iShares Core S&P 500 (IVV): Rolling Returns

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Period: January 2001 - January 2025 (~24 years)
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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When holding the iShares Core S&P 500 (IVV) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~24 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 116 months (from January 2001 to August 2010).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 117 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES CORE S&P 500 (IVV) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 February 2005 - 31 January 2025 (20 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 2001 - 31 January 2025 (~24 years)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES CORE S&P 500 (IVV) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 2001 - 31 January 2025 (~24 years)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-43.22%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+13.11% +56.52%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2021
20.50%
57 out of 278
-43.23%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+10.57% +52.52%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2021
22.66%
63 out of 278
-26.00%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
+10.98% +36.99%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011
13.53%
36 out of 266
-27.49%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
+8.53% +34.12%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011
21.80%
58 out of 266
-15.04%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009
+11.39% +26.01%
Jan 2019 - Dec 2021
13.39%
34 out of 254
-16.85%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009
+8.86% +22.41%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012
16.54%
42 out of 254
-9.73%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009
+12.29% +22.24%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2013
16.12%
39 out of 242
-11.97%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009
+9.56% +19.50%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2013
20.66%
50 out of 242
-6.63%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009
+11.13% +22.85%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014
6.96%
16 out of 230
-9.03%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009
+8.62% +20.37%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014
20.43%
47 out of 230
-0.33%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2009
+11.48% +21.59%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015
0.46%
1 out of 218
-2.74%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2009
+8.54% +19.55%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015
11.01%
24 out of 218
-3.81%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
+12.09% +17.15%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2016
3.40%
7 out of 206
-6.23%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
+8.64% +15.33%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2016
6.31%
13 out of 206
-4.54%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
+10.26% +18.10%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017
4.12%
8 out of 194
-6.77%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
+7.63% +16.09%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017
8.76%
17 out of 194
-0.84%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2010
+9.67% +17.98%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018
1.10%
2 out of 182
-3.17%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2010
+7.36% +15.91%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018
5.49%
10 out of 182
+1.26%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2011
+8.52% +16.58%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2019
0.00%
0 out of 170
-1.05%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2011
+6.76% +14.56%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2019
1.18%
2 out of 170
+1.49%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2011
+8.63% +16.47%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2021
0.00%
0 out of 158
-0.91%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2011
+6.58% +14.11%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2021
1.90%
3 out of 158
+2.63%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2012
+8.90% +17.00%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021
0.00%
0 out of 146
+0.25%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2012
+6.85% +14.92%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021
0.00%
0 out of 146
+4.04%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2014
+8.73% +16.95%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022
0.00%
0 out of 134
+1.72%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2014
+6.64% +14.37%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022
0.00%
0 out of 134
+4.74%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2015
+9.10% +14.98%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2023
0.00%
0 out of 122
+2.59%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2015
+7.08% +12.15%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2023
0.00%
0 out of 122
+4.35%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2016
+9.30% +15.94%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024
0.00%
0 out of 110
+2.27%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2016
+7.15% +13.04%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024
0.00%
0 out of 110
+5.27%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2017
+9.31% +15.39%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2025
0.00%
0 out of 98
+3.14%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2017
+6.97% +12.48%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2025
0.00%
0 out of 98
+6.33%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2017
+9.49% +11.22%
Feb 2008 - Jan 2025
0.00%
0 out of 86
+4.16%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2017
+7.05% +8.58%
Feb 2008 - Jan 2025
0.00%
0 out of 86
+5.70%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2018
+9.68% +11.17%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2021
0.00%
0 out of 74
+3.55%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2018
+7.01% +8.94%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2021
0.00%
0 out of 74
+6.34%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2020
+9.55% +11.46%
Jan 2003 - Dec 2021
0.00%
0 out of 62
+4.22%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2020
+6.88% +8.93%
Jan 2003 - Dec 2021
0.00%
0 out of 62
+7.18%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2021
+9.72% +10.66%
Oct 2004 - Sep 2024
0.00%
0 out of 50
+5.04%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2021
+7.06% +7.90%
Oct 2004 - Sep 2024
0.00%
0 out of 50
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