Developed World ex-US 20/80 Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns

Data Source: from January 1985 to November 2023 (~39 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 November 2023
Live Update: Dec 01 2023
PORTFOLIO • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)
0.69%
1 Day
Dec 01 2023
0.69%
Current Month
December 2023

The Developed World ex-US 20/80 Portfolio is a Low Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 2 ETFs.

It's exposed for 20% on the Stock Market.

In the last 30 Years, the Developed World ex-US 20/80 Portfolio obtained a 5.08% compound annual return, with a 5.26% standard deviation.

Table of contents

Asset Allocation and ETFs

The Developed World ex-US 20/80 Portfolio has the following asset allocation:

20% Stocks
80% Fixed Income
0% Commodities

The Developed World ex-US 20/80 Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:

Weight (%) Ticker Currency ETF Name Investment Themes
20.00
VEA
USD Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets Equity, EAFE, Large Cap
80.00
BNDX
USD Vanguard Total International Bond Bond, Developed Markets, All-Term

Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.

Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Nov 30, 2023

The Developed World ex-US 20/80 Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming: December 2023 return is calculated on the hypothesis of a newly built portfolio, with the starting asset allocation.
DEVELOPED WORLD EX-US 20/80 PORTFOLIO
Consolidated returns as of 30 November 2023
Live Update: Dec 01 2023
Swipe left to see all data
  Chg (%) Return (%) Return (%) as of Nov 30, 2023
  1 Day Time ET(*) Dec 2023 1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~39Y)
Developed World ex-US 20/80 Portfolio 0.69 0.69 4.51 2.20 3.84 1.70 2.60 5.08 7.14
US Inflation Adjusted return 4.51 1.02 0.48 -2.28 -0.21 2.50 4.23
Components
VEA
USD Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets 1.02 Dec 01 2023 1.02 8.81 4.66 9.27 6.03 4.14 5.23 7.81
BNDX
USD Vanguard Total International Bond 0.60 Dec 01 2023 0.60 3.43 1.56 2.49 0.52 2.06 4.69 6.57
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Jan 1985
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
US Inflation is updated to Oct 2023. Waiting for updates, inflation of Nov 2023 is set to 0%. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 3.35% , 5Y: 4.07% , 10Y: 2.82% , 30Y: 2.52%

In 2022, the Developed World ex-US 20/80 Portfolio granted a 1.53% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Developed World ex-US 20/80 Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.

Capital Growth as of Nov 30, 2023

An investment of 1$, since December 1993, now would be worth 4.42$, with a total return of 342.50% (5.08% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 2.10$, with a net total return of 109.69% (2.50% annualized).
An investment of 1$, since January 1985, now would be worth 14.65$, with a total return of 1365.47% (7.14% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 5.02$, with a net total return of 401.56% (4.23% annualized).

Portfolio Metrics as of Nov 30, 2023

Metrics of Developed World ex-US 20/80 Portfolio, updated as of 30 November 2023.

