When holding the Betterment Robo Advisor 0 Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~155 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 49 months (from September 2019 to September 2023).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 50 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Betterment Robo Advisor 0 Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Aug 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 1.61%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-5.55%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022 |
+4.10% |
+26.58%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1982 |
7.59%
140 out of 1845 |
-19.18%
Jul 1919 - Jun 1920 |
+1.76% |
+30.37%
Jun 1877 - May 1878 |
36.53%
674 out of 1845 |
-2.89%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022 |
+4.09% |
+19.83%
May 1981 - Apr 1983 |
1.91%
35 out of 1833 |
-14.79%
Jul 1918 - Jun 1920 |
+2.00% |
+22.97%
Jul 1920 - Jun 1922 |
33.01%
605 out of 1833 |
-1.33%
Jul 2020 - Jun 2023 |
+4.29% |
+17.65%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1983 |
1.43%
26 out of 1821 |
-12.40%
Feb 1917 - Jan 1920 |
+2.12% |
+17.30%
Aug 1873 - Jul 1876 |
30.53%
556 out of 1821 |
-0.24%
May 2020 - Apr 2024 |
+4.34% |
+16.31%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1985 |
0.17%
3 out of 1809 |
-13.35%
Jun 1916 - May 1920 |
+1.93% |
+15.88%
Jun 1874 - May 1878 |
30.29%
548 out of 1809 |
+0.41%
Jun 1948 - May 1953 |
+4.31% |
+15.88%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1986 |
0.00%
0 out of 1797 |
-11.18%
Jul 1915 - Jun 1920 |
+1.90% |
+16.35%
Jun 1873 - May 1878 |
28.99%
521 out of 1797 |
+0.36%
Jul 1947 - Jun 1953 |
+4.31% |
+14.89%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1986 |
0.00%
0 out of 1785 |
-8.86%
Jul 1914 - Jun 1920 |
+1.80% |
+15.80%
Jan 1873 - Dec 1878 |
27.39%
489 out of 1785 |
+0.47%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2022 |
+4.34% |
+14.06%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1987 |
0.00%
0 out of 1773 |
-7.12%
Jun 1913 - May 1920 |
+1.85% |
+14.38%
May 1872 - Apr 1879 |
26.57%
471 out of 1773 |
+0.51%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022 |
+4.35% |
+13.03%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1988 |
0.00%
0 out of 1761 |
-5.96%
Jul 1912 - Jun 1920 |
+1.79% |
+12.37%
Apr 1871 - Mar 1879 |
26.41%
465 out of 1761 |
+0.53%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022 |
+4.37% |
+12.02%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1989 |
0.00%
0 out of 1749 |
-5.94%
Jul 1911 - Jun 1920 |
+1.88% |
+10.37%
Jun 1872 - May 1881 |
27.90%
488 out of 1749 |
+0.51%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022 |
+4.37% |
+11.91%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1990 |
0.00%
0 out of 1737 |
-4.85%
Jun 1941 - May 1951 |
+1.93% |
+9.38%
Apr 1871 - Mar 1881 |
26.94%
468 out of 1737 |
+0.52%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2022 |
+4.39% |
+11.82%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1991 |
0.00%
0 out of 1725 |
-4.47%
Dec 1940 - Nov 1951 |
+1.85% |
+9.68%
Feb 1874 - Jan 1885 |
25.28%
436 out of 1725 |
+0.57%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2022 |
+4.37% |
+11.67%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1992 |
0.00%
0 out of 1713 |
-4.31%
Jun 1939 - May 1951 |
+1.85% |
+10.24%
Apr 1873 - Mar 1885 |
22.65%
388 out of 1713 |
+0.73%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2023 |
+4.35% |
+11.54%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 1701 |
-3.88%
Aug 1939 - Jul 1952 |
+1.78% |
+10.24%
Oct 1872 - Sep 1885 |
20.99%
357 out of 1701 |
+0.82%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2022 |
+4.34% |
+10.94%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1994 |
0.00%
0 out of 1689 |
-3.81%
Jul 1939 - Jun 1953 |
+1.79% |
+9.94%
May 1872 - Apr 1886 |
21.31%
360 out of 1689 |
+1.00%
Jul 1938 - Jun 1953 |
+4.37% |
+10.39%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1995 |
0.00%
0 out of 1677 |
-3.22%
Jul 1938 - Jun 1953 |
+1.85% |
+9.28%
Apr 1871 - Mar 1886 |
20.33%
341 out of 1677 |
+1.05%
Aug 1941 - Jul 1957 |
+4.34% |
+10.30%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1996 |
0.00%
0 out of 1665 |
-2.98%
Aug 1941 - Jul 1957 |
+1.82% |
+9.18%
Apr 1873 - Mar 1889 |
18.56%
309 out of 1665 |
+1.08%
Jun 1936 - May 1953 |
+4.30% |
+10.10%
Oct 1975 - Sep 1992 |
0.00%
0 out of 1653 |
-2.81%
Jun 1936 - May 1953 |
+1.82% |
+8.98%
Jun 1872 - May 1889 |
18.81%
311 out of 1653 |
+1.02%
Jul 1935 - Jun 1953 |
+4.29% |
+10.01%
Sep 1974 - Aug 1992 |
0.00%
0 out of 1641 |
-2.81%
Aug 1939 - Jul 1957 |
+1.79% |
+8.55%
Feb 1872 - Jan 1890 |
18.83%
309 out of 1641 |
+1.04%
Jul 1934 - Jun 1953 |
+4.29% |
+9.82%
Sep 1974 - Aug 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 1629 |
-2.57%
Jun 1934 - May 1953 |
+1.87% |
+8.89%
Apr 1873 - Mar 1892 |
17.43%
284 out of 1629 |
+1.14%
Jul 1933 - Jun 1953 |
+4.26% |
+9.55%
Aug 1973 - Jul 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 1617 |
-2.56%
Jul 1933 - Jun 1953 |
+1.89% |
+8.76%
May 1872 - Apr 1892 |
18.06%
292 out of 1617 |
Betterment Robo Advisor 0 Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns