When holding the iShares MSCI Chile ETF (ECH) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~18 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 211 months (from January 2008 to July 2025).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 212 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares MSCI Chile ETF (ECH) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-48.72%
Apr 2019 - Mar 2020 |
-1.31% |
+86.08%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2009 |
52.43%
108 out of 206 |
|
-49.49%
Apr 2019 - Mar 2020 |
-4.20% |
+80.98%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2009 |
55.83%
115 out of 206 |
|
-34.71%
Apr 2018 - Mar 2020 |
+1.45% |
+65.17%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2010 |
45.88%
89 out of 194 |
|
-35.80%
Apr 2018 - Mar 2020 |
-2.22% |
+61.74%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2010 |
57.22%
111 out of 194 |
|
-20.78%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2020 |
+0.28% |
+29.17%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2011 |
48.90%
89 out of 182 |
|
-22.18%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2020 |
-2.01% |
+27.29%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2011 |
55.49%
101 out of 182 |
|
-16.12%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2021 |
-2.84% |
+22.26%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2012 |
53.53%
91 out of 170 |
|
-18.71%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2021 |
-5.26% |
+19.55%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2012 |
63.53%
108 out of 170 |
|
-15.42%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2015 |
-3.19% |
+13.25%
Feb 2021 - Jan 2026 |
71.52%
113 out of 158 |
|
-16.69%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2015 |
-5.61% |
+10.39%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2013 |
79.11%
125 out of 158 |
|
-10.41%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2016 |
-3.59% |
+10.92%
Feb 2020 - Jan 2026 |
85.62%
125 out of 146 |
|
-12.27%
Feb 2018 - Jan 2024 |
-5.77% |
+6.74%
Feb 2020 - Jan 2026 |
91.78%
134 out of 146 |
|
-12.97%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2020 |
-2.94% |
+3.47%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2015 |
87.31%
117 out of 134 |
|
-14.27%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2020 |
-5.14% |
+2.13%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2015 |
96.27%
129 out of 134 |
|
-11.83%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2020 |
-1.93% |
+5.09%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2016 |
74.59%
91 out of 122 |
|
-13.15%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2020 |
-4.77% |
+3.68%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2016 |
91.80%
112 out of 122 |
|
-10.95%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020 |
-1.75% |
+8.01%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2017 |
70.00%
77 out of 110 |
|
-12.38%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020 |
-4.41% |
+6.12%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2017 |
86.36%
95 out of 110 |
|
-9.34%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2020 |
-2.50% |
+6.59%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2026 |
70.41%
69 out of 98 |
|
-10.89%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2020 |
-5.14% |
+3.73%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2018 |
81.63%
80 out of 98 |
|
-8.80%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2021 |
-3.60% |
+4.66%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2026 |
82.56%
71 out of 86 |
|
-10.78%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2021 |
-5.51% |
+1.58%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2026 |
94.19%
81 out of 86 |
|
-6.93%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2022 |
-3.94% |
+3.84%
Feb 2014 - Jan 2026 |
87.84%
65 out of 74 |
|
-9.27%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2022 |
-6.06% |
+1.05%
Feb 2014 - Jan 2026 |
98.65%
73 out of 74 |
|
-6.06%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023 |
-2.64% |
+0.57%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2022 |
95.16%
59 out of 62 |
|
-8.48%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023 |
-5.05% |
-1.53%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2021 |
100.00%
62 out of 62 |
|
-5.51%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2024 |
-2.36% |
+1.55%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2022 |
82.00%
41 out of 50 |
|
-7.94%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2024 |
-4.62% |
-0.93%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2022 |
100.00%
50 out of 50 |
|
-2.79%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2025 |
-1.39% |
+2.02%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2023 |
81.58%
31 out of 38 |
|
-5.32%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2025 |
-3.85% |
-0.52%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2023 |
100.00%
38 out of 38 |
|
-1.95%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2024 |
+0.20% |
+1.50%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2025 |
38.46%
10 out of 26 |
|
-4.25%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2024 |
-2.25% |
-0.99%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2024 |
100.00%
26 out of 26 |
|
-1.54%
Jan 2008 - Dec 2024 |
-0.31% |
+4.28%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2025 |
50.00%
7 out of 14 |
|
-3.86%
Jan 2008 - Dec 2024 |
-2.55% |
+1.66%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2025 |
71.43%
10 out of 14 |
|
+1.34%
Jan 2008 - Dec 2025 |
+1.34% |
+2.08%
Feb 2008 - Jan 2026 |
0.00%
0 out of 2 |
|
-1.07%
Jan 2008 - Dec 2025 |
-1.07% |
-0.32%
Feb 2008 - Jan 2026 |
100.00%
2 out of 2 |
iShares MSCI Chile ETF (ECH) ETF: Historical Returns

