When holding the Aberdeen Standard Platinum Shares ETF (PPLT) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~56 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 534 months (from March 1980 to August 2024). This negative serie is not closed yet.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Aberdeen Standard Platinum Shares ETF (PPLT) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Aug 31, 2024, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been -4.76%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-50.62%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
+0.74% |
+121.92%
Mar 1979 - Feb 1980 |
48.05%
320 out of 666 |
-54.95%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1981 |
-1.96% |
+103.61%
Nov 1977 - Oct 1978 |
54.05%
360 out of 666 |
-38.83%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1982 |
-0.06% |
+99.88%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1980 |
50.15%
328 out of 654 |
-44.13%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1982 |
-3.07% |
+78.50%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1980 |
59.94%
392 out of 654 |
-26.28%
Feb 1969 - Jan 1972 |
+1.17% |
+76.09%
Mar 1977 - Feb 1980 |
46.26%
297 out of 642 |
-29.71%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1983 |
-2.50% |
+60.04%
Mar 1977 - Feb 1980 |
56.07%
360 out of 642 |
-19.21%
May 1968 - Apr 1972 |
+3.00% |
+60.57%
Mar 1976 - Feb 1980 |
36.19%
228 out of 630 |
-23.76%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1984 |
-0.72% |
+47.27%
Mar 1976 - Feb 1980 |
53.65%
338 out of 630 |
-22.88%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985 |
+3.35% |
+42.88%
Mar 1975 - Feb 1980 |
35.76%
221 out of 618 |
-27.32%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985 |
-0.26% |
+31.72%
Mar 1975 - Feb 1980 |
52.10%
322 out of 618 |
-13.05%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1986 |
+2.77% |
+28.30%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2008 |
38.12%
231 out of 606 |
-17.68%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1986 |
-0.75% |
+24.55%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2008 |
52.97%
321 out of 606 |
-12.00%
Sep 2011 - Aug 2018 |
+1.89% |
+28.99%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1980 |
39.23%
233 out of 594 |
-13.68%
Feb 1969 - Jan 1976 |
-1.48% |
+18.36%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1980 |
56.40%
335 out of 594 |
-10.47%
Jun 2011 - May 2019 |
+3.00% |
+32.22%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1980 |
38.83%
226 out of 582 |
-12.76%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1988 |
-0.84% |
+21.96%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1980 |
54.64%
318 out of 582 |
-10.03%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020 |
+3.61% |
+26.85%
Mar 1971 - Feb 1980 |
37.02%
211 out of 570 |
-11.48%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020 |
-0.63% |
+18.16%
Jul 1999 - Jun 2008 |
52.98%
302 out of 570 |
-8.86%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2018 |
+3.88% |
+19.06%
Jul 1998 - Jun 2008 |
36.20%
202 out of 558 |
-10.19%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1990 |
-0.65% |
+15.69%
Mar 1998 - Feb 2008 |
51.61%
288 out of 558 |
-8.50%
Jun 2008 - May 2019 |
+3.52% |
+16.80%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2008 |
32.42%
177 out of 546 |
-11.63%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1991 |
-0.61% |
+13.79%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2008 |
51.83%
283 out of 546 |
-8.60%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2020 |
+4.42% |
+14.91%
Jul 1996 - Jun 2008 |
27.72%
148 out of 534 |
-11.77%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1992 |
-0.86% |
+12.04%
May 1999 - Apr 2011 |
54.68%
292 out of 534 |
-7.24%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1993 |
+3.84% |
+13.64%
Mar 1995 - Feb 2008 |
28.54%
149 out of 522 |
-11.38%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1993 |
-0.66% |
+10.68%
Mar 1995 - Feb 2008 |
53.83%
281 out of 522 |
-6.25%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2022 |
+3.82% |
+12.92%
Mar 1994 - Feb 2008 |
26.08%
133 out of 510 |
-9.94%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1994 |
-0.46% |
+9.97%
Mar 1994 - Feb 2008 |
52.35%
267 out of 510 |
-5.81%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2023 |
+3.78% |
+12.99%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2008 |
25.30%
126 out of 498 |
-9.24%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1995 |
-0.02% |
+10.04%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2008 |
50.20%
250 out of 498 |
-5.94%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2024 |
+3.98% |
+11.88%
Mar 1992 - Feb 2008 |
16.87%
82 out of 486 |
-8.83%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1996 |
-0.09% |
+8.92%
Mar 1992 - Feb 2008 |
51.23%
249 out of 486 |
-4.99%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1997 |
+3.88% |
+10.60%
Dec 1971 - Nov 1988 |
12.87%
61 out of 474 |
-8.90%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1997 |
+0.08% |
+7.49%
Jul 1991 - Jun 2008 |
47.68%
226 out of 474 |
-4.75%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1998 |
+4.51% |
+9.66%
Feb 1971 - Jan 1989 |
10.39%
48 out of 462 |
-8.47%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1998 |
+0.30% |
+6.95%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2011 |
45.02%
208 out of 462 |
-4.53%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1999 |
+4.53% |
+9.29%
May 1992 - Apr 2011 |
6.89%
31 out of 450 |
-8.21%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1999 |
+0.34% |
+6.59%
May 1992 - Apr 2011 |
44.44%
200 out of 450 |
-3.24%
Mar 1980 - Feb 2000 |
+4.34% |
+8.86%
Sep 1991 - Aug 2011 |
6.39%
28 out of 438 |
-6.87%
Mar 1980 - Feb 2000 |
+0.29% |
+6.15%
Sep 1991 - Aug 2011 |
45.21%
198 out of 438 |
-0.26%
Mar 1980 - Feb 2005 |
+3.88% |
+7.57%
May 1985 - Apr 2010 |
0.26%
1 out of 378 |
-4.18%
Oct 1968 - Sep 1993 |
+0.74% |
+4.56%
May 1985 - Apr 2010 |
33.33%
126 out of 378 |
+0.77%
Dec 1988 - Nov 2018 |
+3.67% |
+7.75%
Mar 1978 - Feb 2008 |
0.00%
0 out of 318 |
-4.01%
Jul 1968 - Jun 1998 |
+0.32% |
+3.47%
Mar 1978 - Feb 2008 |
39.94%
127 out of 318 |
Aberdeen Standard Platinum Shares ETF (PPLT) ETF: Historical Returns