When holding the CI Auspice Broad Commodity Fund (CCOM.TO) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~72 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 281 months (from December 1996 to April 2020).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 282 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
CI Auspice Broad Commodity Fund (CCOM.TO) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Jun 30, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 4.60%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-41.55%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2009 |
+3.62% |
+110.12%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1973 |
34.98%
298 out of 852 |
-41.40%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2009 |
+1.38% |
+95.05%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1973 |
45.42%
387 out of 852 |
-28.56%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2010 |
+3.52% |
+71.24%
Nov 1972 - Oct 1974 |
31.43%
264 out of 840 |
-28.81%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2010 |
+1.14% |
+55.34%
Nov 1972 - Oct 1974 |
42.74%
359 out of 840 |
-14.84%
Mar 2013 - Feb 2016 |
+4.23% |
+57.00%
Nov 1971 - Oct 1974 |
27.42%
227 out of 828 |
-15.84%
Mar 2013 - Feb 2016 |
+1.52% |
+44.66%
Nov 1971 - Oct 1974 |
40.94%
339 out of 828 |
-12.67%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2012 |
+5.63% |
+45.46%
Dec 1970 - Nov 1974 |
23.65%
193 out of 816 |
-13.80%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2012 |
+1.91% |
+35.24%
Dec 1970 - Nov 1974 |
38.73%
316 out of 816 |
-10.20%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2016 |
+6.63% |
+35.84%
Dec 1969 - Nov 1974 |
23.01%
185 out of 804 |
-11.43%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2016 |
+2.48% |
+27.51%
Dec 1969 - Nov 1974 |
37.69%
303 out of 804 |
-9.75%
May 2014 - Apr 2020 |
+6.57% |
+28.77%
Dec 1968 - Nov 1974 |
21.72%
172 out of 792 |
-10.95%
May 2014 - Apr 2020 |
+2.49% |
+21.43%
Dec 1968 - Nov 1974 |
37.25%
295 out of 792 |
-9.44%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2015 |
+7.04% |
+25.14%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1979 |
17.44%
136 out of 780 |
-10.69%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2015 |
+2.86% |
+16.67%
Dec 1967 - Nov 1974 |
35.77%
279 out of 780 |
-9.73%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2016 |
+7.37% |
+25.10%
Oct 1971 - Sep 1979 |
14.71%
113 out of 768 |
-10.99%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2016 |
+2.97% |
+15.23%
Oct 1971 - Sep 1979 |
34.64%
266 out of 768 |
-9.28%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2017 |
+7.33% |
+24.99%
Oct 1971 - Sep 1980 |
12.17%
92 out of 756 |
-10.50%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2017 |
+3.09% |
+14.90%
Oct 1971 - Sep 1980 |
32.14%
243 out of 756 |
-6.40%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2018 |
+7.41% |
+23.71%
Dec 1970 - Nov 1980 |
11.96%
89 out of 744 |
-7.76%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2018 |
+3.65% |
+14.05%
Dec 1970 - Nov 1980 |
31.05%
231 out of 744 |
-6.75%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2019 |
+8.24% |
+21.70%
Dec 1969 - Nov 1980 |
10.79%
79 out of 732 |
-8.15%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2019 |
+4.34% |
+12.87%
Nov 1969 - Oct 1980 |
29.64%
217 out of 732 |
-7.70%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2020 |
+8.44% |
+19.58%
Dec 1968 - Nov 1980 |
11.67%
84 out of 720 |
-9.02%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2020 |
+4.64% |
+11.20%
Nov 1968 - Oct 1980 |
27.92%
201 out of 720 |
-4.55%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2021 |
+8.50% |
+18.22%
Oct 1977 - Sep 1990 |
11.86%
84 out of 708 |
-6.03%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2021 |
+4.68% |
+10.87%
Oct 1977 - Sep 1990 |
24.86%
176 out of 708 |
-3.92%
May 2006 - Apr 2020 |
+8.52% |
+17.87%
Oct 1976 - Sep 1990 |
10.78%
75 out of 696 |
-5.40%
May 2006 - Apr 2020 |
+4.72% |
+10.40%
Oct 1976 - Sep 1990 |
24.14%
168 out of 696 |
-3.60%
May 2005 - Apr 2020 |
+8.74% |
+16.77%
Dec 1970 - Nov 1985 |
8.48%
58 out of 684 |
-5.14%
May 2005 - Apr 2020 |
+4.71% |
+9.79%
Nov 1982 - Oct 1997 |
22.51%
154 out of 684 |
-3.14%
May 2004 - Apr 2020 |
+8.94% |
+16.41%
Aug 1971 - Jul 1987 |
6.85%
46 out of 672 |
-4.73%
May 2004 - Apr 2020 |
+4.80% |
+9.02%
Dec 1984 - Nov 2000 |
21.43%
144 out of 672 |
-1.43%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2025 |
+9.08% |
+16.26%
Aug 1970 - Jul 1987 |
3.94%
26 out of 660 |
-3.45%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2025 |
+4.68% |
+9.16%
Mar 1987 - Feb 2004 |
18.79%
124 out of 660 |
-0.65%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2020 |
+9.23% |
+17.65%
Oct 1972 - Sep 1990 |
1.70%
11 out of 648 |
-2.32%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2020 |
+4.35% |
+9.68%
Oct 1972 - Sep 1990 |
17.28%
112 out of 648 |
-1.28%
May 2001 - Apr 2020 |
+9.54% |
+18.66%
Oct 1971 - Sep 1990 |
1.26%
8 out of 636 |
-2.97%
May 2001 - Apr 2020 |
+4.32% |
+10.71%
Oct 1971 - Sep 1990 |
12.74%
81 out of 636 |
-0.73%
Dec 2000 - Nov 2020 |
+9.62% |
+18.08%
Oct 1970 - Sep 1990 |
1.12%
7 out of 624 |
-2.48%
Dec 2000 - Nov 2020 |
+4.20% |
+10.37%
Oct 1970 - Sep 1990 |
10.10%
63 out of 624 |
+1.72%
May 1995 - Apr 2020 |
+9.25% |
+15.32%
Dec 1971 - Nov 1996 |
0.00%
0 out of 564 |
-0.05%
May 1995 - Apr 2020 |
+4.54% |
+8.85%
Dec 1971 - Nov 1996 |
0.18%
1 out of 564 |
+1.67%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2020 |
+8.93% |
+14.35%
Dec 1970 - Nov 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 504 |
-0.18%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2020 |
+4.89% |
+8.57%
Dec 1970 - Nov 2000 |
0.40%
2 out of 504 |
CI Auspice Broad Commodity Fund (CCOM.TO) ETF: Historical Returns