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
DEVELOPED WORLD EX-US 20/80 PORTFOLIO
Advanced Metrics
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 30 November 2023 (~39 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Metrics as of Nov 30, 2023
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
(~39Y)
Investment Return (%) 4.51 1.41 2.20 3.84 -1.94 1.70 2.60 4.56 5.08 7.14
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) details 4.51 1.19 1.02 0.48 -7.27 -2.28 -0.21 1.92 2.50 4.23
US Inflation (%) 0.00 0.21 1.17 3.35 5.74 4.07 2.82 2.59 2.52 2.79
Waiting for updates, inflation of Nov 2023 is temporarily set to 0%. Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
DRAWDOWN
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -3.65 -16.80 -16.80 -16.80 -16.80 -16.80 -16.80
Start to Recovery (# months) details 4 28* 28* 28* 28* 28* 28*
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2021 08 2021 08 2021 08 2021 08 2021 08 2021 08
Start to Bottom (# months) 3 14 14 14 14 14 14
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09
Bottom to End (# months) 1 14 14 14 14 14 14
End (yyyy mm) 2023 11 - - - - - -
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest
Start to Recovery (# months) details
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2021 08 2021 08 2021 08 2021 08 2021 08 2021 08
Start to Bottom (# months) 3 14 14 14 14 14 14
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09
Bottom to End (# months) 1 14 14 14 14 14 14
End (yyyy mm) 2023 11 - - - - - -
Longest negative period (# months) details 11 36* 55 59 59 59 59
Period Start (yyyy mm) 2022 12 2020 12 2019 04 2017 11 2017 11 2017 11 2017 11
Period End (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2023 11 2023 10 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09
Annualized Return (%) -0.70 -1.94 -0.08 -0.14 -0.14 -0.14 -0.14
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -4.31 -25.75 -25.75 -25.75 -25.75 -25.75 -25.75
Start to Recovery (# months) details 10 35* 35* 35* 35* 35* 35*
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 02 2021 01 2021 01 2021 01 2021 01 2021 01 2021 01
Start to Bottom (# months) 9 21 21 21 21 21 21
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09
Bottom to End (# months) 1 14 14 14 14 14 14
End (yyyy mm) 2023 11 - - - - - -
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest
Start to Recovery (# months) details
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 02 2021 01 2021 01 2021 01 2021 01 2021 01 2021 01
Start to Bottom (# months) 9 21 21 21 21 21 21
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09
Bottom to End (# months) 1 14 14 14 14 14 14
End (yyyy mm) 2023 11 - - - - - -
Longest negative period (# months) details 11 36* 60* 120* 134 134 134
Period Start (yyyy mm) 2022 12 2020 12 2018 12 2013 12 2012 09 2012 09 2012 09
Period End (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2023 11 2023 11 2023 11 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10
Annualized Return (%) -4.20 -7.27 -2.28 -0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Standard Deviation (%) 7.61 7.46 6.80 5.24 5.29 5.26 5.83
Sharpe Ratio -0.14 -0.52 0.00 0.30 0.62 0.54 0.54
Sortino Ratio -0.21 -0.76 0.01 0.39 0.81 0.73 0.76
Ulcer Index 1.59 8.73 6.87 4.93 4.34 3.81 3.44
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.50 -0.26 0.25 0.50 0.86 0.97 1.22
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 1.05 -0.12 0.10 0.15 0.27 0.30 0.43
% Positive Months details 50% 47% 58% 63% 69% 66% 68%
Positive Months 6 17 35 76 167 240 320
Negative Months 6 19 25 44 73 120 147
LONG TERM RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 2.60 6.96 7.76 12.64
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 2.18 2.18 2.18
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized -0.21 5.10 5.10 8.74
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized -0.60 -0.60 -0.60
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Over the latest 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 24.13 12.87 10.31 7.76 6.88 5.08
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -15.42 -3.44 0.04 2.18 4.36
% Positive Periods 87% 93% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 21.52 10.25 8.11 5.10 4.55 2.50
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -21.83 -7.99 -3.58 -0.60 1.74
% Positive Periods 80% 90% 92% 95% 100% 100%
Over all the available data source (Jan 1985 - Nov 2023)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 41.14 23.04 17.56 12.64 10.00 8.67
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -15.42 -3.44 0.04 2.18 4.36 4.86
% Positive Periods 89% 95% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 38.93 19.40 13.40 8.74 6.79 5.82
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -21.83 -7.99 -3.58 -0.60 1.74 2.28
% Positive Periods 82% 92% 94% 96% 100% 100%
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR)
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Safe WR (%) 30.07 20.36 10.91 6.87 5.34 8.31
Perpetual WR (%) 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.88 2.44 4.06
Terms and Definitions
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation)
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).
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Portfolio Components Correlation

Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.

Correlation coefficient is a numerical value between -1 and +1. If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
COMPONENTS MONTHLY CORRELATIONS
Monthly correlations as of 30 November 2023
Swipe left to see all data
Asset
VEA
BNDX
VEA
-
0.74
BNDX
0.74
-
Asset
VEA
BNDX
VEA
-
0.51
BNDX
0.51
-
Asset
VEA
BNDX
VEA
-
0.38
BNDX
0.38
-
Asset
VEA
BNDX
VEA
-
0.18
BNDX
0.18
-
Asset
VEA
BNDX
VEA
-
0.21
BNDX
0.21
-

If you want to learn more about historical correlations, you can find out here how the main asset class are correlated to each other.

Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DEVELOPED WORLD EX-US 20/80 PORTFOLIO
Drawdown periods
Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 December 1993 - 30 November 2023 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 30 November 2023 (~39 years)
Inflation Adjusted:
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months Ulcer Index
-16.80% Aug 2021 Sep 2022 14 in progress 14 28 9.85
-15.55% Mar 2008 Nov 2008 9 Aug 2009 9 18 8.92
-7.46% Dec 1996 Apr 1997 5 Sep 1998 17 22 3.35
-6.51% Feb 1994 Feb 1995 13 Jul 1995 5 18 4.66
-5.99% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 2 Jul 2020 4 6 2.79
-4.48% May 2013 Jun 2013 2 Dec 2013 6 8 2.44
-3.06% Apr 2015 Sep 2015 6 Mar 2016 6 12 1.67
-2.76% Oct 2016 Nov 2016 2 Apr 2017 5 7 1.55
-2.68% Aug 2011 Sep 2011 2 Dec 2011 3 5 1.39
-2.07% May 1999 May 1999 1 Oct 1999 5 6 1.32
-1.97% Aug 2018 Oct 2018 3 Jan 2019 3 6 1.11
-1.93% May 2012 May 2012 1 Jul 2012 2 3 0.98
-1.80% Nov 2010 Nov 2010 1 Feb 2011 3 4 0.93
-1.64% Jan 2000 Jan 2000 1 Mar 2000 2 3 0.82
-1.64% Feb 1999 Feb 1999 1 Apr 1999 2 3 0.82
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months Ulcer Index
-25.75% Jan 2021 Sep 2022 21 in progress 14 35 16.93
-16.47% Mar 2008 Oct 2008 8 Sep 2009 11 19 9.56
-9.42% Feb 1994 Feb 1995 13 Nov 1995 9 22 5.98
-8.39% Dec 1996 Apr 1997 5 Sep 1998 17 22 4.48
-6.04% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 2 Nov 2020 8 10 2.14
-4.88% May 2013 Jun 2013 2 Feb 2014 8 10 2.51
-4.24% Mar 2015 Sep 2015 7 Jul 2016 10 17 2.25
-3.63% Jan 2018 Oct 2018 10 Mar 2019 5 15 1.71
-3.22% Nov 2010 Sep 2011 11 Dec 2011 3 14 1.38
-2.88% Feb 2001 Jun 2001 5 Oct 2001 4 9 1.35
-2.73% Oct 2016 Nov 2016 2 May 2017 6 8 1.75
-2.18% Jan 1996 Mar 1996 3 Oct 1996 7 10 1.48
-2.08% Mar 2012 May 2012 3 Jul 2012 2 5 0.88
-2.07% May 1999 May 1999 1 Nov 1999 6 7 1.47
-2.05% Mar 2004 May 2004 3 Oct 2004 5 8 1.27
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months Ulcer Index
-16.80% Aug 2021 Sep 2022 14 in progress 14 28 9.85
-15.55% Mar 2008 Nov 2008 9 Aug 2009 9 18 8.92
-7.46% Dec 1996 Apr 1997 5 Sep 1998 17 22 3.35
-7.02% Jan 1990 Apr 1990 4 Jul 1990 3 7 3.62
-6.51% Feb 1994 Feb 1995 13 Jul 1995 5 18 4.66
-6.31% Aug 1990 Sep 1990 2 Dec 1990 3 5 3.33
-5.99% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 2 Jul 2020 4 6 2.79
-4.48% May 2013 Jun 2013 2 Dec 2013 6 8 2.44
-4.18% Jan 1992 Mar 1992 3 Jul 1992 4 7 2.38
-3.32% May 1986 May 1986 1 Jun 1986 1 2 1.92
-3.06% Apr 2015 Sep 2015 6 Mar 2016 6 12 1.67
-2.76% Oct 2016 Nov 2016 2 Apr 2017 5 7 1.55
-2.68% Aug 2011 Sep 2011 2 Dec 2011 3 5 1.39
-2.58% Sep 1987 Oct 1987 2 Jan 1988 3 5 1.55
-2.33% Aug 1989 Aug 1989 1 Nov 1989 3 4 1.26
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months Ulcer Index
-25.75% Jan 2021 Sep 2022 21 in progress 14 35 16.93
-16.47% Mar 2008 Oct 2008 8 Sep 2009 11 19 9.56
-10.50% Jan 1990 Sep 1990 9 Aug 1991 11 20 5.08
-9.42% Feb 1994 Feb 1995 13 Nov 1995 9 22 5.98
-8.39% Dec 1996 Apr 1997 5 Sep 1998 17 22 4.48
-6.04% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 2 Nov 2020 8 10 2.14
-5.21% Jan 1992 Apr 1992 4 Aug 1992 4 8 2.88
-4.88% May 2013 Jun 2013 2 Feb 2014 8 10 2.51
-4.24% Mar 2015 Sep 2015 7 Jul 2016 10 17 2.25
-3.73% Apr 1987 Oct 1987 7 Jan 1988 3 10 1.94
-3.63% Jan 2018 Oct 2018 10 Mar 2019 5 15 1.71
-3.59% May 1986 May 1986 1 Jul 1986 2 3 1.81
-3.22% Nov 2010 Sep 2011 11 Dec 2011 3 14 1.38
-2.88% Feb 2001 Jun 2001 5 Oct 2001 4 9 1.35
-2.74% Sep 1986 Oct 1986 2 Dec 1986 2 4 1.87

