When holding the Stocks/Bonds 60/40 ESG Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~21 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 45 months (from October 2005 to June 2009).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 46 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 ESG Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-30.16%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
+10.36% |
+46.47%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010 |
17.80%
42 out of 236 |
|
-30.17%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
+7.99% |
+43.38%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010 |
25.00%
59 out of 236 |
|
-15.77%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
+7.35% |
+31.85%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 |
14.73%
33 out of 224 |
|
-17.47%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
+4.72% |
+29.09%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 |
19.20%
43 out of 224 |
|
-6.98%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
+6.68% |
+21.14%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012 |
5.19%
11 out of 212 |
|
-8.96%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
+4.83% |
+18.31%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012 |
20.75%
44 out of 212 |
|
+1.08%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2011 |
+7.37% |
+18.66%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2013 |
0.00%
0 out of 200 |
|
-0.99%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2011 |
+3.85% |
+15.99%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2013 |
1.00%
2 out of 200 |
|
+2.82%
Jun 2007 - May 2012 |
+7.91% |
+18.46%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 |
0.00%
0 out of 188 |
|
+0.22%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022 |
+4.90% |
+16.07%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 |
0.00%
0 out of 188 |
|
+4.12%
Apr 2014 - Mar 2020 |
+7.92% |
+16.87%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 176 |
|
+1.02%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022 |
+5.40% |
+14.92%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 176 |
|
+4.92%
Jul 2015 - Jun 2022 |
+7.84% |
+13.49%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2016 |
0.00%
0 out of 164 |
|
+1.73%
Jul 2015 - Jun 2022 |
+5.54% |
+11.73%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2016 |
0.00%
0 out of 164 |
|
+4.82%
Oct 2014 - Sep 2022 |
+7.99% |
+13.49%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 152 |
|
+1.63%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023 |
+5.60% |
+11.56%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 152 |
|
+5.13%
Jan 2014 - Dec 2022 |
+7.83% |
+12.33%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 140 |
|
+2.22%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023 |
+5.60% |
+10.36%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 140 |
|
+5.67%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023 |
+7.49% |
+11.13%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 128 |
|
+2.81%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023 |
+5.42% |
+9.20%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 128 |
|
+5.63%
Jan 2008 - Dec 2018 |
+7.55% |
+11.12%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 116 |
|
+3.91%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2026 |
+5.12% |
+9.14%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 116 |
|
+5.75%
Jan 2007 - Dec 2018 |
+7.74% |
+11.99%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 104 |
|
+3.84%
Jan 2007 - Dec 2018 |
+5.29% |
+10.01%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 104 |
|
+5.90%
Apr 2007 - Mar 2020 |
+7.78% |
+11.53%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 92 |
|
+4.05%
Apr 2007 - Mar 2020 |
+5.28% |
+9.22%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 92 |
|
+6.30%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2020 |
+7.96% |
+9.83%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 80 |
|
+4.37%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2020 |
+5.60% |
+7.12%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 80 |
|
+5.87%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2022 |
+8.07% |
+10.52%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 68 |
|
+3.41%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2022 |
+5.87% |
+7.75%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 68 |
|
+6.06%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023 |
+7.80% |
+10.66%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 56 |
|
+3.54%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023 |
+5.43% |
+7.87%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 56 |
|
+6.38%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023 |
+7.11% |
+10.68%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2026 |
0.00%
0 out of 44 |
|
+3.78%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023 |
+4.56% |
+7.90%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2026 |
0.00%
0 out of 44 |
|
+6.74%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023 |
+7.45% |
+7.88%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2026 |
0.00%
0 out of 32 |
|
+4.19%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023 |
+4.83% |
+5.33%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2026 |
0.00%
0 out of 32 |
|
+7.25%
May 2006 - Apr 2025 |
+7.70% |
+7.93%
Dec 2005 - Nov 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 20 |
|
+4.65%
May 2006 - Apr 2025 |
+5.08% |
+5.30%
Dec 2005 - Nov 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 20 |
|
+7.53%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2026 |
+7.84% |
+8.13%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 8 |
|
+4.90%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2026 |
+5.21% |
+5.53%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 8 |
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 ESG Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns

