Invesco NASDAQ 100 Index ETF CAD Units (QQC.TO): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1971 - May 2026 (~55 years)
Initial Amount: 1$
Currency: CAD
Inflation: Canada
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When holding the Invesco NASDAQ 100 Index ETF CAD Units (QQC.TO) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~55 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 196 months (from March 2000 to June 2016).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 197 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

INVESCO NASDAQ 100 INDEX ETF CAD UNITS (QQC.TO) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 June 1996 - 31 May 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1971 - 31 May 2026 (~55 years)
30 Years
(1996/06 - 2026/05)
All Data
(1971/01 - 2026/05)

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As of May 31, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 22.86%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

INVESCO NASDAQ 100 INDEX ETF CAD UNITS (QQC.TO) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 June 1996 - 31 May 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1971 - 31 May 2026 (~55 years)
30 Years
(1996/06 - 2026/05)
All Data
(1971/01 - 2026/05)
Canada Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

INVESCO NASDAQ 100 INDEX ETF CAD UNITS (QQC.TO) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1971 - 31 May 2026 (~55 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Canada Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-65.69%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2001
+18.16% +116.17%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2000
22.02%
144 out of 654
-66.56%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2001
+13.17% +110.43%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2000
24.62%
161 out of 654
-50.53%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2002
+16.87% +94.56%
Jan 1998 - Dec 1999
17.60%
113 out of 642
-51.82%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2002
+12.25% +91.10%
Jan 1998 - Dec 1999
25.39%
163 out of 642
-38.41%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
+16.46% +80.05%
Apr 1997 - Mar 2000
16.98%
107 out of 630
-40.11%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
+10.87% +77.09%
Apr 1997 - Mar 2000
23.81%
150 out of 630
-26.24%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2004
+16.82% +66.96%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2000
16.18%
100 out of 618
-27.91%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2004
+11.49% +64.11%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2000
21.04%
130 out of 618
-22.39%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2005
+16.64% +59.87%
Mar 1995 - Feb 2000
14.85%
90 out of 606
-24.15%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2005
+10.80% +57.38%
Mar 1995 - Feb 2000
19.64%
119 out of 606
-18.60%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2006
+16.35% +51.63%
Apr 1994 - Mar 2000
11.45%
68 out of 594
-20.44%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2006
+9.87% +49.01%
Apr 1994 - Mar 2000
18.18%
108 out of 594
-14.95%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2007
+16.14% +46.23%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2000
8.08%
47 out of 582
-16.86%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2007
+9.57% +44.20%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2000
15.29%
89 out of 582
-14.76%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2008
+15.24% +42.48%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2000
7.89%
45 out of 570
-16.61%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2008
+10.05% +40.22%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2000
14.04%
80 out of 570
-14.99%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009
+14.92% +41.72%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1999
6.81%
38 out of 558
-16.77%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009
+10.51% +39.23%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1999
15.23%
85 out of 558
-10.95%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2010
+14.82% +39.10%
Sep 1990 - Aug 2000
7.33%
40 out of 546
-12.76%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2010
+10.68% +36.38%
Sep 1990 - Aug 2000
12.64%
69 out of 546
-8.75%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2011
+14.79% +35.84%
Apr 1989 - Mar 2000
7.68%
41 out of 534
-10.65%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2011
+10.34% +32.75%
Apr 1989 - Mar 2000
12.92%
69 out of 534
-6.76%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2012
+14.85% +32.80%
Apr 1988 - Mar 2000
5.56%
29 out of 522
-8.70%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2012
+10.24% +29.55%
Apr 1988 - Mar 2000
11.30%
59 out of 522
-5.64%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2013
+14.81% +29.02%
Jan 1987 - Dec 1999
4.51%
23 out of 510
-7.50%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2013
+9.90% +25.71%
Jan 1987 - Dec 1999
7.25%
37 out of 510
-2.93%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2014
+14.71% +27.93%
Mar 1986 - Feb 2000
4.22%
21 out of 498
-4.82%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2014
+9.89% +24.56%
Mar 1986 - Feb 2000
5.02%
25 out of 498
-0.54%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2015
+14.54% +28.44%
Apr 1985 - Mar 2000
0.62%
3 out of 486
-2.42%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2015
+10.13% +24.88%
Apr 1985 - Mar 2000
3.91%
19 out of 486
-0.08%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2016
+14.07% +27.84%
Apr 1984 - Mar 2000
0.42%
2 out of 474
-1.94%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2016
+10.17% +24.24%
Apr 1984 - Mar 2000
2.11%
10 out of 474
+1.27%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2017
+13.74% +25.81%
Mar 1983 - Feb 2000
0.00%
0 out of 462
-0.60%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2017
+10.16% +22.13%
Mar 1983 - Feb 2000
0.65%
3 out of 462
+2.14%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2018
+13.28% +27.19%
Apr 1982 - Mar 2000
0.00%
0 out of 450
+0.24%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2018
+10.00% +23.21%
Apr 1982 - Mar 2000
0.00%
0 out of 450
+2.74%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2019
+12.68% +24.76%
Mar 1981 - Feb 2000
0.00%
0 out of 438
+0.82%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2019
+9.67% +20.34%
Sep 1981 - Aug 2000
0.00%
0 out of 438
+3.35%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
+12.19% +26.25%
Apr 1980 - Mar 2000
0.00%
0 out of 426
+1.48%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
+9.45% +21.30%
Apr 1980 - Mar 2000
0.00%
0 out of 426
+6.82%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2025
+12.99% +24.28%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1999
0.00%
0 out of 366
+4.51%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2025
+9.99% +18.35%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1999
0.00%
0 out of 366
+10.66%
Jul 1983 - Jun 2013
+13.55% +16.53%
Jan 1971 - Dec 2000
0.00%
0 out of 306
+6.07%
Oct 1972 - Sep 2002
+9.83% +13.81%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2020
0.00%
0 out of 306
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