When holding the Aim Ways Shield Strategy To EUR Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~41 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 115 months (from April 2000 to October 2009).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 116 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Aim Ways Shield Strategy To EUR Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Jan 31, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 10.75%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-22.64%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2003 |
+8.70% |
+48.36%
Aug 1996 - Jul 1997 |
23.86%
115 out of 482 |
|
-25.01%
Nov 1989 - Oct 1990 |
+6.86% |
+46.18%
Aug 1996 - Jul 1997 |
30.50%
147 out of 482 |
|
-13.66%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2002 |
+9.05% |
+38.68%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000 |
14.89%
70 out of 470 |
|
-15.55%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2002 |
+6.27% |
+36.53%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000 |
23.62%
111 out of 470 |
|
-9.13%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
+8.69% |
+28.66%
Apr 1997 - Mar 2000 |
11.14%
51 out of 458 |
|
-11.22%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
+6.23% |
+26.96%
Apr 1997 - Mar 2000 |
15.72%
72 out of 458 |
|
-6.89%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2004 |
+9.40% |
+28.26%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2000 |
6.05%
27 out of 446 |
|
-8.92%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2004 |
+6.36% |
+26.37%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2000 |
12.56%
56 out of 446 |
|
-4.27%
May 2000 - Apr 2005 |
+9.56% |
+25.73%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2000 |
4.61%
20 out of 434 |
|
-6.38%
May 2000 - Apr 2005 |
+6.85% |
+23.75%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2000 |
13.13%
57 out of 434 |
|
-2.38%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2006 |
+8.98% |
+22.66%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2000 |
4.27%
18 out of 422 |
|
-4.50%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2006 |
+6.87% |
+20.53%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2000 |
10.19%
43 out of 422 |
|
-1.70%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2008 |
+9.06% |
+18.93%
May 1993 - Apr 2000 |
4.63%
19 out of 410 |
|
-3.97%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2008 |
+6.77% |
+16.69%
May 1993 - Apr 2000 |
8.29%
34 out of 410 |
|
-1.98%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2008 |
+9.39% |
+20.91%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2000 |
4.02%
16 out of 398 |
|
-4.22%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2008 |
+6.95% |
+18.44%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2000 |
6.78%
27 out of 398 |
|
-1.12%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2009 |
+9.50% |
+18.28%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2000 |
2.59%
10 out of 386 |
|
-3.13%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2009 |
+7.25% |
+15.53%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2000 |
5.18%
20 out of 386 |
|
+1.38%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2010 |
+9.43% |
+18.95%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 374 |
|
-0.65%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2010 |
+7.31% |
+16.17%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2000 |
2.67%
10 out of 374 |
|
+1.77%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2011 |
+9.24% |
+15.37%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 362 |
|
-0.30%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2011 |
+7.31% |
+12.69%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2001 |
0.55%
2 out of 362 |
|
+3.43%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2012 |
+9.19% |
+15.15%
Apr 1988 - Mar 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 350 |
|
+1.24%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2012 |
+7.10% |
+12.26%
Apr 1988 - Mar 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 350 |
|
+3.09%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2013 |
+8.94% |
+14.66%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 338 |
|
+1.01%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2013 |
+6.94% |
+11.81%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 338 |
|
+3.66%
May 2000 - Apr 2014 |
+8.89% |
+13.03%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 326 |
|
+1.60%
May 2000 - Apr 2014 |
+6.87% |
+10.24%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 326 |
|
+4.44%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015 |
+8.95% |
+12.06%
Nov 1985 - Oct 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 314 |
|
+2.58%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015 |
+6.64% |
+9.65%
Nov 1985 - Oct 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 314 |
|
+4.91%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2016 |
+8.72% |
+11.69%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 302 |
|
+3.14%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2016 |
+6.54% |
+9.37%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 302 |
|
+4.74%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2017 |
+8.51% |
+11.65%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 290 |
|
+2.99%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2017 |
+6.23% |
+9.40%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 290 |
|
+4.92%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2018 |
+8.35% |
+10.68%
Feb 2008 - Jan 2026 |
0.00%
0 out of 278 |
|
+3.13%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2018 |
+6.20% |
+8.45%
Feb 2008 - Jan 2026 |
0.00%
0 out of 278 |
|
+5.39%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018 |
+8.50% |
+9.96%
Jan 2007 - Dec 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 266 |
|
+3.60%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018 |
+6.24% |
+7.71%
Jan 2007 - Dec 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 266 |
|
+5.67%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
+8.22% |
+10.21%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 254 |
|
+3.95%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
+5.94% |
+8.25%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 254 |
|
+6.57%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2025 |
+8.53% |
+10.27%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 194 |
|
+4.34%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2025 |
+6.34% |
+8.06%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 194 |
|
+7.87%
Jul 1985 - Jun 2015 |
+8.90% |
+10.05%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 134 |
|
+5.75%
Jul 1985 - Jun 2015 |
+6.72% |
+8.04%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 134 |
Aim Ways Shield Strategy To EUR Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns

