Simulation Settings
Period: January 1985 - April 2025 (~40 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2025
Live Update available for May 2025
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2025
Live Update available for May 2025
Currency:
USD
Inflation: US
Results
US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 1995
May 1995
16.80$
Final Capital
April 2025
April 2025
9.86%
Yearly Return
13.74%
Std Deviation
-43.27%
Max Drawdown
40months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 1995
May 1995
7.96$
Final Capital
April 2025
April 2025
7.16%
Yearly Return
13.74%
Std Deviation
-44.21%
Max Drawdown
42months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1985
January 1985
72.68$
Final Capital
April 2025
April 2025
11.21%
Yearly Return
14.12%
Std Deviation
-43.27%
Max Drawdown
40months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1985
January 1985
23.93$
Final Capital
April 2025
April 2025
8.19%
Yearly Return
14.12%
Std Deviation
-44.21%
Max Drawdown
42months
Recovery Period
---
1 Day: ---
---
Month: ---
The US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio can be implemented with 1 ETF. This portfolio has a very high risk, meaning it can experience significant fluctuations in value. It is suitable for investors with a high risk tolerance who are seeking substantial returns and can withstand large drawdowns.
The portfolio asset allocation is: 100% on the Stock Market, 0% on Fixed Income, 0% on Commodities. In general, bonds are useful for mitigating overall portfolio risk, especially if they are issued by national entities or highly reliable companies. This portfolio has a 0% allocation to bonds, leading to its classification as very high risk.
As of April 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio obtained a 9.86% compound annual return, with a 13.74% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -43.27% that required 40 months to be recovered.
Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information.
The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators.
Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
Table of contents
Resources & Extras
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Exclusive new asset allocations in EUR and USD
Asset Allocation and ETFs
To effectively implement the asset allocation of the US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio, investors can utilize the following selection of ETFs. These ETFs have been chosen specifically for their ability to represent each asset class within the portfolio and facilitate ease of management.
100% Stocks
0% Fixed Income
0% Commodities
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| Weight (%) |
ETF Ticker |
ETF Currency |
ETF Name | Investment Themes (Orig.Currency) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100.00 |
USMV
|
USD | iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol USA | Equity, U.S., Large Cap (USD) |
Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.
Evaluate your portfolio strategy in 7 different currencies
Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Apr 30, 2025
The US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.
Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
- no fees or capital gain taxes.
- dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
US STOCKS MINIMUM VOLATILITY PORTFOLIO
1 January 1985 - 30 April 2025 (~40 years)
Live Update: May 2025
Swipe left to see all data
| Chg (%) | Return (%) | Return (%) as of Apr 30, 2025 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Day | Time ET(*) | --- |
YTD (4M) |
1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | 30Y |
MAX (~40Y) |
|||
| Investment Return | --- | --- | 4.59 | -1.20 | 3.67 | 16.90 | 11.25 | 10.53 | 9.86 | 11.21 | |||
| Returns over 1 year are annualized | |||||||||||||
| (*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York) | |||||||||||||
| The live monthly return is calculated by assuming, for each asset, the weight defined by the base asset allocation. | |||||||||||||
In 2024, the US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio granted a 1.67% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Capital Growth as of Apr 30, 2025
An investment of 1$, from May 1995 to April 2025,
would be worth 16.80$, with a total return of 1580.32% (9.86% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 7.96$, with a net total return of 696.10% (7.16% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 7.96$, with a net total return of 696.10% (7.16% annualized).
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An investment of 1$, from January 1985 to April 2025,
would be worth 72.68$, with a total return of 7167.92% (11.21% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 23.93$, with a net total return of 2293.12% (8.19% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 23.93$, with a net total return of 2293.12% (8.19% annualized).
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Portfolio Metrics as of Apr 30, 2025
Metrics of US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio, updated as of 30 April 2025, provide a comprehensive overview of the portfolio's performance and risk characteristics.
These metrics include detailed data on returns, volatility, drawdowns and other key performance indicators. By examining them, you can gain insights into how the portfolio has performed over various time periods and understand its risk profile.
Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
- no fees or capital gain taxes.
- dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
US STOCKS MINIMUM VOLATILITY PORTFOLIO
Advanced Metrics
1 January 1985 - 30 April 2025 (~40 years)
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| Metrics as of Apr 30, 2025 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
YTD
(4M) |
1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~40Y) |
|
| Investment Return (%) | 4.59 | -1.20 | 0.99 | 3.67 | 16.90 | 9.92 | 11.25 | 10.53 | 9.94 | 9.86 | 11.21 |
| Growth of 1$ | 1.05 | 0.99 | 1.01 | 1.04 | 1.17 | 1.33 | 1.70 | 2.72 | 6.66 | 16.80 | 72.68 |
| US Inflation (%) | 0.86 | 0.22 | 0.39 | 1.57 | 2.30 | 3.53 | 4.58 | 3.10 | 2.55 | 2.52 | 2.79 |
| Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized. | |||||||||||
|
DRAWDOWN
|
Current | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y | MAX | |||
| Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) | -1.80 | -5.66 | -10.00 | -17.35 | -19.06 | -43.27 | -43.27 | -43.27 | |||
| Start to Recovery (# months) | 2* | 3 | 4 | 25 | 10 | 40 | 40 | 40 | |||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2024 12 | 2022 08 | 2022 01 | 2020 02 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | ||||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 16 | ||||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2024 12 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2020 03 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | ||||
| Bottom to End (# months) | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 24 | ||||
| End (yyyy mm) | 2025 02 | 2022 11 | 2024 01 | 2020 11 | 2011 02 | 2011 02 | 2011 02 | ||||
| Longest Drawdown Depth (%) |
same |
-5.70 |
same |
-17.35 |
same |
-35.36 | -35.36 | ||||
| Start to Recovery (# months) | 7 | 25 | 59 | 59 | |||||||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2024 12 | 2022 12 | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | 2007 11 | 2000 09 | 2000 09 | ||||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 25 | 25 | ||||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2024 12 | 2023 02 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2009 02 | 2002 09 | 2002 09 | ||||
| Bottom to End (# months) | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 24 | 34 | 34 | ||||
| End (yyyy mm) | 2025 02 | 2023 06 | 2024 01 | 2024 01 | 2011 02 | 2005 07 | 2005 07 | ||||
| Longest negative period (# months) | 5* | 15 | 27 | 27 | 59 | 131 | 131 | ||||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2024 12 | 2022 08 | 2021 08 | 2021 08 | 2005 08 | 1998 04 | 1998 04 | ||||
| End (yyyy mm) | 2025 04 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2010 06 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | ||||
| Annualized Return (%) | -3.17 | -0.40 | -1.04 | -1.04 | -0.02 | -0.16 | -0.16 | ||||
| Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress | |||||||||||
| Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) | -2.55 | -6.03 | -11.58 | -21.68 | -21.68 | -44.21 | -44.21 | -44.21 | |||
| Start to Recovery (# months) | 5* | 5* | 19 | 31 | 31 | 42 | 42 | 42 | |||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2024 12 | 2022 05 | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | ||||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | 1 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 16 | 16 | ||||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2024 12 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | ||||
| Bottom to End (# months) | 4 | 14 | 22 | 22 | 26 | 26 | 26 | ||||
| End (yyyy mm) | - | 2023 11 | 2024 07 | 2024 07 | 2011 04 | 2011 04 | 2011 04 | ||||
| Longest Drawdown Depth (%) |
same |
same |
same |
same |
same |
-38.25 | -38.25 | ||||
| Start to Recovery (# months) | 75 | 75 | |||||||||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2024 12 | 2022 05 | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | 2007 11 | 2000 09 | 2000 09 | ||||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | 1 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 25 | 25 | ||||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2024 12 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2009 02 | 2002 09 | 2002 09 | ||||
| Bottom to End (# months) | 4 | 14 | 22 | 22 | 26 | 50 | 50 | ||||
| End (yyyy mm) | - | 2023 11 | 2024 07 | 2024 07 | 2011 04 | 2006 11 | 2006 11 | ||||
| Longest negative period (# months) | 5 | 18 | 38 | 47 | 64 | 146 | 146 | ||||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2024 09 | 2022 05 | 2020 09 | 2019 12 | 2005 05 | 1998 05 | 1998 05 | ||||
| End (yyyy mm) | 2025 01 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2010 08 | 2010 06 | 2010 06 | ||||
| Annualized Return (%) | 0.00 | -3.90 | -0.64 | -0.12 | -0.48 | -0.05 | -0.05 | ||||
| Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress | |||||||||||
|
RISK INDICATORS
|
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y | MAX | ||||
| Standard Deviation (%) | 10.48 | 12.47 | 13.08 | 12.42 | 13.03 | 13.74 | 14.12 | ||||
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.15 | 0.45 | 0.67 | 0.71 | 0.65 | 0.55 | 0.57 | ||||
| Sortino Ratio | 1.46 | 0.61 | 0.91 | 0.93 | 0.85 | 0.73 | 0.75 | ||||
| Ulcer Index | 1.82 | 2.86 | 5.64 | 4.96 | 9.14 | 10.61 | 9.91 | ||||
| Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation | 1.61 | 0.80 | 0.86 | 0.85 | 0.76 | 0.72 | 0.79 | ||||
| Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown | 2.99 | 0.99 | 0.65 | 0.55 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.26 | ||||
| Positive Months (%) | 66.66 | 61.11 | 60.00 | 65.00 | 65.00 | 63.61 | 64.04 | ||||
| Positive Months | 8 | 22 | 36 | 78 | 156 | 229 | 310 | ||||
| Negative Months | 4 | 14 | 24 | 42 | 84 | 131 | 174 | ||||
|
LONG TERM RETURNS
|
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y | MAX | ||||
| Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | 10.53 | 16.75 | 16.75 | 17.78 | |||||||
| Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | 8.16 | -0.89 | -0.89 | ||||||||
| Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | 7.22 | 14.73 | 14.73 | 14.73 | |||||||
| Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | 6.23 | -3.39 | -3.39 | ||||||||
|
TIMEFRAMES
|
1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y | MAX | |
| ··· As of Apr 2025 - Over the previous 30Y | |||||||||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 46.09 | 26.82 | 21.58 | 16.75 | 10.29 | 9.86 | |||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -35.94 | -11.41 | -3.50 | -0.89 | 6.58 | ||||||
| Positive Periods (%) | 83.0 | 84.3 | 97.3 | 98.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | |||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 42.99 | 24.05 | 19.12 | 14.73 | 7.60 | 7.16 | |||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -35.94 | -13.29 | -5.98 | -3.39 | 4.40 | ||||||
| Positive Periods (%) | 79.6 | 80.6 | 81.3 | 90.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | |||||
| 95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative | 5.66 | 8.70 | 10.78 | 16.22 | 17.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |||
| 95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) | 7.30 | 11.55 | 14.81 | 24.35 | 21.68 | 3.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |||
| 99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative | 8.36 | 13.38 | 17.40 | 28.71 | 26.31 | 8.98 | 4.60 | 0.00 | |||
| 99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) | 10.08 | 16.36 | 21.61 | 33.53 | 29.59 | 13.74 | 8.57 | 0.00 | |||
| Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data | |||||||||||
| Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) | 78.01 | 25.76 | 15.80 | 8.36 | 5.45 | 8.38 | |||||
| Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) | --- | --- | --- | --- | 3.25 | 7.32 | |||||
| % based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com | |||||||||||
| ··· All available data (Jan 1985 - Apr 2025) | |||||||||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 46.09 | 27.65 | 22.38 | 17.78 | 12.88 | 11.50 | |||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -35.94 | -11.41 | -3.50 | -0.89 | 6.58 | 9.32 | |||||
| Positive Periods (%) | 84.1 | 88.6 | 98.1 | 99.1 | 100.0 | 100.0 | |||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 42.99 | 24.75 | 19.59 | 14.73 | 9.56 | 8.55 | |||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -35.94 | -13.29 | -5.98 | -3.39 | 4.40 | 6.63 | |||||
| Positive Periods (%) | 80.5 | 85.5 | 86.8 | 93.4 | 100.0 | 100.0 | |||||
| 95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative | 5.73 | 8.69 | 10.58 | 13.38 | 14.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) | 7.43 | 11.63 | 14.73 | 21.67 | 20.20 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative | 8.51 | 13.51 | 17.39 | 28.19 | 21.69 | 6.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) | 10.28 | 16.57 | 21.72 | 31.10 | 28.51 | 12.18 | 4.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data | |||||||||||
| Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) | 78.01 | 25.76 | 15.80 | 8.36 | 5.45 | 7.04 | |||||
| Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) | --- | --- | --- | --- | 3.25 | 6.10 | |||||
| % based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com | |||||||||||
- Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio.
- Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
- Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
- Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
- Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
- Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
- Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
- Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
- Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
- Value at Risk (VaR): it's an evaluation of a cumulative worst-case loss (in absolute value), associated with a probability (95%-99%) and a time horizon. For short term, it's calculated based on the expected return and standard deviation, assuming a normal distribution of monthly returns. For long term is retrieved by the historical rolling return data.
- Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR): it represents the average expected loss if that worst-case threshold (95%-99%) is ever crossed.
The first official book of
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Drawdowns
A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
US STOCKS MINIMUM VOLATILITY PORTFOLIO
Drawdown periods
Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted
1 May 1995 - 30 April 2025 (30 Years)
1 January 1985 - 30 April 2025 (~40 years)
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Rolling Returns
For a detailed rolling return analysis, click here
US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio: Rolling Returns
US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio: Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
US STOCKS MINIMUM VOLATILITY PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
1 May 1995 - 30 April 2025 (30 Years)
1 January 1985 - 30 April 2025 (~40 years)
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The values shown for the rolling periods represent key statistical points: the minimum, maximum, median, and the 15th and 85th percentiles. These percentiles give insight into the distribution of the data, indicating the range within which the central 70% of the values lie, while the median represents the middle value.
Seasonality
In which months is it better to invest in US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio?
Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past. They are retrieved considering the time period from January 1985 to April 2025.
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For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Monthly Returns
This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.
US STOCKS MINIMUM VOLATILITY PORTFOLIO
Monthly Returns Distribution
1 May 1995 - 30 April 2025 (30 Years)
1 January 1985 - 30 April 2025 (~40 years)
229 Positive Months (64%) - 131 Negative Months (36%)
310 Positive Months (64%) - 174 Negative Months (36%)
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Methodology
Returns, up to December 2011, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.
In particular, the series derived from equivalent datasets are:
Returns, up to December 2011, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.
In particular, the series derived from equivalent datasets are:
- iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol USA (USMV), up to December 2011
Portfolio efficiency
Compare US Stocks Minimum Volatility Portfolio performance and efficiency against top portfolios to identify strengths and areas for improvement.
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Compare this portfolio with a list of famous portfolios. Metrics are calculated over the last 30 Years.
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The following portfolios are based on similar asset allocation strategies and/or comparable asset weightings.
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Compare this portfolio with up to 3 other portfolios.
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The first official book of
Build wealth
with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing
with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing
