US Stocks Quality Portfolio: Rolling Returns

Data Source: from January 1976 to June 2024 (~49 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 June 2024

Holding the US Stocks Quality Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all the available data source (~49 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 130 months (from May 1998 to February 2009).

This means that every rolling period of 131 months or above has always granted a positive return.

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the US Stocks Quality Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns page.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Considering all 10-year rolling periods, is there a relationship between past and future returns, at a given date?

In the following chart, we show how past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis) are related.

Neighboring data is aggregated and occurrences are indicated. It is possible to zoom by clicking or drawing the desired area

US STOCKS QUALITY PORTFOLIO
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Updated to June 2024

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The annualized return of the last 10 years has been 13.18% (updated at Jun 30, 2024).

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

US STOCKS QUALITY PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 July 1994 - 30 June 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1976 - 30 June 2024 (~49 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +13.93% +55.12%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1983
-39.37%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
20.32%
116 out of 571
US Inflation Adjusted +10.20% +51.38%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1983
-39.37%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
25.74%
147 out of 571
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +12.70% +41.34%
Apr 1997 - Mar 1999
-22.49%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2002
12.34%
69 out of 559
US Inflation Adjusted +8.85% +39.18%
Apr 1997 - Mar 1999
-24.05%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2002
23.26%
130 out of 559
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +13.12% +36.99%
Apr 1995 - Mar 1998
-15.42%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
10.24%
56 out of 547
US Inflation Adjusted +9.48% +34.08%
Aug 1996 - Jul 1999
-17.45%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
17.92%
98 out of 547
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +12.90% +37.16%
Feb 1995 - Jan 1999
-7.53%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009
9.16%
49 out of 535
US Inflation Adjusted +9.40% +34.10%
Feb 1995 - Jan 1999
-9.82%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009
17.57%
94 out of 535
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +13.74% +34.78%
Jan 1995 - Dec 1999
-5.11%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009
5.93%
31 out of 523
US Inflation Adjusted +9.79% +31.65%
Jan 1995 - Dec 1999
-7.55%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009
15.87%
83 out of 523
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +13.57% +30.69%
Apr 1994 - Mar 2000
-1.66%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2006
2.54%
13 out of 511
US Inflation Adjusted +10.00% +27.46%
Apr 1994 - Mar 2000
-4.68%
Aug 1976 - Jul 1982
9.39%
48 out of 511
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +13.52% +25.42%
Sep 1993 - Aug 2000
-3.28%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
1.20%
6 out of 499
US Inflation Adjusted +10.18% +22.31%
Sep 1993 - Aug 2000
-5.71%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
7.21%
36 out of 499
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +13.41% +23.26%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1998
-3.88%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
2.26%
11 out of 487
US Inflation Adjusted +10.09% +20.18%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1998
-6.13%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
5.54%
27 out of 487
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +13.87% +23.85%
Nov 1990 - Oct 1999
-4.31%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2009
2.95%
14 out of 475
US Inflation Adjusted +10.14% +20.70%
Nov 1990 - Oct 1999
-6.59%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2009
5.89%
28 out of 475
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +13.77% +22.42%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1998
-2.18%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
3.46%
16 out of 463
US Inflation Adjusted +9.99% +19.14%
Sep 1990 - Aug 2000
-4.65%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
6.05%
28 out of 463
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +13.53% +22.76%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1999
+0.05%
Jul 1999 - Jun 2010
0.00%
0 out of 451
US Inflation Adjusted +10.08% +19.08%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1999
-2.37%
Jul 1999 - Jun 2010
7.76%
35 out of 451
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +12.95% +22.32%
Dec 1987 - Nov 1999
+1.55%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2011
0.00%
0 out of 439
US Inflation Adjusted +9.66% +18.52%
Dec 1987 - Nov 1999
-0.94%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2011
3.19%
14 out of 439
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +12.78% +20.84%
Feb 1986 - Jan 1999
+2.36%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2012
0.00%
0 out of 427
US Inflation Adjusted +9.45% +17.14%
Feb 1986 - Jan 1999
-0.09%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2012
0.23%
1 out of 427
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +12.60% +21.49%
May 1985 - Apr 1999
+3.90%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2012
0.00%
0 out of 415
US Inflation Adjusted +9.12% +17.74%
May 1985 - Apr 1999
+1.40%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2012
0.00%
0 out of 415
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +11.82% +21.92%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1999
+4.37%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015
0.00%
0 out of 403
US Inflation Adjusted +8.81% +18.15%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1999
+2.16%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015
0.00%
0 out of 403
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 16 Years (192 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +11.58% +21.34%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1998
+4.78%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2016
0.00%
0 out of 391
US Inflation Adjusted +8.48% +17.49%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1998
+2.63%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2016
0.00%
0 out of 391
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 17 Years (204 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +11.17% +21.80%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1999
+5.11%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2016
0.00%
0 out of 379
US Inflation Adjusted +8.10% +18.02%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1999
+2.89%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2016
0.00%
0 out of 379
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 18 Years (216 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +11.22% +21.30%
Apr 1982 - Mar 2000
+5.81%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2018
0.00%
0 out of 367
US Inflation Adjusted +8.09% +17.46%
Aug 1982 - Jul 2000
+3.62%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2018
0.00%
0 out of 367
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 19 Years (228 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +11.16% +19.98%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1999
+5.35%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018
0.00%
0 out of 355
US Inflation Adjusted +8.21% +15.95%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2000
+3.13%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018
0.00%
0 out of 355
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 20 Years (240 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +10.91% +20.15%
Apr 1980 - Mar 2000
+5.30%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
0.00%
0 out of 343
US Inflation Adjusted +8.32% +15.68%
Apr 1980 - Mar 2000
+3.16%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
0.00%
0 out of 343
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the US Stocks Quality Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns page.