Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio: metrics and returns

Simulation Settings
Period: April 1980 - May 2025 (~45 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 May 2025
Live Update available for June 2025
Initial Amount: 1$
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
30 Years
(1995/06 - 2025/05)
All Data
(1980/04 - 2025/05)
Live
(Jun 2025)
Inflation Adjusted:
Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio
1.00$
Invested Capital
June 1995
33.37$
Final Capital
May 2025
12.40%
Yearly Return
19.42%
Std Deviation
-44.49%
Max Drawdown
61months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
June 1995
15.83$
Final Capital
May 2025
9.64%
Yearly Return
19.42%
Std Deviation
-46.19%
Max Drawdown
68months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
April 1980
2.91 K$
Final Capital
May 2025
19.32%
Yearly Return
21.79%
Std Deviation
-44.49%
Max Drawdown
61months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
April 1980
727.68$
Final Capital
May 2025
15.71%
Yearly Return
21.79%
Std Deviation
-46.19%
Max Drawdown
68months
Recovery Period
---
1 Day: ---
---
Month: ---

The Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio can be implemented with 1 Asset (BRK.A - Berkshire Hathaway Inc Class A). This portfolio has a very high risk, meaning it can experience significant fluctuations in value. It is suitable for investors with a high risk tolerance who are seeking substantial returns and can withstand large drawdowns.

As of May 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio obtained a 12.40% compound annual return, with a 19.42% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -44.49% that required 61 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Portfolio Returns as of May 31, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.
WARREN BUFFETT BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY PORTFOLIO
Capital Growth
30 Years
(1995/06 - 2025/05)
All Data
(1980/04 - 2025/05)
Inflation Adjusted:
Swipe left to see all data
Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway
Warren Buffett
1 $ 33.37 $ 3 236.56% 12.40%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway
Warren Buffett
1 $ 15.83 $ 1 482.63% 9.64%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway
Warren Buffett
1 $ 2 913.10 $ 291 209.81% 19.32%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway
Warren Buffett
1 $ 727.68 $ 72 667.77% 15.71%

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Show Live Returns: June 2025
Chg (%) Return (%) Return (%) as of May 31, 2025
1 Day Time ET(*) --- YTD
(5M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~45Y)
Investment Return --- --- 11.23 -5.39 4.61 20.72 22.14 13.43 12.40 19.32
US Inflation Adjusted Return 10.20 -5.47 3.23 17.92 16.75 10.05 9.64 15.71
Returns over 1 year are annualized
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
The live monthly return is calculated by assuming, for each asset, the weight defined by the base asset allocation.
US Inflation is updated to May 2025. Inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 2.37% , 5Y: 4.62% , 10Y: 3.07% , 30Y: 2.52%

Portfolio Metrics as of May 31, 2025

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.
WARREN BUFFETT BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY PORTFOLIO
Advanced Metrics
1 April 1980 - 31 May 2025 (~45 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Metrics as of May 31, 2025
YTD
(5M)
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
(~45Y)
Investment Return (%)
11.23 -5.39 -2.27 4.61 20.72 16.91 22.14 13.43 11.62 12.40 19.32
Growth of 1$ 1.11 0.95 0.98 1.05 1.21 1.60 2.72 3.53 9.01 33.37 2.9K
Infl. Adjusted Return (%)
10.20 -5.47 -2.52 3.23 17.92 13.23 16.75 10.05 8.84 9.64 15.71
US Inflation (%) 0.94 0.08 0.25 1.33 2.37 3.25 4.62 3.07 2.56 2.52 3.12
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
DRAWDOWN
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
Current 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -5.39 -5.96 -14.26 -23.15 -23.15 -44.49 -44.49 -44.49
Start to Recovery (# months)
1* 3 6 16 16 61 61 61
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 12 2022 06 2022 04 2022 04 2008 01 2008 01 2008 01
Start to Bottom (# months) 1 4 6 6 14 14 14
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2024 12 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Bottom to End (# months) 2 2 10 10 47 47 47
End (yyyy mm) 2025 02 2022 11 2023 07 2023 07 2013 01 2013 01 2013 01
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -5.36
same

same

same

same
-43.81 -43.81
Start to Recovery (# months)
3 65 65
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 09 2022 06 2022 04 2022 04 2008 01 1998 07 1998 07
Start to Bottom (# months) 2 4 6 6 14 20 20
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2024 10 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2000 02 2000 02
Bottom to End (# months) 1 2 10 10 47 45 45
End (yyyy mm) 2024 11 2022 11 2023 07 2023 07 2013 01 2003 11 2003 11
Longest negative period (# months)
5 10 19 34 61 64 64
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 09 2022 06 2022 04 2017 09 2007 11 1998 07 1998 07
End (yyyy mm) 2025 01 2023 03 2023 10 2020 06 2012 11 2003 10 2003 10
Annualized Return (%) -4.20 -2.14 -1.33 -0.54 -0.09 -0.12 -0.12
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -5.47 -6.32 -15.70 -25.43 -25.43 -44.82 -46.19 -46.19
Start to Recovery (# months)
1* 3 11 22 22 63 68 68
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 12 2022 06 2022 04 2022 04 2008 01 1998 07 1998 07
Start to Bottom (# months) 1 4 6 6 14 20 20
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2024 12 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2000 02 2000 02
Bottom to End (# months) 2 7 16 16 49 48 48
End (yyyy mm) 2025 02 2023 04 2024 01 2024 01 2013 03 2004 02 2004 02
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -5.76
same

