Data Source: from January 1985 to November 2023 (~39 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 November 2023
Live Update: Dec 01 2023
Consolidated Returns as of 30 November 2023
Live Update: Dec 01 2023
PORTFOLIO • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)
0.77%
1 Day
Dec 01 2023
0.77%
Current Month
December 2023
The Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio is a Medium Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 2 ETFs.
It's exposed for 40% on the Stock Market.
In the last 30 Years, the Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio obtained a 5.34% compound annual return, with a 7.43% standard deviation.
Table of contents
Asset Allocation and ETFs
The Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio has the following asset allocation:
40% Stocks
60% Fixed Income
0% Commodities
The Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:
| Weight (%) | Ticker | Currency | ETF Name | Investment Themes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.00 |
VEA
|
USD | Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets | Equity, EAFE, Large Cap |
| 60.00 |
BNDX
|
USD | Vanguard Total International Bond | Bond, Developed Markets, All-Term |
Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.
Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Nov 30, 2023
The Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.
Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
- no fees or capital gain taxes.
- a rebalancing of the components at every January 1st. How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends.
DEVELOPED WORLD EX-US 40/60 PORTFOLIO
Consolidated returns as of 30 November 2023
Live Update: Dec 01 2023
Swipe left to see all data
| Chg (%) | Return (%) | Return (%) as of Nov 30, 2023 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Day | Time ET(*) | Dec 2023 | 1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~39Y) |
|||
| Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio | 0.77 | 0.77 | 5.59 | 2.82 | 5.19 | 2.84 | 3.07 | 5.34 | 7.56 | |||
| US Inflation Adjusted return | 5.59 | 1.64 | 1.78 | -1.18 | 0.25 | 2.75 | 4.64 | |||||
| Components | ||||||||||||
|
VEA
|
USD | Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets | 1.02 | Dec 01 2023 | 1.02 | 8.81 | 4.66 | 9.27 | 6.03 | 4.14 | 5.23 | 7.81 |
|
BNDX
|
USD | Vanguard Total International Bond | 0.60 | Dec 01 2023 | 0.60 | 3.43 | 1.56 | 2.49 | 0.52 | 2.06 | 4.69 | 6.57 |
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Jan 1985
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
US Inflation is updated to Oct 2023.
Waiting for updates, inflation of Nov 2023 is set to 0%.
Current inflation (annualized) is
1Y: 3.35%
, 5Y: 4.07%
, 10Y: 2.82%
, 30Y: 2.52%
Live update: World Markets and Indexes
In 2022, the Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio granted a 1.75% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Capital Growth as of Nov 30, 2023
An investment of 1$, since December 1993,
now would be worth 4.76$, with a total return of 376.23% (5.34% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 2.26$, with a net total return of 125.68% (2.75% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 2.26$, with a net total return of 125.68% (2.75% annualized).
An investment of 1$, since January 1985,
now would be worth 17.05$, with a total return of 1604.68% (7.56% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 5.83$, with a net total return of 483.43% (4.64% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 5.83$, with a net total return of 483.43% (4.64% annualized).
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Portfolio Metrics as of Nov 30, 2023
Metrics of Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio, updated as of 30 November 2023.
Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
- no fees or capital gain taxes.
- a rebalancing of the components at every January 1st. How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends.
DEVELOPED WORLD EX-US 40/60 PORTFOLIO
Advanced Metrics
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 30 November 2023 (~39 years)
Swipe left to see all data
| Metrics as of Nov 30, 2023 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~39Y) |
|
| Investment Return (%) | 5.59 | 1.34 | 2.82 | 5.19 | -0.51 | 2.84 | 3.07 | 5.08 | 5.34 | 7.56 |
| Infl. Adjusted Return (%) details | 5.59 | 1.13 | 1.64 | 1.78 | -5.92 | -1.18 | 0.25 | 2.43 | 2.75 | 4.64 |
| US Inflation (%) | 0.00 | 0.21 | 1.17 | 3.35 | 5.74 | 4.07 | 2.82 | 2.59 | 2.52 | 2.79 |
| Waiting for updates, inflation of Nov 2023 is temporarily set to 0%. Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized. | ||||||||||
|
DRAWDOWN
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
|
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y | MAX | |||
| Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) | -5.52 | -19.57 | -19.57 | -19.57 | -26.17 | -26.17 | -26.17 | |||
| Start to Recovery (# months) details | 4* | 27* | 27* | 27* | 34 | 34 | 34 | |||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2023 08 | 2021 09 | 2021 09 | 2021 09 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | |||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | 3 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 16 | |||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2023 10 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | |||
| Bottom to End (# months) | 1 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 18 | |||
| End (yyyy mm) | - | - | - | - | 2010 08 | 2010 08 | 2010 08 | |||
| Longest Drawdown Depth (%) |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
-8.00 | -8.00 | |||
| Start to Recovery (# months) details | 38 | 38 | ||||||||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2023 08 | 2021 09 | 2021 09 | 2021 09 | 2007 11 | 2000 04 | 2000 04 | |||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | 3 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 30 | 30 | |||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2023 10 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2009 02 | 2002 09 | 2002 09 | |||
