Tyler Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Portfolio vs Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: January 2009 - April 2025 (~16 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
10 Years
All (since January 2009)
Inflation Adjusted:
Tyler Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
2.54$
Final Capital
April 2025
9.79%
Yearly Return
9.78%
Std Deviation
-18.76%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.88$
Final Capital
April 2025
6.52%
Yearly Return
9.78%
Std Deviation
-24.05%
Max Drawdown
39months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
13.34$
Final Capital
April 2025
17.19%
Yearly Return
33.65%
Std Deviation
-39.02%
Max Drawdown
28months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
8.82$
Final Capital
April 2025
14.26%
Yearly Return
33.65%
Std Deviation
-39.66%
Max Drawdown
29months
Recovery Period
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
2.27$
Final Capital
April 2025
8.57%
Yearly Return
10.76%
Std Deviation
-24.21%
Max Drawdown
32months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.68$
Final Capital
April 2025
5.33%
Yearly Return
10.76%
Std Deviation
-29.63%
Max Drawdown
42months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
4.61$
Final Capital
April 2025
9.81%
Yearly Return
10.06%
Std Deviation
-24.21%
Max Drawdown
32months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
3.05$
Final Capital
April 2025
7.06%
Yearly Return
10.06%
Std Deviation
-29.63%
Max Drawdown
42months*
Recovery Period
* in progress

As of April 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Tyler Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Portfolio obtained a 17.19% compound annual return, with a 33.65% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -39.02% that required 28 months to be recovered.

As of April 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum Portfolio obtained a 9.81% compound annual return, with a 10.06% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -24.21% that required 32 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
20.00
IJS
iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value
20.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
20.00
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
20.00
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
18.00
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
2.00
^BTC
Bitcoin
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
60.00
MTUM
iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Fctr
40.00
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
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Portfolio Returns as of Apr 30, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)
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Return (%) as of Apr 30, 2025
YTD
(4M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~16Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_tyler.webp Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin
Tyler
1.64 0.10 2.33 13.85 8.24 9.79 17.19
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_us_author.webp Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum
-- Market Benchmark
2.06 2.34 3.57 15.21 7.72 8.57 9.81
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of Apr 30, 2025

Tyler Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since May 2015, now would be worth 2.54$, with a total return of 154.42% (9.79% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since May 2015, now would be worth 2.27$, with a total return of 127.46% (8.57% annualized).


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Tyler Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 2009, now would be worth 13.34$, with a total return of 1233.81% (17.19% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 2009, now would be worth 4.61$, with a total return of 361.18% (9.81% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Apr 30, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 30 April 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)
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Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum
Author Tyler
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 40% 60%
Fixed Income 40% 40%
Commodities 20% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 13.85 15.21
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 11.53 12.87
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -3.45 -4.52
Start to Recovery (months) 5* 2*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -3.45 -4.52
Start to Recovery (months) 5* 2*
Longest Negative Period (months) 5* 5*
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 7.74 9.92
Sharpe Ratio 1.17 1.05
Sortino Ratio 1.65 1.32
Ulcer Index 1.30 1.70
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.79 1.53
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 4.01 3.36
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025
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Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum
Author Tyler
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 40% 60%
Fixed Income 40% 40%
Commodities 20% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 8.24 7.72
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 3.54 3.05
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -18.76 -24.21
Start to Recovery (months) 27 32
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -18.76 -24.21
Start to Recovery (months) 27 32
Longest Negative Period (months) 34 40
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 10.72 12.38
Sharpe Ratio 0.53 0.42
Sortino Ratio 0.74 0.57
Ulcer Index 6.72 11.49
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.77 0.62
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.44 0.32
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025
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Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum
Author Tyler
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 40% 60%
Fixed Income 40% 40%
Commodities 20% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 9.79 8.57
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 6.52 5.33
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -18.76 -24.21
Start to Recovery (months) 27 32
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -18.76 -24.21
Start to Recovery (months) 27 32
Longest Negative Period (months) 34 40
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 9.78 10.76
Sharpe Ratio 0.82 0.63
Sortino Ratio 1.18 0.84
Ulcer Index 5.01 8.38
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.00 0.80
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.52 0.35
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025
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Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum
Author Tyler
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 40% 60%
Fixed Income 40% 40%
Commodities 20% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 17.19 9.81
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 14.26 7.06
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -39.02 -24.21
Start to Recovery (months) 28 32
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -23.09 -24.21
Start to Recovery (months) 44 32
Longest Negative Period (months) 43 40
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 33.65 10.06
Sharpe Ratio 0.48 0.87
Sortino Ratio 1.32 1.15
Ulcer Index 12.78 6.76
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.51 0.98
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.44 0.41
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)

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Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-24.21 32 Nov 2021
Jun 2024
-18.76 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-10.73 5 Feb 2020
Jun 2020
-9.29 9 Oct 2018
Jun 2019
-7.90 5 Feb 2020
Jun 2020
-7.00 8 Sep 2018
Apr 2019
-5.20 3 Sep 2020
Nov 2020
-4.64 9 Jun 2015
Feb 2016
-4.61 8 Aug 2015
Mar 2016
-4.52 2* Mar 2025
In progress
-3.57 7 Aug 2016
Feb 2017
-3.45 5* Dec 2024
In progress
-3.38 4 Apr 2024
Jul 2024
-3.30 2 Dec 2024
Jan 2025
-3.18 6 Feb 2018
Jul 2018

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Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-39.02 28 Jul 2011
Oct 2013
-24.21 32 Nov 2021
Jun 2024
-23.09 44 Dec 2013
Jul 2017
-18.76 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-12.79 7 Jan 2009
Jul 2009
-10.73 5 Feb 2020
Jun 2020
-10.30 7 Jan 2009
Jul 2009
-9.29 9 Oct 2018
Jun 2019
-7.90 5 Feb 2020
Jun 2020
-7.14 9 May 2011
Jan 2012
-7.00 8 Sep 2018
Apr 2019
-6.43 5 May 2010
Sep 2010
-5.20 3 Sep 2020
Nov 2020
-4.61 8 Aug 2015
Mar 2016
-4.52 2* Mar 2025
In progress

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
1.64 -0.98 2.06 -4.52
2024
12.62 -3.45 20.29 -4.38
2023
14.83 -7.40 7.65 -5.48
2022
-14.62 -18.76 -16.20 -21.97
2021
10.62 -2.57 7.27 -2.88
2020
19.50 -7.90 20.99 -10.73
2019
19.52 -0.42 19.89 -0.92
2018
-5.46 -7.00 -1.04 -9.29
2017
38.09 -0.53 23.93 0.00
2016
13.14 -2.92 4.01 -3.57
2015
-2.81 -5.90 5.58 -4.61
2014
8.05 -3.49 11.10 -2.40
2013
130.58 -23.09 19.91 -2.13
2012
12.33 -2.22 10.22 -3.51
2011
38.12 -39.02 6.73 -7.14
2010
22.92 -2.89 13.29 -6.43
2009
10.29 -10.30 11.92 -12.79
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with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing