When holding the iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond Index CAD-Hedged (XSTH.TO) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~41 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 78 months (from June 2012 to November 2018).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 79 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond Index CAD-Hedged (XSTH.TO) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Jun 30, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 3.06%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-8.81%
Nov 1993 - Oct 1994 |
+6.38% |
+43.94%
Apr 1985 - Mar 1986 |
17.26%
82 out of 475 |
-10.28%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022 |
+4.46% |
+37.96%
Apr 1985 - Mar 1986 |
28.00%
133 out of 475 |
-2.15%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2014 |
+6.61% |
+27.32%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1987 |
6.91%
32 out of 463 |
-6.36%
Aug 2021 - Jul 2023 |
+4.75% |
+22.31%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1987 |
21.17%
98 out of 463 |
-1.99%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2015 |
+6.38% |
+21.63%
Sep 1990 - Aug 1993 |
2.66%
12 out of 451 |
-3.93%
Sep 2020 - Aug 2023 |
+4.37% |
+18.17%
Sep 1990 - Aug 1993 |
18.85%
85 out of 451 |
-0.60%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2016 |
+6.36% |
+18.91%
Mar 1989 - Feb 1993 |
1.82%
8 out of 439 |
-2.18%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2024 |
+4.52% |
+14.73%
Oct 1989 - Sep 1993 |
15.95%
70 out of 439 |
-0.31%
May 2013 - Apr 2018 |
+6.72% |
+18.38%
Sep 1988 - Aug 1993 |
1.64%
7 out of 427 |
-1.95%
May 2013 - Apr 2018 |
+4.84% |
+14.24%
Sep 1988 - Aug 1993 |
10.30%
44 out of 427 |
-0.49%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2018 |
+6.82% |
+17.68%
Oct 1987 - Sep 1993 |
1.20%
5 out of 415 |
-1.99%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2018 |
+4.82% |
+13.50%
Oct 1987 - Sep 1993 |
8.67%
36 out of 415 |
+0.58%
Feb 2012 - Jan 2019 |
+6.44% |
+16.77%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1991 |
0.00%
0 out of 403 |
-1.03%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2019 |
+4.65% |
+11.87%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1991 |
9.18%
37 out of 403 |
+1.52%
Feb 2012 - Jan 2020 |
+6.63% |
+17.17%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 391 |
-0.51%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2023 |
+4.62% |
+12.61%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1993 |
6.14%
24 out of 391 |
+1.96%
May 2013 - Apr 2022 |
+6.95% |
+16.34%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 379 |
-0.47%
Sep 2014 - Aug 2023 |
+4.78% |
+12.23%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1994 |
4.75%
18 out of 379 |
+1.49%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2022 |
+7.26% |
+14.54%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1995 |
0.00%
0 out of 367 |
-0.85%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2022 |
+5.07% |
+10.74%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1995 |
6.81%
25 out of 367 |
+1.56%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023 |
+7.25% |
+14.79%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1995 |
0.00%
0 out of 355 |
-0.82%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2023 |
+5.10% |
+11.12%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1995 |
5.63%
20 out of 355 |
+1.87%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2024 |
+7.00% |
+13.50%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1996 |
0.00%
0 out of 343 |
-0.51%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2024 |
+4.83% |
+10.01%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1997 |
6.41%
22 out of 343 |
+2.15%
Jun 2012 - May 2025 |
+7.06% |
+13.36%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 331 |
-0.16%
Jun 2012 - May 2025 |
+4.92% |
+10.07%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1998 |
1.21%
4 out of 331 |
+2.85%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2024 |
+7.04% |
+12.90%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 319 |
+0.52%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2024 |
+4.95% |
+9.74%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 319 |
+3.10%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2023 |
+6.90% |
+11.86%
Apr 1985 - Mar 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 307 |
+0.85%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2024 |
+4.81% |
+8.78%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 307 |
+3.13%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2024 |
+6.72% |
+12.19%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 295 |
+0.91%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2024 |
+4.79% |
+9.12%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 295 |
+3.27%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2025 |
+6.77% |
+11.82%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 283 |
+1.02%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2025 |
+4.80% |
+8.85%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 283 |
+3.40%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2023 |
+6.57% |
+12.26%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2003 |
0.00%
0 out of 271 |
+1.21%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2023 |
+4.57% |
+9.16%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2003 |
0.00%
0 out of 271 |
+3.44%
May 2005 - Apr 2024 |
+6.49% |
+12.07%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2004 |
0.00%
0 out of 259 |
+1.22%
Jun 2005 - May 2024 |
+4.53% |
+9.10%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2004 |
0.00%
0 out of 259 |
+3.51%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2024 |
+6.32% |
+11.68%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2004 |
0.00%
0 out of 247 |
+1.32%
Apr 2004 - Mar 2024 |
+4.41% |
+8.75%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2005 |
0.00%
0 out of 247 |
+4.66%
Oct 1998 - Sep 2023 |
+6.20% |
+10.17%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2010 |
0.00%
0 out of 187 |
+2.37%
Oct 1998 - Sep 2023 |
+4.34% |
+7.46%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2010 |
0.00%
0 out of 187 |
+5.03%
Oct 1993 - Sep 2023 |
+6.93% |
+9.24%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 127 |
+2.89%
Oct 1993 - Sep 2023 |
+4.92% |
+6.71%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 127 |
iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond Index CAD-Hedged (XSTH.TO) ETF: Historical Returns