Amundi Euro Government Bond 1-3Y (LYQ2.DE): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: August 1982 - May 2026 (~44 years)
Initial Amount: 1€
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the Amundi Euro Government Bond 1-3Y (LYQ2.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~44 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 139 months (from March 2012 to September 2023).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 140 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

AMUNDI EURO GOVERNMENT BOND 1-3Y (LYQ2.DE) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 June 1996 - 31 May 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 August 1982 - 31 May 2026 (~44 years)
30 Years
(1996/06 - 2026/05)
All Data
(1982/08 - 2026/05)

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As of May 31, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 0.12%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

AMUNDI EURO GOVERNMENT BOND 1-3Y (LYQ2.DE) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 June 1996 - 31 May 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 August 1982 - 31 May 2026 (~44 years)
30 Years
(1996/06 - 2026/05)
All Data
(1982/08 - 2026/05)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

AMUNDI EURO GOVERNMENT BOND 1-3Y (LYQ2.DE) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 August 1982 - 31 May 2026 (~44 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-4.89%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022
+3.08% +18.31%
Nov 1983 - Oct 1984
17.28%
89 out of 515
-13.43%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
+1.28% +15.77%
Nov 1983 - Oct 1984
33.79%
174 out of 515
-2.92%
Mar 2021 - Feb 2023
+3.15% +16.12%
Apr 1984 - Mar 1986
16.90%
85 out of 503
-9.42%
Mar 2021 - Feb 2023
+1.38% +14.64%
Apr 1984 - Mar 1986
31.21%
157 out of 503
-2.14%
Mar 2020 - Feb 2023
+3.13% +14.75%
Apr 1983 - Mar 1986
16.70%
82 out of 491
-7.10%
Oct 2020 - Sep 2023
+1.44% +12.64%
Apr 1983 - Mar 1986
32.79%
161 out of 491
-1.60%
Mar 2019 - Feb 2023
+3.28% +12.29%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1986
16.28%
78 out of 479
-5.46%
Mar 2019 - Feb 2023
+1.37% +10.70%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1986
29.23%
140 out of 479
-1.38%
Mar 2018 - Feb 2023
+3.00% +10.12%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1987
14.13%
66 out of 467
-4.73%
Mar 2018 - Feb 2023
+1.03% +8.55%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1987
23.13%
108 out of 467
-1.23%
Mar 2017 - Feb 2023
+2.93% +9.70%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1988
12.75%
58 out of 455
-4.22%
Mar 2017 - Feb 2023
+0.98% +8.24%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1988
21.32%
97 out of 455
-1.09%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2023
+3.05% +9.31%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1989
10.84%
48 out of 443
-3.93%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2023
+1.01% +7.62%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1989
23.70%
105 out of 443
-0.97%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023
+3.08% +9.44%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1990
9.05%
39 out of 431
-3.44%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023
+1.03% +7.38%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1990
25.06%
108 out of 431
-0.67%
Jul 2014 - Jun 2023
+3.00% +9.36%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1991
8.59%
36 out of 419
-3.02%
Oct 2014 - Sep 2023
+0.99% +7.03%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1991
23.63%
99 out of 419
-0.37%
Mar 2013 - Feb 2023
+3.05% +9.29%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1992
7.86%
32 out of 407
-2.69%
May 2016 - Apr 2026
+1.00% +6.86%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1992
22.36%
91 out of 407
-0.14%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2023
+3.11% +9.22%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1993
4.05%
16 out of 395
-2.44%
May 2015 - Apr 2026
+1.04% +6.69%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1993
20.00%
79 out of 395
+0.12%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2024
+3.13% +8.74%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1994
0.00%
0 out of 383
-2.12%
May 2014 - Apr 2026
+1.13% +6.21%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1994
17.49%
67 out of 383
+0.09%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2023
+3.04% +8.63%
May 1983 - Apr 1996
0.00%
0 out of 371
-2.01%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2023
+1.05% +6.09%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1995
16.17%
60 out of 371
+0.21%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023
+3.02% +8.70%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1996
0.00%
0 out of 359
-1.94%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023
+1.00% +6.18%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1996
18.11%
65 out of 359
+0.43%
Jun 2009 - May 2024
+3.04% +8.43%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1997
0.00%
0 out of 347
-1.68%
Aug 2009 - Jul 2024
+1.07% +5.97%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1997
20.75%
72 out of 347
+0.56%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2026
+3.19% +8.20%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1998
0.00%
0 out of 335
-1.58%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2026
+1.18% +5.85%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1998
20.00%
67 out of 335
+0.69%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2026
+3.37% +7.77%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1999
0.00%
0 out of 323
-1.45%
May 2009 - Apr 2026
+1.39% +5.46%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1999
21.05%
68 out of 323
+0.84%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2023
+3.55% +7.50%
Dec 1982 - Nov 2000
0.00%
0 out of 311
-1.23%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2023
+1.52% +5.19%
Dec 1982 - Nov 2000
20.58%
64 out of 311
+0.95%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2023
+3.58% +7.42%
Dec 1982 - Nov 2001
0.00%
0 out of 299
-1.14%
Oct 2004 - Sep 2023
+1.56% +5.13%
Dec 1982 - Nov 2001
19.40%
58 out of 299
+1.00%
Jul 2003 - Jun 2023
+3.54% +7.23%
Dec 1982 - Nov 2002
0.00%
0 out of 287
-1.09%
Oct 2003 - Sep 2023
+1.60% +4.94%
Dec 1982 - Nov 2002
19.51%
56 out of 287
+1.51%
May 1999 - Apr 2024
+3.61% +6.24%
Dec 1982 - Nov 2007
0.00%
0 out of 227
-0.60%
May 1999 - Apr 2024
+1.67% +3.94%
Dec 1982 - Nov 2007
21.15%
48 out of 227
+1.93%
May 1996 - Apr 2026
+3.69% +5.68%
Dec 1982 - Nov 2012
0.00%
0 out of 167
-0.13%
May 1996 - Apr 2026
+1.63% +3.44%
Dec 1982 - Nov 2012
1.80%
3 out of 167
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