When holding the BMO Equal Weight US Health CAD Hedged (ZUH.TO) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~41 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 123 months (from February 1999 to April 2009).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 124 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
BMO Equal Weight US Health CAD Hedged (ZUH.TO) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Sep 30, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 5.73%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-29.98%
Dec 2007 - Nov 2008 |
+12.51% |
+56.48%
Nov 1990 - Oct 1991 |
21.34%
102 out of 478 |
-31.33%
Dec 2007 - Nov 2008 |
+10.41% |
+49.88%
Nov 1990 - Oct 1991 |
26.57%
127 out of 478 |
-16.41%
May 2007 - Apr 2009 |
+11.84% |
+41.90%
Sep 1985 - Aug 1987 |
15.67%
73 out of 466 |
-19.82%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023 |
+9.54% |
+35.91%
Sep 1985 - Aug 1987 |
22.32%
104 out of 466 |
-9.70%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
+12.56% |
+36.99%
Sep 1988 - Aug 1991 |
14.76%
67 out of 454 |
-11.27%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
+10.65% |
+31.24%
Jun 2012 - May 2015 |
19.60%
89 out of 454 |
-7.25%
Aug 2021 - Jul 2025 |
+14.29% |
+35.68%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1991 |
7.69%
34 out of 442 |
-10.60%
Aug 2021 - Jul 2025 |
+12.16% |
+30.96%
Feb 1995 - Jan 1999 |
19.46%
86 out of 442 |
-4.90%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
+13.21% |
+30.37%
Jul 1994 - Jun 1999 |
3.26%
14 out of 430 |
-6.69%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
+11.04% |
+28.28%
May 1994 - Apr 1999 |
11.63%
50 out of 430 |
-0.77%
May 2003 - Apr 2009 |
+12.50% |
+29.05%
Oct 1985 - Sep 1991 |
1.67%
7 out of 418 |
-2.51%
May 2003 - Apr 2009 |
+10.50% |
+25.08%
May 1993 - Apr 1999 |
7.89%
33 out of 418 |
-1.37%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009 |
+13.33% |
+30.54%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1991 |
0.99%
4 out of 406 |
-3.43%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009 |
+11.43% |
+25.06%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1991 |
5.42%
22 out of 406 |
-1.45%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009 |
+13.17% |
+26.72%
Dec 1987 - Nov 1995 |
1.52%
6 out of 394 |
-3.42%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009 |
+11.32% |
+23.10%
Feb 1991 - Jan 1999 |
5.08%
20 out of 394 |
-1.48%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2009 |
+12.54% |
+26.60%
Dec 1987 - Nov 1996 |
2.09%
8 out of 382 |
-3.47%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2009 |
+10.75% |
+23.64%
Feb 1990 - Jan 1999 |
6.02%
23 out of 382 |
-0.81%
May 1999 - Apr 2009 |
+12.36% |
+26.00%
Apr 1988 - Mar 1998 |
1.08%
4 out of 370 |
-2.90%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009 |
+10.01% |
+23.15%
Apr 1989 - Mar 1999 |
6.22%
23 out of 370 |
+0.75%
Jul 1999 - Jun 2010 |
+11.97% |
+26.60%
Dec 1987 - Nov 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 358 |
-1.28%
Jul 1999 - Jun 2010 |
+9.91% |
+23.46%
Dec 1987 - Nov 1998 |
3.35%
12 out of 358 |
+2.31%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2011 |
+11.68% |
+25.84%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 346 |
+0.21%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2011 |
+9.47% |
+22.76%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 346 |
+3.26%
Jun 1999 - May 2012 |
+11.59% |
+25.28%
May 1985 - Apr 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 334 |
+1.10%
Jun 1999 - May 2012 |
+9.31% |
+21.71%
May 1985 - Apr 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 334 |
+4.47%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2012 |
+11.24% |
+25.96%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 322 |
+2.37%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2012 |
+9.06% |
+22.44%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 322 |
+6.18%
Aug 1997 - Jul 2012 |
+10.61% |
+25.46%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 310 |
+4.11%
May 1999 - Apr 2014 |
+8.45% |
+21.98%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 310 |
+6.80%
Feb 2000 - Jan 2016 |
+10.02% |
+22.66%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 298 |
+4.78%
Feb 2000 - Jan 2016 |
+7.90% |
+19.23%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 298 |
+6.54%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2016 |
+9.68% |
+21.14%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 286 |
+4.58%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2016 |
+7.56% |
+17.90%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 286 |
+7.13%
Feb 1999 - Jan 2017 |
+9.90% |
+19.84%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 274 |
+5.08%
Feb 1999 - Jan 2017 |
+7.85% |
+16.57%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 274 |
+6.93%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018 |
+10.19% |
+19.67%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2003 |
0.00%
0 out of 262 |
+4.96%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018 |
+8.14% |
+16.45%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2003 |
0.00%
0 out of 262 |
+7.07%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
+10.29% |
+18.71%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2004 |
0.00%
0 out of 250 |
+5.13%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
+8.30% |
+15.55%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2004 |
0.00%
0 out of 250 |
+6.55%
May 2000 - Apr 2025 |
+11.81% |
+15.13%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2009 |
0.00%
0 out of 190 |
+4.24%
May 2000 - Apr 2025 |
+9.79% |
+12.28%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2009 |
0.00%
0 out of 190 |
+8.99%
Aug 1995 - Jul 2025 |
+12.83% |
+16.05%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2014 |
0.00%
0 out of 130 |
+6.73%
Aug 1995 - Jul 2025 |
+10.66% |
+13.35%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2014 |
0.00%
0 out of 130 |
BMO Equal Weight US Health CAD Hedged (ZUH.TO) ETF: Historical Returns