Rolling Returns

( more details)

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

DEVELOPED WORLD EX-US 20/80 PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 December 1993 - 30 November 2023 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 30 November 2023 (~39 years)
Inflation Adjusted:
Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -15.42 10/2021
09/2022
0.84$ 0.93 1.00$ 5.67 1.05$ 10.30 1.10$ 24.13 03/2009
02/2010
1.24$ 3.84 12.32%
2Y -6.64 01/2021
12/2022
0.87$ 2.68 1.05$ 5.56 1.11$ 8.55 1.17$ 16.55 03/2009
02/2011
1.35$ -3.66 8.61%
3Y -3.44 10/2019
09/2022
0.90$ 3.51 1.10$ 5.62 1.17$ 8.04 1.26$ 12.87 03/2009
02/2012
1.43$ -1.94 6.46%
5Y 0.04 10/2017
09/2022
1.00$ 4.09 1.22$ 5.83 1.32$ 7.31 1.42$ 10.31 03/2009
02/2014
1.63$ 1.70 0.00%
7Y 1.32 10/2016
09/2023
1.09$ 4.37 1.34$ 5.92 1.49$ 6.96 1.60$ 8.20 09/1998
08/2005
1.73$ 2.25 0.00%
10Y 2.18 11/2013
10/2023
1.24$ 4.93 1.61$ 6.15 1.81$ 6.99 1.96$ 7.76 01/1998
12/2007
2.11$ 2.60 0.00%
15Y 3.40 11/2007
10/2022
1.65$ 5.00 2.07$ 6.01 2.40$ 6.57 2.59$ 7.16 01/1998
12/2012
2.82$ 5.01 0.00%
20Y 4.36 11/2003
10/2023
2.34$ 5.00 2.65$ 5.88 3.13$ 6.39 3.45$ 6.88 03/1995
02/2015
3.78$ 4.56 0.00%
30Y 5.08 12/1993
11/2023
4.42$ 5.08 4.42$ 5.08 4.42$ 5.08 4.42$ 5.08 12/1993
11/2023
4.42$ 5.08 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods
Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -21.83 10/2021
09/2022
0.78$ -1.78 0.98$ 3.26 1.03$ 7.57 1.07$ 21.52 03/2009
02/2010
1.21$ 0.48 19.77%
2Y -12.54 01/2021
12/2022
0.76$ 0.46 1.00$ 3.43 1.06$ 6.17 1.12$ 15.07 11/2008
10/2010
1.32$ -8.43 13.65%
3Y -7.99 10/2019
09/2022
0.77$ 1.46 1.04$ 3.38 1.10$ 5.49 1.17$ 10.25 03/2009
02/2012
1.34$ -7.27 9.54%
5Y -3.58 10/2017
09/2022
0.83$ 1.93 1.10$ 3.56 1.19$ 4.88 1.26$ 8.11 03/2009
02/2014
1.47$ -2.28 7.31%
7Y -2.14 10/2016
09/2023
0.85$ 2.52 1.19$ 3.65 1.28$ 4.44 1.35$ 6.56 11/2008
10/2015
1.55$ -1.24 7.58%
10Y -0.60 11/2013
10/2023
0.94$ 2.91 1.33$ 3.79 1.45$ 4.42 1.54$ 5.10 03/2009
02/2019
1.64$ -0.21 4.56%
15Y 0.98 11/2007
10/2022
1.15$ 2.66 1.48$ 3.75 1.73$ 4.10 1.82$ 4.67 01/1998
12/2012
1.98$ 2.45 0.00%
20Y 1.74 11/2003
10/2023
1.41$ 2.48 1.63$ 3.66 2.05$ 4.04 2.20$ 4.55 03/1995
02/2015
2.43$ 1.92 0.00%
30Y 2.50 12/1993
11/2023
2.09$ 2.50 2.09$ 2.50 2.09$ 2.50 2.09$ 2.50 12/1993
11/2023
2.09$ 2.50 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods
Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -15.42 10/2021
09/2022
0.84$ 1.36 1.01$ 6.67 1.06$ 12.95 1.12$ 41.14 05/1985
04/1986
1.41$ 3.84 10.53%
2Y -6.64 01/2021
12/2022
0.87$ 3.17 1.06$ 6.48 1.13$ 10.83 1.22$ 30.27 03/1985
02/1987
1.69$ -3.66 6.53%
3Y -3.44 10/2019
09/2022
0.90$ 3.93 1.12$ 6.48 1.20$ 9.28 1.30$ 23.04 03/1985
02/1988
1.86$ -1.94 4.86%
5Y 0.04 10/2017
09/2022
1.00$ 4.37 1.23$ 6.45 1.36$ 9.44 1.56$ 17.56 01/1985
12/1989
2.24$ 1.70 0.00%
7Y 1.32 10/2016
09/2023
1.09$ 4.69 1.37$ 6.58 1.56$ 8.81 1.80$ 15.21 01/1985
12/1991
2.69$ 2.25 0.00%
10Y 2.18 11/2013
10/2023
1.24$ 5.06 1.63$ 6.55 1.88$ 8.19 2.19$ 12.64 01/1985
12/1994
3.28$ 2.60 0.00%
15Y 3.40 11/2007
10/2022
1.65$ 5.26 2.15$ 6.40 2.53$ 7.78 3.07$ 11.17 01/1985
12/1999
4.89$ 5.01 0.00%
20Y 4.36 11/2003
10/2023
2.34$ 5.66 3.00$ 6.46 3.49$ 7.74 4.44$ 10.00 01/1985
12/2004
6.72$ 4.56 0.00%
30Y 4.86 11/1993
10/2023
4.15$ 5.61 5.13$ 6.63 6.86$ 7.38 8.45$ 8.67 03/1985
02/2015
12.09$ 5.08 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods
Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -21.83 10/2021
09/2022
0.78$ -1.15 0.98$ 3.85 1.03$ 9.82 1.09$ 38.93 05/1985
04/1986
1.38$ 0.48 17.98%
2Y -12.54 01/2021
12/2022
0.76$ 0.72 1.01$ 3.70 1.07$ 7.46 1.15$ 26.96 03/1985
02/1987
1.61$ -8.43 11.26%
3Y -7.99 10/2019
09/2022
0.77$ 1.98 1.06$ 3.88 1.12$ 6.19 1.19$ 19.40 03/1985
02/1988
1.70$ -7.27 7.18%
5Y -3.58 10/2017
09/2022
0.83$ 2.49 1.13$ 4.06 1.22$ 5.77 1.32$ 13.40 01/1985
12/1989
1.87$ -2.28 5.39%
7Y -2.14 10/2016
09/2023
0.85$ 2.97 1.22$ 4.00 1.31$ 5.49 1.45$ 10.85 01/1985
12/1991
2.05$ -1.24 5.47%
10Y -0.60 11/2013
10/2023
0.94$ 3.17 1.36$ 4.01 1.48$ 5.08 1.64$ 8.74 01/1985
12/1994
2.31$ -0.21 3.16%
15Y 0.98 11/2007
10/2022
1.15$ 3.26 1.61$ 4.00 1.80$ 4.86 2.03$ 7.75 01/1985
12/1999
3.06$ 2.45 0.00%
20Y 1.74 11/2003
10/2023
1.41$ 3.45 1.97$ 3.98 2.18$ 4.70 2.50$ 6.79 01/1985
12/2004
3.72$ 1.92 0.00%
30Y 2.28 11/1993
10/2023
1.96$ 3.03 2.45$ 4.09 3.33$ 4.61 3.86$ 5.82 03/1985
02/2015
5.46$ 2.50 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods

If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Developed World ex-US 20/80 Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.

Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in Developed World ex-US 20/80 Portfolio?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
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Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
0.88
60%
-0.91
20%
-0.42
60%
0.18
80%
0.20
40%
0.26
80%
1.45
100%
-0.63
40%
-1.45
40%
0.19
60%
2.27
60%
-0.09
60%
Best 3.7
2023
0.7
2019
2.6
2023
2.7
2020
1.3
2020
2.4
2019
3.6
2022
1.3
2019
0.4
2020
1.5
2022
4.5
2023
1.4
2020
Worst -1.9
2022
-1.9
2023
-5.1
2020
-3.8
2022
-0.7
2023
-3.2
2022
0.6
2019
-4.0
2022
-4.2
2022
-0.8
2023
-0.2
2021
-2.6
2022
Monthly Seasonality over the period Feb 1985 - Nov 2023
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Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
0.64
60%
-0.15
50%
0.16
80%
0.29
80%
0.29
50%
0.14
70%
1.13
90%
-0.35
50%
-0.78
40%
0.09
60%
1.17
60%
0.08
70%
Best 3.7
2023
1.5
2014
2.6
2023
2.7
2020
1.3
2017
2.4
2019
3.6
2022
1.3
2019
0.4
2020
1.8
2015
4.5
2023
1.4
2020
Worst -1.9
2022
-1.9
2023
-5.1
2020
-3.8
2022
-0.7
2023
-3.2
2022
-0.1
2014
-4.0
2022
-4.2
2022
-1.6
2018
-1.3
2016
-2.6
2022
Monthly Seasonality over the period Feb 1985 - Nov 2023
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Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
0.55
69%
0.38
64%
0.46
72%
0.72
82%
0.45
51%
0.32
64%
1.05
77%
0.35
64%
0.19
62%
0.64
74%
0.71
64%
1.27
79%
Best 4.4
1985
5.7
1986
5.2
1986
3.2
2009
5.2
1985
3.8
1986
4.6
2009
4.2
1986
4.7
1998
5.1
1998
4.5
2023
5.0
1991
Worst -4.2
1997
-2.4
2009
-5.1
2020
-3.8
2022
-3.3
1986
-3.2
2022
-1.8
1997
-4.1
1990
-5.8
2008
-5.9
2008
-2.4
1997
-2.6
2022
Monthly Seasonality over the period Feb 1985 - Nov 2023

Monthly Returns

This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the Developed World ex-US 20/80 Portfolio over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.

DEVELOPED WORLD EX-US 20/80 PORTFOLIO
Monthly Returns Distribution
Data Source: 1 December 1993 - 30 November 2023 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 30 November 2023 (~39 years)
240 Positive Months (67%) - 120 Negative Months (33%)
320 Positive Months (69%) - 147 Negative Months (31%)
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(Scroll down to see all data)
Investment Returns, up to December 2013, are simulated.
They have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.

In particular, the series derived from equivalent datasets are:
  • VEA - Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets, up to December 2007
  • BNDX - Vanguard Total International Bond, up to December 2013

Portfolio efficiency

The following portfolios granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.

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30 Years Stats (%)
% Allocation
Portfolio Author Return Dev.Std Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm
Simplified Permanent Portfolio +6.75 6.88 -16.43 25 50 25
Desert Portfolio Gyroscopic Investing +6.48 5.50 -14.72 30 60 10
Permanent Portfolio Harry Browne +6.37 6.58 -15.92 25 50 25
Larry Portfolio Larry Swedroe +5.81 5.57 -15.96 30 70 0
Sheltered Sam 30/70 Bill Bernstein +5.62 5.22 -16.58 29.1 70 0.9
Stocks/Bonds 20/80 +5.54 4.90 -16.57 20 80 0
Dimensional Retirement Income Fund DFA +5.36 4.79 -12.91 20.4 79.6 0
LifeStrategy Income Fund Vanguard +5.33 4.77 -16.61 20 80 0
Edge Select Conservative Merrill Lynch +5.12 4.26 -12.44 21 79 0
Developed World ex-US 20/80 +5.08 5.26 -16.80 20 80 0

Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 30 Years and Low Risk categorization.

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30 Years Stats (%)
% Allocation
Portfolio Author Return Dev.Std Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm
High Yield Bonds Income +6.42 8.80 -23.97 0 100 0
Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum +6.01 4.94 -17.91 20 80 0
All Country World 20/80 +5.64 5.63 -17.97 20 80 0
Stocks/Bonds 20/80 +5.54 4.90 -16.57 20 80 0
Dimensional Retirement Income Fund DFA +5.36 4.79 -12.91 20.4 79.6 0
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