Aleks Bleck Northern Finance Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns

Simulation Settings

Period: July 1987 - June 2026 (~39 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 June 2026

Initial Amount: 1€

Rebalancing: at every Jan 1^st

Currency: EUR

Inflation: Eurozone

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The Aleks Bleck Northern Finance Portfolio can be implemented with 5 ETFs. This portfolio has a very high risk, meaning it can experience significant fluctuations in value. It is suitable for investors with a high risk tolerance who are seeking substantial returns and can withstand large drawdowns.

The portfolio asset allocation is: 95% on the Stock Market, 5% on Fixed Income, 0% on Commodities. In general, bonds are useful for mitigating overall portfolio risk, especially if they are issued by national entities or highly reliable companies. This portfolio has a 5% allocation to bonds, leading to its classification as very high risk.

As of June 2026, in the previous 30 Years, the Aleks Bleck Northern Finance Portfolio obtained a 8.74% compound annual return, with a 14.89% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -47.98% that required 57 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.

About the Author

Aleks Bleck is the face of Northern Finance. By the age of 18, he was already a shareholder, lender, and ETF investor. His focus is on P2P lending and passive ETFs. Aleks founded Northern Finance in 2017 while studying business administration in Lüneburg.

He created the YouTube channel alongside his main job in investment and corporate banking before finally focusing full-time on Northern Finance.

Asset Allocation and ETFs

To effectively implement the asset allocation of the Aleks Bleck Northern Finance Portfolio, investors can utilize the following selection of ETFs. These ETFs have been chosen specifically for their ability to represent each asset class within the portfolio and facilitate ease of management.

          95% Stocks
        
          5% Fixed Income
        
          0% Commodities

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Weight (%)	ETF Ticker	ETF Currency	ETF Name	Investment Themes (Orig.Currency)
50.00	IUSQ.DE	EUR	iShares MSCI ACWI	Equity, Global, Large Cap (Mix)
20.00	IS3N.DE	EUR	iShares Core MSCI Emerg. Markets	Equity, Emerging Markets, Large Cap (USD)
15.00	ZPRV.DE	EUR	SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted	Equity, U.S., Small Cap, Value (USD)
10.00	SPY2.DE	EUR	SPDR Dow Jones Global Real Estate	Real Estate, Developed Markets (Mix)
5.00	SYBA.DE	EUR	SPDR Bloomberg Euro Aggregate Bond	Bond, Eurozone, All-Term (EUR)

Most Lazy Portfolios consist of common, well-defined asset classes.
For a more complete view, discover the most popular ETFs used to build these portfolios.

Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Jun 30, 2026

Returns are calculated in EUR, assuming:

no fees or capital gain taxes.
rebalancing: at every January 1^st. How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
the actual Eurozone Inflation rates.

ALEKS BLECK NORTHERN FINANCE PORTFOLIO

Capital Growth

Inflation Adj:

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			Chg (%)		Return (%)	Return (%) as of Jun 30, 2026
			1 Day	Time ET^(*)	---	YTD (6M)	1M	6M	1Y	5Y	10Y	30Y	MAX (~39Y)
Investment Return			---		---	17.18	2.39	17.18	30.74	9.77	10.52	8.74	9.41
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted Return						14.36	2.39	14.36	27.17	5.27	7.50	6.55	6.99
Component Returns
IUSQ.DE	EUR	iShares MSCI ACWI	---	0	---	13.99	1.38	13.99	27.37	11.89	12.43	8.51	8.17
IS3N.DE	EUR	iShares Core MSCI Emerg. Markets	---	0	---	27.94	1.57	27.94	45.77	8.43	9.79	7.03	10.08
ZPRV.DE	EUR	SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted	---	0	---	20.72	6.27	20.72	39.93	11.64	12.33	10.93	11.33
SPY2.DE	EUR	SPDR Dow Jones Global Real Estate	---	0	---	14.22	4.31	14.22	20.34	2.89	3.10	7.20	6.60
SYBA.DE	EUR	SPDR Bloomberg Euro Aggregate Bond	---	0	---	1.31	0.57	1.31	1.71	-1.61	-0.17	3.62	4.46
Returns over 1 year are annualized
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
The live monthly return is calculated by assuming, for each asset, the weight defined by the base asset allocation.
Eurozone Inflation is updated to May 2026. Pending updates, the monthly inflation is set at 0% for the subsequent periods. Inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 2.81% , 5Y: 4.27% , 10Y: 2.80% , 30Y: 2.06%

Components correlation, as of 30 June 2026

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Learn about historical correlations here: see how the main asset classes relate to each other.

