When holding the iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond Index (XSTP.TO) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~40 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 104 months (from October 2002 to May 2011).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 105 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond Index (XSTP.TO) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of May 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 4.57%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-15.11%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2010 |
+5.72% |
+43.58%
Apr 1985 - Mar 1986 |
23.84%
113 out of 474 |
-16.29%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2010 |
+3.17% |
+37.61%
Apr 1985 - Mar 1986 |
33.97%
161 out of 474 |
-7.21%
Jun 2004 - May 2006 |
+6.13% |
+27.15%
Sep 1991 - Aug 1993 |
13.64%
63 out of 462 |
-9.22%
Jun 2004 - May 2006 |
+3.63% |
+25.36%
Sep 1991 - Aug 1993 |
27.49%
127 out of 462 |
-4.61%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2007 |
+6.12% |
+23.15%
Oct 1990 - Sep 1993 |
9.11%
41 out of 450 |
-6.50%
Jun 2004 - May 2007 |
+3.83% |
+19.75%
Oct 1990 - Sep 1993 |
22.22%
100 out of 450 |
-3.60%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2006 |
+6.26% |
+17.80%
Oct 1989 - Sep 1993 |
7.31%
32 out of 438 |
-5.56%
Nov 2003 - Oct 2007 |
+3.76% |
+15.12%
Jul 1991 - Jun 1995 |
16.44%
72 out of 438 |
-4.31%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2007 |
+6.01% |
+16.24%
Feb 1989 - Jan 1994 |
3.99%
17 out of 426 |
-6.27%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2007 |
+3.74% |
+13.44%
Feb 1991 - Jan 1996 |
12.21%
52 out of 426 |
-2.40%
Nov 2001 - Oct 2007 |
+6.13% |
+14.17%
Feb 1990 - Jan 1996 |
2.66%
11 out of 414 |
-4.47%
Nov 2001 - Oct 2007 |
+3.83% |
+12.50%
Sep 1992 - Aug 1998 |
10.63%
44 out of 414 |
-0.34%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2009 |
+6.13% |
+15.18%
Sep 1991 - Aug 1998 |
1.00%
4 out of 402 |
-2.15%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2009 |
+4.14% |
+13.66%
Sep 1991 - Aug 1998 |
9.45%
38 out of 402 |
-0.20%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2011 |
+5.83% |
+15.15%
Sep 1990 - Aug 1998 |
0.51%
2 out of 390 |
-2.03%
Jan 2003 - Dec 2010 |
+4.16% |
+12.99%
Sep 1990 - Aug 1998 |
6.15%
24 out of 390 |
+0.91%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2011 |
+5.88% |
+13.64%
Oct 1989 - Sep 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 378 |
-1.13%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2011 |
+4.06% |
+11.29%
Oct 1989 - Sep 1998 |
5.82%
22 out of 378 |
+1.54%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2012 |
+5.75% |
+13.32%
Dec 1988 - Nov 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 366 |
-0.49%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2011 |
+3.92% |
+11.22%
Nov 1991 - Oct 2001 |
1.64%
6 out of 366 |
+1.25%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2013 |
+5.56% |
+13.06%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 354 |
-0.58%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2013 |
+3.64% |
+11.00%
Oct 1991 - Sep 2002 |
1.13%
4 out of 354 |
+1.96%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2014 |
+5.52% |
+13.23%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 342 |
+0.10%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2014 |
+3.45% |
+10.92%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 342 |
+2.81%
Nov 2001 - Oct 2014 |
+5.52% |
+12.42%
Oct 1989 - Sep 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 330 |
+0.85%
Nov 2001 - Oct 2014 |
+3.45% |
+9.95%
Oct 1989 - Sep 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 330 |
+3.23%
Jan 2003 - Dec 2016 |
+5.45% |
+12.20%
Jan 1989 - Dec 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 318 |
+1.46%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2016 |
+3.43% |
+9.54%
Jan 1989 - Dec 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 318 |
+2.60%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2017 |
+5.47% |
+11.70%
Oct 1987 - Sep 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 306 |
+0.84%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2017 |
+3.38% |
+8.91%
Oct 1987 - Sep 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 306 |
+2.67%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2018 |
+5.45% |
+11.50%
Apr 1985 - Mar 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 294 |
+0.88%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2018 |
+3.42% |
+8.44%
Apr 1985 - Mar 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 294 |
+3.02%
Jan 2003 - Dec 2019 |
+5.51% |
+11.35%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 282 |
+1.22%
Jan 2003 - Dec 2019 |
+3.48% |
+8.37%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 282 |
+3.33%
Jan 2003 - Dec 2020 |
+5.57% |
+11.56%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 270 |
+1.58%
Jan 2003 - Dec 2020 |
+3.59% |
+8.51%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 270 |
+3.28%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2021 |
+5.79% |
+10.39%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2004 |
0.00%
0 out of 258 |
+1.41%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2021 |
+3.81% |
+7.46%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2004 |
0.00%
0 out of 258 |
+3.37%
Jan 2003 - Dec 2022 |
+5.92% |
+9.73%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2004 |
0.00%
0 out of 246 |
+1.24%
Jan 2003 - Dec 2022 |
+3.98% |
+6.83%
Feb 1985 - Jan 2005 |
0.00%
0 out of 246 |
+4.30%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2023 |
+6.34% |
+8.11%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2009 |
0.00%
0 out of 186 |
+2.02%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2023 |
+4.07% |
+5.84%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2016 |
0.00%
0 out of 186 |
+5.29%
Oct 1993 - Sep 2023 |
+6.86% |
+8.08%
Feb 1985 - Jan 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 126 |
+3.16%
Oct 1993 - Sep 2023 |
+4.70% |
+5.59%
Feb 1985 - Jan 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 126 |
iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond Index (XSTP.TO) ETF: Historical Returns