| Bottom to End (# months) | 1 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 8 | 8 | |||
| End (yyyy mm) | - | - | - | - | 2010 08 | 2003 05 | 2003 05 | |||
| Longest negative period (# months) details | 11 | 36* | 49 | 59 | 59 | 59 | 59 | |||
| Period Start (yyyy mm) | 2022 12 | 2020 12 | 2019 10 | 2017 11 | 2017 11 | 2017 11 | 2017 11 | |||
| Period End (yyyy mm) | 2023 10 | 2023 11 | 2023 10 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | |||
| Annualized Return (%) | -0.42 | -0.51 | -0.08 | -0.21 | -0.21 | -0.21 | -0.21 | |||
| Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress | ||||||||||
| Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) | -6.13 | -26.34 | -26.34 | -26.34 | -27.31 | -27.31 | -27.31 | |||
| Start to Recovery (# months) details | 4* | 35* | 35* | 35* | 36 | 36 | 36 | |||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2023 08 | 2021 01 | 2021 01 | 2021 01 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | |||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | 3 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 16 | 16 | |||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2023 10 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | |||
| Bottom to End (# months) | 1 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 20 | 20 | 20 | |||
| End (yyyy mm) | - | - | - | - | 2010 10 | 2010 10 | 2010 10 | |||
| Longest Drawdown Depth (%) |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
-13.38 | -13.38 | |||
| Start to Recovery (# months) details | 48 | 48 | ||||||||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2023 08 | 2021 01 | 2021 01 | 2021 01 | 2007 11 | 2000 01 | 2000 01 | |||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | 3 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 33 | 33 | |||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2023 10 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2009 02 | 2002 09 | 2002 09 | |||
| Bottom to End (# months) | 1 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 20 | 15 | 15 | |||
| End (yyyy mm) | - | - | - | - | 2010 10 | 2003 12 | 2003 12 | |||
| Longest negative period (# months) details | 11 | 36* | 60* | 119 | 126 | 126 | 126 | |||
| Period Start (yyyy mm) | 2022 12 | 2020 12 | 2018 12 | 2013 12 | 2013 05 | 2013 05 | 2013 05 | |||
| Period End (yyyy mm) | 2023 10 | 2023 11 | 2023 11 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | |||
| Annualized Return (%) | -3.93 | -5.92 | -1.18 | -0.30 | -0.08 | -0.08 | -0.08 | |||
| Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress | ||||||||||
|
RISK INDICATORS
|
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y | MAX | |||
| Standard Deviation (%) | 9.60 | 9.65 | 9.27 | 7.33 | 7.75 | 7.43 | 8.10 | |||
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.03 | -0.25 | 0.13 | 0.28 | 0.49 | 0.42 | 0.44 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.05 | -0.36 | 0.17 | 0.37 | 0.65 | 0.56 | 0.61 | |||
| Ulcer Index | 2.22 | 9.08 | 7.28 | 5.39 | 5.89 | 5.12 | 4.71 | |||
| Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation | 0.54 | -0.05 | 0.31 | 0.42 | 0.66 | 0.72 | 0.93 | |||
| Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown | 0.94 | -0.03 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 0.29 | |||
| % Positive Months details | 50% | 50% | 56% | 60% | 63% | 62% | 63% | |||
| Positive Months | 6 | 18 | 34 | 73 | 152 | 226 | 296 | |||
| Negative Months | 6 | 18 | 26 | 47 | 88 | 134 | 171 | |||
|
LONG TERM RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
|
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y | MAX | |||
| Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | 3.07 | 7.79 | 8.45 | 13.99 | ||||||
| Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | 2.56 | 2.56 | 2.56 | |||||||
| Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | 0.25 | 5.92 | 5.92 | 10.05 | ||||||
| Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | -0.23 | -0.23 | -0.23 | |||||||
|
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
|
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y | MAX | |||
| Over the latest 30Y | ||||||||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 31.23 | 14.64 | 12.34 | 8.45 | 6.84 | 5.34 | ||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -24.26 | -3.96 | 0.02 | 2.56 | 4.82 | |||||
| % Positive Periods | 78% | 93% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 28.47 | 11.98 | 9.95 | 5.92 | 4.51 | 2.75 | ||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -24.44 | -7.35 | -3.61 | -0.23 | 2.22 | |||||
| % Positive Periods | 69% | 83% | 92% | 99% | 100% | 100% | ||||
| Over all the available data source (Jan 1985 - Nov 2023) | ||||||||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 51.17 | 29.38 | 22.35 | 13.99 | 10.50 | 8.94 | ||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -24.26 | -3.96 | 0.02 | 2.56 | 4.82 | 5.01 | ||||
| % Positive Periods | 81% | 94% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 48.81 | 25.55 | 18.01 | 10.05 | 7.27 | 6.07 | ||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -24.44 | -7.35 | -3.61 | -0.23 | 2.22 | 2.42 | ||||
| % Positive Periods | 71% | 85% | 94% | 99% | 100% | 100% | ||||
|
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR)
|
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y | MAX | |||
| Safe WR (%) | 30.90 | 20.84 | 10.91 | 7.21 | 5.44 | 9.25 | ||||
| Perpetual WR (%) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 2.37 | 2.68 | 4.43 | ||||
- Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
- Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
- Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed
- Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
- Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return
- Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation)
- Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio
- Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame
- Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
- Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
- Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).
