US Stocks Portfolio vs Robert Shiller Cape US Sector Value Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: November 2012 - April 2025 (~13 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2025
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
10 Years
All (since November 2012)
Inflation Adjusted:
US Stocks Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
3.00$
Final Capital
April 2025
11.61%
Yearly Return
15.78%
Std Deviation
-24.81%
Max Drawdown
24months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
2.22$
Final Capital
April 2025
8.28%
Yearly Return
15.78%
Std Deviation
-28.75%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
November 2012
4.70$
Final Capital
April 2025
13.19%
Yearly Return
14.70%
Std Deviation
-24.81%
Max Drawdown
24months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
November 2012
3.41$
Final Capital
April 2025
10.31%
Yearly Return
14.70%
Std Deviation
-28.75%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
Robert Shiller Cape US Sector Value Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
3.59$
Final Capital
April 2025
13.62%
Yearly Return
16.14%
Std Deviation
-21.00%
Max Drawdown
6months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
2.65$
Final Capital
April 2025
10.24%
Yearly Return
16.14%
Std Deviation
-24.50%
Max Drawdown
31months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
November 2012
5.71$
Final Capital
April 2025
14.95%
Yearly Return
15.07%
Std Deviation
-21.00%
Max Drawdown
6months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
November 2012
4.14$
Final Capital
April 2025
12.03%
Yearly Return
15.07%
Std Deviation
-24.50%
Max Drawdown
31months
Recovery Period

As of April 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the US Stocks Portfolio obtained a 13.19% compound annual return, with a 14.70% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -24.81% that required 24 months to be recovered.

As of April 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Robert Shiller Cape US Sector Value Portfolio obtained a 14.95% compound annual return, with a 15.07% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -21.00% that required 6 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
100.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
100.00
CAPE
DoubleLine Shiller U.S. Equities ETF
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Portfolio Returns as of Apr 30, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 November 2012 - 30 April 2025 (~13 years)
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Return (%) as of Apr 30, 2025
YTD
(4M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~13Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_us_author.webp US Stocks
-- Market Benchmark
-5.53 -0.73 -2.27 11.21 15.05 11.61 13.19
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_robert_shiller.webp Cape US Sector Value
Robert Shiller
0.65 -0.76 2.59 15.28 16.50 13.62 14.95
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of Apr 30, 2025

US Stocks Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since May 2015, now would be worth 3.00$, with a total return of 199.96% (11.61% annualized).

Robert Shiller Cape US Sector Value Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since May 2015, now would be worth 3.59$, with a total return of 258.63% (13.62% annualized).


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US Stocks Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since November 2012, now would be worth 4.70$, with a total return of 370.37% (13.19% annualized).

Robert Shiller Cape US Sector Value Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since November 2012, now would be worth 5.71$, with a total return of 470.71% (14.95% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Apr 30, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 30 April 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 November 2012 - 30 April 2025 (~13 years)
Swipe left to see all data
US Stocks Cape US Sector Value
Author Robert Shiller
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 100% 100%
Fixed Income 0% 0%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 11.21 15.28
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 8.95 12.94
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -8.40 -6.08
Start to Recovery (months) 5* 5*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -8.40 -6.08
Start to Recovery (months) 5* 5*
Longest Negative Period (months) 8* 5*
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 11.66 12.39
Sharpe Ratio 0.55 0.85
Sortino Ratio 0.74 1.13
Ulcer Index 3.33 2.76
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.96 1.23
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 1.33 2.51
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025
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US Stocks Cape US Sector Value
Author Robert Shiller
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 100% 100%
Fixed Income 0% 0%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 15.05 16.50
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 10.06 11.45
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -24.81 -20.07
Start to Recovery (months) 24 19
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -24.81 -20.07
Start to Recovery (months) 24 19
Longest Negative Period (months) 30 26
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 16.36 17.04
Sharpe Ratio 0.76 0.82
Sortino Ratio 1.04 1.14
Ulcer Index 8.63 6.03
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.92 0.97
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.61 0.82
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025
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US Stocks Cape US Sector Value
Author Robert Shiller
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 100% 100%
Fixed Income 0% 0%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 11.61 13.62
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 8.28 10.24
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -24.81 -21.00
Start to Recovery (months) 24 6
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -24.81 -20.07
Start to Recovery (months) 24 19
Longest Negative Period (months) 30 26
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 15.78 16.14
Sharpe Ratio 0.62 0.74
Sortino Ratio 0.83 0.99
Ulcer Index 7.03 5.50
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.74 0.84
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.47 0.65
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025
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US Stocks Cape US Sector Value
Author Robert Shiller
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 100% 100%
Fixed Income 0% 0%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 13.19 14.95
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 10.31 12.03
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -24.81 -21.00
Start to Recovery (months) 24 6
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -24.81 -20.07
Start to Recovery (months) 24 19
Longest Negative Period (months) 30 26
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 14.70 15.07
Sharpe Ratio 0.80 0.90
Sortino Ratio 1.07 1.21
Ulcer Index 6.31 4.95
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.90 0.99
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.53 0.71
Metrics calculated over the period 1 November 2012 - 30 April 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 November 2012 - 30 April 2025 (~13 years)

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US Stocks Cape US Sector Value
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-24.81 24 Jan 2022
Dec 2023
-21.00 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-20.84 7 Jan 2020
Jul 2020
-20.07 19 Jan 2022
Jul 2023
-15.27 7 Oct 2018
Apr 2019
-14.20 7 Oct 2018
Apr 2019
-8.84 12 Jun 2015
May 2016
-8.74 3 Aug 2015
Oct 2015
-8.40 5* Dec 2024
In progress
-8.27 5 Aug 2023
Dec 2023
-6.45 2 May 2019
Jun 2019
-6.08 5* Dec 2024
In progress
-5.96 2 May 2019
Jun 2019
-5.64 6 Feb 2018
Jul 2018
-5.62 6 Feb 2018
Jul 2018

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US Stocks Cape US Sector Value
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-24.81 24 Jan 2022
Dec 2023
-21.00 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-20.84 7 Jan 2020
Jul 2020
-20.07 19 Jan 2022
Jul 2023
-15.27 7 Oct 2018
Apr 2019
-14.20 7 Oct 2018
Apr 2019
-8.84 12 Jun 2015
May 2016
-8.74 3 Aug 2015
Oct 2015
-8.40 5* Dec 2024
In progress
-8.27 5 Aug 2023
Dec 2023
-6.45 2 May 2019
Jun 2019
-6.08 5* Dec 2024
In progress
-5.96 2 May 2019
Jun 2019
-5.64 6 Feb 2018
Jul 2018
-5.62 6 Feb 2018
Jul 2018

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 November 2012 - 30 April 2025 (~13 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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US Stocks Cape US Sector Value
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
-5.53 -8.31 0.65 -4.59
2024
23.81 -4.34 14.40 -6.08
2023
26.05 -9.11 27.65 -8.27
2022
-19.51 -24.81 -15.62 -20.07
2021
25.67 -4.46 27.80 -5.00
2020
21.03 -20.84 19.47 -21.00
2019
30.67 -6.45 32.61 -5.96
2018
-5.21 -14.20 -3.51 -15.27
2017
21.21 0.00 21.38 -0.24
2016
12.83 -5.73 18.06 -4.58
2015
0.36 -8.84 4.57 -8.74
2014
12.54 -3.17 15.77 -3.84
2013
33.45 -3.03 33.36 -2.99
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