Readings that may interest you

Portfolio Metrics as of Jun 30, 2026

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:

no fees or capital gain taxes.
rebalancing: at every January 1^st. How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
the actual Eurozone Inflation rates.

ALEKS BLECK NORTHERN FINANCE PORTFOLIO

Advanced Metrics

1 July 1987 - 30 June 2026 (~39 years)

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	Metrics as of Jun 30, 2026
	YTD (6M)	1M	3M	6M	1Y	3Y	5Y	10Y	20Y	30Y	MAX (~39Y)
Investment Return (%)	17.18	2.39	16.74	17.18	30.74	16.73	9.77	10.52	8.28	8.74	9.41
Growth of 1€	1.17	1.02	1.17	1.17	1.31	1.59	1.59	2.72	4.91	12.36	33.34
Infl. Adjusted Return (%)	14.36	2.39	15.45	14.36	27.17	13.94	5.27	7.50	6.02	6.55	6.99
Eurozone Inflation (%)	2.46	0.00	1.12	2.46	2.81	2.45	4.27	2.80	2.13	2.06	2.26
Pending updates, the monthly inflation of Jun 2026 and beyond is set at 0%. Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
DRAWDOWN Inflation Adjusted: Inflation Adjusted:				Current	1Y	3Y	5Y	10Y	20Y	30Y	MAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)				0.00	-5.67	-12.23	-13.13	-22.64	-47.98	-47.98	-47.98
Start to Recovery (# months)					2	8	25	12	57	57	57
Start (yyyy mm)					2026 03	2025 02	2022 01	2020 01	2007 11	2007 11	2007 11
Start to Bottom (# months)					1	3	12	3	16	16	16
Bottom (yyyy mm)					2026 03	2025 04	2022 12	2020 03	2009 02	2009 02	2009 02
Bottom to End (# months)					1	5	13	9	41	41	41
End (yyyy mm)					2026 04	2025 09	2024 01	2020 12	2012 07	2012 07	2012 07
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)					-0.15	same	same	-13.13	same	-38.94	-38.94
Start to Recovery (# months)					3	same	same	25	same	59	59
Start (yyyy mm)					2025 11	2025 02	2022 01	2022 01	2007 11	2000 09	2000 09
Start to Bottom (# months)					2	3	12	12	16	31	31
Bottom (yyyy mm)					2025 12	2025 04	2022 12	2022 12	2009 02	2003 03	2003 03
Bottom to End (# months)					1	5	13	13	41	28	28
End (yyyy mm)					2026 01	2025 09	2024 01	2024 01	2012 07	2005 07	2005 07
Longest negative period (# months)					2	10	28	39	63	118	118
Start (yyyy mm)					2025 11	2024 07	2021 07	2017 01	2006 07	1999 05	1999 05
End (yyyy mm)					2025 12	2025 04	2023 10	2020 03	2011 09	2009 02	2009 02
Annualized Return (%)					-0.91	-2.66	-1.70	-0.71	-0.32	-0.26	-0.26
Adjusting for units held makes the drawdown reflect real performance, just like in the no-cash-flow case.
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)				0.00	-6.86	-13.63	-20.85	-22.42	-49.24	-49.24	-49.24
Start to Recovery (# months)					2	9	35	11	70	70	70
Start (yyyy mm)					2026 03	2025 02	2022 01	2020 01	2007 06	2007 06	2007 06
Start to Bottom (# months)					1	3	22	3	21	21	21
Bottom (yyyy mm)					2026 03	2025 04	2023 10	2020 03	2009 02	2009 02	2009 02
Bottom to End (# months)					1	6	13	8	49	49	49
End (yyyy mm)					2026 04	2025 10	2024 11	2020 11	2013 03	2013 03	2013 03
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)					-0.31	same	same	-20.85	same	same	same
Start to Recovery (# months)					2	same	same	35	same	same	same
Start (yyyy mm)					2025 12	2025 02	2022 01	2022 01	2007 06	2007 06	2007 06
Start to Bottom (# months)					1	3	22	22	21	21	21
Bottom (yyyy mm)					2025 12	2025 04	2023 10	2023 10	2009 02	2009 02	2009 02
Bottom to End (# months)					1	6	13	13	49	49	49
End (yyyy mm)					2026 01	2025 10	2024 11	2024 11	2013 03	2013 03	2013 03
Longest negative period (# months)					5	13	46	49	75	140	140
Start (yyyy mm)					2025 11	2024 04	2021 07	2021 04	2007 06	1997 07	1997 07
End (yyyy mm)					2026 03	2025 04	2025 04	2025 04	2013 08	2009 02	2009 02
Annualized Return (%)					-2.32	-2.21	-1.06	-0.02	-0.24	-0.18	-0.18
Adjusting for units held makes the drawdown reflect real performance, just like in the no-cash-flow case.
