When holding the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~10 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 74 months (from September 2018 to October 2024).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 75 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-69.25%
Jul 2021 - Jun 2022 |
+17.46% |
+177.10%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2021 |
31.25%
35 out of 112 |
-71.79%
Jul 2021 - Jun 2022 |
+15.71% |
+170.02%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2021 |
32.14%
36 out of 112 |
-49.70%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022 |
+19.05% |
+84.80%
Jan 2019 - Dec 2020 |
28.00%
28 out of 100 |
-52.90%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022 |
+16.98% |
+81.51%
Jan 2019 - Dec 2020 |
30.00%
30 out of 100 |
-30.48%
Feb 2021 - Jan 2024 |
+24.76% |
+52.34%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2020 |
36.36%
32 out of 88 |
-34.21%
Feb 2021 - Jan 2024 |
+22.45% |
+49.53%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2020 |
38.64%
34 out of 88 |
-17.48%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2024 |
+18.50% |
+60.50%
Feb 2017 - Jan 2021 |
32.89%
25 out of 76 |
-21.36%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2024 |
+16.51% |
+57.53%
Feb 2017 - Jan 2021 |
43.42%
33 out of 76 |
-2.48%
Nov 2018 - Oct 2023 |
+10.38% |
+54.34%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2021 |
14.06%
9 out of 64 |
-6.23%
Nov 2018 - Oct 2023 |
+6.29% |
+51.30%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2021 |
42.19%
27 out of 64 |
-0.58%
Sep 2018 - Aug 2024 |
+10.72% |
+39.61%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2021 |
1.92%
1 out of 52 |
-4.19%
Sep 2018 - Aug 2024 |
+6.89% |
+37.03%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2021 |
17.31%
9 out of 52 |
+4.94%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2024 |
+12.17% |
+30.62%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 40 |
+1.31%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2024 |
+8.49% |
+27.82%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 40 |
+6.89%
Jan 2015 - Dec 2022 |
+11.34% |
+15.88%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 28 |
+3.79%
Jan 2015 - Dec 2022 |
+7.69% |
+12.02%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 28 |
+7.44%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023 |
+10.66% |
+16.89%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 16 |
+4.40%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023 |
+7.46% |
+13.12%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 16 |
+9.58%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2024 |
+12.06% |
+13.16%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 4 |
+6.51%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2024 |
+8.79% |
+9.74%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 4 |
ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) ETF: Historical Returns