When holding the Stocks/Bonds 40/60 ESG Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~20 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 43 months (from September 2005 to March 2009).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 44 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 ESG Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-21.80%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
+8.13% |
+37.50%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010 |
14.41%
33 out of 229 |
-23.27%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022 |
+5.88% |
+34.61%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010 |
23.58%
54 out of 229 |
-9.54%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
+6.48% |
+25.49%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 |
13.36%
29 out of 217 |
-11.82%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023 |
+4.30% |
+22.86%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 |
18.89%
41 out of 217 |
-3.30%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
+5.37% |
+17.74%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012 |
3.90%
8 out of 205 |
-5.48%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023 |
+3.70% |
+14.99%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012 |
20.00%
41 out of 205 |
+1.91%
Jan 2015 - Dec 2018 |
+6.20% |
+15.69%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2013 |
0.00%
0 out of 193 |
-2.09%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023 |
+4.15% |
+13.09%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2013 |
11.40%
22 out of 193 |
+2.65%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022 |
+6.40% |
+14.96%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 |
0.00%
0 out of 181 |
-1.06%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022 |
+4.12% |
+12.64%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 |
2.76%
5 out of 181 |
+3.02%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022 |
+6.41% |
+13.72%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 169 |
-0.54%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023 |
+4.28% |
+11.82%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015 |
2.37%
4 out of 169 |
+3.56%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2022 |
+6.56% |
+11.15%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 157 |
+0.15%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023 |
+4.66% |
+9.41%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 157 |
+3.46%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023 |
+6.79% |
+10.90%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 145 |
+0.30%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023 |
+4.97% |
+9.01%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 145 |
+3.65%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023 |
+6.48% |
+9.93%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 133 |
+0.71%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023 |
+4.72% |
+8.07%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 133 |
+4.08%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023 |
+6.55% |
+9.10%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 121 |
+1.26%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023 |
+4.74% |
+7.21%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 121 |
+4.87%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023 |
+6.11% |
+9.30%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 109 |
+2.20%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023 |
+4.24% |
+7.35%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 109 |
+5.03%
Mar 2011 - Feb 2023 |
+6.29% |
+9.74%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 97 |
+2.38%
Mar 2011 - Feb 2023 |
+4.04% |
+7.80%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 97 |
+5.11%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023 |
+6.35% |
+9.37%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 85 |
+2.41%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023 |
+4.24% |
+7.16%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 85 |
+5.64%
May 2011 - Apr 2025 |
+6.63% |
+7.74%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 73 |
+2.98%
May 2011 - Apr 2025 |
+4.40% |
+5.14%
Sep 2006 - Aug 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 73 |
+5.12%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2022 |
+6.82% |
+8.19%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 61 |
+2.69%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2022 |
+4.19% |
+5.49%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 61 |
+5.13%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023 |
+6.21% |
+8.33%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 49 |
+2.63%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023 |
+3.79% |
+5.60%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 49 |
+5.40%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023 |
+6.00% |
+6.82%
Sep 2008 - Aug 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 37 |
+2.82%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023 |
+3.42% |
+4.39%
Sep 2008 - Aug 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 37 |
+5.67%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2023 |
+6.21% |
+6.43%
Oct 2006 - Sep 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 25 |
+3.15%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023 |
+3.63% |
+3.86%
Oct 2006 - Sep 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 25 |
+6.16%
May 2006 - Apr 2025 |
+6.42% |
+6.60%
Dec 2005 - Nov 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 13 |
+3.58%
May 2006 - Apr 2025 |
+3.81% |
+4.00%
Dec 2005 - Nov 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 13 |
+6.49%
Sep 2005 - Aug 2025 |
+6.49% |
+6.49%
Sep 2005 - Aug 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 1 |
+3.86%
Sep 2005 - Aug 2025 |
+3.86% |
+3.86%
Sep 2005 - Aug 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 1 |
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 ESG Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns