DFA Inflation-Protected Securities I (DIPSX): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1985 - June 2025 (~41 years)
Initial Amount: 1$
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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When holding the DFA Inflation-Protected Securities I (DIPSX) Fund, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~41 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 76 months (from August 2012 to November 2018).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 77 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

DFA INFLATION-PROTECTED SECURITIES I (DIPSX) FUND
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 July 1995 - 30 June 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 June 2025 (~41 years)
30 Years
(1995/07 - 2025/06)
All Data
(1985/01 - 2025/06)

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As of Jun 30, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 2.59%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

DFA INFLATION-PROTECTED SECURITIES I (DIPSX) FUND
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 July 1995 - 30 June 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 June 2025 (~41 years)
30 Years
(1995/07 - 2025/06)
All Data
(1985/01 - 2025/06)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

DFA INFLATION-PROTECTED SECURITIES I (DIPSX) FUND
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 June 2025 (~41 years)
Over Time
Histogram
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-12.23%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022
+6.52% +40.52%
Apr 1985 - Mar 1986
18.32%
87 out of 475
-18.88%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022
+3.96% +37.55%
Apr 1985 - Mar 1986
31.16%
148 out of 475
-6.46%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
+6.58% +23.83%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1987
9.72%
45 out of 463
-11.32%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
+4.01% +20.74%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1987
22.46%
104 out of 463
-2.52%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2015
+6.78% +17.65%
Sep 1990 - Aug 1993
7.32%
33 out of 451
-7.49%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+3.87% +13.96%
Sep 1990 - Aug 1993
17.52%
79 out of 451
-0.92%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2016
+6.64% +14.30%
Mar 1989 - Feb 1993
2.73%
12 out of 439
-5.12%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2024
+3.89% +10.35%
Feb 1990 - Jan 1994
17.08%
75 out of 439
-0.35%
May 2013 - Apr 2018
+7.07% +14.27%
Sep 1988 - Aug 1993
1.64%
7 out of 427
-3.02%
Jul 2020 - Jun 2025
+4.20% +9.87%
Sep 1988 - Aug 1993
14.29%
61 out of 427
-0.41%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2018
+7.18% +13.81%
Oct 1987 - Sep 1993
0.96%
4 out of 415
-2.02%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
+4.42% +9.45%
Oct 1987 - Sep 1993
13.73%
57 out of 415
+0.78%
Feb 2012 - Jan 2019
+6.83% +13.02%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1991
0.00%
0 out of 403
-2.06%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023
+4.22% +8.74%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1991
13.90%
56 out of 403
+1.74%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2019
+6.89% +13.37%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1993
0.00%
0 out of 391
-1.48%
May 2016 - Apr 2024
+4.19% +9.24%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1993
9.21%
36 out of 391
+1.61%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
+7.04% +12.83%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1993
0.00%
0 out of 379
-1.29%
May 2015 - Apr 2024
+4.45% +8.84%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1994
10.03%
38 out of 379
+0.90%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2022
+7.47% +11.39%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1995
0.00%
0 out of 367
-1.58%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2022
+4.70% +7.55%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1995
10.63%
39 out of 367
+0.81%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
+7.50% +11.83%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1995
0.00%
0 out of 355
-1.75%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
+4.83% +8.05%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1995
9.86%
35 out of 355
+1.36%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2024
+7.27% +10.96%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1997
0.00%
0 out of 343
-1.29%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2024
+4.69% +7.46%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2002
8.75%
30 out of 343
+1.75%
Feb 2012 - Jan 2025
+7.31% +11.22%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1998
0.00%
0 out of 331
-0.86%
Jun 2012 - May 2025
+4.59% +7.67%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1998
6.34%
21 out of 331
+2.50%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2025
+7.33% +10.92%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1998
0.00%
0 out of 319
-0.13%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2024
+4.71% +7.46%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1998
0.63%
2 out of 319
+2.80%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2023
+7.05% +10.29%
Oct 1987 - Sep 2002
0.00%
0 out of 307
+0.24%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2025
+4.54% +7.09%
Apr 1989 - Mar 2004
0.00%
0 out of 307
+2.79%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2024
+6.93% +10.60%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2001
0.00%
0 out of 295
+0.38%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2024
+4.39% +7.17%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2001
0.00%
0 out of 295
+2.97%
Feb 2008 - Jan 2025
+7.05% +10.33%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2002
0.00%
0 out of 283
+0.53%
Feb 2008 - Jan 2025
+4.56% +7.03%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2002
0.00%
0 out of 283
+3.24%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023
+6.86% +10.80%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2003
0.00%
0 out of 271
+0.78%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023
+4.45% +7.48%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2003
0.00%
0 out of 271
+3.25%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023
+6.78% +10.60%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2004
0.00%
0 out of 259
+0.68%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023
+4.44% +7.37%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2004
0.00%
0 out of 259
+3.38%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2024
+6.56% +10.27%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2005
0.00%
0 out of 247
+0.80%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2024
+4.24% +7.04%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2005
0.00%
0 out of 247
+4.49%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2023
+6.35% +9.18%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2010
0.00%
0 out of 187
+1.89%
Oct 1998 - Sep 2023
+4.01% +6.10%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2010
0.00%
0 out of 187
+4.94%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023
+6.75% +8.40%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2015
0.00%
0 out of 127
+2.36%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023
+4.22% +5.57%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2015
0.00%
0 out of 127
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