Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged vs Stocks/Bonds 60/40 2x Leveraged Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: March 2010 - April 2025 (~15 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
10 Years
All (since March 2010)
Inflation Adjusted:
Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
2.12$
Final Capital
April 2025
7.81%
Yearly Return
22.06%
Std Deviation
-44.36%
Max Drawdown
40months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.57$
Final Capital
April 2025
4.60%
Yearly Return
22.06%
Std Deviation
-49.20%
Max Drawdown
40months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
6.14$
Final Capital
April 2025
12.71%
Yearly Return
20.43%
Std Deviation
-44.36%
Max Drawdown
40months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
4.17$
Final Capital
April 2025
9.88%
Yearly Return
20.43%
Std Deviation
-49.20%
Max Drawdown
40months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 2x Leveraged Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
2.83$
Final Capital
April 2025
10.98%
Yearly Return
19.57%
Std Deviation
-39.53%
Max Drawdown
32months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
2.09$
Final Capital
April 2025
7.67%
Yearly Return
19.57%
Std Deviation
-42.70%
Max Drawdown
40months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
8.08$
Final Capital
April 2025
14.77%
Yearly Return
17.69%
Std Deviation
-39.53%
Max Drawdown
32months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
5.49$
Final Capital
April 2025
11.89%
Yearly Return
17.69%
Std Deviation
-42.70%
Max Drawdown
40months*
Recovery Period
* in progress

As of April 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged obtained a 12.71% compound annual return, with a 20.43% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -44.36% which has been ongoing for 40 months and is still in progress.

As of April 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Stocks/Bonds 60/40 2x Leveraged Portfolio obtained a 14.77% compound annual return, with a 17.69% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -39.53% that required 32 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
33.34
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P 500
33.33
URE
ProShares Ultra Real Estate
33.33
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
60.00
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P 500
40.00
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
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Portfolio Returns as of Apr 30, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 March 2010 - 30 April 2025 (~15 years)
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Return (%) as of Apr 30, 2025
YTD
(4M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~15Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_roger_gibson.webp Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Roger Gibson
-1.72 -1.80 -3.78 19.15 7.61 7.81 12.71
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_us_author.webp Stocks/Bonds 60/40 2x Leveraged
-- Market Benchmark
-5.37 -1.47 -2.66 15.52 10.76 10.98 14.77
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of Apr 30, 2025

Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged: an investment of 1$, since May 2015, now would be worth 2.12$, with a total return of 112.13% (7.81% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 60/40 2x Leveraged Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since May 2015, now would be worth 2.83$, with a total return of 183.38% (10.98% annualized).


