When holding the iShares Core Global Aggregate Bond (EUNU.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~54 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 133 months (from April 2015 to April 2026). This negative serie is not closed yet.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares Core Global Aggregate Bond (EUNU.DE) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Apr 30, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 0.00%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-26.40%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1973 |
+3.02% |
+41.55%
Nov 1981 - Oct 1982 |
39.59%
251 out of 634 |
|
-31.42%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1973 |
+1.25% |
+35.03%
Nov 1981 - Oct 1982 |
45.27%
287 out of 634 |
|
-14.49%
Nov 1976 - Oct 1978 |
+3.88% |
+28.94%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1982 |
31.51%
196 out of 622 |
|
-19.29%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1975 |
+1.25% |
+21.49%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1982 |
42.44%
264 out of 622 |
|
-11.82%
Nov 1975 - Oct 1978 |
+3.70% |
+23.92%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1983 |
21.97%
134 out of 610 |
|
-14.58%
Nov 1975 - Oct 1978 |
+1.66% |
+18.77%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1985 |
38.36%
234 out of 610 |
|
-9.40%
Mar 1976 - Feb 1980 |
+4.44% |
+22.02%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1984 |
19.23%
115 out of 598 |
|
-12.76%
Mar 1976 - Feb 1980 |
+2.37% |
+17.14%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1984 |
32.78%
196 out of 598 |
|
-8.09%
Jan 1973 - Dec 1977 |
+4.64% |
+21.57%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985 |
17.75%
104 out of 586 |
|
-12.64%
Jan 1973 - Dec 1977 |
+2.48% |
+16.77%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985 |
29.18%
171 out of 586 |
|
-9.59%
Nov 1972 - Oct 1978 |
+4.77% |
+18.18%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1986 |
14.46%
83 out of 574 |
|
-13.76%
Nov 1972 - Oct 1978 |
+2.81% |
+14.18%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1986 |
25.09%
144 out of 574 |
|
-8.12%
Jan 1973 - Dec 1979 |
+4.62% |
+14.91%
Nov 1978 - Oct 1985 |
9.61%
54 out of 562 |
|
-12.38%
Jan 1973 - Dec 1979 |
+2.57% |
+11.51%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1987 |
23.84%
134 out of 562 |
|
-6.63%
Sep 1972 - Aug 1980 |
+4.91% |
+13.86%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1988 |
5.09%
28 out of 550 |
|
-11.11%
Sep 1972 - Aug 1980 |
+2.77% |
+11.06%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1988 |
20.00%
110 out of 550 |
|
-3.77%
Nov 1972 - Oct 1981 |
+5.17% |
+13.40%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1989 |
4.09%
22 out of 538 |
|
-8.49%
Nov 1972 - Oct 1981 |
+2.94% |
+10.49%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1989 |
14.31%
77 out of 538 |
|
-1.50%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1982 |
+5.14% |
+11.67%
Nov 1979 - Oct 1989 |
1.52%
8 out of 526 |
|
-6.37%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1982 |
+3.10% |
+8.65%
Dec 1979 - Nov 1989 |
13.31%
70 out of 526 |
|
+0.01%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2026 |
+5.02% |
+11.55%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1991 |
0.00%
0 out of 514 |
|
-4.11%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1983 |
+3.07% |
+8.48%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1991 |
9.34%
48 out of 514 |
|
+1.01%
Jun 2012 - May 2024 |
+5.21% |
+11.16%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1992 |
0.00%
0 out of 502 |
|
-2.98%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1984 |
+3.03% |
+7.99%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1992 |
8.37%
42 out of 502 |
|
+0.94%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2025 |
+5.06% |
+11.25%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 490 |
|
-1.56%
Oct 1972 - Sep 1985 |
+3.00% |
+8.09%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1993 |
6.73%
33 out of 490 |
|
+1.21%
Feb 2012 - Jan 2026 |
+5.09% |
+11.41%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1994 |
0.00%
0 out of 478 |
|
-1.37%
Dec 1972 - Nov 1986 |
+2.96% |
+8.13%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1994 |
5.02%
24 out of 478 |
|
+1.57%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2025 |
+5.09% |
+10.17%
Nov 1978 - Oct 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 466 |
|
-1.54%
Jan 1973 - Dec 1987 |
+2.77% |
+6.74%
Nov 1978 - Oct 1993 |
4.29%
20 out of 466 |
|
+2.02%
May 2010 - Apr 2026 |
+5.25% |
+9.48%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1996 |
0.00%
0 out of 454 |
|
-0.68%
Sep 1972 - Aug 1988 |
+2.70% |
+6.57%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1997 |
1.98%
9 out of 454 |
|
+2.18%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2026 |
+5.17% |
+10.05%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1997 |
0.00%
0 out of 442 |
|
-0.74%
Jan 1973 - Dec 1989 |
+2.80% |
+7.08%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1997 |
2.26%
10 out of 442 |
|
+2.54%
Nov 1972 - Oct 1990 |
+5.13% |
+10.09%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 430 |
|
-1.12%
Nov 1972 - Oct 1990 |
+2.76% |
+7.13%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1998 |
1.86%
8 out of 430 |
|
+2.65%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2024 |
+5.20% |
+9.68%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 418 |
|
-0.49%
Jan 1973 - Dec 1991 |
+2.90% |
+6.92%
Nov 1981 - Oct 2000 |
1.67%
7 out of 418 |
|
+2.46%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2025 |
+5.20% |
+9.87%
Oct 1980 - Sep 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 406 |
|
-0.77%
Sep 1972 - Aug 1992 |
+2.71% |
+7.10%
Oct 1980 - Sep 2000 |
1.48%
6 out of 406 |
|
+2.20%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2026 |
+5.31% |
+8.17%
Feb 1980 - Jan 2005 |
0.00%
0 out of 346 |
|
+0.05%
May 2001 - Apr 2026 |
+3.15% |
+5.53%
Sep 1980 - Aug 2005 |
0.00%
0 out of 346 |
|
+3.43%
Feb 1994 - Jan 2024 |
+5.28% |
+7.70%
Sep 1980 - Aug 2010 |
0.00%
0 out of 286 |
|
+1.34%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023 |
+3.00% |
+5.19%
Sep 1980 - Aug 2010 |
0.00%
0 out of 286 |
iShares Core Global Aggregate Bond (EUNU.DE) ETF: Historical Returns
