Aberdeen Standard Physical Palladium Shares ETF (PALL): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: August 1984 - June 2025 (~41 years)
Initial Amount: 1$
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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When holding the Aberdeen Standard Physical Palladium Shares ETF (PALL) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~41 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 293 months (from January 2001 to May 2025).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 294 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

ABERDEEN STANDARD PHYSICAL PALLADIUM SHARES ETF (PALL) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 July 1995 - 30 June 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 August 1984 - 30 June 2025 (~41 years)
30 Years
(1995/07 - 2025/06)
All Data
(1984/08 - 2025/06)

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As of Jun 30, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 4.44%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ABERDEEN STANDARD PHYSICAL PALLADIUM SHARES ETF (PALL) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 July 1995 - 30 June 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 August 1984 - 30 June 2025 (~41 years)
30 Years
(1995/07 - 2025/06)
All Data
(1984/08 - 2025/06)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ABERDEEN STANDARD PHYSICAL PALLADIUM SHARES ETF (PALL) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 August 1984 - 30 June 2025 (~41 years)
Over Time
Histogram
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-65.63%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+8.94% +154.88%
May 2009 - Apr 2010
41.67%
200 out of 480
-65.63%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+4.87% +149.38%
May 2009 - Apr 2010
43.54%
209 out of 480
-52.47%
May 2001 - Apr 2003
+5.39% +108.17%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2010
40.38%
189 out of 468
-53.36%
May 2001 - Apr 2003
+2.28% +103.84%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2010
44.44%
208 out of 468
-41.41%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2003
+7.10% +67.37%
Jan 1998 - Dec 2000
34.65%
158 out of 456
-42.58%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2003
+4.89% +63.18%
Jan 1998 - Dec 2000
40.35%
184 out of 456
-34.88%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2005
+8.21% +70.30%
Feb 1997 - Jan 2001
31.53%
140 out of 444
-36.29%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2005
+5.47% +66.23%
Feb 1997 - Jan 2001
38.06%
169 out of 444
-25.07%
Aug 2000 - Jul 2005
+7.11% +52.28%
Feb 1996 - Jan 2001
30.56%
132 out of 432
-26.86%
Aug 2000 - Jul 2005
+4.61% +48.47%
Feb 1996 - Jan 2001
39.58%
171 out of 432
-17.16%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2007
+6.92% +37.12%
Feb 1995 - Jan 2001
29.52%
124 out of 420
-19.17%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2007
+4.71% +33.64%
Feb 1995 - Jan 2001
41.19%
173 out of 420
-13.20%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2008
+8.43% +35.50%
Feb 1994 - Jan 2001
24.75%
101 out of 408
-15.52%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2008
+6.26% +32.01%
Feb 1994 - Jan 2001
37.01%
151 out of 408
-19.09%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2009
+7.52% +32.35%
Feb 1993 - Jan 2001
12.88%
51 out of 396
-20.97%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2009
+4.94% +28.97%
Feb 1993 - Jan 2001
31.82%
126 out of 396
-13.34%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009
+7.45% +31.83%
Feb 1992 - Jan 2001
9.64%
37 out of 384
-15.47%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009
+4.92% +28.37%
Feb 1992 - Jan 2001
21.35%
82 out of 384
-5.72%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
+7.69% +28.76%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2001
9.14%
34 out of 372
-8.10%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
+4.92% +25.39%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2001
25.54%
95 out of 372
-4.70%
May 1998 - Apr 2009
+8.03% +25.79%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2020
6.39%
23 out of 360
-7.02%
May 1998 - Apr 2009
+5.31% +23.55%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2020
20.83%
75 out of 360
-2.90%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2013
+7.59% +23.66%
May 2009 - Apr 2021
4.89%
17 out of 348
-5.21%
Dec 1984 - Nov 1996
+4.88% +21.35%
May 2009 - Apr 2021
11.78%
41 out of 348
-3.13%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2014
+7.67% +21.13%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022
2.38%
8 out of 336
-5.29%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2014
+4.75% +18.45%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022
11.31%
38 out of 336
-2.31%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2015
+8.18% +18.16%
Oct 2008 - Sep 2022
1.85%
6 out of 324
-4.32%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2015
+5.37% +15.63%
Oct 2008 - Sep 2022
13.58%
44 out of 324
-5.01%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2016
+7.92% +18.89%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2020
3.85%
12 out of 312
-6.91%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2016
+5.41% +16.55%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2020
10.26%
32 out of 312
-2.40%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2016
+7.85% +18.12%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2021
4.33%
13 out of 300
-4.42%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2016
+5.17% +15.68%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2021
13.00%
39 out of 300
-0.34%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2018
+7.06% +16.28%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2022
0.35%
1 out of 288
-2.36%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2018
+4.10% +13.72%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2020
14.58%
42 out of 288
+0.50%
Aug 2000 - Jul 2018
+6.30% +17.43%
May 2003 - Apr 2021
0.00%
0 out of 276
-1.57%
Aug 2000 - Jul 2018
+3.60% +15.00%
May 2003 - Apr 2021
8.70%
24 out of 276
+1.20%
Sep 1986 - Aug 2005
+6.92% +14.89%
May 2003 - Apr 2022
0.00%
0 out of 264
-1.85%
Sep 1986 - Aug 2005
+4.45% +12.18%
May 2003 - Apr 2022
7.20%
19 out of 264
+1.24%
Apr 1989 - Mar 2009
+7.52% +12.13%
Jan 1991 - Dec 2010
0.00%
0 out of 252
-1.53%
Apr 1989 - Mar 2009
+5.15% +9.38%
Jan 1991 - Dec 2010
8.33%
21 out of 252
+0.75%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2025
+7.51% +12.98%
May 1996 - Apr 2021
0.00%
0 out of 192
-1.77%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2025
+4.92% +10.59%
May 1996 - Apr 2021
3.65%
7 out of 192
+5.09%
Mar 1986 - Feb 2016
+7.10% +11.87%
Sep 1991 - Aug 2021
0.00%
0 out of 132
+2.40%
Sep 1986 - Aug 2016
+4.46% +9.33%
Jan 1991 - Dec 2020
0.00%
0 out of 132
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