When holding the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~25 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 219 months (from October 2007 to December 2025).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 220 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-56.84%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
+8.63% |
+129.55%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2009 |
42.41%
123 out of 290 |
|
-56.84%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
+5.14% |
+125.24%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2009 |
45.86%
133 out of 290 |
|
-33.01%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2003 |
+3.30% |
+87.02%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2005 |
43.17%
120 out of 278 |
|
-34.31%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2003 |
+0.15% |
+82.69%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2005 |
49.64%
138 out of 278 |
|
-27.34%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2016 |
+3.82% |
+82.36%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2005 |
39.10%
104 out of 266 |
|
-27.96%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2016 |
+1.51% |
+76.69%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2005 |
46.62%
124 out of 266 |
|
-23.92%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2016 |
+2.45% |
+65.77%
Jun 2004 - May 2008 |
40.55%
103 out of 254 |
|
-24.65%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2016 |
-0.34% |
+60.31%
Jun 2004 - May 2008 |
50.39%
128 out of 254 |
|
-20.93%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2015 |
+3.16% |
+69.29%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2007 |
38.02%
92 out of 242 |
|
-22.11%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2015 |
+0.21% |
+64.52%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2007 |
49.17%
119 out of 242 |
|
-16.74%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2015 |
+2.19% |
+53.37%
Aug 2002 - Jul 2008 |
38.26%
88 out of 230 |
|
-17.98%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2015 |
-0.89% |
+48.43%
Aug 2002 - Jul 2008 |
53.04%
122 out of 230 |
|
-11.78%
Jun 2008 - May 2015 |
+1.95% |
+45.47%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2009 |
41.28%
90 out of 218 |
|
-12.98%
Jun 2008 - May 2015 |
-0.93% |
+41.83%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2009 |
54.59%
119 out of 218 |
|
-13.16%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2016 |
+1.97% |
+41.70%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2010 |
37.86%
78 out of 206 |
|
-14.35%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2016 |
-1.09% |
+38.40%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2010 |
53.88%
111 out of 206 |
|
-9.99%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020 |
+1.44% |
+32.96%
Aug 2002 - Jul 2011 |
45.36%
88 out of 194 |
|
-11.44%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020 |
-0.76% |
+29.68%
Aug 2002 - Jul 2011 |
53.61%
104 out of 194 |
|
-8.23%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020 |
+0.71% |
+28.55%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2012 |
44.51%
81 out of 182 |
|
-9.79%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020 |
-1.45% |
+25.44%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2012 |
58.79%
107 out of 182 |
|
-5.85%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2021 |
+1.30% |
+24.60%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2013 |
42.94%
73 out of 170 |
|
-7.90%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2021 |
-0.87% |
+21.74%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2013 |
52.94%
90 out of 170 |
|
-7.41%
May 2008 - Apr 2020 |
+1.86% |
+21.68%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2014 |
38.61%
61 out of 158 |
|
-8.79%
May 2008 - Apr 2020 |
-0.30% |
+18.95%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2014 |
50.63%
80 out of 158 |
|
-5.67%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2020 |
+2.73% |
+15.89%
Sep 2001 - Aug 2014 |
39.04%
57 out of 146 |
|
-7.24%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2020 |
+0.76% |
+13.32%
Sep 2001 - Aug 2014 |
47.26%
69 out of 146 |
|
-4.61%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2022 |
+2.33% |
+16.60%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2016 |
34.33%
46 out of 134 |
|
-6.84%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2024 |
-0.15% |
+14.23%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2016 |
50.75%
68 out of 134 |
|
-4.14%
Jun 2008 - May 2023 |
+3.25% |
+17.22%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2017 |
31.15%
38 out of 122 |
|
-6.31%
Jun 2008 - May 2023 |
+1.24% |
+14.82%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2017 |
42.62%
52 out of 122 |
|
-3.37%
Jun 2008 - May 2024 |
+4.60% |
+14.73%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2018 |
19.09%
21 out of 110 |
|
-5.61%
Jun 2008 - May 2024 |
+2.47% |
+12.39%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2019 |
43.64%
48 out of 110 |
|
-3.22%
Jun 2008 - May 2025 |
+5.60% |
+15.49%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2019 |
16.33%
16 out of 98 |
|
-5.46%
Jun 2008 - May 2025 |
+3.17% |
+13.14%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2019 |
29.59%
29 out of 98 |
|
-1.32%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2025 |
+6.39% |
+12.09%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2020 |
6.98%
6 out of 86 |
|
-3.70%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2025 |
+4.02% |
+9.85%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2020 |
22.09%
19 out of 86 |
|
+1.26%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2025 |
+7.05% |
+12.43%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 74 |
|
-1.23%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2025 |
+4.52% |
+10.00%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2021 |
10.81%
8 out of 74 |
|
+3.65%
Feb 2006 - Jan 2026 |
+7.56% |
+11.99%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 62 |
|
+1.13%
Feb 2006 - Jan 2026 |
+4.94% |
+9.26%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 62 |
|
+6.63%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2025 |
+6.63% |
+6.74%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2026 |
0.00%
0 out of 2 |
|
+4.00%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2025 |
+4.00% |
+4.13%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2026 |
0.00%
0 out of 2 |
iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) ETF: Historical Returns