same
-13.53
same

same

same
Start to Recovery (# months)
3 23
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 09 2022 06 2022 04 2018 02 2008 01 1998 07 1998 07
Start to Bottom (# months) 2 4 6 5 14 20 20
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2024 10 2022 09 2022 09 2018 06 2009 02 2000 02 2000 02
Bottom to End (# months) 1 7 16 18 49 48 48
End (yyyy mm) 2024 11 2023 04 2024 01 2019 12 2013 03 2004 02 2004 02
Longest negative period (# months)
5 12 24 40 67 159 159
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 09 2022 06 2021 06 2017 03 2006 11 1998 07 1998 07
End (yyyy mm) 2025 01 2023 05 2023 05 2020 06 2012 05 2011 09 2011 09
Annualized Return (%) -7.80 -1.13 -0.48 -0.39 -0.10 -0.15 -0.15
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Standard Deviation (%) 18.85 19.58 20.05 17.90 17.39 19.42 21.79
Sharpe Ratio 0.85 0.64 0.97 0.65 0.58 0.52 0.71
Sortino Ratio 1.23 0.87 1.37 0.92 0.83 0.76 1.07
Ulcer Index 3.03 4.67 7.22 7.25 11.71 12.24 11.33
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.10 0.86 1.10 0.75 0.67 0.64 0.89
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 3.48 1.19 0.96 0.58 0.26 0.28 0.43
Positive Months (%)
58.33 58.33 60.00 56.66 57.91 59.16 60.88
Positive Months 7 21 36 68 139 213 330
Negative Months 5 15 24 52 101 147 212
LONG TERM RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 13.43 15.81 15.81 38.44
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 7.42 1.01 1.01
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 10.05 13.19 13.19 32.04
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 5.50 -1.54 -1.54
TIMEFRAMES
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
··· As of May 2025 - Over the previous 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 85.64 49.47 24.03 15.81 11.91 12.40
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -43.86 -6.49 -3.62 1.01 6.62
Positive Periods (%) 75.9 91.3 97.6 100.0 100.0 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 83.11 46.22 18.84 13.19 9.44 9.64
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -43.86 -7.56 -6.10 -1.54 4.33
Positive Periods (%) 70.7 87.6 90.6 98.3 100.0 100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
8.09 12.57 15.79 18.61 4.04 0.00 0.00 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 10.42 16.61 21.49 27.66 9.84 2.98 0.00 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
11.91 19.19 25.15 35.01 14.20 7.07 0.00 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 14.34 23.40 31.11 40.99 16.59 12.22 0.00 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 74.88 25.43 15.52 8.84 5.38 11.77
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- --- 3.08 11.03
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
··· All available data (Apr 1980 - May 2025)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 125.45 64.39 52.83 38.44 30.95 22.75
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -43.86 -6.49 -3.62 1.01 6.62 11.82
Positive Periods (%) 80.6 94.4 98.5 100.0 100.0 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 119.39 59.02 48.17 32.04 26.08 18.73
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -43.86 -7.56 -6.10 -1.54 4.33 9.05
Positive Periods (%) 77.0 91.7 94.2 99.0 100.0 100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
8.67 12.90 15.30 14.28 1.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 11.28 17.42 21.70 25.06 7.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
12.96 20.32 25.80 31.97 11.37 5.32 0.00 0.00 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 15.69 25.05 32.48 37.79 14.81 9.38 0.00 0.00 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 74.88 25.43 15.52 8.84 5.38 10.38
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- --- 3.08 9.61
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Terms and Definitions
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio.
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration. When cashflows are involved, portfolio values are normalized by the invested capital at each time step. This isolates the effect of market performance from capital contributions, avoiding misleading drawdowns caused by large inflows that artificially lift the portfolio value.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Value at Risk (VaR): it's an evaluation of a cumulative worst-case loss (in absolute value), associated with a probability (95%-99%) and a time horizon. For short term, it's calculated based on the expected return and standard deviation, assuming a normal distribution of monthly returns. For long term is retrieved by the historical rolling return data.
  • Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR): it represents the average expected loss if that worst-case threshold (95%-99%) is ever crossed.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money in any case (money amount withdrawal).
    For instance: Your initial invested capital is 100.000$; withdrawal rate (annualized) is 4%. This means that, in the first month, you will withdraw 100.000 * 4% * 1/12 = 333.33$. The second month, you’ll withdraw 333.33$ plus the inflation monthly rate. You’ll continue adjusting your withdraw monthly for inflation.
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, preserving the original invested capital, adjusted for inflation too.
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

WARREN BUFFETT BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY PORTFOLIO
Drawdown periods
Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted
1 June 1995 - 31 May 2025 (30 Years)
1 April 1980 - 31 May 2025 (~45 years)
30 Years
(1995/06 - 2025/05)
All Data
(1980/04 - 2025/05)
Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Returns

For a detailed rolling return analysis, click here
Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio: Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

WARREN BUFFETT BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
1 June 1995 - 31 May 2025 (30 Years)
1 April 1980 - 31 May 2025 (~45 years)
30 Years
(1995/06 - 2025/05)
All Data
(1980/04 - 2025/05)
Inflation Adjusted:

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The values shown for the rolling periods represent key statistical points: the minimum, maximum, median, and the 15th and 85th percentiles. These percentiles give insight into the distribution of the data, indicating the range within which the central 70% of the values lie, while the median represents the middle value.

Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past. They are retrieved considering the time period from April 1980 to May 2025.

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For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.

Monthly Returns

This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.

WARREN BUFFETT BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY PORTFOLIO
Monthly Returns Distribution
1 June 1995 - 31 May 2025 (30 Years)
1 April 1980 - 31 May 2025 (~45 years)
213 Positive Months (59%) - 147 Negative Months (41%)
330 Positive Months (61%) - 212 Negative Months (39%)
30 Years
(1995/06 - 2025/05)
All Data
(1980/04 - 2025/05)

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Portfolio efficiency

Compare Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio performance and efficiency against top portfolios to identify strengths and areas for improvement.

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