Analyze your Portfolio: Backtest Now!
Explore historical data since 1871 and fine-tune your investment strategy for better results.
Explore historical data since 1871 and fine-tune your investment strategy for better results.
Portfolio Components Correlation
Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.
Correlation coefficient is a numerical value between -1 and +1. If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
COMPONENTS MONTHLY CORRELATIONS
Monthly correlations as of 30 November 2023
Swipe left to see all data
| Asset |
VEA
|
BNDX
|
|---|---|---|
|
VEA
|
-
|
0.74
|
|
BNDX
|
0.74
|
-
|
| Asset |
VEA
|
BNDX
|
|---|---|---|
|
VEA
|
-
|
0.51
|
|
BNDX
|
0.51
|
-
|
| Asset |
VEA
|
BNDX
|
|---|---|---|
|
VEA
|
-
|
0.38
|
|
BNDX
|
0.38
|
-
|
| Asset |
VEA
|
BNDX
|
|---|---|---|
|
VEA
|
-
|
0.18
|
|
BNDX
|
0.18
|
-
|
| Asset |
VEA
|
BNDX
|
|---|---|---|
|
VEA
|
-
|
0.21
|
|
BNDX
|
0.21
|
-
|
If you want to learn more about historical correlations, you can find out here how the main asset class are correlated to each other.
Drawdowns
A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
DEVELOPED WORLD EX-US 40/60 PORTFOLIO
Drawdown periods
Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 December 1993 - 30 November 2023 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 30 November 2023 (~39 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months | Ulcer Index |
| -26.17% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Aug 2010 | 18 | 34 | 11.47 |
| -19.57% | Sep 2021 | Sep 2022 | 13 | in progress | 14 | 27 | 10.43 |
| -9.84% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Nov 2020 | 8 | 11 | 3.87 |
| -8.00% | Apr 2000 | Sep 2002 | 30 | May 2003 | 8 | 38 | 3.91 |
| -7.71% | May 2011 | Sep 2011 | 5 | Feb 2012 | 5 | 10 | 3.70 |
| -6.97% | Feb 1994 | Feb 1995 | 13 | Jul 1995 | 5 | 18 | 3.55 |
| -6.62% | Dec 1996 | Apr 1997 | 5 | Jun 1997 | 2 | 7 | 4.07 |
| -5.69% | Feb 2018 | Dec 2018 | 11 | Mar 2019 | 3 | 14 | 2.61 |
| -5.53% | May 2015 | Feb 2016 | 10 | Jul 2016 | 5 | 15 | 3.12 |
| -5.24% | Jul 1997 | Dec 1997 | 6 | Feb 1998 | 2 | 8 | 2.97 |
| -4.79% | May 2013 | Jun 2013 | 2 | Sep 2013 | 3 | 5 | 2.81 |
| -4.63% | Apr 2012 | May 2012 | 2 | Aug 2012 | 3 | 5 | 2.07 |
| -3.91% | Jun 1998 | Aug 1998 | 3 | Oct 1998 | 2 | 5 | 1.65 |
| -3.04% | Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 2 | Mar 2017 | 4 | 6 | 1.54 |
| -2.86% | Jan 2000 | Jan 2000 | 1 | Mar 2000 | 2 | 3 | 1.53 |
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months | Ulcer Index |
| -27.31% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Oct 2010 | 20 | 36 | 12.85 |
| -26.34% | Jan 2021 | Sep 2022 | 21 | in progress | 14 | 35 | 15.44 |
| -13.38% | Jan 2000 | Sep 2002 | 33 | Dec 2003 | 15 | 48 | 7.28 |
| -10.24% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Nov 2020 | 8 | 11 | 4.09 |