RISK INDICATORS					1Y	3Y	5Y	10Y	20Y	30Y	MAX
Standard Deviation (%)					11.52	11.84	12.33	12.90	13.53	14.89	16.18
Sharpe Ratio					2.34	1.03	0.51	0.64	0.50	0.44	0.40
Sortino Ratio					3.04	1.36	0.70	0.85	0.66	0.58	0.53
Ulcer Index					1.57	3.50	5.67	5.61	11.40	12.92	12.79
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation					2.67	1.41	0.79	0.82	0.61	0.59	0.58
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown					5.42	1.37	0.74	0.46	0.17	0.18	0.20
Positive Months (%)					75.00	66.66	56.66	60.00	60.00	61.38	61.11
Positive Months					9	24	34	72	144	221	286
Negative Months					3	12	26	48	96	139	182
LONG TERM RETURNS Inflation Adjusted: Inflation Adjusted:					1Y	3Y	5Y	10Y	20Y	30Y	MAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized								10.52	13.61	13.61	20.05
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized								10.52	5.46	1.18	1.18
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized								7.50	12.21	12.21	17.25
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized								7.50	3.67	-0.91	-0.91
TIMEFRAMES Inflation Adjusted: Inflation Adjusted:		1M	3M	6M	1Y	3Y	5Y	10Y	20Y	30Y	MAX
··· As of Jun 2026 - Over the previous 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized					57.62	25.35	17.83	13.61	8.90	8.74
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized					-37.14	-15.86	-2.65	1.18	4.51	8.74
Positive Periods (%)					76.2	81.5	95.6	100.0	100.0	100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized					55.16	22.87	15.85	12.21	6.74	6.55
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized					-38.12	-17.59	-4.68	-0.91	2.81	6.55
Positive Periods (%)					71.9	77.5	83.3	97.0	100.0	100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative		6.28	9.86	12.55	21.87	22.27	0.00	0.00	0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%)		8.06	12.95	16.92	29.42	29.27	4.32	0.00	0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative		9.20	14.93	19.72	34.48	33.60	8.02	0.00	0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%)		11.07	18.16	24.29	37.14	39.23	11.15	0.00	0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical \| 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%)					76.68	24.29	15.29	8.35	5.22	7.48
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%)					---	---	---	---	2.37	6.36
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards \| Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
··· All available data (Jul 1987 - Jun 2026)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized					61.09	33.90	22.09	20.05	12.60	10.56
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized					-37.14	-15.86	-2.65	1.18	4.51	7.54
Positive Periods (%)					76.3	85.2	96.8	100.0	100.0	100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized					55.73	29.29	20.16	17.25	9.91	8.31
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized					-38.12	-17.59	-4.68	-0.91	2.81	5.35
Positive Periods (%)					71.7	81.7	87.7	97.9	100.0	100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative		6.82	10.72	13.64	21.31	19.16	0.00	0.00	0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%)		8.76	14.08	18.39	28.47	27.05	2.86	0.00	0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative		10.01	16.23	21.44	33.89	33.37	7.32	0.00	0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%)		12.03	19.74	26.41	35.76	37.39	10.11	0.00	0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical \| 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%)					76.68	24.29	15.29	8.35	5.22	6.46
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%)					---	---	---	---	2.37	5.14
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards \| Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com

Terms and Definitions

Annualized Portfolio Return: the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio. When cashflows are involved, it is calculated using the Money-Weighted Rate of Return (MWRR), based on the Modified Dietz formula.
Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration. When cashflows are involved, portfolio values are normalized by the invested capital (i.e. owned quotes) at each time step: this isolates the effect of market performance from capital contributions, avoiding misleading drawdowns caused by large inflows that artificially lift portfolio value and, as a result, the drawdowns match the ones without cash flows.
Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
Value at Risk (VaR): it's an evaluation of a cumulative worst-case loss (in absolute value), associated with a probability (95%-99%) and a time horizon. For short term, it's calculated based on the expected return and standard deviation, assuming a normal distribution of monthly returns. For long term is retrieved by the historical rolling return data.
Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR): it represents the average expected loss if that worst-case threshold (95%-99%) is ever crossed.
Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money in any case (money amount withdrawal).
For instance: Your initial invested capital is 100.000$; withdrawal rate (annualized) is 4%. This means that, in the first month, you will withdraw 100.000 * 4% * 1/12 = 333.33$. The second month, you’ll withdraw 333.33$ plus the inflation monthly rate. You’ll continue adjusting your withdraw monthly for inflation.
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, preserving the original invested capital, adjusted for inflation too.

Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

ALEKS BLECK NORTHERN FINANCE PORTFOLIO

Drawdown periods

Inflation Adj:

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Rolling Return Analysis

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ALEKS BLECK NORTHERN FINANCE PORTFOLIO

Annualized Rolling Returns — Over Time & Distribution

The values shown for the rolling periods represent key statistical points: the minimum, maximum, median, and two user-defined percentiles. The lower and upper percentiles (default: 15th and 85th) can be adjusted using the inputs above. They give insight into the distribution of the data, while the median represents the middle value.

Holding Periods and Returns

Holding periods are based on rolling periods: each rolling window represents the return an investor would have achieved by holding the investment for a fixed period (e.g., 10, 20, or 30 years) starting from different dates.

ALEKS BLECK NORTHERN FINANCE PORTFOLIO

Annualized Rolling Returns

Inflation Adj:

Percentiles: – Changes pending. Click 'Update' to refresh

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Time to Target

What it shows: Months to reach your target capital from each historical entry point, accounting for your initial investment and periodic contributions.

ALEKS BLECK NORTHERN FINANCE PORTFOLIO

Time to reach your Target Capital

Monthly Returns and Seasonality

This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the Aleks Bleck Northern Finance Portfolio over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.

ALEKS BLECK NORTHERN FINANCE PORTFOLIO

Monthly Returns Distribution

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Monthly Seasonality Analysis

39 full years are available for analysis


Avg Return (%)
Win Count
Loss Count
Win %
Worst Return (%)
Best Return (%)

For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.

Methodology

Returns, up to October 2019, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.

You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.

In particular, the series derived from equivalent datasets are:

iShares MSCI ACWI (IUSQ.DE), up to March 2012
iShares Core MSCI Emerg. Markets (IS3N.DE), up to July 2014
SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted (ZPRV.DE), up to February 2015
SPDR Dow Jones Global Real Estate (SPY2.DE), up to October 2019
SPDR Bloomberg Euro Aggregate Bond (SYBA.DE), up to May 2011

Portfolio efficiency

Compare Aleks Bleck Northern Finance Portfolio performance and efficiency against top portfolios to identify strengths and areas for improvement.

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			Allocation
			Stocks	Bonds	Comm	Ann. Return▾	Standard Deviation	Ulcer Index	Deepest Drawdown	Longest Drawdown	Longest Neg.Period	Avg Rank

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			Allocation
			Stocks	Bonds	Comm	Ann. Return▾	Standard Deviation	Ulcer Index	Deepest Drawdown	Longest Drawdown	Longest Neg.Period	Avg Rank

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			Allocation
			Stocks	Bonds	Comm	Ann. Return▾	Standard Deviation	Ulcer Index	Deepest Drawdown	Longest Drawdown	Longest Neg.Period	Avg Rank

Compare this portfolio with up to 3 other portfolios.

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	Drawdown period			Recovery period		Total
Drawdown▴	Start	Bottom	#Months	End	#Months	#Months	Ulcer Index

Drawdown Analysis			Occurrencies (End of Month)			Cumulative
Phase	Frequency	Range	#Num	Every (Avg)	Frequency	Range	Frequency

	Drawdown period			Recovery period		Total
Drawdown▴	Start	Bottom	#Months	End	#Months	#Months	Ulcer Index

Drawdown Analysis			Occurrencies (End of Month)			Cumulative
Phase	Frequency	Range	#Num	Every (Avg)	Frequency	Range	Frequency

	Drawdown period			Recovery period		Total
Drawdown▴	Start	Bottom	#Months	End	#Months	#Months	Ulcer Index

	Intra Year Stats		Monthly Return (%)
Year	Return	Drawdown	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec

Table of contents

About the Author

Asset Allocation and ETFs

Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Jun 30, 2026

Portfolio Metrics as of Jun 30, 2026

Drawdowns

Rolling Return Analysis

Holding Periods and Returns

Time to Target

Monthly Returns and Seasonality

Portfolio efficiency