Bitcoin (^BTC-EUR): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 2009 - June 2025 (~17 years)
Initial Amount: 1€
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the Bitcoin (^BTC-EUR) Commodity, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~17 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 36 months (from December 2013 to November 2016).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 37 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

BITCOIN (^BTC-EUR) COMMODITY
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 July 2015 - 30 June 2025 (10 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 June 2025 (~17 years)
All Data
(2009/01 - 2025/06)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

BITCOIN (^BTC-EUR) COMMODITY
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 June 2025 (~17 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-72.39%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2018
+115.94% +20186.07%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2011
21.93%
41 out of 187
-72.81%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2018
+115.59% +19651.62%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2011
22.99%
43 out of 187
-34.69%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2015
+115.22% +1976.18%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2013
11.43%
20 out of 175
-34.83%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2015
+111.83% +1945.05%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2013
12.57%
22 out of 175
-5.59%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2016
+111.82% +1710.71%
Dec 2010 - Nov 2013
0.61%
1 out of 163
-5.90%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2016
+110.34% +1674.79%
Dec 2010 - Nov 2013
0.61%
1 out of 163
+10.93%
Apr 2021 - Mar 2025
+112.04% +1108.77%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2013
0.00%
0 out of 151
+5.94%
Apr 2021 - Mar 2025
+109.34% +1085.12%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2013
0.00%
0 out of 151
+5.52%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2022
+117.55% +568.48%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2014
0.00%
0 out of 139
+2.19%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2022
+114.63% +557.11%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2014
0.00%
0 out of 139
+21.60%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2023
+123.63% +382.47%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2016
0.00%
0 out of 127
+17.83%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2023
+121.10% +376.56%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2016
0.00%
0 out of 127
+33.48%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2024
+105.32% +406.20%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2017
0.00%
0 out of 115
+29.47%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2024
+103.09% +399.99%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2017
0.00%
0 out of 115
+59.81%
Jul 2017 - Jun 2025
+130.70% +381.10%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2017
0.00%
0 out of 103
+55.22%
Jul 2017 - Jun 2025
+128.81% +374.85%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2017
0.00%
0 out of 103
+39.25%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2022
+140.01% +302.98%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2017
0.00%
0 out of 91
+36.30%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2022
+136.84% +297.91%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2017
0.00%
0 out of 91
+45.05%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2023
+137.54% +243.26%
Jul 2009 - Jun 2019
0.00%
0 out of 79
+41.94%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2023
+134.89% +238.67%
Jul 2009 - Jun 2019
0.00%
0 out of 79
+53.32%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2024
+124.04% +255.71%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2021
0.00%
0 out of 67
+50.03%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2024
+119.51% +251.35%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2021
0.00%
0 out of 67
+76.39%
May 2013 - Apr 2025
+141.81% +223.78%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2021
0.00%
0 out of 55
+72.67%
May 2013 - Apr 2025
+136.78% +219.15%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2021
0.00%
0 out of 55
+94.82%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2024
+168.41% +188.69%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2021
0.00%
0 out of 43
+90.72%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2024
+163.00% +184.58%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2021
0.00%
0 out of 43
+92.33%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2025
+159.64% +175.90%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2024
0.00%
0 out of 31
+88.34%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2025
+154.07% +170.09%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2024
0.00%
0 out of 31
+148.69%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2024
+158.28% +166.09%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2025
0.00%
0 out of 19
+143.63%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2024
+152.87% +160.41%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2025
0.00%
0 out of 19
+145.25%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2025
+148.51% +149.15%
Jul 2009 - Jun 2025
0.00%
0 out of 7
+140.16%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2025
+143.48% +144.00%
Jul 2009 - Jun 2025
0.00%
0 out of 7
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