| -9.87% | Feb 1994 | Feb 1995 | 13 | Nov 1995 | 9 | 22 | 5.09 |
| -8.52% | May 2011 | Sep 2011 | 5 | Sep 2012 | 12 | 17 | 3.69 |
| -7.55% | Dec 1996 | Apr 1997 | 5 | Apr 1998 | 12 | 17 | 4.02 |
| -6.95% | Feb 2018 | Dec 2018 | 11 | Sep 2019 | 9 | 20 | 3.40 |
| -6.07% | Mar 2015 | Sep 2015 | 7 | Apr 2017 | 19 | 26 | 2.97 |
| -5.19% | May 2013 | Jun 2013 | 2 | Oct 2013 | 4 | 6 | 2.91 |
| -4.36% | May 1998 | Aug 1998 | 4 | Oct 1998 | 2 | 6 | 1.77 |
| -2.65% | May 1999 | May 1999 | 1 | Sep 1999 | 4 | 5 | 1.22 |
| -2.59% | Nov 2010 | Nov 2010 | 1 | Jan 2011 | 2 | 3 | 1.30 |
| -2.53% | Mar 2004 | Jul 2004 | 5 | Oct 2004 | 3 | 8 | 1.51 |
| -2.14% | May 2006 | Jun 2006 | 2 | Aug 2006 | 2 | 4 | 1.41 |
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months | Ulcer Index |
| -26.17% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Aug 2010 | 18 | 34 | 11.47 |
| -19.57% | Sep 2021 | Sep 2022 | 13 | in progress | 14 | 27 | 10.43 |
| -12.17% | Jan 1990 | Sep 1990 | 9 | Feb 1991 | 5 | 14 | 6.44 |
| -9.84% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Nov 2020 | 8 | 11 | 3.87 |
| -8.00% | Apr 2000 | Sep 2002 | 30 | May 2003 | 8 | 38 | 3.91 |
| -7.71% | May 2011 | Sep 2011 | 5 | Feb 2012 | 5 | 10 | 3.70 |
| -6.97% | Feb 1994 | Feb 1995 | 13 | Jul 1995 | 5 | 18 | 3.55 |
| -6.62% | Dec 1996 | Apr 1997 | 5 | Jun 1997 | 2 | 7 | 4.07 |
| -6.45% | Jan 1992 | Apr 1992 | 4 | Aug 1992 | 4 | 8 | 3.63 |
| -5.95% | Sep 1987 | Oct 1987 | 2 | Feb 1988 | 4 | 6 | 3.46 |
| -5.69% | Feb 2018 | Dec 2018 | 11 | Mar 2019 | 3 | 14 | 2.61 |
| -5.53% | May 2015 | Feb 2016 | 10 | Jul 2016 | 5 | 15 | 3.12 |
| -5.24% | Jul 1997 | Dec 1997 | 6 | Feb 1998 | 2 | 8 | 2.97 |
| -4.79% | May 2013 | Jun 2013 | 2 | Sep 2013 | 3 | 5 | 2.81 |
| -4.63% | Apr 2012 | May 2012 | 2 | Aug 2012 | 3 | 5 | 2.07 |
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months | Ulcer Index |
| -27.31% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Oct 2010 | 20 | 36 | 12.85 |
| -26.34% | Jan 2021 | Sep 2022 | 21 | in progress | 14 | 35 | 15.44 |
| -16.53% | Jan 1990 | Sep 1990 | 9 | Dec 1991 | 15 | 24 | 8.32 |
| -13.38% | Jan 2000 | Sep 2002 | 33 | Dec 2003 | 15 | 48 | 7.28 |
| -10.24% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Nov 2020 | 8 | 11 | 4.09 |
| -9.87% | Feb 1994 | Feb 1995 | 13 | Nov 1995 | 9 | 22 | 5.09 |
| -8.52% | May 2011 | Sep 2011 | 5 | Sep 2012 | 12 | 17 | 3.69 |
| -7.55% | Dec 1996 | Apr 1997 | 5 | Apr 1998 | 12 | 17 | 4.02 |
| -7.52% | Jan 1992 | Apr 1992 | 4 | Feb 1993 | 10 | 14 | 4.15 |
| -6.95% | Feb 2018 | Dec 2018 | 11 | Sep 2019 | 9 | 20 | 3.40 |
| -6.68% | Sep 1987 | Oct 1987 | 2 | Feb 1988 | 4 | 6 | 4.05 |
| -6.07% | Mar 2015 | Sep 2015 | 7 | Apr 2017 | 19 | 26 | 2.97 |
| -5.19% | May 2013 | Jun 2013 | 2 | Oct 2013 | 4 | 6 | 2.91 |
| -4.71% | Sep 1986 | Oct 1986 | 2 | Dec 1986 | 2 | 4 | 2.66 |
| -4.68% | May 1988 | Aug 1988 | 4 | Nov 1988 | 3 | 7 | 2.34 |
Rolling Returns
( more details)
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
DEVELOPED WORLD EX-US 40/60 PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 December 1993 - 30 November 2023 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 30 November 2023 (~39 years)
Swipe left to see all data
| Rolling Period |
Worst Period |
15th Percentile |
50th Percentile |
85th Percentile |
Best Period |
Latest | Negative Periods |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
|||
| 1Y | -24.26 |
03/2008 02/2009 |
0.75$ | -1.61 | 0.98$ | 6.14 | 1.06$ | 12.78 | 1.12$ | 31.23 |
03/2009 02/2010 |
1.31$ | 5.19 | 21.49% |
| 2Y | -10.71 |
03/2007 02/2009 |
0.79$ | -0.34 | 0.99$ | 5.82 | 1.11$ | 10.93 | 1.23$ | 21.27 |
03/2009 02/2011 |
1.47$ | -2.88 | 15.73% |
| 3Y | -3.96 |
03/2006 02/2009 |
0.88$ | 1.87 | 1.05$ | 5.67 | 1.17$ | 9.32 | 1.30$ | 14.64 |
04/2003 03/2006 |
1.50$ | -0.51 | 6.77% |
| 5Y | 0.02 |
10/2017 09/2022 |
1.00$ | 3.52 | 1.18$ | 5.43 | 1.30$ | 8.05 | 1.47$ | 12.34 |
11/2002 10/2007 |
1.78$ | 2.84 | 0.00% |
| 7Y | 2.02 |
11/2015 10/2022 |
1.15$ | 4.53 | 1.36$ | 5.59 | 1.46$ | 7.19 | 1.62$ | 8.60 |
03/2009 02/2016 |
1.78$ | 3.43 | 0.00% |
| 10Y | 2.56 |
11/2013 10/2023 |
1.28$ | 4.55 | 1.56$ | 5.96 | 1.78$ | 7.20 | 2.00$ | 8.45 |
01/1998 12/2007 |
2.24$ | 3.07 | 0.00% |
| 15Y | 3.00 |
10/2007 09/2022 |
1.55$ | 4.88 | 2.04$ | 5.93 | 2.37$ | 6.53 | 2.58$ | 7.11 |
02/2003 01/2018 |
2.80$ | 5.62 | 0.00% |
| 20Y | 4.82 |
04/2000 03/2020 |
2.56$ | 5.43 | 2.87$ | 5.89 | 3.14$ | 6.39 | 3.44$ | 6.84 |
03/1995 02/2015 |
3.75$ | 5.08 | 0.00% |
| 30Y | 5.34 |
12/1993 11/2023 |
4.76$ | 5.34 | 4.76$ | 5.34 | 4.76$ | 5.34 | 4.76$ | 5.34 |
12/1993 11/2023 |
4.76$ | 5.34 | 0.00% |
| Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods | ||||||||||||||
Swipe left to see all data
| Rolling Period |
Worst Period |
15th Percentile |
50th Percentile |
85th Percentile |
Best Period |
Latest | Negative Periods |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
|||
| 1Y | -24.44 |
03/2008 02/2009 |
0.75$ | -3.80 | 0.96$ | 4.27 | 1.04$ | 10.06 | 1.10$ | 28.47 |
03/2009 02/2010 |
1.28$ | 1.78 | 30.37% |
| 2Y | -12.56 |
03/2007 02/2009 |
0.76$ | -2.33 | 0.95$ | 3.70 | 1.07$ | 8.21 | 1.17$ | 18.75 |
03/2009 02/2011 |
1.41$ | -7.69 | 21.07% |
| 3Y | -7.35 |
10/2019 09/2022 |
0.79$ | -0.30 | 0.99$ | 3.52 | 1.10$ | 6.76 | 1.21$ | 11.98 |
03/2009 02/2012 |
1.40$ | -5.92 | 16.92% |
| 5Y | -3.61 |
10/2017 09/2022 |
0.83$ | 1.34 | 1.06$ | 3.19 | 1.16$ | 5.50 | 1.30$ | 9.95 |
03/2009 02/2014 |
1.60$ | -1.18 | 7.64% |
| 7Y | -1.21 |
11/2015 10/2022 |
0.91$ | 2.31 | 1.17$ | 3.50 | 1.27$ | 4.59 | 1.36$ | 6.89 |
03/2009 02/2016 |
1.59$ | -0.09 | 6.86% |
| 10Y | -0.23 |
11/2013 10/2023 |
0.97$ | 2.55 | 1.28$ | 3.76 | 1.44$ | 4.69 | 1.58$ | 5.92 |
03/2009 02/2019 |
1.77$ | 0.25 | 0.41% |
| 15Y | 0.59 |
11/2007 10/2022 |
1.09$ | 2.62 | 1.47$ | 3.66 | 1.71$ | 4.12 | 1.83$ | 4.93 |
04/2003 03/2018 |
2.05$ | 3.04 | 0.00% |
| 20Y | 2.22 |
11/2003 10/2023 |
1.55$ | 3.01 | 1.80$ | 3.65 | 2.04$ | 4.02 | 2.20$ | 4.51 |
03/1995 02/2015 |
2.41$ | 2.43 | 0.00% |
| 30Y | 2.75 |
12/1993 11/2023 |
2.25$ | 2.75 | 2.25$ | 2.75 | 2.25$ | 2.75 | 2.25$ | 2.75 |
12/1993 11/2023 |
2.25$ | 2.75 | 0.00% |
| Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods | ||||||||||||||
Swipe left to see all data
| Rolling Period |
Worst Period |
15th Percentile |
50th Percentile |
85th Percentile |
Best Period |
Latest | Negative Periods |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
|||
| 1Y | -24.26 |
03/2008 02/2009 |
0.75$ | -1.04 | 0.98$ | 7.46 | 1.07$ | 14.48 | 1.14$ | 51.17 |
05/1985 04/1986 |
1.51$ | 5.19 | 18.20% |
| 2Y | -10.71 |
03/2007 02/2009 |
0.79$ | 1.25 | 1.02$ | 6.58 | 1.13$ | 12.41 | 1.26$ | 40.67 |
05/1985 04/1987 |
1.97$ | -2.88 | 11.94% |
| 3Y | -3.96 |
03/2006 02/2009 |
0.88$ | 2.70 | 1.08$ | 6.34 | 1.20$ | 11.06 | 1.36$ | 29.38 |
03/1985 02/1988 |
2.16$ | -0.51 | 5.09% |
| 5Y | 0.02 |
10/2017 09/2022 |
1.00$ | 3.95 | 1.21$ | 6.07 | 1.34$ | 9.45 | 1.57$ | 22.35 |
01/1985 12/1989 |
2.74$ | 2.84 | 0.00% |
| 7Y | 2.02 |
11/2015 10/2022 |
1.15$ | 4.77 | 1.38$ | 6.49 | 1.55$ | 8.12 | 1.72$ | 17.10 |
01/1985 12/1991 |
3.01$ | 3.43 | 0.00% |
| 10Y | 2.56 |
11/2013 10/2023 |
1.28$ | 4.79 | 1.59$ | 6.55 | 1.88$ | 7.83 | 2.12$ | 13.99 |
01/1985 12/1994 |
3.70$ | 3.07 | 0.00% |
| 15Y | 3.00 |
10/2007 09/2022 |
1.55$ | 5.26 | 2.15$ | 6.38 | 2.52$ | 7.71 | 3.04$ | 12.39 |
01/1985 12/1999 |
5.76$ | 5.62 | 0.00% |
| 20Y | 4.82 |
04/2000 03/2020 |
2.56$ | 5.64 | 2.99$ | 6.32 | 3.40$ | 7.61 | 4.33$ | 10.50 |
01/1985 12/2004 |
7.36$ | 5.08 | 0.00% |
| 30Y | 5.01 |
11/1993 10/2023 |
4.32$ | 5.79 | 5.41$ | 6.47 | 6.56$ | 7.33 | 8.35$ | 8.94 |
01/1985 12/2014 |
13.04$ | 5.34 | 0.00% |
| Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods | ||||||||||||||
Swipe left to see all data
| Rolling Period |
Worst Period |
15th Percentile |
50th Percentile |
85th Percentile |
Best Period |
Latest | Negative Periods |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
|||
| 1Y | -24.44 |
03/2008 02/2009 |
0.75$ | -3.43 | 0.96$ | 4.76 | 1.04$ | 11.50 | 1.11$ | 48.81 |
05/1985 04/1986 |
1.48$ | 1.78 | 28.07% |
| 2Y | -12.56 |
03/2007 02/2009 |
0.76$ | -1.47 | 0.97$ | 3.93 | 1.08$ | 9.15 | 1.19$ | 37.00 |
05/1985 04/1987 |
1.87$ | -7.69 | 19.14% |
| 3Y | -7.35 |
10/2019 09/2022 |
0.79$ | 0.13 | 1.00$ | 3.72 | 1.11$ | 8.08 | 1.26$ | 25.55 |
03/1985 02/1988 |
1.97$ | -5.92 | 14.58% |
| 5Y | -3.61 |
10/2017 09/2022 |
0.83$ | 1.88 | 1.09$ | 3.53 | 1.18$ | 6.20 | 1.35$ | 18.01 |
01/1985 12/1989 |
2.28$ | -1.18 | 5.64% |
| 7Y | -1.21 |
11/2015 10/2022 |
0.91$ | 2.71 | 1.20$ | 3.94 | 1.31$ | 5.31 | 1.43$ | 12.67 |
