Developed World 80/20 To EUR Bond Hedged Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns

Data Source: from August 1974 to May 2024 (~50 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 May 2024
Currency: EUR

The Developed World 80/20 To EUR Bond Hedged Portfolio can be implemented with 2 ETFs. This portfolio has a very high risk, meaning it can experience significant fluctuations in value. It is suitable for investors with a high risk tolerance who are seeking substantial returns and can withstand large drawdowns.

The asset allocation is the following: 80% on the Stock Market, 20% on Fixed Income, 0% on Commodities. In general, bonds are useful for mitigating overall portfolio risk, especially if they are issued by national entities or highly reliable companies. This portfolio has a 20% allocation to bonds, leading to its classification as very high risk.

In the last 30 Years, the Developed World 80/20 To EUR Bond Hedged Portfolio obtained a 6.99% compound annual return, with a 11.34% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -43.15% that required 149 months to be recovered.

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Asset Allocation and ETFs

The Developed World 80/20 To EUR Bond Hedged Portfolio has the following asset allocation:

80% Stocks
20% Fixed Income
0% Commodities

The Developed World 80/20 To EUR Bond Hedged Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:

Weight
(%)
ETF
Ticker
ETF
Currency
ETF Name Investment Themes (Orig.Currency)
80.00
EUNL.DE
EUR iShares Core MSCI World Equity, Developed Markets, Large Cap (Mix)
20.00
DBZB.DE
EUR
Hedged
Xtrackers Global Government Bond Eur Hedged Bond, Global, All-Term (Mix)

Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.

Portfolio and ETF Returns as of May 31, 2024

The Developed World 80/20 To EUR Bond Hedged Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.

Returns are calculated in EUR, assuming:
DEVELOPED WORLD 80/20 TO EUR BOND HEDGED PORTFOLIO
Consolidated returns as of 31 May 2024
Swipe left to see all data
  Chg (%) Return (%) Return (%) as of May 31, 2024
  1 Day Time ET(*) Jun 2024 1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~50Y)
Developed World 80/20 To EUR Bond Hedged Portfolio n.a. n.a. 1.11 12.01 17.39 10.12 9.34 6.99 8.35
Euro Inflation Adjusted return 1.11 10.05 14.69 6.22 6.86 4.83 5.63
Components
EUNL.DE
EUR iShares Core MSCI World n.a. - n.a. 1.28 14.88 22.05 13.16 11.66 7.69 8.64
DBZB.DE
EUR
Hedged
Xtrackers Global Government Bond Eur Hedged n.a. - n.a. 0.33 0.49 -0.81 -2.56 -0.36 2.70 5.95
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Aug 1974
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
Euro Inflation is updated to Apr 2024. Pending updates, the monthly inflation is set at 0% for the subsequent periods. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 2.35% , 5Y: 3.67% , 10Y: 2.31% , 30Y: 2.06%

Capital Growth as of May 31, 2024

An investment of 1€, since June 1994, now would be worth 7.59€, with a total return of 658.54% (6.99% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 4.12€, with a net total return of 311.74% (4.83% annualized).
An investment of 1€, since August 1974, now would be worth 54.43€, with a total return of 5342.65% (8.35% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 15.36€, with a net total return of 1435.76% (5.63% annualized).

Portfolio Metrics as of May 31, 2024

Metrics of Developed World 80/20 To EUR Bond Hedged Portfolio, updated as of 31 May 2024, provide a comprehensive overview of the portfolio's performance and risk characteristics.

These metrics include detailed data on returns, volatility, drawdowns and other key performance indicators. By examining them, you can gain insights into how the portfolio has performed over various time periods and understand its risk profile.

