Vanguard LifeStrategy Income Fund To EUR Portfolio: Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Period: July 1987 - January 2026 (~39 years)
Initial Amount: 1€
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the Vanguard LifeStrategy Income Fund To EUR Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~39 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 55 months (from April 2019 to October 2023).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 56 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

VANGUARD LIFESTRATEGY INCOME FUND TO EUR PORTFOLIO
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 February 1996 - 31 January 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 July 1987 - 31 January 2026 (~39 years)
30 Years
(1996/02 - 2026/01)
All Data
(1987/07 - 2026/01)

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As of Jan 31, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 2.71%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

VANGUARD LIFESTRATEGY INCOME FUND TO EUR PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 February 1996 - 31 January 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 July 1987 - 31 January 2026 (~39 years)
30 Years
(1996/02 - 2026/01)
All Data
(1987/07 - 2026/01)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

VANGUARD LIFESTRATEGY INCOME FUND TO EUR PORTFOLIO
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 July 1987 - 31 January 2026 (~39 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-15.05%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022
+5.88% +24.83%
Sep 1992 - Aug 1993
12.39%
56 out of 452
-22.62%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
+3.87% +20.68%
Sep 1992 - Aug 1993
22.12%
100 out of 452
-7.61%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
+5.81% +15.89%
Dec 1991 - Nov 1993
7.05%
31 out of 440
-13.40%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
+3.77% +12.65%
Aug 1995 - Jul 1997
14.32%
63 out of 440
-3.40%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+5.41% +16.66%
Nov 1990 - Oct 1993
7.24%
31 out of 428
-8.70%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+3.60% +12.69%
Nov 1990 - Oct 1993
12.38%
53 out of 428
-1.60%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
+5.26% +12.85%
Feb 1990 - Jan 1994
3.85%
16 out of 416
-5.61%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
+3.55% +10.66%
May 1995 - Apr 1999
12.98%
54 out of 416
+0.30%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2022
+5.23% +11.92%
Feb 1991 - Jan 1996
0.00%
0 out of 404
-3.32%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2025
+3.32% +9.40%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2000
11.88%
48 out of 404
+0.24%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
+5.30% +11.58%
Dec 1990 - Nov 1996
0.00%
0 out of 392
-3.00%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
+3.45% +8.54%
Jul 1992 - Jun 1998
11.48%
45 out of 392
+0.61%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023
+5.14% +11.70%
Oct 1990 - Sep 1997
0.00%
0 out of 380
-2.38%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023
+3.57% +8.62%
Oct 1990 - Sep 1997
11.58%
44 out of 380
+1.00%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023
+5.32% +11.38%
Feb 1991 - Jan 1999
0.00%
0 out of 368
-1.68%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023
+3.70% +8.72%
Feb 1991 - Jan 1999
11.14%
41 out of 368
+1.37%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
+5.27% +10.78%
Nov 1990 - Oct 1999
0.00%
0 out of 356
-1.04%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
+3.64% +8.20%
Nov 1990 - Oct 1999
9.55%
34 out of 356
+1.85%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2025
+5.28% +10.71%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2000
0.00%
0 out of 344
-0.63%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2025
+3.66% +8.13%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2000
3.78%
13 out of 344
+2.17%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
+5.25% +10.08%
Dec 1987 - Nov 1998
0.00%
0 out of 332
-0.23%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2026
+3.54% +7.39%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2001
0.30%
1 out of 332
+2.71%
May 2013 - Apr 2025
+5.17% +9.83%
Dec 1987 - Nov 1999
0.00%
0 out of 320
+0.54%
May 2013 - Apr 2025
+3.50% +7.09%
Dec 1987 - Nov 1999
0.00%
0 out of 320
+2.79%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
+5.31% +9.61%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2000
0.00%
0 out of 308
+0.58%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
+3.52% +6.89%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2000
0.00%
0 out of 308
+3.34%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2023
+5.23% +9.19%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2001
0.00%
0 out of 296
+1.14%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2023
+3.45% +6.52%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2001
0.00%
0 out of 296
+3.47%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2025
+5.28% +8.68%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2005
0.00%
0 out of 284
+1.24%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2025
+3.39% +6.16%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2005
0.00%
0 out of 284
+3.23%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+5.33% +8.49%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2003
0.00%
0 out of 272
+1.11%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+3.37% +5.91%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2006
0.00%
0 out of 272
+3.24%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023
+5.54% +8.36%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2004
0.00%
0 out of 260
+1.09%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023
+3.62% +5.76%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2004
0.00%
0 out of 260
+3.32%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2023
+5.49% +8.32%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2005
0.00%
0 out of 248
+1.20%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2023
+3.67% +5.73%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2005
0.00%
0 out of 248
+3.44%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023
+5.62% +8.05%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2006
0.00%
0 out of 236
+1.30%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023
+3.86% +5.50%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2006
0.00%
0 out of 236
+3.57%
Nov 2003 - Oct 2023
+5.78% +7.80%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2007
0.00%
0 out of 224
+1.42%
Nov 2003 - Oct 2023
+3.87% +5.27%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2010
0.00%
0 out of 224
+3.91%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2025
+5.84% +7.38%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2012
0.00%
0 out of 164
+1.74%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2025
+4.08% +5.08%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2015
0.00%
0 out of 164
+4.64%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023
+6.17% +6.87%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2017
0.00%
0 out of 104
+2.51%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023
+4.10% +4.71%
Dec 1990 - Nov 2020
0.00%
0 out of 104
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