01/1985 12/1991 |
2.30$ | -0.09 | 4.95% |
| 10Y | -0.23 |
11/2013 10/2023 |
0.97$ | 2.76 | 1.31$ | 3.95 | 1.47$ | 5.16 | 1.65$ | 10.05 |
01/1985 12/1994 |
2.60$ | 0.25 | 0.29% |
| 15Y | 0.59 |
11/2007 10/2022 |
1.09$ | 3.12 | 1.58$ | 3.79 | 1.74$ | 4.87 | 2.04$ | 8.94 |
01/1985 12/1999 |
3.61$ | 3.04 | 0.00% |
| 20Y | 2.22 |
11/2003 10/2023 |
1.55$ | 3.27 | 1.90$ | 3.89 | 2.14$ | 4.53 | 2.42$ | 7.27 |
01/1985 12/2004 |
4.07$ | 2.43 | 0.00% |
| 30Y | 2.42 |
11/1993 10/2023 |
2.05$ | 3.20 | 2.57$ | 3.85 | 3.10$ | 4.57 | 3.81$ | 6.07 |
01/1985 12/2014 |
5.85$ | 2.75 | 0.00% |
| Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods | ||||||||||||||
If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.
Seasonality
In which months is it better to invest in Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio?
Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Swipe left to see all data
| Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| Average Gain Frequency |
1.10
40% |
-1.12
20% |
-0.70
60% |
0.55
80% |
0.20
60% |
0.37
60% |
1.55
80% |
-0.76
60% |
-1.86
20% |
0.41
60% |
3.23
80% |
0.26
60% |
| Best |
5.0 2023 |
1.1 2019 |
2.6 2023 |
3.6 2020 |
2.2 2020 |
3.3 2019 |
4.0 2022 |
1.4 2020 |
1.0 2019 |
2.5 2022 |
6.2 2022 |
2.5 2020 |
| Worst |
-2.4 2022 |
-2.6 2020 |
-7.4 2020 |
-4.5 2022 |
-1.5 2019 |
-4.7 2022 |
-0.1 2019 |
-4.4 2022 |
-5.5 2022 |
-1.5 2023 |
-1.4 2021 |
-2.5 2022 |
Monthly Seasonality over the period Feb 1985 - Nov 2023
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| Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| Average Gain Frequency |
0.67
50% |
-0.21
40% |
0.12
70% |
0.71
90% |
0.33
60% |
0.07
50% |
1.29
80% |
-0.62
60% |
-1.05
40% |
0.14
60% |
1.62
70% |
0.23
60% |
| Best |
5.0 2023 |
2.6 2014 |
3.2 2016 |
3.6 2020 |
2.2 2020 |
3.3 2019 |
4.0 2022 |
1.4 2020 |
1.0 2019 |
3.0 2015 |
6.2 2022 |
2.5 2020 |
| Worst |
-2.4 2022 |
-2.6 2020 |
-7.4 2020 |
-4.5 2022 |
-1.5 2019 |
-4.7 2022 |
-0.6 2014 |
-4.4 2022 |
-5.5 2022 |
-3.3 2018 |
-1.4 2021 |
-2.5 2022 |
Monthly Seasonality over the period Feb 1985 - Nov 2023
Swipe left to see all data
| Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| Average Gain Frequency |
0.51
56% |
0.43
62% |
0.67
64% |
1.23
77% |
0.40
51% |
0.17
49% |
1.18
74% |
0.07
62% |
-0.04
56% |
0.63
67% |
0.86
67% |
1.54
76% |
| Best |
5.8 1987 |
6.9 1986 |
7.2 1986 |
5.2 2009 |
6.3 1990 |
4.8 1986 |
6.1 2009 |
5.1 1986 |
4.2 1991 |
6.4 1990 |
6.2 2022 |
5.6 2008 |
| Worst |
-4.9 2009 |
-4.1 2009 |
-7.4 2020 |
-4.5 2022 |
-4.3 2012 |
-4.7 2022 |
-3.3 2002 |
-5.5 1990 |
-7.1 2008 |
-9.0 2008 |
-4.0 1993 |
-2.5 2022 |
Monthly Seasonality over the period Feb 1985 - Nov 2023
Monthly Returns
This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the Developed World ex-US 40/60 Portfolio over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.
