When holding the Aim Ways Ulcer Free Strategy To EUR Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~32 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 99 months (from April 2000 to June 2008).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 100 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Aim Ways Ulcer Free Strategy To EUR Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Dec 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 5.26%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-15.45%
Feb 1994 - Jan 1995 |
+6.27% |
+38.33%
Sep 1999 - Aug 2000 |
24.40%
91 out of 373 |
|
-18.76%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022 |
+4.26% |
+35.56%
Sep 1999 - Aug 2000 |
33.24%
124 out of 373 |
|
-6.90%
Jun 2001 - May 2003 |
+6.68% |
+29.31%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000 |
16.07%
58 out of 361 |
|
-9.06%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023 |
+4.51% |
+27.30%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000 |
28.81%
104 out of 361 |
|
-4.16%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2003 |
+6.27% |
+22.41%
Apr 1997 - Mar 2000 |
8.88%
31 out of 349 |
|
-6.21%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2003 |
+4.55% |
+20.79%
Apr 1997 - Mar 2000 |
20.92%
73 out of 349 |
|
-3.47%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2004 |
+6.33% |
+22.29%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2000 |
5.93%
20 out of 337 |
|
-5.58%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2004 |
+4.89% |
+20.48%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2000 |
20.47%
69 out of 337 |
|
-1.56%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2005 |
+6.40% |
+20.51%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2000 |
2.77%
9 out of 325 |
|
-3.67%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2005 |
+4.87% |
+18.60%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2000 |
13.85%
45 out of 325 |
|
-0.62%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2006 |
+6.68% |
+17.89%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2000 |
1.60%
5 out of 313 |
|
-2.78%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2006 |
+4.90% |
+15.84%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2000 |
10.86%
34 out of 313 |
|
-0.59%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2008 |
+6.60% |
+14.65%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2002 |
1.99%
6 out of 301 |
|
-2.88%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2008 |
+4.87% |
+12.60%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2002 |
9.30%
28 out of 301 |
|
-0.21%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2008 |
+6.55% |
+11.38%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2002 |
0.35%
1 out of 289 |
|
-2.52%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2008 |
+4.81% |
+9.82%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2016 |
6.92%
20 out of 289 |
|
+0.92%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2009 |
+6.76% |
+10.34%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2004 |
0.00%
0 out of 277 |
|
-1.12%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2009 |
+4.91% |
+8.48%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2017 |
3.97%
11 out of 277 |
|
+2.84%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2010 |
+6.57% |
+9.16%
Apr 2005 - Mar 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 265 |
|
+0.74%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2010 |
+4.67% |
+7.32%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 265 |
|
+2.99%
May 2000 - Apr 2011 |
+6.72% |
+9.38%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2006 |
0.00%
0 out of 253 |
|
+0.80%
May 2000 - Apr 2011 |
+4.60% |
+7.69%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 253 |
|
+3.98%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2013 |
+6.61% |
+9.26%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 241 |
|
+1.86%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2012 |
+4.64% |
+8.03%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 241 |
|
+3.50%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2013 |
+6.74% |
+8.84%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 229 |
|
+1.42%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2013 |
+4.78% |
+7.54%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 229 |
|
+3.78%
May 2000 - Apr 2014 |
+6.68% |
+8.42%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2010 |
0.00%
0 out of 217 |
|
+1.72%
May 2000 - Apr 2014 |
+4.78% |
+6.56%
Dec 2007 - Nov 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 217 |
|
+4.60%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015 |
+6.84% |
+8.66%
Jul 1995 - Jun 2010 |
0.00%
0 out of 205 |
|
+2.73%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015 |
+4.77% |
+6.62%
Jul 1995 - Jun 2010 |
0.00%
0 out of 205 |
|
+4.72%
Feb 2002 - Jan 2018 |
+6.85% |
+8.72%
Aug 1996 - Jul 2012 |
0.00%
0 out of 193 |
|
+3.05%
Feb 2002 - Jan 2018 |
+4.85% |
+6.65%
Aug 1996 - Jul 2012 |
0.00%
0 out of 193 |
|
+4.43%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2017 |
+6.86% |
+8.83%
Aug 1995 - Jul 2012 |
0.00%
0 out of 181 |
|
+2.68%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2017 |
+4.95% |
+6.74%
Aug 1995 - Jul 2012 |
0.00%
0 out of 181 |
|
+4.30%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2018 |
+6.67% |
+8.66%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2013 |
0.00%
0 out of 169 |
|
+2.52%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2018 |
+4.79% |
+6.53%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2013 |
0.00%
0 out of 169 |
|
+4.79%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2019 |
+6.46% |
+8.47%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 157 |
|
+3.03%
May 2000 - Apr 2019 |
+4.36% |
+6.58%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 157 |
|
+5.07%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2020 |
+6.31% |
+9.03%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 145 |
|
+3.42%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2020 |
+4.27% |
+7.09%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 145 |
|
+4.72%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2025 |
+6.51% |
+8.12%
May 1995 - Apr 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 85 |
|
+2.54%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2025 |
+4.54% |
+6.37%
May 1995 - Apr 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 85 |
|
+6.37%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2023 |
+7.09% |
+7.48%
Mar 1995 - Feb 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 25 |
|
+4.23%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2023 |
+4.95% |
+5.34%
Mar 1995 - Feb 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 25 |
Aim Ways Ulcer Free Strategy To EUR Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns

