Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC) to EUR Hedged: Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings

Category:

Period: January 1950 - March 2026 (~76 years)

Initial Amount: 1€

Currency: EUR

DBC is not denominated in EUR. Returns are simulated using exchange rates or interest rate differentials in case of currency hedging.

Inflation: Eurozone

(Change Settings)

This asset allocation includes ETFs not denominated in EUR. Returns are calculated using exchange rates or, if applicable, interest rate differentials for currency hedging.

When holding the Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC) to EUR Hedged ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~76 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 289 months (from April 1996 to April 2020).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 290 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

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Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC) to EUR Hedged ETF: Historical Returns

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

INVESCO DB COMMODITY TRACKING (DBC) TO EUR HEDGED ETF

Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized

Time Period: 1 April 1996 - 31 March 2026 (30 Years)

Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 31 March 2026 (~76 years)

30 Years
(1996/04 - 2026/03)

All Data
(1950/01 - 2026/03)

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As of Mar 31, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 8.29%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

INVESCO DB COMMODITY TRACKING (DBC) TO EUR HEDGED ETF

Annualized Rolling Returns

Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted

Time Period: 1 April 1996 - 31 March 2026 (30 Years)

Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 31 March 2026 (~76 years)

30 Years
(1996/04 - 2026/03)

All Data
(1950/01 - 2026/03)

Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

Return Chart Capital Chart Table

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

INVESCO DB COMMODITY TRACKING (DBC) TO EUR HEDGED ETF

Rolling Returns Chart

Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted

Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 31 March 2026 (~76 years)

Rolling Period:

Over Time

Histogram

Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data

Worst	Median	Best	Negative Periods
-47.91% Jul 2008 - Jun 2009	+2.97%	+106.49% Aug 1972 - Jul 1973	40.15% 363 out of 904
-47.83% Jul 2008 - Jun 2009	+1.07%	+92.42% Aug 1972 - Jul 1973	46.79% 423 out of 904
-30.46% Mar 2014 - Feb 2016	+2.78%	+69.35% Nov 1972 - Oct 1974	34.87% 311 out of 892
-30.31% Mar 2014 - Feb 2016	+0.56%	+58.45% Nov 1972 - Oct 1974	47.31% 422 out of 892
-23.65% Feb 2013 - Jan 2016	+2.26%	+56.89% Nov 1971 - Oct 1974	28.07% 247 out of 880
-23.78% Feb 2013 - Jan 2016	+0.50%	+47.20% Nov 1971 - Oct 1974	46.82% 412 out of 880
-18.92% Mar 2012 - Feb 2016	+2.71%	+46.36% Dec 1970 - Nov 1974	22.81% 198 out of 868
-19.35% Mar 2012 - Feb 2016	+0.64%	+37.46% Dec 1970 - Nov 1974	45.39% 394 out of 868
-15.55% Mar 2011 - Feb 2016	+3.63%	+38.26% Dec 1969 - Nov 1974	19.98% 171 out of 856
-16.36% Mar 2011 - Feb 2016	+1.17%	+30.44% Dec 1969 - Nov 1974	40.65% 348 out of 856
-14.44% May 2014 - Apr 2020	+4.11%	+30.05% Dec 1968 - Nov 1974	19.91% 168 out of 844
-15.14% May 2014 - Apr 2020	+1.37%	+23.56% Dec 1968 - Nov 1974	36.49% 308 out of 844
-12.54% Apr 2013 - Mar 2020	+4.29%	+24.24% Dec 1967 - Nov 1974	16.83% 140 out of 832
-13.20% Apr 2013 - Mar 2020	+1.52%	+18.59% Dec 1967 - Nov 1974	39.42% 328 out of 832
-12.11% Jul 2008 - Jun 2016	+4.40%	+21.09% Jun 1970 - May 1978	16.46% 135 out of 820
-13.07% Jul 2008 - Jun 2016	+1.41%	+15.56% Dec 1966 - Nov 1974	38.78% 318 out of 820
-11.66% May 2011 - Apr 2020	+4.70%	+20.70% Jul 1999 - Jun 2008	17.08% 138 out of 808
-12.57% May 2011 - Apr 2020	+1.70%	+17.88% Jul 1999 - Jun 2008	34.90% 282 out of 808
-8.78% Jul 2008 - Jun 2018	+5.63%	+19.85% Nov 1970 - Oct 1980	17.34% 138 out of 796
-9.86% Jul 2008 - Jun 2018	+2.90%	+14.75% Jul 1998 - Jun 2008	36.06% 287 out of 796
-9.09% Jul 2008 - Jun 2019	+6.90%	+19.05% Nov 1969 - Oct 1980	18.11% 142 out of 784
-10.19% Jul 2008 - Jun 2019	+4.20%	+13.40% Nov 1969 - Oct 1980	36.10% 283 out of 784
-10.22% Jul 2008 - Jun 2020	+7.31%	+16.90% Nov 1968 - Oct 1980	18.01% 139 out of 772
-11.23% Jul 2008 - Jun 2020	+4.50%	+11.62% Nov 1968 - Oct 1980	34.07% 263 out of 772
-6.36% Nov 2007 - Oct 2020	+7.30%	+15.01% Nov 1967 - Oct 1980	16.45% 125 out of 760
-7.53% Nov 2007 - Oct 2020	+4.29%	+11.56% Jul 1995 - Jun 2008	32.37% 246 out of 760
-5.90% May 2006 - Apr 2020	+7.67%	+13.65% Nov 1966 - Oct 1980	13.50% 101 out of 748
-7.20% May 2006 - Apr 2020	+4.66%	+10.05% Jul 1994 - Jun 2008	27.81% 208 out of 748
-4.90% Apr 2005 - Mar 2020	+7.64%	+12.84% Nov 1965 - Oct 1980	10.60% 78 out of 736
-6.44% Jul 2008 - Jun 2023	+4.80%	+9.40% Jul 1993 - Jun 2008	27.99% 206 out of 736
-3.98% Apr 2004 - Mar 2020	+7.72%	+11.80% Nov 1964 - Oct 1980	9.12% 66 out of 724
-5.86% Jul 2008 - Jun 2024	+4.69%	+8.81% Oct 1988 - Sep 2004	25.97% 188 out of 724
-3.91% Jul 2008 - Jun 2025	+7.83%	+12.09% Oct 1988 - Sep 2005	8.57% 61 out of 712
-5.80% Jul 2008 - Jun 2025	+4.58%	+9.46% Mar 1987 - Feb 2004	21.77% 155 out of 712
-1.65% Mar 2008 - Feb 2026	+7.57%	+13.42% Oct 1972 - Sep 1990	5.57% 39 out of 700
-3.61% Mar 2008 - Feb 2026	+4.33%	+10.00% Apr 1986 - Mar 2004	21.43% 150 out of 700
-1.11% May 2001 - Apr 2020	+7.32%	+14.78% Oct 1971 - Sep 1990	3.34% 23 out of 688
-2.97% Oct 2005 - Sep 2024	+4.09%	+10.57% Oct 1971 - Sep 1990	17.01% 117 out of 688
-0.68% Oct 2005 - Sep 2025	+7.33%	+14.54% Oct 1970 - Sep 1990	2.66% 18 out of 676
-2.72% Oct 2005 - Sep 2025	+3.94%	+10.22% Oct 1970 - Sep 1990	14.94% 101 out of 676
+1.01% May 1995 - Apr 2020	+7.20%	+12.30% Dec 1971 - Nov 1996	0.00% 0 out of 616
-0.63% May 1995 - Apr 2020	+3.98%	+9.32% Jul 1983 - Jun 2008	1.46% 9 out of 616
+1.18% Oct 1990 - Sep 2020	+7.51%	+11.24% Dec 1970 - Nov 2000	0.00% 0 out of 556
-0.68% Oct 1990 - Sep 2020	+4.53%	+7.64% Jul 1978 - Jun 2008	0.54% 3 out of 556

For full details, click here
Invesco DB Commodity Tracking (DBC) to EUR Hedged ETF: Historical Returns

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