iShares Core Canadian Corporate Bond (XCB.TO): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 2007 - September 2025 (~19 years)
Initial Amount: 1$
Currency: CAD
Inflation: Canada
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When holding the iShares Core Canadian Corporate Bond (XCB.TO) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~19 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 54 months (from April 2019 to September 2023).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 55 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES CORE CANADIAN CORPORATE BOND (XCB.TO) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 October 2015 - 30 September 2025 (10 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 2007 - 30 September 2025 (~19 years)
All Data
(2007/01 - 2025/09)
Canada Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES CORE CANADIAN CORPORATE BOND (XCB.TO) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 2007 - 30 September 2025 (~19 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Canada Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-10.98%
Jul 2021 - Jun 2022
+4.55% +16.98%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2009
14.95%
32 out of 214
-17.67%
Jul 2021 - Jun 2022
+2.31% +16.88%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2009
30.37%
65 out of 214
-5.92%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022
+4.08% +12.19%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2010
11.39%
23 out of 202
-10.87%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022
+2.51% +11.38%
Oct 2008 - Sep 2010
21.29%
43 out of 202
-3.38%
Oct 2020 - Sep 2023
+4.24% +9.73%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2011
13.16%
25 out of 190
-7.98%
Oct 2020 - Sep 2023
+2.35% +7.94%
Oct 2008 - Sep 2011
22.11%
42 out of 190
-1.00%
Oct 2019 - Sep 2023
+3.77% +8.86%
Oct 2008 - Sep 2012
4.49%
8 out of 178
-4.69%
Oct 2019 - Sep 2023
+2.14% +7.43%
Oct 2008 - Sep 2012
24.16%
43 out of 178
+0.33%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022
+3.49% +7.24%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2013
0.00%
0 out of 166
-2.85%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022
+1.87% +5.71%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2013
27.11%
45 out of 166
+0.48%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2022
+3.61% +7.34%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2015
0.00%
0 out of 154
-2.41%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2022
+2.11% +5.64%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2015
27.27%
42 out of 154
+0.69%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
+3.58% +6.36%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2015
0.00%
0 out of 142
-2.25%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
+1.95% +4.93%
Oct 2008 - Sep 2015
29.58%
42 out of 142
+1.22%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023
+3.84% +6.36%
Oct 2008 - Sep 2016
0.00%
0 out of 130
-1.38%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023
+2.22% +4.94%
Oct 2008 - Sep 2016
31.54%
41 out of 130
+1.57%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
+3.79% +5.70%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2016
0.00%
0 out of 118
-1.00%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
+2.16% +4.14%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2017
30.51%
36 out of 118
+1.80%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022
+3.95% +5.25%
Jun 2007 - May 2017
0.00%
0 out of 106
-0.58%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023
+2.31% +3.66%
Jun 2007 - May 2017
27.36%
29 out of 106
+1.85%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2023
+3.77% +5.43%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2020
0.00%
0 out of 94
-0.55%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2023
+1.89% +3.88%
Oct 2008 - Sep 2019
10.64%
10 out of 94
+2.28%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2023
+3.17% +5.53%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2020
0.00%
0 out of 82
-0.02%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2023
+0.87% +4.05%
Oct 2008 - Sep 2020
1.22%
1 out of 82
+2.45%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
+3.15% +5.18%
Aug 2007 - Jul 2020
0.00%
0 out of 70
+0.08%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2023
+0.83% +3.55%
Aug 2007 - Jul 2020
0.00%
0 out of 70
+2.81%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2023
+3.52% +4.76%
Jan 2007 - Dec 2020
0.00%
0 out of 58
+0.45%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2023
+1.20% +3.07%
Jan 2007 - Dec 2020
0.00%
0 out of 58
+3.33%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2025
+3.61% +4.31%
Jan 2007 - Dec 2021
0.00%
0 out of 46
+0.98%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2025
+1.42% +2.42%
Jan 2007 - Dec 2021
0.00%
0 out of 46
+3.35%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2023
+3.71% +4.31%
Oct 2008 - Sep 2024
0.00%
0 out of 34
+1.13%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+1.48% +2.18%
Oct 2008 - Sep 2024
0.00%
0 out of 34
+3.52%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2024
+3.96% +4.35%
Oct 2008 - Sep 2025
0.00%
0 out of 22
+1.32%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2024
+1.71% +2.20%
Oct 2008 - Sep 2025
0.00%
0 out of 22
+3.81%
Jan 2007 - Dec 2024
+3.90% +4.14%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2025
0.00%
0 out of 10
+1.59%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2025
+1.70% +1.93%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2025
0.00%
0 out of 10
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