DEVELOPED WORLD EX-US 40/60 PORTFOLIO
Monthly Returns Distribution
Data Source: 1 December 1993 - 30 November 2023 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 30 November 2023 (~39 years)
226 Positive Months (63%) - 134 Negative Months (37%)
296 Positive Months (63%) - 171 Negative Months (37%)
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(Scroll down to see all data)
Investment Returns, up to December 2013, are simulated.
They have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
In particular, the series derived from equivalent datasets are:
They have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
In particular, the series derived from equivalent datasets are:
- VEA - Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets, up to December 2007
- BNDX - Vanguard Total International Bond, up to December 2013
Portfolio efficiency
The following portfolios granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.
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30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
| Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum | +7.75 | 6.99 | -21.11 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
| Golden Butterfly | +7.46 | 7.68 | -17.79 | 40 | 40 | 20 | ||
| All Weather Portfolio | +7.19 | 7.39 | -20.58 | 30 | 55 | 15 | ||
| Global Market Portfolio | +6.84 | 8.29 | -25.90 | 45 | 55 | 0 | ||
| Stocks/Bonds 40/60 | +6.83 | 6.98 | -19.17 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
| GAA Global Asset Allocation | +6.77 | 8.06 | -24.91 | 40.5 | 49.5 | 10 | ||
| Simplified Permanent Portfolio | +6.75 | 6.88 | -16.43 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
| Zefiro Portfolio | +6.52 | 7.48 | -20.61 | 20 | 50 | 30 | ||
| Edge Select Moderately Conservative | +6.49 | 6.86 | -20.48 | 37 | 63 | 0 | ||
| Desert Portfolio | +6.48 | 5.50 | -14.72 | 30 | 60 | 10 | ||
| Rob Arnott Portfolio | +6.46 | 7.22 | -24.27 | 30 | 60 | 10 | ||
| High Yield Bonds Income | +6.42 | 8.80 | -23.97 | 0 | 100 | 0 | ||
| Permanent Portfolio | +6.37 | 6.58 | -15.92 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
| Lifepath Fund | +6.37 | 7.00 | -21.23 | 40.4 | 59.6 | 0 | ||
| LifeStrategy Conservative Growth | +6.23 | 6.89 | -21.90 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
| Sheltered Sam 40/60 | +6.18 | 6.47 | -22.05 | 38.8 | 60 | 1.2 | ||
| All Country World 40/60 | +6.06 | 7.63 | -25.16 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
| Paul Boyer Portfolio | +6.05 | 7.50 | -18.04 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
| Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum | +6.01 | 4.94 | -17.91 | 20 | 80 | 0 | ||
| Larry Portfolio | +5.81 | 5.57 | -15.96 | 30 | 70 | 0 | ||
| All Country World 20/80 | +5.64 | 5.63 | -17.97 | 20 | 80 | 0 | ||
| Sheltered Sam 30/70 | +5.62 | 5.22 | -16.58 | 29.1 | 70 | 0.9 | ||
| Stocks/Bonds 20/80 | +5.54 | 4.90 | -16.57 | 20 | 80 | 0 | ||
| Dimensional Retirement Income Fund | +5.36 | 4.79 | -12.91 | 20.4 | 79.6 | 0 | ||
| Developed World ex-US 40/60 | +5.34 | 7.43 | -26.17 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
The following portfolios share asset allocation strategy and/or similar asset weights.
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5 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
| Developed World ex-US 40/60 Momentum | +3.22 | 8.53 | -19.40 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
| Developed World ex-US 40/60 | +2.84 | 9.27 | -19.57 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 30 Years and Medium Risk categorization.
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30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
| Couch Potato | +7.83 | 8.76 | -27.04 | 50 | 50 | 0 | ||
| Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum | +7.75 | 6.99 | -21.11 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
| All Weather Portfolio | +7.19 | 7.39 | -20.58 | 30 | 55 | 15 | ||
| Robo Advisor 50 | +7.16 | 9.32 | -30.72 | 49.9 | 50.1 | 0 | ||
| One-Decision Portfolio | +6.85 | 8.38 | -31.96 | 50 | 50 | 0 | ||
Analyze your Portfolio: Backtest Now!
Explore historical data since 1871 and fine-tune your investment strategy for better results.
Explore historical data since 1871 and fine-tune your investment strategy for better results.
