Vanguard LifeStrategy Income Fund To EUR Portfolio: Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Period: July 1987 - July 2025 (~38 years)
Initial Amount: 1€
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the Vanguard LifeStrategy Income Fund To EUR Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~38 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 55 months (from April 2019 to October 2023).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 56 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

VANGUARD LIFESTRATEGY INCOME FUND TO EUR PORTFOLIO
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 August 1995 - 31 July 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 July 1987 - 31 July 2025 (~38 years)
30 Years
(1995/08 - 2025/07)
All Data
(1987/07 - 2025/07)

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As of Jul 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 2.29%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

VANGUARD LIFESTRATEGY INCOME FUND TO EUR PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 August 1995 - 31 July 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 July 1987 - 31 July 2025 (~38 years)
30 Years
(1995/08 - 2025/07)
All Data
(1987/07 - 2025/07)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

VANGUARD LIFESTRATEGY INCOME FUND TO EUR PORTFOLIO
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 July 1987 - 31 July 2025 (~38 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-15.05%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022
+6.02% +24.83%
Sep 1992 - Aug 1993
12.56%
56 out of 446
-22.62%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
+3.92% +20.68%
Sep 1992 - Aug 1993
22.42%
100 out of 446
-7.61%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
+5.81% +15.89%
Dec 1991 - Nov 1993
7.14%
31 out of 434
-13.40%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
+3.77% +12.65%
Aug 1995 - Jul 1997
14.52%
63 out of 434
-3.40%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+5.41% +16.66%
Nov 1990 - Oct 1993
7.35%
31 out of 422
-8.70%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+3.74% +12.69%
Nov 1990 - Oct 1993
12.56%
53 out of 422
-1.60%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
+5.28% +12.85%
Feb 1990 - Jan 1994
3.66%
15 out of 410
-5.61%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
+3.63% +10.66%
May 1995 - Apr 1999
11.71%
48 out of 410
+0.30%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2022
+5.28% +11.92%
Feb 1991 - Jan 1996
0.00%
0 out of 398
-3.20%
Aug 2020 - Jul 2025
+3.36% +9.40%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2000
10.55%
42 out of 398
+0.24%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
+5.34% +11.58%
Dec 1990 - Nov 1996
0.00%
0 out of 386
-3.00%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
+3.50% +8.54%
Jul 1992 - Jun 1998
10.10%
39 out of 386
+0.61%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023
+5.16% +11.70%
Oct 1990 - Sep 1997
0.00%
0 out of 374
-2.38%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023
+3.58% +8.62%
Oct 1990 - Sep 1997
10.16%
38 out of 374
+1.00%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023
+5.33% +11.38%
Feb 1991 - Jan 1999
0.00%
0 out of 362
-1.68%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023
+3.71% +8.72%
Feb 1991 - Jan 1999
9.67%
35 out of 362
+1.37%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
+5.29% +10.78%
Nov 1990 - Oct 1999
0.00%
0 out of 350
-1.04%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
+3.66% +8.20%
Nov 1990 - Oct 1999
8.00%
28 out of 350
+1.85%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2025
+5.30% +10.71%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2000
0.00%
0 out of 338
-0.63%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2025
+3.68% +8.13%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2000
2.66%
9 out of 338
+2.17%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
+5.26% +10.08%
Dec 1987 - Nov 1998
0.00%
0 out of 326
+0.07%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
+3.55% +7.39%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2001
0.00%
0 out of 326
+2.71%
May 2013 - Apr 2025
+5.19% +9.83%
Dec 1987 - Nov 1999
0.00%
0 out of 314
+0.54%
May 2013 - Apr 2025
+3.54% +7.09%
Dec 1987 - Nov 1999
0.00%
0 out of 314
+2.79%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
+5.32% +9.61%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2000
0.00%
0 out of 302
+0.58%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
+3.55% +6.89%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2000
0.00%
0 out of 302
+3.34%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2023
+5.25% +9.19%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2001
0.00%
0 out of 290
+1.14%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2023
+3.47% +6.52%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2001
0.00%
0 out of 290
+3.47%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022
+5.30% +8.68%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2005
0.00%
0 out of 278
+1.33%
Aug 2010 - Jul 2025
+3.42% +6.16%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2005
0.00%
0 out of 278
+3.23%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+5.34% +8.49%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2003
0.00%
0 out of 266
+1.11%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+3.41% +5.91%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2006
0.00%
0 out of 266
+3.24%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023
+5.60% +8.36%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2004
0.00%
0 out of 254
+1.09%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023
+3.67% +5.76%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2004
0.00%
0 out of 254
+3.32%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2023
+5.60% +8.32%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2005
0.00%
0 out of 242
+1.20%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2023
+3.76% +5.73%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2005
0.00%
0 out of 242
+3.44%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023
+5.78% +8.05%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2006
0.00%
0 out of 230
+1.30%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023
+3.89% +5.50%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2006
0.00%
0 out of 230
+3.57%
Nov 2003 - Oct 2023
+5.84% +7.80%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2007
0.00%
0 out of 218
+1.42%
Nov 2003 - Oct 2023
+3.91% +5.27%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2010
0.00%
0 out of 218
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