Scott Burns Seven Value Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns

Data Source: from January 1985 to November 2023 (~39 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 November 2023
Live Update: Dec 01 2023
PORTFOLIO • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)
0.95%
1 Day
Dec 01 2023
0.95%
Current Month
December 2023

The Scott Burns Seven Value Portfolio is a High Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 7 ETFs.

It's exposed for 71.5% on the Stock Market.

In the last 30 Years, the Scott Burns Seven Value Portfolio obtained a 7.96% compound annual return, with a 11.31% standard deviation.

Table of contents

Asset Allocation and ETFs

The Scott Burns Seven Value Portfolio has the following asset allocation:

71.5% Stocks
28.5% Fixed Income
0% Commodities

The Scott Burns Seven Value Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:

Weight (%) Ticker Currency ETF Name Investment Themes
14.50
VTI
USD Vanguard Total Stock Market Equity, U.S., Large Cap
14.25
XLE
USD Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund Equity, U.S., Large Cap
14.25
VTV
USD Vanguard Value Equity, U.S., Large Cap, Value
14.25
VEU
USD Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US Equity, Global ex-US, Large Cap
14.25
VNQ
USD Vanguard Real Estate Real Estate, U.S.
14.25
TIP
USD iShares TIPS Bond Bond, U.S., All-Term
14.25
BNDX
USD Vanguard Total International Bond Bond, Developed Markets, All-Term

Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.

Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Nov 30, 2023

The Scott Burns Seven Value Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming: December 2023 return is calculated on the hypothesis of a newly built portfolio, with the starting asset allocation.
SCOTT BURNS SEVEN VALUE PORTFOLIO
Consolidated returns as of 30 November 2023
Live Update: Dec 01 2023
Swipe left to see all data
  Chg (%) Return (%) Return (%) as of Nov 30, 2023
  1 Day Time ET(*) Dec 2023 1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~39Y)
Scott Burns Seven Value Portfolio 0.95 0.95 5.97 5.59 2.52 7.42 6.32 7.96 9.45
US Inflation Adjusted return 5.97 4.38 -0.80 3.22 3.41 5.30 6.47
Components
VTI
USD Vanguard Total Stock Market 0.84 Dec 01 2023 0.84 9.42 10.04 12.72 11.71 11.16 9.90 11.00
XLE
USD Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund 0.52 Dec 01 2023 0.52 -0.72 12.24 -3.74 10.54 3.73 8.09 9.34
VTV
USD Vanguard Value 0.89 Dec 01 2023 0.89 6.68 7.69 0.61 8.52 9.41 9.12 10.72
VEU
USD Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US 0.83 Dec 01 2023 0.83 8.23 5.00 8.02 5.37 3.75 5.13 7.64
VNQ
USD Vanguard Real Estate 2.46 Dec 01 2023 2.46 12.08 4.30 -2.99 3.66 6.41 8.34 9.08
TIP
USD iShares TIPS Bond 0.51 Dec 01 2023 0.51 2.77 -1.03 -0.52 2.25 1.70 4.90 6.69
BNDX
USD Vanguard Total International Bond 0.60 Dec 01 2023 0.60 3.43 1.56 2.49 0.52 2.06 4.69 6.57
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Jan 1985
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
US Inflation is updated to Oct 2023. Waiting for updates, inflation of Nov 2023 is set to 0%. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 3.35% , 5Y: 4.07% , 10Y: 2.82% , 30Y: 2.52%

In 2022, the Scott Burns Seven Value Portfolio granted a 3.17% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Scott Burns Seven Value Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.

Capital Growth as of Nov 30, 2023

An investment of 1$, since December 1993, now would be worth 9.94$, with a total return of 894.35% (7.96% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 4.71$, with a net total return of 371.21% (5.30% annualized).
An investment of 1$, since January 1985, now would be worth 33.55$, with a total return of 3254.55% (9.45% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 11.48$, with a net total return of 1048.09% (6.47% annualized).

Portfolio Metrics as of Nov 30, 2023

Metrics of Scott Burns Seven Value Portfolio, updated as of 30 November 2023.

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
SCOTT BURNS SEVEN VALUE PORTFOLIO
Advanced Metrics
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 30 November 2023 (~39 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Metrics as of Nov 30, 2023
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
(~39Y)
Investment Return (%) 5.97 0.13 5.59 2.52 8.91 7.42 6.32 7.73 7.96 9.45
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) details 5.97 -0.08 4.38 -0.80 2.99 3.22 3.41 5.01 5.30 6.47
US Inflation (%) 0.00 0.21 1.17 3.35 5.74 4.07 2.82 2.59 2.52 2.79
Waiting for updates, inflation of Nov 2023 is temporarily set to 0%. Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
DRAWDOWN
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -7.06 -14.49 -20.44 -20.44 -41.22 -41.22 -41.22
Start to Recovery (# months) details 4* 16 12 12 39 39 39
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2022 04 2020 01 2020 01 2007 11 2007 11 2007 11
Start to Bottom (# months) 3 6 3 3 16 16 16
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 09 2020 03 2020 03 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Bottom to End (# months) 1 10 9 9 23 23 23
End (yyyy mm) - 2023 07 2020 12 2020 12 2011 01 2011 01 2011 01
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -4.53
same as
deepest
-14.49 -14.49
same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest
Start to Recovery (# months) details 6 16 16
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 02 2022 04 2022 04 2022 04 2007 11 2007 11 2007 11
Start to Bottom (# months) 4 6 6 6 16 16 16
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 05 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Bottom to End (# months) 2 10 10 10 23 23 23
End (yyyy mm) 2023 07 2023 07 2023 07 2023 07 2011 01 2011 01 2011 01
Longest negative period (# months) details 11 24 24 44 60 60 60
Period Start (yyyy mm) 2022 12 2021 11 2021 11 2016 08 2004 03 2004 03 2004 03
Period End (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2020 03 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Annualized Return (%) -3.54 -0.98 -0.98 -0.05 -0.33 -0.33 -0.33
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -7.66 -18.00 -20.79 -20.79 -42.13 -42.13 -42.13
Start to Recovery (# months) details 4* 23* 12 12 42 42 42
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2022 01 2020 01 2020 01 2007 11 2007 11 2007 11
Start to Bottom (# months) 3 9 3 3 16 16 16
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 09 2020 03 2020 03 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Bottom to End (# months) 1 14 9 9 26 26 26
End (yyyy mm) - - 2020 12 2020 12 2011 04 2011 04 2011 04
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -6.08
same as
deepest
-18.00 -18.00
same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest
Start to Recovery (# months) details 6 23* 23*
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 02 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2007 11 2007 11 2007 11
Start to Bottom (# months) 4 9 9 9 16 16 16
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 05 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Bottom to End (# months) 2 14 14 14 26 26 26
End (yyyy mm) 2023 07 - - - 2011 04 2011 04 2011 04
Longest negative period (# months) details 12* 32 41 71 71 110 110
Period Start (yyyy mm) 2022 12 2021 03 2019 05 2014 05 2014 05 2000 01 2000 01
Period End (yyyy mm) 2023 11 2023 10 2022 09 2020 03 2020 03 2009 02 2009 02
Annualized Return (%) -0.80 -1.51 -0.11 -0.06 -0.06 -0.09 -0.09
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Standard Deviation (%) 11.95 13.64 14.99 11.79 12.23 11.31 11.06
Sharpe Ratio -0.20 0.51 0.38 0.45 0.53 0.51 0.49
Sortino Ratio -0.30 0.69 0.51 0.59 0.68 0.66 0.64
Ulcer Index 3.15 4.09 5.44 4.47 8.35 7.35 6.71
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.21 0.65 0.49 0.54 0.63 0.70 0.85
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.36 0.61 0.36 0.31 0.19 0.19 0.23
% Positive Months details 50% 58% 61% 64% 66% 65% 68%
Positive Months 6 21 37 77 159 237 319
Negative Months 6 15 23 43 81 123 148
LONG TERM RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 6.32 11.35 11.35 13.02
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 5.04 3.56 3.56
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 3.41 9.42 9.42 9.68
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 2.85 0.96 0.96
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Over the latest 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 45.92 23.02 18.10 11.35 9.36 7.96
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -37.23 -9.49 -0.33 3.56 5.82
% Positive Periods 79% 89% 99% 100% 100% 100%
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 42.86 20.17 15.73 9.42 6.93 5.30
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -37.38 -11.45 -2.90 0.96 3.67
% Positive Periods 71% 85% 96% 100% 100% 100%
Over all the available data source (Jan 1985 - Nov 2023)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 45.92 23.02 18.74 13.02 11.87 10.48
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -37.23 -9.49 -0.33 3.56 5.82 7.59
% Positive Periods 82% 92% 99% 100% 100% 100%
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 42.86 20.17 15.73 9.68 8.61 7.56
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -37.38 -11.45 -2.90 0.96 3.67 4.94
% Positive Periods 73% 88% 97% 100% 100% 100%
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR)
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Safe WR (%) 36.35 21.97 11.95 8.51 7.14 9.90
Perpetual WR (%) 2.91 3.12 3.30 4.77 5.04 6.08
Terms and Definitions
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation)
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).
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Portfolio Components Correlation

Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.

Correlation coefficient is a numerical value between -1 and +1. If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
COMPONENTS MONTHLY CORRELATIONS
Monthly correlations as of 30 November 2023
Swipe left to see all data
Asset
VTI
XLE
VTV
VEU
VNQ
TIP
BNDX
VTI
-
0.42
0.90
0.91
0.93
0.76
0.82
XLE
0.42
-
0.67
0.55
0.45
0.30
0.17
VTV
0.90
0.67
-
0.90
0.90
0.65
0.60
VEU
0.91
0.55
0.90
-
0.94
0.83
0.74
VNQ
0.93
0.45
0.90
0.94
-
0.74
0.75
TIP
0.76
0.30
0.65
0.83
0.74
-
0.90
BNDX
0.82
0.17
0.60
0.74
0.75
0.90
-
Asset
VTI
XLE
VTV
VEU
VNQ
TIP
BNDX
VTI
-
0.65
0.93
0.89
0.87
0.60
0.53
XLE
0.65
-
0.78
0.63
0.52
0.19
0.08
VTV
0.93
0.78
-
0.88
0.82
0.45
0.35
VEU
0.89
0.63
0.88
-
0.82
0.56
0.51
VNQ
0.87
0.52
0.82
0.82
-
0.66
0.58
TIP
0.60
0.19
0.45
0.56
0.66
-
0.84
BNDX
0.53
0.08
0.35
0.51
0.58
0.84
-
Asset
VTI
XLE
VTV
VEU
VNQ
TIP
BNDX
VTI
-
0.64
0.93
0.86
0.75
0.47
0.41
XLE
0.64
-
0.75
0.63
0.43
0.17
0.02
VTV
0.93
0.75
-
0.85
0.70
0.33
0.26
VEU
0.86
0.63
0.85
-
0.66
0.47
0.37
VNQ
0.75
0.43
0.70
0.66
-
0.63
0.58
TIP
0.47
0.17
0.33
0.47
0.63
-
0.79
BNDX
0.41
0.02
0.26
0.37
0.58
0.79
-
Asset
VTI
XLE
VTV
VEU
VNQ
TIP
BNDX
VTI
-
0.62
0.94
0.84
0.63
0.20
0.16
XLE
0.62
-
0.69
0.61
0.40
0.12
0.06
VTV
0.94
0.69
-
0.82
0.64
0.16
0.12
VEU
0.84
0.61
0.82
-
0.60
0.21
0.17
VNQ
0.63
0.40
0.64
0.60
-
0.33
0.29
TIP
0.20
0.12
0.16
0.21
0.33
-
0.61
BNDX
0.16
0.06
0.12
0.17
0.29
0.61
-
Asset
VTI
XLE
VTV
VEU
VNQ
TIP
BNDX
VTI
-
0.62
0.94
0.73
0.63
0.23
0.20
XLE
0.62
-
0.68
0.56
0.40
0.09
0.05
VTV
0.94
0.68
-
0.71
0.64
0.21
0.18
VEU
0.73
0.56
0.71
-
0.53
0.22
0.21
VNQ
0.63
0.40
0.64
0.53
-
0.30
0.27
TIP
0.23
0.09
0.21
0.22
0.30
-
0.72
BNDX
0.20
0.05
0.18
0.21
0.27
0.72
-

If you want to learn more about historical correlations, you can find out here how the main asset class are correlated to each other.

Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

SCOTT BURNS SEVEN VALUE PORTFOLIO
Drawdown periods
Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 December 1993 - 30 November 2023 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 30 November 2023 (~39 years)
Inflation Adjusted:
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months Ulcer Index
-41.22% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 16 Jan 2011 23 39 18.65
-20.44% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 3 Dec 2020 9 12 9.33
-15.04% Feb 2001 Sep 2002 20 Sep 2003 12 32 7.83
-14.49% Apr 2022 Sep 2022 6 Jul 2023 10 16 5.62
-14.02% May 2011 Sep 2011 5 Feb 2012 5 10 5.89
-13.01% May 1998 Aug 1998 4 Mar 1999 7 11 4.90
-9.57% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 4 Mar 2019 3 7 4.30
-9.24% May 2015 Feb 2016 10 Jun 2016 4 14 5.24
-7.06% Aug 2023 Oct 2023 3 in progress 1 4 3.87
-7.04% Feb 1994 Nov 1994 10 Apr 1995 5 15 4.37
-5.25% May 2012 May 2012 1 Aug 2012 3 4 2.49
-4.70% Feb 2018 Feb 2018 1 Jul 2018 5 6 2.77
-4.20% Sep 2000 Nov 2000 3 Dec 2000 1 4 2.04
-3.92% May 2019 May 2019 1 Jun 2019 1 2 2.26
-3.80% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 1 Jun 2004 2 3 2.21
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months Ulcer Index
-42.13% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 16 Apr 2011 26 42 19.78
-20.79% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 3 Dec 2020 9 12 9.72
-18.00% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 9 in progress 14 23 8.76
-17.81% Feb 2001 Sep 2002 20 Nov 2003 14 34 9.83
-14.77% May 2011 Sep 2011 5 Aug 2012 11 16 5.33
-13.49% May 1998 Aug 1998 4 Apr 1999 8 12 5.14
-9.87% Mar 2015 Sep 2015 7 Jul 2016 10 17 5.38
-9.81% Feb 2018 Dec 2018 11 Jun 2019 6 17 3.96
-9.21% Feb 1994 Nov 1994 10 Jul 1995 8 18 5.55
-4.92% Sep 2000 Nov 2000 3 Jan 2001 2 5 2.27
-4.20% May 1999 Sep 1999 5 Dec 1999 3 8 2.00
-4.10% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 1 Aug 2004 4 5 2.25
-3.71% Oct 2005 Oct 2005 1 Dec 2005 2 3 1.88
-3.67% Sep 2014 Sep 2014 1 Feb 2015 5 6 1.58
-3.66% May 2013 Jun 2013 2 Oct 2013 4 6 1.91
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months Ulcer Index
-41.22% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 16 Jan 2011 23 39 18.65
-20.44% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 3 Dec 2020 9 12 9.33
-17.34% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 3 Dec 1988 13 16 7.74
-15.04% Feb 2001 Sep 2002 20 Sep 2003 12 32 7.83
-14.49% Apr 2022 Sep 2022 6 Jul 2023 10 16 5.62
-14.02% May 2011 Sep 2011 5 Feb 2012 5 10 5.89
-13.01% May 1998 Aug 1998 4 Mar 1999 7 11 4.90
-9.72% Jan 1990 Sep 1990 9 Feb 1991 5 14 5.24
-9.57% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 4 Mar 2019 3 7 4.30
-9.24% May 2015 Feb 2016 10 Jun 2016 4 14 5.24
-7.06% Aug 2023 Oct 2023 3 in progress 1 4 3.87
-7.04% Feb 1994 Nov 1994 10 Apr 1995 5 15 4.37
-5.25% May 2012 May 2012 1 Aug 2012 3 4 2.49
-4.70% Feb 2018 Feb 2018 1 Jul 2018 5 6 2.77
-4.28% Nov 1993 Nov 1993 1 Jan 1994 2 3 2.46
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months Ulcer Index
-42.13% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 16 Apr 2011 26 42 19.78
-20.79% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 3 Dec 2020 9 12 9.72
-18.06% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 3 Apr 1989 17 20 8.40
-18.00% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 9 in progress 14 23 8.76
-17.81% Feb 2001 Sep 2002 20 Nov 2003 14 34 9.83
-14.77% May 2011 Sep 2011 5 Aug 2012 11 16 5.33
-14.21% Jan 1990 Sep 1990 9 Sep 1991 12 21 7.17
-13.49% May 1998 Aug 1998 4 Apr 1999 8 12 5.14
-9.87% Mar 2015 Sep 2015 7 Jul 2016 10 17 5.38
-9.81% Feb 2018 Dec 2018 11 Jun 2019 6 17 3.96
-9.21% Feb 1994 Nov 1994 10 Jul 1995 8 18 5.55
-4.92% Sep 2000 Nov 2000 3 Jan 2001 2 5 2.27
-4.74% Sep 1993 Nov 1993 3 Jan 1994 2 5 2.28
-4.20% May 1999 Sep 1999 5 Dec 1999 3 8 2.00
-4.10% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 1 Aug 2004 4 5 2.25

Rolling Returns

( more details)

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

SCOTT BURNS SEVEN VALUE PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 December 1993 - 30 November 2023 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 30 November 2023 (~39 years)
Inflation Adjusted:
Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -37.23 03/2008
02/2009
0.62$ -2.66 0.97$ 9.71 1.09$ 19.47 1.19$ 45.92 03/2009
02/2010
1.45$ 2.52 20.06%
2Y -19.35 03/2007
02/2009
0.65$ 1.30 1.02$ 8.94 1.18$ 16.65 1.36$ 33.96 03/2009
02/2011
1.79$ 3.10 12.76%
3Y -9.49 03/2006
02/2009
0.74$ 2.40 1.07$ 8.53 1.27$ 14.43 1.49$ 23.02 03/2009
02/2012
1.86$ 8.91 10.46%
5Y -0.33 03/2004
02/2009
0.98$ 3.93 1.21$ 7.23 1.41$ 12.70 1.81$ 18.10 03/2009
02/2014
2.29$ 7.42 0.33%
7Y 2.86 03/2002
02/2009
1.21$ 5.98 1.50$ 7.38 1.64$ 9.74 1.91$ 12.50 04/2009
03/2016
2.28$ 6.95 0.00%
10Y 3.56 03/1999
02/2009
1.41$ 5.79 1.75$ 7.92 2.14$ 9.95 2.58$ 11.35 03/2009
02/2019
2.93$ 6.32 0.00%
15Y 5.09 10/2007
09/2022
2.10$ 6.38 2.52$ 7.48 2.94$ 8.51 3.40$ 9.43 02/2003
01/2018
3.86$ 8.93 0.00%
20Y 5.82 04/2000
03/2020
3.10$ 7.10 3.94$ 7.81 4.50$ 8.73 5.33$ 9.36 12/1994
11/2014
5.99$ 7.73 0.00%
30Y 7.96 12/1993
11/2023
9.94$ 7.96 9.94$ 7.96 9.94$ 7.96 9.94$ 7.96 12/1993
11/2023
9.94$ 7.96 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods
Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -37.38 03/2008
02/2009
0.62$ -4.62 0.95$ 7.40 1.07$ 16.52 1.16$ 42.86 03/2009
02/2010
1.42$ -0.80 28.65%
2Y -21.02 03/2007
02/2009
0.62$ -1.25 0.97$ 6.27 1.12$ 13.36 1.28$ 31.17 03/2009
02/2011
1.72$ -2.01 19.29%
3Y -11.45 03/2006
02/2009
0.69$ 0.26 1.00$ 5.55 1.17$ 11.43 1.38$ 20.17 03/2009
02/2012
1.73$ 2.99 14.46%
5Y -2.90 03/2004
02/2009
0.86$ 1.71 1.08$ 4.97 1.27$ 9.93 1.60$ 15.73 03/2009
02/2014
2.07$ 3.22 3.32%
7Y 0.29 03/2002
02/2009
1.02$ 3.64 1.28$ 5.11 1.41$ 7.16 1.62$ 10.70 04/2009
03/2016
2.03$ 3.31 0.00%
10Y 0.96 03/1999
02/2009
1.09$ 3.69 1.43$ 5.55 1.71$ 7.34 2.03$ 9.42 03/2009
02/2019
2.46$ 3.41 0.00%
15Y 2.64 10/2007
09/2022
1.47$ 4.12 1.83$ 5.21 2.14$ 6.03 2.40$ 7.19 02/2003
01/2018
2.83$ 6.27 0.00%
20Y 3.67 04/2000
03/2020
2.05$ 4.81 2.56$ 5.47 2.89$ 6.23 3.34$ 6.93 03/1995
02/2015
3.82$ 5.01 0.00%
30Y 5.30 12/1993
11/2023
4.71$ 5.30 4.71$ 5.30 4.71$ 5.30 4.71$ 5.30 12/1993
11/2023
4.71$ 5.30 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods
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Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -37.23 03/2008
02/2009
0.62$ -2.01 0.97$ 10.28 1.10$ 21.53 1.21$ 45.92 03/2009
02/2010
1.45$ 2.52 17.76%
2Y -19.35 03/2007
02/2009
0.65$ 2.45 1.04$ 9.42 1.19$ 16.67 1.36$ 33.96 03/2009
02/2011
1.79$ 3.10 9.68%
3Y -9.49 03/2006
02/2009
0.74$ 3.70 1.11$ 9.65 1.31$ 15.02 1.52$ 23.02 03/2009
02/2012
1.86$ 8.91 7.87%
5Y -0.33 03/2004
02/2009
0.98$ 4.78 1.26$ 8.33 1.49$ 12.99 1.84$ 18.74 01/1985
12/1989
2.36$ 7.42 0.25%
7Y 2.86 03/2002
02/2009
1.21$ 6.20 1.52$ 8.66 1.78$ 11.64 2.16$ 15.12 01/1985
12/1991
2.67$ 6.95 0.00%
10Y 3.56 03/1999
02/2009
1.41$ 6.18 1.82$ 8.74 2.31$ 11.24 2.90$ 13.02 12/1987
11/1997
3.40$ 6.32 0.00%
15Y 5.09 10/2007
09/2022
2.10$ 6.78 2.67$ 8.17 3.24$ 10.69 4.58$ 13.33 01/1985
12/1999
6.53$ 8.93 0.00%
20Y 5.82 04/2000
03/2020
3.10$ 7.29 4.08$ 8.47 5.08$ 10.35 7.17$ 11.87 01/1985
12/2004
9.42$ 7.73 0.00%
30Y 7.59 11/1993
10/2023
8.98$ 8.14 10.46$ 8.63 11.97$ 9.22 14.09$ 10.48 01/1985
12/2014
19.85$ 7.96 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods
Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -37.38 03/2008
02/2009
0.62$ -4.20 0.95$ 7.52 1.07$ 17.45 1.17$ 42.86 03/2009
02/2010
1.42$ -0.80 26.97%
2Y -21.02 03/2007
02/2009
0.62$ 0.08 1.00$ 6.30 1.12$ 13.42 1.28$ 31.17 03/2009
02/2011
1.72$ -2.01 14.64%
3Y -11.45 03/2006
02/2009
0.69$ 1.76 1.05$ 6.28 1.20$ 11.85 1.39$ 20.17 03/2009
02/2012
1.73$ 2.99 11.34%
5Y -2.90 03/2004
02/2009
0.86$ 2.42 1.12$ 5.83 1.32$ 10.10 1.61$ 15.73 03/2009
02/2014
2.07$ 3.22 2.45%
7Y 0.29 03/2002
02/2009
1.02$ 3.82 1.30$ 5.87 1.49$ 8.21 1.73$ 11.71 10/1990
09/1997
2.17$ 3.31 0.00%
10Y 0.96 03/1999
02/2009
1.09$ 3.99 1.47$ 6.33 1.84$ 8.04 2.16$ 9.68 10/1990
09/2000
2.51$ 3.41 0.00%
15Y 2.64 10/2007
09/2022
1.47$ 4.48 1.93$ 5.64 2.27$ 7.61 3.00$ 9.84 01/1985
12/1999
4.08$ 6.27 0.00%
20Y 3.67 04/2000
03/2020
2.05$ 4.98 2.64$ 5.85 3.11$ 7.09 3.93$ 8.61 01/1985
12/2004
5.21$ 5.01 0.00%
30Y 4.94 11/1993
10/2023
4.25$ 5.69 5.25$ 6.06 5.84$ 6.42 6.46$ 7.56 01/1985
12/2014
8.90$ 5.30 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods

If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Scott Burns Seven Value Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.

Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in Scott Burns Seven Value Portfolio?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
2.08
60%
-0.76
40%
-1.00
80%
2.08
80%
0.08
60%
0.61
80%
2.40
80%
-0.43
40%
-2.75
20%
2.17
60%
3.77
80%
0.05
60%
Best 6.9
2019
4.8
2021
2.9
2021
9.1
2020
2.9
2022
4.7
2019
6.4
2022
2.3
2020
1.8
2019
9.2
2022
9.4
2020
4.0
2021
Worst -1.7
2020
-6.2
2020
-13.7
2020
-4.3
2022
-3.9
2019
-8.5
2022
-0.1
2021
-2.6
2022
-8.4
2022
-2.7
2023
-2.2
2021
-6.0
2018
Monthly Seasonality over the period Feb 1985 - Nov 2023
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Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
0.84
60%
-0.14
50%
0.18
70%
1.66
90%
0.31
70%
0.59
80%
1.68
80%
-0.46
40%
-1.65
30%
1.16
60%
2.39
80%
0.27
60%
Best 6.9
2019
4.8
2021
6.3
2016
9.1
2020
2.9
2022
4.7
2019
6.4
2022
2.3
2020
2.1
2017
9.2
2022
9.4
2020
4.0
2021
Worst -2.9
2016
-6.2
2020
-13.7
2020
-4.3
2022
-3.9
2019
-8.5
2022
-1.1
2014
-4.6
2015
-8.4
2022
-5.3
2018
-2.2
2021
-6.0
2018
Monthly Seasonality over the period Feb 1985 - Nov 2023
Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
0.95
59%
0.57
62%
1.19
74%
1.70
85%
0.86
72%
0.26
67%
1.22
72%
0.02
62%
-0.29
51%
0.43
64%
1.06
69%
1.75
84%
Best 8.0
1987
5.5
1991
6.3
2016
9.3
2009
6.7
2009
4.7
2019
6.5
2009
6.6
1986
5.9
2010
9.4
2011
9.4
2020
6.1
1991
Worst -7.2
2009
-9.5
2009
-13.7
2020
-4.3
2022
-6.0
2010
-8.5
2022
-6.3
2002
-9.7
1998
-8.4
2022
-16.7
2008
-5.9
2008
-6.0
2018
Monthly Seasonality over the period Feb 1985 - Nov 2023

Monthly Returns

This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the Scott Burns Seven Value Portfolio over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.

SCOTT BURNS SEVEN VALUE PORTFOLIO
Monthly Returns Distribution
Data Source: 1 December 1993 - 30 November 2023 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 30 November 2023 (~39 years)
237 Positive Months (66%) - 123 Negative Months (34%)
319 Positive Months (68%) - 148 Negative Months (32%)
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(Scroll down to see all data)
Investment Returns, up to December 2013, are simulated.
They have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.

In particular, the series derived from equivalent datasets are:
  • VTI - Vanguard Total Stock Market, up to December 2001
  • XLE - Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund, up to December 1998
  • VTV - Vanguard Value, up to December 2004
  • VEU - Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US, up to December 2007
  • VNQ - Vanguard Real Estate, up to December 2004
  • TIP - iShares TIPS Bond, up to December 2003
  • BNDX - Vanguard Total International Bond, up to December 2013

Portfolio efficiency

The following portfolios granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.

Swipe left to see all data
30 Years Stats (%)
% Allocation
Portfolio Author Return Dev.Std Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum +9.34 9.56 -32.52 60 40 0
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 +9.02 12.49 -41.09 80 20 0
Simple Path to Wealth JL Collins +8.78 11.75 -38.53 75 25 0
Aim Bold Strategy Aim Ways +8.24 9.93 -30.09 45 40 15
Weird Portfolio Value Stock Geek +8.02 10.75 -32.97 60 20 20
Talmud Portfolio Roger Gibson +8.01 10.81 -40.17 66.7 33.3 0
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 +7.99 9.61 -30.55 60 40 0
Yale Endowment David Swensen +7.98 10.99 -39.48 70 30 0
Seven Value Scott Burns +7.96 11.31 -41.22 71.5 28.5 0

Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 30 Years and High Risk categorization.

Swipe left to see all data
30 Years Stats (%)
% Allocation
Portfolio Author Return Dev.Std Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum +9.34 9.56 -32.52 60 40 0
Simple Path to Wealth JL Collins +8.78 11.75 -38.53 75 25 0
Aim Bold Strategy Aim Ways +8.24 9.93 -30.09 45 40 15
Late Sixties and Beyond Burton Malkiel +8.13 11.69 -41.80 71 29 0
Talmud Portfolio Roger Gibson +8.01 10.81 -40.17 66.7 33.3 0
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