iShares Euro Government Bond 15-30yr (IBCL.DE): Rolling Returns

Data Source: from February 1983 to April 2024 (~41 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2024

Holding the iShares Euro Government Bond 15-30yr (IBCL.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all the available data source (~41 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 116 months (from September 2014 to April 2024). This negative series is not closed yet.

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the iShares Euro Government Bond 15-30yr (IBCL.DE) ETF: Historical Returns page.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Considering all 10-year rolling periods, is there a relationship between past and future returns, at a given date?

In the following chart, we show how past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis) are related.

Neighboring data is aggregated and occurrences are indicated. It is possible to zoom by clicking or drawing the desired area

ISHARES EURO GOVERNMENT BOND 15-30YR (IBCL.DE) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Updated to April 2024

The annualized return of the last 10 years has been 0.99% (updated at Apr 30, 2024).

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES EURO GOVERNMENT BOND 15-30YR (IBCL.DE) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 May 1994 - 30 April 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 February 1983 - 30 April 2024 (~41 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.24% +38.60%
Apr 2014 - Mar 2015
-34.75%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022
22.93%
111 out of 484
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.15% +38.71%
Apr 2014 - Mar 2015
-40.25%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022
30.17%
146 out of 484
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.24% +22.80%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2015
-22.10%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022
13.14%
62 out of 472
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.07% +22.56%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2015
-27.24%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022
19.92%
94 out of 472
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.50% +18.73%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2015
-16.48%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
7.17%
33 out of 460
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.16% +17.90%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2015
-21.06%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
12.39%
57 out of 460
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.30% +17.14%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2015
-11.68%
Oct 2019 - Sep 2023
5.36%
24 out of 448
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.22% +15.76%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2015
-15.29%
Oct 2019 - Sep 2023
8.71%
39 out of 448
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.45% +14.41%
Aug 2011 - Jul 2016
-5.11%
Oct 2018 - Sep 2023
5.28%
23 out of 436
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.25% +13.33%
Aug 2011 - Jul 2016
-8.41%
Oct 2018 - Sep 2023
6.19%
27 out of 436
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.45% +12.43%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2015
-4.44%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
5.66%
24 out of 424
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.15% +10.77%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2015
-7.53%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
6.13%
26 out of 424
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.35% +11.59%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2015
-4.96%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
4.85%
20 out of 412
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.11% +10.09%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2015
-7.80%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
6.31%
26 out of 412
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.67% +11.23%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2016
-2.82%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023
4.75%
19 out of 400
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.52% +10.02%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2016
-5.41%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023
5.25%
21 out of 400
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.05% +10.13%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2020
-1.92%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2024
2.32%
9 out of 388
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.87% +9.16%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2020
-4.33%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2024
4.64%
18 out of 388
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.96% +9.32%
Feb 1989 - Jan 1999
+0.84%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 376
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.82% +7.69%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2020
-1.36%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023
3.99%
15 out of 376
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.81% +9.16%
Sep 2008 - Aug 2019
+1.28%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 364
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.75% +7.85%
Sep 2008 - Aug 2019
-0.80%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
1.37%
5 out of 364
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.85% +8.61%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2020
+2.12%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2023
0.00%
0 out of 352
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.78% +7.43%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2020
-0.03%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2023
0.28%
1 out of 352
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.72% +8.33%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2015
+1.74%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2023
0.00%
0 out of 340
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.68% +6.90%
Jan 2008 - Dec 2020
-0.47%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2023
0.88%
3 out of 340
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.68% +8.05%
Mar 1989 - Feb 2003
+2.47%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023
0.00%
0 out of 328
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.59% +6.09%
Aug 2002 - Jul 2016
+0.27%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023
0.00%
0 out of 328
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.53% +8.12%
Jan 1984 - Dec 1998
+3.03%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2023
0.00%
0 out of 316
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.55% +5.94%
Aug 2001 - Jul 2016
+0.99%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2023
0.00%
0 out of 316
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 16 Years (192 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.41% +7.81%
Jul 1989 - Jun 2005
+2.95%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 304
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.46% +5.85%
Aug 2000 - Jul 2016
+0.83%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 304
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 17 Years (204 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.42% +7.69%
Sep 1988 - Aug 2005
+2.64%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 292
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.42% +5.50%
Oct 1999 - Sep 2016
+0.51%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 292
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 18 Years (216 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.49% +7.56%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2005
+2.45%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023
0.00%
0 out of 280
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.39% +5.57%
Apr 1997 - Mar 2015
+0.34%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023
0.00%
0 out of 280
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 19 Years (228 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.58% +7.69%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2015
+2.81%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 268
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.31% +5.81%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2015
+0.68%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 268
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 20 Years (240 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.46% +8.12%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2015
+2.96%
Oct 2003 - Sep 2023
0.00%
0 out of 256
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.26% +6.20%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2015
+0.82%
Oct 2003 - Sep 2023
0.00%
0 out of 256
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the iShares Euro Government Bond 15-30yr (IBCL.DE) ETF: Historical Returns page.