iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1997 - February 2026 (~29 years)
Initial Amount: 1$
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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When holding the iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~29 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 156 months (from November 2007 to October 2020).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 157 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES MSCI CANADA ETF (EWC) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 March 2006 - 28 February 2026 (20 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1997 - 28 February 2026 (~29 years)
All Data
(1997/01 - 2026/02)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES MSCI CANADA ETF (EWC) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1997 - 28 February 2026 (~29 years)
Over Time
Histogram
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-51.74%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+10.44% +74.06%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010
31.56%
107 out of 339
-51.75%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+7.23% +70.39%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010
34.22%
116 out of 339
-25.84%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2002
+6.66% +52.33%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000
28.13%
92 out of 327
-27.34%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2002
+4.31% +48.52%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011
33.94%
111 out of 327
-12.18%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009
+5.89% +37.31%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2005
20.95%
66 out of 315
-14.05%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009
+2.93% +33.03%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2005
31.43%
99 out of 315
-6.05%
Jun 2008 - May 2012
+5.69% +30.50%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2006
13.20%
40 out of 303
-7.47%
Jun 2008 - May 2012
+2.90% +26.80%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2006
26.40%
80 out of 303
-6.44%
Mar 2011 - Feb 2016
+6.78% +33.03%
Nov 2002 - Oct 2007
11.68%
34 out of 291
-7.69%
Mar 2011 - Feb 2016
+3.80% +29.26%
Nov 2002 - Oct 2007
21.99%
64 out of 291
-2.86%
Apr 2014 - Mar 2020
+7.02% +25.70%
Nov 2001 - Oct 2007
8.24%
23 out of 279
-4.30%
Apr 2014 - Mar 2020
+3.71% +22.32%
Nov 2001 - Oct 2007
17.92%
50 out of 279
-1.60%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2020
+7.07% +18.28%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2009
3.37%
9 out of 267
-3.07%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2020
+3.91% +15.33%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2009
10.86%
29 out of 267
-3.12%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2015
+7.19% +18.37%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2011
7.06%
18 out of 255
-4.66%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2015
+4.34% +15.55%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2011
13.33%
34 out of 255
-2.58%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020
+6.80% +18.74%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2007
6.58%
16 out of 243
-4.15%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020
+4.45% +15.56%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2007
15.23%
37 out of 243
-0.32%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020
+6.42% +16.39%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2008
0.87%
2 out of 231
-2.02%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020
+3.98% +13.05%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2008
9.52%
22 out of 231
-0.78%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2018
+5.70% +14.14%
May 1997 - Apr 2008
1.37%
3 out of 219
-2.47%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2018
+3.07% +11.16%
May 1997 - Apr 2008
6.39%
14 out of 219
-0.68%
Jun 2008 - May 2020
+6.30% +13.22%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2011
1.45%
3 out of 207
-2.21%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2020
+3.95% +10.44%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2011
8.70%
18 out of 207
-0.29%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2020
+6.83% +12.74%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2011
0.51%
1 out of 195
-1.96%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2020
+4.48% +9.96%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2011
3.59%
7 out of 195
+1.40%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2020
+6.92% +11.78%
Apr 1997 - Mar 2011
0.00%
0 out of 183
-0.45%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2020
+4.59% +9.15%
Apr 1997 - Mar 2011
0.55%
1 out of 183
+1.49%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022
+6.39% +10.66%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2013
0.00%
0 out of 171
-0.87%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022
+4.10% +8.05%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2013
2.34%
4 out of 171
+1.30%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+6.81% +11.36%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2014
0.00%
0 out of 159
-1.11%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+4.46% +8.79%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2014
1.26%
2 out of 159
+2.84%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2024
+6.85% +10.50%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2026
0.00%
0 out of 147
+0.39%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2024
+4.65% +7.73%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2026
0.00%
0 out of 147
+4.07%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2025
+6.57% +9.17%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2021
0.00%
0 out of 135
+1.57%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2025
+4.29% +6.98%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2021
0.00%
0 out of 135
+4.49%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2019
+6.57% +9.93%
Nov 2002 - Oct 2021
0.00%
0 out of 123
+2.34%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2019
+4.27% +7.52%
Nov 2002 - Oct 2021
0.00%
0 out of 123
+3.96%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
+7.04% +9.12%
Nov 2001 - Oct 2021
0.00%
0 out of 111
+1.84%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
+4.70% +6.73%
Nov 2001 - Oct 2021
0.00%
0 out of 111
+6.22%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2025
+7.27% +8.46%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2026
0.00%
0 out of 51
+3.60%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2025
+4.61% +5.80%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2026
0.00%
0 out of 51
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