US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns

Data Source: from January 1985 to March 2024 (~39 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 March 2024
Live Update: Apr 17 2024
PORTFOLIO • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)
0.00%
1 Day
Apr 17 2024
4.38%
Current Month
April 2024

The US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio is a Very High Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 1 ETF.

It's exposed for 100% on the Stock Market.

In the last 30 Years, the US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio obtained a 10.04% compound annual return, with a 13.68% standard deviation.

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Asset Allocation and ETFs

The US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio has the following asset allocation:

100% Stocks
0% Fixed Income
0% Commodities

The US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:

Weight
(%)
Investment Themes (Orig.Currency) ETF
Ticker
ETF
Currency
ETF Name
100.00 Equity, U.S., Large Cap (USD)
USMV
USD iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol USA

Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.

Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Mar 31, 2024

The US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • the reinvestment of dividends.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.
US STOCKS MINIMUM VOLATILITY PORTFOLIO
Consolidated returns as of 31 March 2024
Live Update: Apr 17 2024
Swipe left to see all data
  Chg (%) Return (%) Return (%) as of Mar 31, 2024
  1 Day Time ET(*) Apr 2024 1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~39Y)
US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio n.a. -4.38 3.14 16.63 17.12 9.24 10.87 10.04 11.20
US Inflation Adjusted return 2.75 14.78 13.19 4.84 7.81 7.31 8.17
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Jan 1985
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
US Inflation is updated to Mar 2024. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 3.48% , 5Y: 4.19% , 10Y: 2.84% , 30Y: 2.54%

In 2023, the US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio granted a 1.98% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.

Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2024

An investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 17.62$, with a total return of 1662.50% (10.04% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 8.30$, with a net total return of 730.36% (7.31% annualized).
An investment of 1$, since January 1985, now would be worth 64.60$, with a total return of 6359.76% (11.20% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 21.83$, with a net total return of 2082.70% (8.17% annualized).

Portfolio Metrics as of Mar 31, 2024

Metrics of US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio, updated as of 31 March 2024.

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • the reinvestment of dividends.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.
US STOCKS MINIMUM VOLATILITY PORTFOLIO
Advanced Metrics
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 31 March 2024 (~39 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Metrics as of Mar 31, 2024
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
(~39Y)
Investment Return (%) 3.14 7.58 16.63 17.12 8.28 9.24 10.87 9.69 10.04 11.20
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) details 2.75 6.38 14.78 13.19 2.51 4.84 7.81 6.92 7.31 8.17
US Inflation (%) 0.38 1.13 1.61 3.48 5.63 4.19 2.84 2.59 2.54 2.80
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
DRAWDOWN
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -4.29 -17.35 -19.06 -19.06 -43.27 -43.27 -43.27
Start to Recovery (# months) details 4 25 10 10 40 40 40
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2022 01 2020 02 2020 02 2007 11 2007 11 2007 11
Start to Bottom (# months) 3 9 2 2 16 16 16
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 09 2020 03 2020 03 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Bottom to End (# months) 1 16 8 8 24 24 24
End (yyyy mm) 2023 11 2024 01 2020 11 2020 11 2011 02 2011 02 2011 02
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same as
deepest

same as
deepest
-17.35 -17.35
same as
deepest
-35.36 -35.36
Start to Recovery (# months) details 25 25 59 59
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2007 11 2000 09 2000 09
Start to Bottom (# months) 3 9 9 9 16 25 25
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2002 09 2002 09
Bottom to End (# months) 1 16 16 16 24 34 34
End (yyyy mm) 2023 11 2024 01 2024 01 2024 01 2011 02 2005 07 2005 07
Longest negative period (# months) details 7 27 27 27 61 131 131
Period Start (yyyy mm) 2023 04 2021 08 2021 08 2021 08 2004 04 1998 04 1998 04
Period End (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2009 04 2009 02 2009 02
Annualized Return (%) -0.77 -1.04 -1.04 -1.04 -0.09 -0.16 -0.16
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -5.19 -21.68 -21.68 -21.68 -44.21 -44.21 -44.21
Start to Recovery (# months) details 4 27* 27* 27* 42 42 42
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2007 11 2007 11 2007 11
Start to Bottom (# months) 3 9 9 9 16 16 16
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Bottom to End (# months) 1 18 18 18 26 26 26
End (yyyy mm) 2023 11 - - - 2011 04 2011 04 2011 04
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest
-38.25 -38.25
Start to Recovery (# months) details 75 75
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2007 11 2000 09 2000 09
Start to Bottom (# months) 3 9 9 9 16 25 25
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2002 09 2002 09
Bottom to End (# months) 1 18 18 18 26 50 50
End (yyyy mm) 2023 11 - - - 2011 04 2006 11 2006 11
Longest negative period (# months) details 7 33 47 47 75 146 146
Period Start (yyyy mm) 2023 04 2021 05 2019 12 2019 12 2004 04 1998 05 1998 05
Period End (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2024 01 2023 10 2023 10 2010 06 2010 06 2010 06
Annualized Return (%) -3.95 -0.05 -0.11 -0.11 -0.07 -0.05 -0.05
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Standard Deviation (%) 9.43 13.83 14.60 12.08 12.90 13.68 14.20
Sharpe Ratio 1.26 0.42 0.50 0.80 0.65 0.57 0.51
Sortino Ratio 1.73 0.57 0.67 1.06 0.85 0.75 0.67
Ulcer Index 1.78 7.04 6.58 4.91 9.14 10.61 10.04
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.82 0.60 0.63 0.90 0.75 0.73 0.79
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 4.00 0.48 0.48 0.57 0.22 0.23 0.26
% Positive Months details 66% 61% 61% 65% 65% 64% 64%
Positive Months 8 22 37 78 156 231 302
Negative Months 4 14 23 42 84 129 169
LONG TERM RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 10.87 16.75 16.75 17.78
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 8.16 -0.89 -0.89
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 7.81 14.73 14.73 14.73
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 6.03 -3.39 -3.39
ROLLING PERIODS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Over the latest 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 46.09 27.65 22.38 16.75 10.29 10.04
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -35.94 -11.41 -3.50 -0.89 6.58
% Positive Periods 83% 84% 97% 98% 100% 100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized 78.01 25.76 15.80 8.36 5.45 8.79
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized - - - - 3.25 7.73
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 42.99 24.75 19.59 14.73 7.66 7.31
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -35.94 -13.29 -5.98 -3.39 4.40
% Positive Periods 79% 80% 81% 90% 100% 100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized 78.01 25.76 15.80 8.36 5.45 8.79
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized - - - - 3.25 7.73
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Over all the available data source (Jan 1985 - Mar 2024)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 46.09 27.65 22.38 17.78 12.88 11.50
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -35.94 -11.41 -3.50 -0.89 6.58 9.32
% Positive Periods 83% 88% 98% 99% 100% 100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized 78.01 25.76 15.80 8.36 5.45 7.04
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized - - - - 3.25 6.10
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 42.99 24.75 19.59 14.73 9.56 8.55
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -35.94 -13.29 -5.98 -3.39 4.40 6.63
% Positive Periods 80% 85% 86% 93% 100% 100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized 78.01 25.76 15.80 8.36 5.45 7.04
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized - - - - 3.25 6.10
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Terms and Definitions
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio.
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money in any case (money amount withdrawal).
    For instance: Your initial invested capital is 100.000$; withdrawal rate (annualized) is 4%. This means that, in the first month, you will withdraw 100.000 * 4% * 1/12 = 333.33$. The second month, you’ll withdraw 333.33$ plus the inflation monthly rate. You’ll continue adjusting your withdraw monthly for inflation.
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, preserving the original invested capital, adjusted for inflation too.

Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

US STOCKS MINIMUM VOLATILITY PORTFOLIO
Drawdown periods
Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 April 1994 - 31 March 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 31 March 2024 (~39 years)
Inflation Adjusted:
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Rolling Returns

( more details)

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

US STOCKS MINIMUM VOLATILITY PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 April 1994 - 31 March 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 31 March 2024 (~39 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.

Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
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Monthly Returns

This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.

US STOCKS MINIMUM VOLATILITY PORTFOLIO
Monthly Returns Distribution
Data Source: 1 April 1994 - 31 March 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 31 March 2024 (~39 years)
231 Positive Months (64%) - 129 Negative Months (36%)
302 Positive Months (64%) - 169 Negative Months (36%)
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(Scroll down to see all data)
Investment Returns, up to December 2011, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.

In particular, the series derived from equivalent datasets are:
  • USMV - iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol USA (USMV), up to December 2011

Portfolio efficiency

No other portfolio in our database granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.

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In the following table, you can compare the current portfolio with a list of famous portfolios. Metrics are calculated over the last 30 Years.

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The following portfolios share asset allocation strategy and/or similar asset weights.

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