Developed World ex-US 20/80 vs Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 30/70 Portfolio Comparison

Period: January 1985 - September 2024 (~40 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 September 2024
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
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Developed World ex-US 20/80 Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
October 1994
4.89$
Final Capital
September 2024
5.43%
Yearly Return
5.24
Std Deviation
-16.80%
Max Drawdown
38 months
Recovery Period
Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 30/70 Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
October 1994
5.75$
Final Capital
September 2024
6.01%
Yearly Return
5.18
Std Deviation
-16.58%
Max Drawdown
18 months
Recovery Period
Developed World ex-US 20/80 Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1985
15.98$
Final Capital
September 2024
7.22%
Yearly Return
5.82
Std Deviation
-16.80%
Max Drawdown
38 months
Recovery Period
Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 30/70 Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1985
16.65$
Final Capital
September 2024
7.33%
Yearly Return
5.49
Std Deviation
-16.58%
Max Drawdown
18 months
Recovery Period

The Developed World ex-US 20/80 Portfolio obtained a 5.43% compound annual return, with a 5.24% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

The Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 30/70 Portfolio obtained a 6.01% compound annual return, with a 5.18% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

Returns as of Sep 30, 2024

The portfolios guaranteed the following returns.

RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 September 2024 (~40 years)
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Return (%) as of Sep 30, 2024
YTD
(9M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~40Y)
Developed World ex-US 20/80 5.17 1.21 4.07 13.07 1.53 3.01 5.43 7.22
Sheltered Sam 30/70
Bill Bernstein
7.65 1.35 5.78 14.03 4.50 4.09 6.01 7.33
Return over 1 year are annualized.

Capital Growth as of Sep 30, 2024

Developed World ex-US 20/80 Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since October 1994, now would be worth 4.89$, with a total return of 388.74% (5.43% annualized).

Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 30/70 Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since October 1994, now would be worth 5.75$, with a total return of 475.47% (6.01% annualized).


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Developed World ex-US 20/80 Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1985, now would be worth 15.98$, with a total return of 1498.42% (7.22% annualized).

Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 30/70 Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1985, now would be worth 16.65$, with a total return of 1565.09% (7.33% annualized).


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Metrics as of Sep 30, 2024

The following metrics, updated as of 30 September 2024, provide an overview of performance and risk.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 October 2023 - 30 September 2024 (1 year)
Period: 1 October 2019 - 30 September 2024 (5 years)
Period: 1 October 2014 - 30 September 2024 (10 years)
Period: 1 October 1994 - 30 September 2024 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 September 2024 (~40 years)
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Developed World ex-US 20/80 Sheltered Sam 30/70
Author Bill Bernstein
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 20% 29.1%
Fixed Income 80% 70%
Commodities 0% 0.9%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 13.07 14.03
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 10.61 11.55
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -1.82 -1.95
Start to Recovery (months) 4 2
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -1.82 -1.05
Start to Recovery (months) 4 2
Longest Negative Period (months) 4 4
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 6.13 5.55
Sharpe Ratio 1.26 1.56
Sortino Ratio 1.91 2.13
Ulcer Index 0.65 0.62
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 2.13 2.53
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 7.17 7.20
Metrics calculated over the period 1 October 2023 - 30 September 2024
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Developed World ex-US 20/80 Sheltered Sam 30/70
Author Bill Bernstein
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 20% 29.1%
Fixed Income 80% 70%
Commodities 0% 0.9%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 1.53 4.50
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) -2.51 0.34
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.80 -12.55
Start to Recovery (months) 38* 31
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.80 -12.55
Start to Recovery (months) 38* 31
Longest Negative Period (months) 50 34
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 6.99 6.74
Sharpe Ratio -0.09 0.34
Sortino Ratio -0.13 0.45
Ulcer Index 7.10 4.53
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.22 0.67
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.09 0.36
Metrics calculated over the period 1 October 2019 - 30 September 2024
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Developed World ex-US 20/80 Sheltered Sam 30/70
Author Bill Bernstein
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 20% 29.1%
Fixed Income 80% 70%
Commodities 0% 0.9%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 3.01 4.09
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 0.17 1.22
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.80 -12.55
Start to Recovery (months) 38* 31
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.80 -12.55
Start to Recovery (months) 38* 31
Longest Negative Period (months) 59 34
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 5.43 5.39
Sharpe Ratio 0.28 0.48
Sortino Ratio 0.38 0.64
Ulcer Index 5.09 3.34
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.55 0.76
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.18 0.33
Metrics calculated over the period 1 October 2014 - 30 September 2024
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Developed World ex-US 20/80 Sheltered Sam 30/70
Author Bill Bernstein
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 20% 29.1%
Fixed Income 80% 70%
Commodities 0% 0.9%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 5.43 6.01
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 2.85 3.41
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.80 -16.58
Start to Recovery (months) 38* 18
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.80 -12.55
Start to Recovery (months) 38* 31
Longest Negative Period (months) 59 41
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 5.24 5.18
Sharpe Ratio 0.60 0.72
Sortino Ratio 0.81 0.94
Ulcer Index 3.73 2.80
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.04 1.16
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.32 0.36
Metrics calculated over the period 1 October 1994 - 30 September 2024
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Developed World ex-US 20/80 Sheltered Sam 30/70
Author Bill Bernstein
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 20% 29.1%
Fixed Income 80% 70%
Commodities 0% 0.9%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.22 7.33
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 4.32 4.43
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.80 -16.58
Start to Recovery (months) 38* 18
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.80 -12.55
Start to Recovery (months) 38* 31
Longest Negative Period (months) 59 41
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 5.82 5.49
Sharpe Ratio 0.70 0.76
Sortino Ratio 0.99 1.02
Ulcer Index 3.46 2.63
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.24 1.34
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.43 0.44
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 1985 - 30 September 2024

Drawdowns

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 October 1994 - 30 September 2024 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 September 2024 (~40 years)

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Developed World ex-US 20/80 Sheltered Sam 30/70
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-16.80 38* Aug 2021
In progress
-16.58 18 Jun 2008
Nov 2009
-15.55 18 Mar 2008
Aug 2009
-12.55 31 Jan 2022
Jul 2024
-7.46 22 Dec 1996
Sep 1998
-6.24 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-5.99 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-4.48 8 May 2013
Dec 2013
-4.37 9 May 2011
Jan 2012
-4.01 4 Jul 1998
Oct 1998
-3.98 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-3.54 12 May 2015
Apr 2016
-3.32 5 May 2010
Sep 2010
-3.26 6 Apr 2004
Sep 2004
-3.06 12 Apr 2015
Mar 2016

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Developed World ex-US 20/80 Sheltered Sam 30/70
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-16.80 38* Aug 2021
In progress
-16.58 18 Jun 2008
Nov 2009
-15.55 18 Mar 2008
Aug 2009
-12.55 31 Jan 2022
Jul 2024
-7.59 10 Sep 1987
Jun 1988
-7.46 22 Dec 1996
Sep 1998
-7.02 7 Jan 1990
Jul 1990
-6.51 18 Feb 1994
Jul 1995
-6.31 5 Aug 1990
Dec 1990
-6.24 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-5.99 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-5.67 15 Feb 1994
Apr 1995
-4.64 5 Aug 1990
Dec 1990
-4.48 8 May 2013
Dec 2013
-4.37 9 May 2011
Jan 2012

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 September 2024 (~40 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown.
The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.
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Developed World ex-US 20/80 Sheltered Sam 30/70
Year Return Drawdown Return Drawdown
2024
5.17% -1.82% 7.65% -1.95%
2023
10.62% -3.65% 7.25% -4.05%
2022
-13.28% -15.82% -9.07% -12.55%
2021
0.51% -1.64% 8.27% -1.49%
2020
5.67% -5.99% 6.68% -6.24%
2019
10.82% -0.13% 11.29% -1.23%
2018
-0.71% -1.97% -2.35% -3.98%
2017
7.20% -0.28% 6.35% 0.00%
2016
4.23% -2.76% 6.14% -0.94%
2015
0.88% -3.06% -1.08% -3.54%
2014
5.80% -0.91% 3.87% -1.94%
2013
3.72% -4.48% 5.39% -2.64%
2012
11.34% -1.93% 6.92% -1.73%
2011
4.42% -2.68% 3.74% -4.37%
2010
8.49% -1.80% 8.08% -3.32%
2009
17.74% -4.20% 11.17% -7.71%
2008
-10.01% -15.55% -8.30% -12.57%
2007
6.22% -0.75% 7.21% -0.78%
2006
7.61% -0.62% 8.56% -1.09%
2005
6.71% -1.16% 4.67% -1.32%
2004
8.93% -1.18% 8.30% -3.26%
2003
10.88% -0.98% 14.34% -0.69%
2002
4.31% -1.24% 3.99% -2.62%
2001
4.28% -1.41% 3.89% -2.11%
2000
4.50% -1.64% 9.31% -1.23%
1999
7.82% -2.07% 4.74% -2.18%
1998
16.99% -0.92% 8.32% -4.01%
1997
-4.15% -6.74% 12.35% -1.75%
1996
4.66% -1.36% 8.07% -1.16%
1995
17.78% -0.82% 19.30% 0.00%
1994
-3.88% -6.31% -2.28% -5.67%
1993
19.11% -1.94% 14.75% -1.45%
1992
6.56% -4.18% 8.20% -1.27%
1991
19.03% -1.69% 19.59% -1.56%
1990
0.80% -7.02% 2.91% -4.64%
1989
11.45% -2.33% 17.14% -0.61%
1988
12.16% -0.98% 10.47% -1.19%
1987
8.87% -2.58% 3.06% -7.59%
1986
25.77% -3.32% 17.32% -2.63%
1985
31.17% -2.24% 23.63% -0.55%