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Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged: an investment of 1$, since March 2010, now would be worth 6.14$, with a total return of 513.79% (12.71% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 60/40 2x Leveraged Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since March 2010, now would be worth 8.08$, with a total return of 708.33% (14.77% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Apr 30, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 30 April 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 30 April 2025 (~15 years)
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Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged Stocks/Bonds 60/40 2x Leveraged
Author Roger Gibson
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 66.67% 60%
Fixed Income 33.33% 40%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 19.15 15.52
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 16.73 13.17
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -10.45 -10.05
Start to Recovery (months) 5* 5*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -10.45 -10.05
Start to Recovery (months) 5* 5*
Longest Negative Period (months) 9* 9*
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 18.47 15.75
Sharpe Ratio 0.78 0.68
Sortino Ratio 0.97 0.91
Ulcer Index 5.20 4.18
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.04 0.99
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 1.83 1.54
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025
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Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged Stocks/Bonds 60/40 2x Leveraged
Author Roger Gibson
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 66.67% 60%
Fixed Income 33.33% 40%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.61 10.76
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 2.95 5.95
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -44.36 -39.53
Start to Recovery (months) 40* 32
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -44.36 -39.53
Start to Recovery (months) 40* 32
Longest Negative Period (months) 47* 40*
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 25.40 22.74
Sharpe Ratio 0.20 0.36
Sortino Ratio 0.27 0.48
Ulcer Index 23.38 17.56
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.30 0.47
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.17 0.27
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025
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Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged Stocks/Bonds 60/40 2x Leveraged
Author Roger Gibson
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 66.67% 60%
Fixed Income 33.33% 40%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.81 10.98
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 4.60 7.67
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -44.36 -39.53
Start to Recovery (months) 40* 32
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -44.36 -39.53
Start to Recovery (months) 40* 32
Longest Negative Period (months) 54 40*
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 22.06 19.57
Sharpe Ratio 0.27 0.47
Sortino Ratio 0.37 0.63
Ulcer Index 17.29 12.97
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.35 0.56
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.18 0.28
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025
Swipe left to see all data
Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged Stocks/Bonds 60/40 2x Leveraged
Author Roger Gibson
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 66.67% 60%
Fixed Income 33.33% 40%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 12.71 14.77
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 9.88 11.89
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -44.36 -39.53
Start to Recovery (months) 40* 32
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -44.36 -39.53
Start to Recovery (months) 40* 32
Longest Negative Period (months) 54 40*
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 20.43 17.69
Sharpe Ratio 0.57 0.77
Sortino Ratio 0.76 1.02
Ulcer Index 14.35 10.69
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.62 0.83
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.29 0.37
Metrics calculated over the period 1 March 2010 - 30 April 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 30 April 2025 (~15 years)

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Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged Stocks/Bonds 60/40 2x Leveraged
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-44.36 40* Jan 2022
In progress
-39.53 32 Jan 2022
Aug 2024
-25.50 11 Feb 2020
Dec 2020
-18.11 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-15.62 8 Sep 2018
Apr 2019
-14.56 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-11.50 10 Aug 2016
May 2017
-10.05 5* Dec 2024
In progress
-9.46 10 Jun 2015
Mar 2016
-9.19 7 Feb 2018
Aug 2018
-8.28 2 Sep 2021
Oct 2021
-8.27 3 Sep 2020
Nov 2020
-8.09 5 Jun 2015
Oct 2015
-7.81 6 Feb 2018
Jul 2018
-7.42 2 Sep 2021
Oct 2021

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Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged Stocks/Bonds 60/40 2x Leveraged
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-44.36 40* Jan 2022
In progress
-39.53 32 Jan 2022
Aug 2024
-25.50 11 Feb 2020
Dec 2020
-18.11 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-16.87 8 Jun 2011
Jan 2012
-15.62 8 Sep 2018
Apr 2019
-14.56 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-13.21 5 May 2010
Sep 2010
-12.34 9 May 2013
Jan 2014
-11.64 5 May 2010
Sep 2010
-11.50 10 Aug 2016
May 2017
-11.21 8 Jun 2011
Jan 2012
-11.02 14 Feb 2015
Mar 2016
-10.05 5* Dec 2024
In progress
-9.46 10 Jun 2015
Mar 2016

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 March 2010 - 30 April 2025 (~15 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Talmud Portfolio 2x Leveraged Stocks/Bonds 60/40 2x Leveraged
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
-1.72 -7.10 -5.37 -7.99
2024
12.55 -10.58 23.62 -7.91
2023
19.46 -18.58 28.05 -16.05
2022
-39.60 -42.70 -35.46 -39.53
2021
46.68 -8.28 33.12 -7.42
2020
4.10 -25.50 20.45 -18.11
2019
44.89 -3.27 43.41 -6.52
2018
-9.85 -14.56 -9.21 -15.62
2017
21.37 -0.99 27.89 0.00
2016
10.82 -11.50 13.14 -4.20
2015
0.17 -11.02 0.05 -9.46
2014
33.69 -6.02 22.38 -2.67
2013
19.08 -12.34 37.26 -5.13
2012
24.83 -5.45 21.30 -5.28
2011
9.95 -16.87 10.55 -11.21
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with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing