Aim Ways Ulcer Free Strategy To EUR Portfolio: Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Period: January 1994 - May 2026 (~32 years)
Initial Amount: 1€
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the Aim Ways Ulcer Free Strategy To EUR Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~32 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 99 months (from April 2000 to June 2008).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 100 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

AIM WAYS ULCER FREE STRATEGY TO EUR PORTFOLIO
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 June 1996 - 31 May 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1994 - 31 May 2026 (~32 years)
30 Years
(1996/06 - 2026/05)
All Data
(1994/01 - 2026/05)

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As of May 31, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 5.54%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

AIM WAYS ULCER FREE STRATEGY TO EUR PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 June 1996 - 31 May 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1994 - 31 May 2026 (~32 years)
30 Years
(1996/06 - 2026/05)
All Data
(1994/01 - 2026/05)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

AIM WAYS ULCER FREE STRATEGY TO EUR PORTFOLIO
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1994 - 31 May 2026 (~32 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-15.45%
Feb 1994 - Jan 1995
+6.27% +38.33%
Sep 1999 - Aug 2000
24.07%
91 out of 378
-18.76%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022
+4.20% +35.56%
Sep 1999 - Aug 2000
32.80%
124 out of 378
-6.90%
Jun 2001 - May 2003
+6.79% +29.31%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000
15.85%
58 out of 366
-9.06%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
+4.52% +27.30%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000
28.42%
104 out of 366
-4.16%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2003
+6.35% +22.41%
Apr 1997 - Mar 2000
8.76%
31 out of 354
-6.21%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2003
+4.75% +20.79%
Apr 1997 - Mar 2000
20.62%
73 out of 354
-3.47%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2004
+6.29% +22.29%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2000
5.85%
20 out of 342
-5.58%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2004
+4.83% +20.48%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2000
20.18%
69 out of 342
-1.56%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2005
+6.32% +20.51%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2000
2.73%
9 out of 330
-3.67%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2005
+4.82% +18.60%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2000
13.64%
45 out of 330
-0.62%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2006
+6.52% +17.89%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2000
1.57%
5 out of 318
-2.78%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2006
+4.79% +15.84%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2000
10.69%
34 out of 318
-0.59%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2008
+6.57% +14.65%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2002
1.96%
6 out of 306
-2.88%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2008
+4.84% +12.60%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2002
9.15%
28 out of 306
-0.21%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2008
+6.55% +11.38%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2002
0.34%
1 out of 294
-2.52%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2008
+4.79% +9.82%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2016
6.80%
20 out of 294
+0.92%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2009
+6.69% +10.34%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2004
0.00%
0 out of 282
-1.12%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2009
+4.82% +8.48%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2017
3.90%
11 out of 282
+2.84%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2010
+6.48% +9.16%
Apr 2005 - Mar 2015
0.00%
0 out of 270
+0.74%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2010
+4.52% +7.32%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2018
0.00%
0 out of 270
+2.99%
May 2000 - Apr 2011
+6.58% +9.38%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2006
0.00%
0 out of 258
+0.80%
May 2000 - Apr 2011
+4.52% +7.69%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2019
0.00%
0 out of 258
+3.98%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2013
+6.61% +9.26%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2020
0.00%
0 out of 246
+1.86%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2012
+4.53% +8.03%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2020
0.00%
0 out of 246
+3.50%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2013
+6.70% +8.84%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2021
0.00%
0 out of 234
+1.42%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2013
+4.72% +7.54%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2021
0.00%
0 out of 234
+3.78%
May 2000 - Apr 2014
+6.66% +8.42%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2010
0.00%
0 out of 222
+1.72%
May 2000 - Apr 2014
+4.77% +6.56%
Dec 2007 - Nov 2021
0.00%
0 out of 222
+4.60%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015
+6.79% +8.66%
Jul 1995 - Jun 2010
0.00%
0 out of 210
+2.73%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015
+4.74% +6.62%
Jul 1995 - Jun 2010
0.00%
0 out of 210
+4.72%
Feb 2002 - Jan 2018
+6.82% +8.72%
Aug 1996 - Jul 2012
0.00%
0 out of 198
+3.05%
Feb 2002 - Jan 2018
+4.79% +6.65%
Aug 1996 - Jul 2012
0.00%
0 out of 198
+4.43%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2017
+6.88% +8.83%
Aug 1995 - Jul 2012
0.00%
0 out of 186
+2.68%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2017
+4.94% +6.74%
Aug 1995 - Jul 2012
0.00%
0 out of 186
+4.30%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2018
+6.68% +8.66%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2013
0.00%
0 out of 174
+2.52%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2018
+4.80% +6.53%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2013
0.00%
0 out of 174
+4.79%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2019
+6.47% +8.47%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2015
0.00%
0 out of 162
+3.03%
May 2000 - Apr 2019
+4.43% +6.58%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2015
0.00%
0 out of 162
+5.07%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2020
+6.31% +9.03%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2015
0.00%
0 out of 150
+3.42%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2020
+4.26% +7.09%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2015
0.00%
0 out of 150
+4.72%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2025
+6.41% +8.12%
May 1995 - Apr 2020
0.00%
0 out of 90
+2.54%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2025
+4.33% +6.37%
May 1995 - Apr 2020
0.00%
0 out of 90
+6.37%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2023
+7.07% +7.48%
Mar 1995 - Feb 2025
0.00%
0 out of 30
+4.23%
Jan 1994 - Dec 2023
+4.93% +5.34%
Mar 1995 - Feb 2025
0.00%
0 out of 30
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