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
DEVELOPED WORLD 80/20 TO EUR BOND HEDGED PORTFOLIO
Advanced Metrics
Data Source: 1 August 1974 - 31 May 2024 (~50 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Metrics as of May 31, 2024
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
(~50Y)
Investment Return (%) 1.11 2.14 12.01 17.39 7.72 10.12 9.34 7.61 6.99 8.35
Infl. Adjusted Return (%)
1.11 0.79 10.05 14.69 2.13 6.22 6.86 5.40 4.83 5.63
Euro Inflation (%) 0.00 1.34 1.78 2.35 5.48 3.67 2.31 2.09 2.06 2.57
Pending updates, the monthly inflation of May 2024 and beyond is set at 0%. Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
DRAWDOWN
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -5.15 -13.89 -14.67 -14.67 -39.29 -43.15 -43.15
Start to Recovery (# months)
5 24 10 10 62 149 149
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2022 01 2020 02 2020 02 2007 06 2000 09 2000 09
Start to Bottom (# months) 3 12 2 2 21 31 31
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 12 2020 03 2020 03 2009 02 2003 03 2003 03
Bottom to End (# months) 2 12 8 8 41 118 118
End (yyyy mm) 2023 12 2023 12 2020 11 2020 11 2012 07 2013 01 2013 01
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same

same
-13.89 -13.89
same

same

same
Start to Recovery (# months)
24 24
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2007 06 2000 09 2000 09
Start to Bottom (# months) 3 12 12 12 21 31 31
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 12 2022 12 2022 12 2009 02 2003 03 2003 03
Bottom to End (# months) 2 12 12 12 41 118 118
End (yyyy mm) 2023 12 2023 12 2023 12 2023 12 2012 07 2013 01 2013 01
Longest negative period (# months)
5 26 26 26 70 151 151
Period Start (yyyy mm) 2023 06 2021 09 2021 09 2021 09 2005 12 2000 04 2000 04
Period End (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2011 09 2012 10 2012 10
Annualized Return (%) -1.18 -1.09 -1.09 -1.09 -0.18 -0.01 -0.01
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -6.05 -21.14 -21.14 -21.14 -40.99 -51.49 -51.49
Start to Recovery (# months)
5 29* 29* 29* 70 170 170
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2007 06 2000 09 2000 09
Start to Bottom (# months) 3 12 12 12 21 102 102
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 12 2022 12 2022 12 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Bottom to End (# months) 2 17 17 17 49 68 68
End (yyyy mm) 2023 12 - - - 2013 03 2014 10 2014 10
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same

same

same

same

same

same

same
Start to Recovery (# months)
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2007 06 2000 09 2000 09
Start to Bottom (# months) 3 12 12 12 21 102 102
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 12 2022 12 2022 12 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Bottom to End (# months) 2 17 17 17 49 68 68
End (yyyy mm) 2023 12 - - - 2013 03 2014 10 2014 10
Longest negative period (# months)
5 33 36 36 83 173 173
Period Start (yyyy mm) 2023 06 2021 08 2020 01 2020 01 2006 02 2000 01 2000 01
Period End (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2024 04 2022 12 2022 12 2012 12 2014 05 2014 05
Annualized Return (%) -3.81 -0.10 -0.17 -0.17 -0.25 -0.03 -0.03
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Standard Deviation (%) 8.70 11.33 11.77 10.81 10.42 11.34 11.09
Sharpe Ratio 1.38 0.43 0.69 0.74 0.60 0.42 0.39
Sortino Ratio 1.82 0.59 0.93 0.99 0.79 0.55 0.51
Ulcer Index 1.69 6.60 5.82 4.74 9.42 15.29 12.58
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 2.00 0.68 0.86 0.86 0.73 0.62 0.75
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 3.38 0.56 0.69 0.64 0.19 0.16 0.19
Positive Months (%)
66.66 63.88 65.00 66.66 64.16 62.22 64.04
Positive Months 8 23 39 80 154 224 383
Negative Months 4 13 21 40 86 136 215
LONG TERM RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 9.34 12.04 12.04 14.58
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 4.92 -1.88 -1.88
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 6.86 10.67 10.67 11.44
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 3.43 -3.92 -3.92
TIMEFRAMES
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
··· Over the latest 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 47.81 25.83 23.42 12.04 7.80 6.99
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -30.55 -16.55 -6.09 -1.88 3.04
Positive Periods (%) 76.5 80.3 83.7 89.2 100.0 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 45.65 23.71 21.47 10.67 5.88 4.83
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -31.63 -18.47 -8.16 -3.92 1.36
Positive Periods (%) 72.4 78.1 68.7 81.3 100.0 100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
4.77 7.47 9.48 20.32 31.02 16.30 15.19 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 6.12 9.82 12.81 25.48 44.63 24.52 17.44 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
7.00 11.33 14.94 28.54 52.63 29.20 19.62 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 8.42 13.79 18.42 30.50 56.35 33.89 20.51 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 81.49 23.50 13.55 6.79 4.03 5.95
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- --- 0.96 4.50
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
··· All available data (Aug 1974 - May 2024)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 47.81 25.83 23.42 14.58 13.25 9.10
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -30.55 -16.55 -6.09 -1.88 3.04 6.01
Positive Periods (%) 79.5 87.7 90.9 94.5 100.0 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 45.65 23.71 21.47 11.44 10.38 6.10
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -31.63 -18.47 -8.16 -3.92 1.32 3.91
Positive Periods (%) 70.8 83.3 80.8 90.6 100.0 100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
4.55 6.96 8.57 15.80 21.05 8.08 0.97 0.00 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 5.87 9.26 11.82 22.20 36.15 18.47 13.47 0.00 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
6.73 10.74 13.91 26.71 44.26 26.36 17.72 0.00 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 8.12 13.14 17.31 29.21 51.97 31.43 19.64 0.00 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 81.49 23.50 13.55 6.79 4.03 4.87
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- --- 0.96 3.39
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Terms and Definitions
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio.
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Value at Risk (VaR): it's an evaluation of a cumulative worst-case loss (in absolute value), associated with a probability (95%-99%) and a time horizon. For short term, it's calculated based on the expected return and standard deviation, assuming a normal distribution of monthly returns. For long term is retrieved by the historical rolling return data.
  • Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR): it represents the average expected loss if that worst-case threshold (95%-99%) is ever crossed.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money in any case (money amount withdrawal).
    For instance: Your initial invested capital is 100.000$; withdrawal rate (annualized) is 4%. This means that, in the first month, you will withdraw 100.000 * 4% * 1/12 = 333.33$. The second month, you’ll withdraw 333.33$ plus the inflation monthly rate. You’ll continue adjusting your withdraw monthly for inflation.
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, preserving the original invested capital, adjusted for inflation too.

Portfolio Components Correlation

Correlation measures to what degree the returns of two assets move in relation to each other. It is a statistical measure that describes the extent to which the returns of one asset are related to the returns of another asset.

Correlation values range between -1 and +1
  • A correlation of +1 indicates that the returns of the two assets move in perfect synchrony; when one asset's returns go up, the other asset's returns also go up by the same percentage, and vice versa. This perfect positive correlation implies that the assets perform similarly in different market conditions.
  • A correlation of -1 indicates a perfect inverse relationship between the returns of the two assets. When one asset's returns go up, the other asset's returns go down by the same percentage. This perfect negative correlation suggests that the assets move in opposite directions, providing a diversification benefit by reducing overall portfolio risk.
  • A correlation of 0 means that there is no linear relationship between the returns of the two assets. The returns of one asset do not predict the returns of the other.
COMPONENTS MONTHLY CORRELATIONS
Monthly correlations as of 31 May 2024
Swipe left to see all data

If you want to learn more about historical correlations, you can find out here how the main asset class are correlated to each other.

Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DEVELOPED WORLD 80/20 TO EUR BOND HEDGED PORTFOLIO
Drawdown periods
Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 June 1994 - 31 May 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 August 1974 - 31 May 2024 (~50 years)
Inflation Adjusted:
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Rolling Returns

( more details)

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

DEVELOPED WORLD 80/20 TO EUR BOND HEDGED PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 June 1994 - 31 May 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 August 1974 - 31 May 2024 (~50 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Developed World 80/20 To EUR Bond Hedged Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.

Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in Developed World 80/20 To EUR Bond Hedged Portfolio?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
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Monthly Returns

This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the Developed World 80/20 To EUR Bond Hedged Portfolio over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.

DEVELOPED WORLD 80/20 TO EUR BOND HEDGED PORTFOLIO
Monthly Returns Distribution
Data Source: 1 June 1994 - 31 May 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 August 1974 - 31 May 2024 (~50 years)
224 Positive Months (62%) - 136 Negative Months (38%)
383 Positive Months (64%) - 215 Negative Months (36%)
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(Scroll down to see all data)
Investment Returns, up to October 2009, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.

In particular, the series derived from equivalent datasets are:
  • iShares Core MSCI World (EUNL.DE), up to October 2009
  • Xtrackers Global Government Bond Eur Hedged (DBZB.DE), up to November 2008
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