 139
-11.83%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2020
-1.83% +5.09%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2016
72.44%
92 out of 127
-13.15%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2020
-4.71% +3.68%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2016
92.13%
117 out of 127
-10.95%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020
-1.50% +8.01%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2017
66.96%
77 out of 115
-12.38%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020
-4.10% +6.12%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2017
86.09%
99 out of 115
-9.34%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2020
-2.27% +6.59%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2026
66.99%
69 out of 103
-10.89%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2020
-4.91% +3.73%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2018
77.67%
80 out of 103
-8.80%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2021
-3.42% +4.66%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2026
78.02%
71 out of 91
-10.78%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2021
-5.41% +1.56%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2026
91.21%
83 out of 91
-6.93%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2022
-3.64% +3.84%
Feb 2014 - Jan 2026
82.28%
65 out of 79
-9.27%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2022
-5.74% +1.04%
Feb 2014 - Jan 2026
97.47%
77 out of 79
-6.06%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
-2.55% +0.57%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2022
92.54%
62 out of 67
-8.48%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
-4.93% -1.53%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2021
100.00%
67 out of 67
-5.51%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2024
-2.26% +1.55%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2022
81.82%
45 out of 55
-7.94%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2024
-4.42% -0.93%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2022
100.00%
55 out of 55
-2.79%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2025
-1.39% +2.02%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2023
83.72%
36 out of 43
-5.32%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2025
-3.90% -0.52%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2023
100.00%
43 out of 43
-1.95%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2024
+0.46% +1.50%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2025
32.26%
10 out of 31
-4.25%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2024
-2.13% -0.99%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2024
100.00%
31 out of 31
-1.54%
Jan 2008 - Dec 2024
+1.32% +4.28%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2025
36.84%
7 out of 19
-3.86%
Jan 2008 - Dec 2024
-1.00% +1.66%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2025
63.16%
12 out of 19
+0.79%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2026
+1.34% +2.08%
Feb 2008 - Jan 2026
0.00%
0 out of 7
-1.62%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2026
-1.07% -0.33%
Feb 2008 - Jan 2026
100.00%
7 out of 7
LazyPortfolioETF.com Logo
Your practical guide to Building Wealth.
Master ETF Investing & maximize profits with Lazy Portfolios & Passive Strategies.